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Atlanta Hawks vs Oklahoma City Thunder Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 25 Oct 2025
Tip-off: 23:30
Final 100-117
26-31 29-29 25-39 20-18
Position#12
Record1-1
FormWLLLW
Points / game114.5
Allowed / game122.5
vs
Position#1
Record2-0
FormWLWWW
Points / game133.0
Allowed / game129.5
USANBA· State Farm Arena
NBA2025-26
Meetings · Atlanta Hawks v Oklahoma City Thunder
20 Dec 2026
ATL v OKC
upcoming
25 Oct 2025
ATL100
OKC117
28 Feb 2025
ATL119
OKC135
03 Jan 2024
ATL141
OKC138
05 Dec 2022
ATL114
OKC121
22 Nov 2021
ATL113
OKC101
18 Mar 2021
ATL116
OKC93
18 Mar 2020
ATL v OKC
upcoming
15 Jan 2019
ATL142
OKC126
13 Mar 2018
ATL107
OKC119
05 Dec 2016
ATL99
OKC102
30 Nov 2015
ATL106
OKC100
23 Jan 2015
ATL103
OKC93
10 Dec 2013
ATL92
OKC101
19 Dec 2012
ATL92
OKC100
03 Mar 2012
ATL97
OKC90
04 Mar 2011
ATL104
OKC111
18 Jan 2010
ATL91
OKC94
23 Dec 2008
ATL99
OKC88
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Atlanta Hawks winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Oklahoma City Thunder winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Atlanta HawksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHawks
Date
Competition
New York Knicks
#6
L
105-121
105
121
-16
94avg 111
H05/04
NBA
Utah Jazz
#30
W
147-134
147
134
+13
152avg 111
H06/04
NBA
Orlando Magic
#15
L
112-119
112
119
-7
103avg 111
A08/04
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#25
W
133-109
133
109
+24
140avg 111
A10/04
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#26
W
124-110
124
110
+14
120avg 111
A11/04
NBA
Orlando Magic
#15
W
117-105
117
105
+12
117avg 111
H13/04
NBA
Orlando Magic
#15
L
95-120
95
120
-25
83avg 111
A15/04
NBA
Miami Heat
#20
L
114-123 OT
114
123
-9
102avg 111
H18/04
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#11
L
118-138
118
138
-20
103avg 111
H22/10
NBA
Orlando Magic
#13
W
111-107
111
107
+4
103avg 111
A24/10
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-38
22-40
27-30
25-13
41-28
40-36
38-43
28-27
31-30
26-36
27-26
28-27
33-14
36-31
34-29
30-35
29-26
31-40
31-19
33-25
31-24
27-22
34-38
25-21
17-32
30-29
26-18
22-41
24-33
29-29
24-24
29-20
34-36
25-29
28-45
31-28
25-24
26-37
27-25
33-21
236.2Avg total
117.6Scored
118.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)114.5122.5237.0-8.050%
Season at home (1)118.0138.0256.0-20.00%
Season away (1)111.0107.0218.0+4.0100%
Last 10 (10)117.6118.6236.2-1.050%
Last 5 (5)111.0118.6229.6-7.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)115.3123.8239.2-8.533%
vs Similar (16)116.9120.8237.7-3.938%
vs Weaker (8)129.9116.1246.0+13.888%
This opponent (Oklahoma City Thunder) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Oklahoma City ThunderUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormThunder
Date
Competition
Minnesota Timberwolves
#7
W
124-94
124
94
+30
121avg 110
H29/05
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#5
L
110-111
110
111
-1
84avg 110
H06/06
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#5
W
123-107
123
107
+16
119avg 110
H09/06
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#5
L
107-116
107
116
-9
96avg 110
A12/06
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#5
W
111-104
111
104
+7
99avg 110
A14/06
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#5
W
120-109
120
109
+11
107avg 110
H17/06
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#5
L
91-108
91
108
-17
80avg 110
A20/06
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#5
W
103-91
103
91
+12
86avg 110
H23/06
NBA
Houston Rockets
#8
W
125-124 OT
125
124
+1
108avg 110
H21/10
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#29
W
141-135 OT
141
135
+6
131avg 110
A23/10
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-9
39-23
23-30
36-32
29-20
28-25
28-31
25-35
26-20
33-21
34-33
30-33
32-24
28-40
29-20
18-32
34-35
