Atyrau vs Astana Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 09 Apr 2023

Tip-off: 12:00

Final 68-80

21-25 24-13 9-19 14-23

Position#2

Record18-9

FormWLWWL

Points / game76.9

Allowed / game72.6

Atyrau

Astana 🏆

Position#1

Record14-5

FormWWWWW

Points / game84.5

Allowed / game71.2

National League

Other2022-23

Meetings · Atyrau v Astana

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Atyrau winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Astana winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Atyrau

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Irbis Almaty

71-64

H20/01

National League

Tobol Kostanay

86-95

-9

A06/03

National League

Tobol Kostanay

72-64

A07/03

National League

Aktobe

78-57

+21

H15/03

National League

Aktobe

84-78

H16/03

National League

Irbis Almaty

68-58

+10

H20/03

National League

Irbis Almaty

46-81

-35

H21/03

National League

Irbis Almaty

86-78

A04/04

National League

Irbis Almaty

88-78

+10

A05/04

National League

Astana

62-67

-5

H08/04

National League

16-13

16-17

25-16

14-18

27-28

17-24

26-20

16-23

23-11

10-15

13-13

26-25

22-17

19-19

16-6

21-15

31-21

15-27

23-17

15-13

18-14

18-15

19-12

13-17

11-24

7-24

11-17

17-16

24-24

20-18

18-28

24-8

22-20

25-21

11-23

30-14

18-22

8-18

17-6

19-21

146.1Avg total

74.1Scored

72.0Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (27)	76.9	72.6	149.6	+4.3	67%
Season at home (13)	76.1	68.1	144.2	+8.0	77%
Season away (14)	77.7	76.9	154.6	+0.9	57%
Last 10 (10)	74.1	72.0	146.1	+2.1	70%
Last 5 (5)	70.0	72.4	142.4	-2.4	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	58.5	81.2	139.7	-22.7	0%
vs Similar (8)	74.9	72.1	147.0	+2.8	75%
vs Weaker (16)	80.8	71.8	152.6	+9.1	75%

This opponent (Astana) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Astana

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Samara

#10

73-92

-19

H13/03

VTB United League

Saratov

70-79

-9

A16/03

VTB United League

Enisey

67-77

-10

A19/03

VTB United League

Parma Perm

59-94

-35

A22/03

VTB United League

Minsk

#12

69-84

-15

A26/03

VTB United League

Tobol Kostanay

84-51

+33

H30/03

National League

Tobol Kostanay

88-71

+17

H31/03

National League

Aktobe

107-55

107

+52

A03/04

National League

Aktobe

79-73

A04/04

National League

Atyrau

67-62

A08/04

National League

9-23

21-28

18-26

25-15

11-23

18-20

27-18

14-18

20-19

6-26

13-13

28-19

18-23

11-22

19-19

11-30

30-21

18-16

5-25

16-22

26-16

18-8

24-7

16-20

26-21

21-22

19-14

22-14

29-15

27-9

27-11

24-20

23-26

20-14

14-18

22-15

22-18

18-8

6-17

21-19

150.1Avg total

76.3Scored

73.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (19)	84.5	71.2	155.7	+13.3	74%
Season at home (10)	90.8	64.8	155.6	+26.0	100%
Season away (9)	77.6	78.3	155.9	-0.8	44%
Last 10 (10)	76.3	73.8	150.1	+2.5	50%
Last 5 (5)	85.0	62.4	147.4	+22.6	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)	66.6	86.3	152.9	-19.7	6%
vs Similar (4)	77.0	69.8	146.8	+7.2	75%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	89.8	63.0	152.8	+26.8	100%

