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Atyrau vs Astana Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 28 Apr 2016
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 87-67
20-22 17-16 30-19 20-10
Position#1
Record28-2
FormWWWWW
Points / game87.9
Allowed / game65.9
Atyrau 🏆
Kazakhstan
vs
Position#3
Record17-6
FormWWWWL
Points / game79.1
Allowed / game72.5
KazakhstanNational LeagueNational League - Final
Other2015-16
Meetings · Atyrau v Astana
16 May 2026
ATYR79
AST78
15 May 2026
ATYR83
AST88
21 Jan 2026
ATYR68
AST97
20 Jan 2026
ATYR50
AST79
19 Oct 2025
ATYR64
AST99
18 Oct 2025
ATYR61
AST87
06 May 2023
ATYR52
AST58
09 Apr 2023
ATYR68
AST80
08 Apr 2023
ATYR62
AST67
10 May 2022
ATYR64
AST70
27 Sep 2021
ATYR65
AST76
26 Sep 2021
ATYR50
AST81
12 May 2021
ATYR65
AST88
30 Nov 2020
ATYR67
AST88
29 Nov 2020
ATYR59
AST89
30 Oct 2019
ATYR67
AST86
29 Oct 2019
ATYR67
AST102
06 Feb 2019
ATYR54
AST109
05 Feb 2019
ATYR76
AST95
17 Oct 2018
ATYR58
AST92
16 Oct 2018
ATYR62
AST85
05 May 2018
ATYR54
AST80
06 Feb 2018
ATYR66
AST72
05 Feb 2018
ATYR84
AST89
11 Feb 2017
ATYR54
AST67
10 Feb 2017
ATYR64
AST79
26 Oct 2016
ATYR70
AST75
25 Oct 2016
ATYR65
AST72
29 Apr 2016
ATYR90
AST88
28 Apr 2016
ATYR87
AST67
04 Feb 2016
ATYR104
AST87
03 Feb 2016
ATYR99
AST78
22 Apr 2014
ATYR64
AST73
15 Mar 2014
ATYR66
AST77
27 Nov 2013
ATYR74
AST100
26 Nov 2013
ATYR70
AST82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Atyrau winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Astana winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AtyrauKazakhstanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Astana
#3
L
83-90
83
90
-7
A25/02
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#7
W
84-79
84
79
+5
H14/03
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#7
W
74-66
74
66
+8
H15/03
National League
Kapshagay
#8
W
82-65
82
65
+17
A20/03
National League
Kapshagay
#8
W
95-91
95
91
+4
A21/03
National League
Almaty
#9
W
82-70
82
70
+12
A24/03
National League
Almaty
#9
W
91-60
91
60
+31
A25/03
National League
Kapshagay
#8
W
80-75
80
75
+5
H13/04
National League
Kapshagay
#8
W
91-88
91
88
+3
H14/04
National League
Kapshagay
#8
W
91-60
91
60
+31
A16/04
National League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-20
22-28
23-27
21-15
17-19
19-17
26-19
22-24
16-16
19-21
19-16
20-13
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
25-14
19-18
16-19
22-19
25-13
18-8
25-20
23-19
22-19
18-21
17-21
23-14
23-19
21-28
25-24
22-17
21-10
20-17
24-13
26-20
159.7Avg total
85.3Scored
74.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)87.965.9153.8+22.193%
Season at home (15)87.766.3154.1+21.4100%
Season away (15)88.165.4153.5+22.787%
Last 10 (10)85.374.4159.7+10.990%
Last 5 (5)87.070.6157.6+16.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)73.092.8165.8-19.80%
vs Similar (1)77.078.0155.0-1.00%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)86.570.4156.9+16.191%
This opponent (Astana) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AstanaKazakhstanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Almaty
#9
W
82-72
82
72
+10
A29/03
National League
Almaty
#9
W
84-69
84
69
+15
A30/03
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#7
W
74-70
74
70
+4
A02/04
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#7
L
84-88
84
88
-4
A03/04
National League
Enisey
#11
L
73-80
73
80
-7
H07/04
VTB United League
Vita Tbilisi
#16
W
62-53
62
53
+9
A10/04
VTB United League
Kaspiy Aktau
#7
W
75-73
75
73
+2
H13/04
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#7
W
78-70
78
70
+8
H14/04
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#7
W
83-71
83
71
+12
A17/04
National League
Volgograd
#9
L
85-106
85
106
-21
A23/04
VTB United League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-14
20-19
18-26
23-13
15-24
28-13
19-19
22-13
17-19
10-19
22-5
25-27
–
–
–
–
27-17
17-20
13-18
16-25
15-22
16-8
23-9
8-14
23-22
12-22
25-9
15-20
21-13
19-19
22-12
16-26
29-14
15-30
23-11
16-16
23-23
20-33
22-23
20-27
153.2Avg total
78.0Scored
75.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)79.172.5151.6+6.674%
Season at home (13)82.469.7152.1+12.785%
Season away (10)74.876.2151.0-1.460%
Last 10 (10)78.075.2153.2+2.870%
Last 5 (5)76.674.6151.2+2.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)73.999.0172.9-25.17%
vs Similar (8)76.272.6148.9+3.675%
vs Weaker (8)76.461.1137.5+15.288%
This opponent (Atyrau) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +4.5+4.5Q1: +2.6+2.6Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: -2.9-2.9Q3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q3: +6.1+6.1Q4Q4: +4.8+4.8Q4: -2.2-2.2
AtyrauAstana