23-25
23-27
31-17
32-22
27-23
28-34
33-30
25-28
17-36
18-26
31-18
25-22
22-26
34-20
22-23
27-30
24-27
24-22
29-25
22-25
32-22
27-31
32-35
225.4Avg total
115.5Scored
109.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)133.0129.5262.5+3.5100%
Season at home (1)125.0124.0249.0+1.0100%
Season away (1)141.0135.0276.0+6.0100%
Last 10 (10)115.5109.9225.4+5.670%
Last 5 (5)116.0113.4229.4+2.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)117.5109.1226.6+8.373%
This opponent (Atlanta Hawks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q1: +4.3+4.3Q2Q2: -3.7-3.7Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: -0.6-0.6Q4Q4: +2.6+2.6Q4: +0.7+0.7
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q1: +4.3+4.3Q2Q2: -3.7-3.7Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: -0.6-0.6Q4Q4: +2.6+2.6Q4: +0.7+0.7
Atlanta HawksOklahoma City Thunder
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Atlanta HawksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New York Knicks
#6
L
53-78
53
78
-25
H05/04
NBA
Utah Jazz
#30
W
81-64
81
64
+17
H06/04
NBA
Orlando Magic
#15
L
57-66
57
66
-9
A08/04
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#25
W
69-45
69
45
+24
A10/04
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#26
L
60-66
60
66
-6
A11/04
NBA
Orlando Magic
#15
W
58-46
58
46
+12
H13/04
NBA
Orlando Magic
#15
L
47-61
47
61
-14
A15/04
NBA
Miami Heat
#20
L
53-62
53
62
-9
H18/04
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#11
L
59-65
59
65
-6
H22/10
NBA
Orlando Magic
#13
L
51-61
51
61
-10
A24/10
NBA
120.2Avg total
58.8Scored
61.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)61.760.6122.3+1.150%-
Last 30 at home (17)61.459.4120.8+1.953%-
Last 30 away (13)62.262.2124.4-0.146%-
Last 10 (10)58.861.4120.2-2.630%-
Last 5 (5)53.659.0112.6-5.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)60.864.8125.7-4.050%-
vs Similar (16)60.161.5121.6-1.431%-
vs Weaker (8)65.555.8121.2+9.888%-
This opponent (Oklahoma City Thunder) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Oklahoma City ThunderLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Minnesota Timberwolves
#7
W
65-32
65
32
+33
H29/05
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#5
W
57-45
57
45
+12
H06/06
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#5
W
59-41
59
41
+18
H09/06
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#5
L
60-64
60
64
-4
A12/06
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#5
L
57-60
57
60
-3
A14/06
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#5
W
59-45
59
45
+14
H17/06
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#5
L
42-64
42
64
-22
A20/06
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#5
L
47-48
47
48
-1
H23/06
NBA
Houston Rockets
#8
L
51-57
51
57
-6
H21/10
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#29
W
54-47
54
47
+7
A23/10
NBA
105.4Avg total
55.1Scored
50.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.854.4113.1+4.463%-
Last 30 at home (16)60.950.8111.7+10.269%-
Last 30 away (14)56.358.5114.8-2.257%-
Last 10 (10)55.150.3105.4+4.850%-
Last 5 (5)50.652.2102.8-1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)58.854.4113.1+4.463%-
This opponent (Atlanta Hawks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Atlanta Hawkstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Atlanta Hawks: 117.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers58.8 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers40.8 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.0 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.129.4
56.4%
54.8%58.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.713.6
36.1%
35.8%40.8
🏀 Free throws23.218.0
77.6%
78.1%18.0