This opponent (Atyrau) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

AtyrauAstana

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.9	18.0	37.9	+1.9	57%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.8	17.6	37.4	+2.1	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.0	18.3	38.3	+1.7	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.2	19.4	40.6	+1.8	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	20.8	39.4	-2.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	14.5	19.7	34.2	-5.2	0%	-
vs Similar (8)	20.6	16.8	37.4	+3.9	75%	-
vs Weaker (16)	21.6	18.0	39.6	+3.6	69%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.5	20.1	40.6	+0.4	50%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	21.2	19.4	40.6	+1.8	53%	-
Last 30 away (13)	19.5	21.0	40.5	-1.5	46%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.4	20.5	41.9	+0.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.2	19.2	44.4	+6.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)	15.7	22.4	38.1	-6.7	19%	-
vs Similar (4)	24.8	16.0	40.8	+8.8	100%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	26.4	18.1	44.5	+8.3	80%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.4	19.4	37.8	-1.0	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	17.5	17.4	34.9	+0.1	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.2	21.2	40.4	-1.9	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	15.5	19.8	35.3	-4.3	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.6	19.2	34.8	-3.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	15.0	21.7	36.7	-6.7	17%	-
vs Similar (8)	17.6	19.6	37.2	-2.0	62%	-
vs Weaker (16)	20.1	18.4	38.6	+1.7	56%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.4	19.4	37.8	-1.0	47%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	18.5	19.2	37.7	-0.6	47%	-
Last 30 away (13)	18.2	19.6	37.8	-1.4	46%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.8	17.3	35.1	+0.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	12.2	33.0	+8.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)	15.9	22.1	38.0	-6.1	19%	-
vs Similar (4)	18.0	16.5	34.5	+1.5	75%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	22.5	16.2	38.7	+6.3	80%	-

AtyrauLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Irbis Almaty

32-30

H20/01

National League

Tobol Kostanay

44-52

-8

A06/03

National League

Tobol Kostanay

33-26

A07/03

National League

Aktobe

41-36

H15/03

National League

Aktobe

46-48

-2

H16/03

National League

Irbis Almaty

36-29

H20/03

National League

Irbis Almaty

18-48

-30

H21/03

National League

Irbis Almaty

44-42

A04/04

National League

Irbis Almaty

47-41

A05/04

National League

Astana

26-40

-14

H08/04

National League

75.9Avg total

36.7Scored

39.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.3	37.4	75.7	+0.9	60%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	37.3	35.0	72.3	+2.3	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	39.2	39.5	78.8	-0.2	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.7	39.2	75.9	-2.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	34.2	40.0	74.2	-5.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	29.5	41.3	70.8	-11.8	0%	-
vs Similar (8)	38.2	36.4	74.6	+1.9	88%	-
vs Weaker (16)	41.7	36.4	78.1	+5.2	69%	-

This opponent (Astana) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

AstanaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Samara

#10

30-51

-21

H13/03

VTB United League

Saratov

29-43

-14

A16/03

VTB United League

Enisey

26-45

-19

A19/03

VTB United League

Parma Perm

29-45

-16

A22/03

VTB United League

Minsk

#12

48-37

+11

A26/03

VTB United League

Tobol Kostanay

44-24

+20

H30/03

National League

Tobol Kostanay

47-43

H31/03

National League

Aktobe

56-24

+32

A03/04

National League

Aktobe

43-40

A04/04

National League

Atyrau

40-26

+14

A08/04

National League

77.0Avg total

39.2Scored

37.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.9	39.5	78.3	-0.6	47%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	39.7	38.6	78.3	+1.1	53%	-
Last 30 away (13)	37.8	40.6	78.4	-2.8	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.2	37.8	77.0	+1.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	46.0	31.4	77.4	+14.6	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)	31.6	44.4	76.1	-12.8	6%	-
vs Similar (4)	42.8	32.5	75.2	+10.2	100%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	48.9	34.3	83.2	+14.6	90%	-