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AtyrauLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Astana
#3
L
39-48
39
48
-9
A25/02
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#7
D
36-36
36
36
+0
H14/03
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#7
L
35-37
35
37
-2
H15/03
National League
Almaty
#9
W
44-32
44
32
+12
A24/03
National League
Almaty
#9
W
43-21
43
21
+22
A25/03
National League
Kapshagay
#8
D
40-40
40
40
+0
H13/04
National League
Kapshagay
#8
L
44-47
44
47
-3
H14/04
National League
Kapshagay
#8
W
41-27
41
27
+14
A16/04
National League
76.2Avg total
40.2Scored
36.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (24)41.438.880.2+2.550%-
Last 30 at home (12)44.237.581.7+6.758%-
Last 30 away (12)38.640.278.8-1.642%-
Last 10 (8)40.236.076.2+4.238%-
Last 5 (5)42.433.475.8+9.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)35.846.782.5-10.80%-
vs Similar (1)44.040.084.0+4.0100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)43.236.079.2+7.265%-
This opponent (Astana) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AstanaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Almaty
#9
W
41-33
41
33
+8
A29/03
National League
Almaty
#9
W
43-37
43
37
+6
A30/03
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#7
L
27-38
27
38
-11
A02/04
National League
Enisey
#11
W
44-37
44
37
+7
H07/04
VTB United League
Vita Tbilisi
#16
W
31-30
31
30
+1
A10/04
VTB United League
Kaspiy Aktau
#7
L
35-44
35
44
-9
H13/04
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#7
W
40-32
40
32
+8
H14/04
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#7
D
44-44
44
44
+0
A17/04
National League
Volgograd
#9
L
43-56
43
56
-13
A23/04
VTB United League
77.7Avg total
38.7Scored
39.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (28)37.742.480.1-4.743%-
Last 30 at home (13)40.039.779.7+0.362%-
Last 30 away (15)35.744.780.4-9.127%-
Last 10 (9)38.739.077.7-0.356%-
Last 5 (5)38.641.279.8-2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)37.549.586.9-12.023%-
vs Similar (7)35.938.374.1-2.443%-
vs Weaker (8)39.634.574.1+5.175%-
This opponent (Atyrau) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Atyrau wins
7
Astana wins
DateGameScore
25/02/16Astana v Atyrau90-83
24/02/16Astana v Atyrau78-87
04/02/16Atyrau v Astana104-87
03/02/16Atyrau v Astana99-78
22/04/14Atyrau v Astana64-73
18/04/14Astana v Atyrau87-65
17/04/14Astana v Atyrau90-61
15/03/14Atyrau v Astana66-77
15/01/14Astana v Atyrau87-68
27/11/13Atyrau v Astana74-100
Atyraulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/04/16AKapshagay91-60
14/04/16HKapshagay91-88
13/04/16HKapshagay80-75
25/03/16AAlmaty91-60
24/03/16AAlmaty82-70
21/03/16AKapshagay95-91
20/03/16AKapshagay82-65
15/03/16HKaspiy Aktau74-66
14/03/16HKaspiy Aktau84-79
25/02/16AAstana83-90
Astanalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/04/16AVolgograd85-106
17/04/16AKaspiy Aktau83-71
14/04/16HKaspiy Aktau78-70
13/04/16HKaspiy Aktau75-73
10/04/16AVita Tbilisi62-53
07/04/16HEnisey73-80
03/04/16AKaspiy Aktau84-88
02/04/16AKaspiy Aktau74-70
30/03/16AAlmaty84-69
29/03/16AAlmaty82-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Atyrau
National League 2015-16
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW93%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWWW87%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301515
Win %93%100%87%
Points / game87.987.788.1
Allowed / game65.966.365.4
Point differential+22.1+21.4+22.7
Avg total153.8154.1153.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+70%73%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won83% (6)100% (3)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Astana
National League 2015-16
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW74%
HomeWWLWW85%
AwayWWWLW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231310
Win %74%85%60%
Points / game79.182.474.8
Allowed / game72.569.776.2
Point differential+6.6+12.7-1.4
Avg total151.6152.1151.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%54%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %4%8%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Atyrau3028293%87.965.9+22.1
2 Tobol Kostanay2522388%84.253.4+30.7
3 Astana2317674%79.172.5+6.6
4 Kazygurt2516964%71.167.6+3.5
5 Bars Petropavlovsk25141156%61.365.9-4.6
6 Atyrau 225141156%62.267.0-4.8
7 Kaspiy Aktau34191556%77.370.1+7.2
8 Kapshagay34132138%74.675.8-1.2
9 Almaty27101737%74.173.3+0.8
10 Astana 22171433%57.568.9-11.3
11 Kokshetay2552020%54.071.7-17.6
12 Tobol Kostanay 22542116%58.477.6-19.3
13 Pavlodar2532212%55.675.6-20.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Atyrau2017302087
Astana2216191067
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