They take 89.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 37.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Oklahoma City Thundertheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Oklahoma City Thunder: 115.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.4 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws25.9 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.128.6
51.9%
54.8%57.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.810.8
32.9%
35.8%32.4
🏀 Free throws31.125.9
83.3%
78.1%25.9
They take 87.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 25 Oct 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Atlanta Hawks
WLLLWWWLWL
Oklahoma City Thunder
WWWLWWLWLW
#12
League position
#1
-1.0
Net rating
+5.4
114.2
Offensive rating
110.8
115.1
Defensive rating
105.4
55.5%
Effective FG%
51.0%
56.6%
Opp. effective FG%
51.7%
13.1%
Turnover %
12.2%
23.7%
Off. rebound %
23.8%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.35
36.1%
3-point %
32.9%
67.7%
Assist %
49.5%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence114.2 · 110.8Defence115.1 · 105.4Shooting55.5% · 51.0%3-point %36.1% · 32.9%Ball care13.1% · 12.2%Off. rebounds23.7% · 23.8%Free throws0.26 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)50% · 70%
■ Atlanta Hawks   ■ Oklahoma City Thunder
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
24/10/25AOrlando Magic111-107
22/10/25HToronto Raptors118-138
18/04/25HMiami Heat114-123 OT
15/04/25AOrlando Magic95-120
13/04/25HOrlando Magic117-105
11/04/25APhiladelphia 76ers124-110
10/04/25ABrooklyn Nets133-109
08/04/25AOrlando Magic112-119
06/04/25HUtah Jazz147-134
05/04/25HNew York Knicks105-121
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/10/25AIndiana Pacers141-135 OT
21/10/25HHouston Rockets125-124 OT
23/06/25HIndiana Pacers103-91
20/06/25AIndiana Pacers91-108
17/06/25HIndiana Pacers120-109
14/06/25AIndiana Pacers111-104
12/06/25AIndiana Pacers107-116
09/06/25HIndiana Pacers123-107
06/06/25HIndiana Pacers110-111
29/05/25HMinnesota Timberwolves124-94

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLW50%
HomeL0%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%0%100%
Points / game114.5118.0111.0
Allowed / game122.5138.0107.0
Point differential-8.0-20.0+4.0
Avg total237.0256.0218.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Oklahoma City Thunder
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game133.0125.0141.0
Allowed / game129.5124.0135.0
Point differential+3.5+1.0+6.0
Avg total262.5249.0276.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %100%100%100%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Charlotte Hornets110100%136.0117.0+19.0
2 San Antonio Spurs220100%122.5104.0+18.5
3 Milwaukee Bucks220100%127.5118.0+9.5
4 New York Knicks220100%112.0103.0+9.0
5 Chicago Bulls220100%112.5104.5+8.0
6 Oklahoma City Thunder220100%133.0129.5+3.5
7 Philadelphia 76ers110100%117.0116.0+1.0
8 Golden State Warriors32167%125.0126.3-1.3
9 Miami Heat21150%133.5119.5+14.0
10 Utah Jazz21150%116.5106.5+10.0
11 Portland Trail Blazers21150%126.5118.5+8.0
12 Toronto Raptors21150%127.0120.0+7.0
13 Los Angeles Lakers21150%118.5114.5+4.0
14 Los Angeles Clippers21150%118.5115.5+3.0
15 Detroit Pistons21150%113.0113.0+0.0
16 Cleveland Cavaliers21150%121.0121.5-0.5
17 Sacramento Kings21150%110.5112.0-1.5
18 Washington Wizards21150%118.5120.0-1.5
19 Minnesota Timberwolves21150%114.0121.0-7.0
20 Atlanta Hawks21150%114.5122.5-8.0
21 Phoenix Suns21150%111.0122.5-11.5
22 Memphis Grizzlies21150%121.0134.0-13.0
23 Orlando Magic31233%110.0114.0-4.0
24 Houston Rockets2020%117.5120.0-2.5
25 New Orleans Pelicans2020%119.0124.0-5.0
26 Boston Celtics2020%105.5111.0-5.5
27 Denver Nuggets1010%131.0137.0-6.0
28 Indiana Pacers1010%135.0141.0-6.0
29 Brooklyn Nets2020%120.5133.5-13.0
30 Dallas Mavericks2020%99.5121.0-21.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Atlanta Hawks26292520100
Oklahoma City Thunder31293918117
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