This opponent (Atyrau) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.0	18.7	36.7	-0.8	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.7	17.9	36.6	+0.8	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	17.3	19.4	36.8	-2.1	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.9	15.8	33.7	+2.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.2	17.2	32.4	-2.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	14.3	19.3	33.7	-5.0	17%	-
vs Similar (8)	17.4	19.4	36.8	-2.0	50%	-
vs Weaker (16)	19.6	18.2	37.8	+1.4	50%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.2	18.3	36.5	-0.1	40%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	18.4	18.3	36.6	+0.1	41%	-
Last 30 away (13)	18.0	18.3	36.3	-0.3	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.2	16.8	34.0	+0.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.0	13.4	31.4	+4.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)	18.2	21.9	40.1	-3.6	12%	-
vs Similar (4)	15.8	17.5	33.2	-1.8	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	19.1	12.9	32.0	+6.2	80%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.5	17.6	36.1	+0.9	57%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.2	15.3	34.5	+3.9	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	17.8	19.6	37.4	-1.8	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.5	17.0	36.5	+2.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	15.2	35.8	+5.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	14.7	20.5	35.2	-5.8	17%	-
vs Similar (8)	19.2	16.4	35.6	+2.9	62%	-
vs Weaker (16)	19.5	17.1	36.6	+2.4	69%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.7	18.6	37.2	+0.1	40%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	19.1	17.8	36.8	+1.3	41%	-
Last 30 away (13)	18.2	19.6	37.8	-1.5	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.9	19.2	39.1	+0.7	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	17.6	38.6	+3.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)	16.8	20.0	36.8	-3.2	25%	-
vs Similar (4)	18.5	19.8	38.2	-1.2	25%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	21.8	15.8	37.6	+6.0	70%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.4	36.3	72.8	+0.1	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	37.9	33.2	71.1	+4.7	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	35.1	39.1	74.2	-3.9	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.4	32.8	70.2	+4.6	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.8	32.4	68.2	+3.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	29.0	39.8	68.8	-10.8	17%	-
vs Similar (8)	36.6	35.8	72.4	+0.9	62%	-
vs Weaker (16)	39.1	35.3	74.4	+3.8	62%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.9	36.9	73.7	+0.0	57%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	37.4	36.1	73.5	+1.4	59%	-
Last 30 away (13)	36.2	37.9	74.1	-1.8	54%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.1	36.0	73.1	+1.1	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.0	31.0	70.0	+8.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)	35.0	41.9	76.9	-6.9	31%	-
vs Similar (4)	34.2	37.2	71.5	-3.0	75%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	40.9	28.7	69.6	+12.2	90%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Atyrautheir own shots, last 10 games

No box scores for this team yet.

Astanatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Astana: 55.7 points a game scored

🏀🏀50%

🏀🏀🏀37%

🏀14%

🏀🏀 2-pointers27.6 pts a game · 50% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.4 pts a game · 37% of the points

🏀 Free throws7.7 pts a game · 14% of the points

League average for comparison: 79.6 points a game

49%

33%

17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	30.5	13.8	45.2%	50.5%	27.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	22.4	6.8	30.4%	30.4%	20.4
🏀 Free throws	12.0	7.7	64.2%	69.6%	7.7

They take 52.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	33.8	19.2	56.8%	50.5%	38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.4	9.6	36.4%	30.4%	28.8
🏀 Free throws	14.1	10.4	73.8%	69.6%	10.4

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	33.3	16.8	50.5%	50.5%	33.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.9	8.4	33.7%	30.4%	25.2
🏀 Free throws	13.7	9.5	69.4%	69.6%	9.5

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.3	19.5	53.8%	50.5%	39.1
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.3	9.3	35.5%	30.4%	28.0
🏀 Free throws	18.3	13.8	75.4%	69.6%	13.8

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Atyrau wins

Astana wins

Date	Game	Score
08/04/23	Atyrau v Astana	62-67
30/09/22	Astana v Atyrau	77-64
29/09/22	Astana v Atyrau	92-59
10/05/22	Atyrau v Astana	64-70
07/05/22	Astana v Atyrau	104-51
06/05/22	Astana v Atyrau	77-51
05/03/22	Astana v Atyrau	0-20
04/03/22	Astana v Atyrau	91-68
27/01/22	Astana v Atyrau	98-80
26/01/22	Astana v Atyrau	88-57

Atyraulast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
08/04/23	H	Astana	62-67
05/04/23	A	Irbis Almaty	88-78
04/04/23	A	Irbis Almaty	86-78
21/03/23	H	Irbis Almaty	46-81
20/03/23	H	Irbis Almaty	68-58
16/03/23	H	Aktobe	84-78
15/03/23	H	Aktobe	78-57
07/03/23	A	Tobol Kostanay	72-64
06/03/23	A	Tobol Kostanay	86-95
20/01/23	H	Irbis Almaty	71-64

Astanalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
08/04/23	A	Atyrau	67-62
04/04/23	A	Aktobe	79-73
03/04/23	A	Aktobe	107-55
31/03/23	H	Tobol Kostanay	88-71
30/03/23	H	Tobol Kostanay	84-51
26/03/23	A	Minsk	69-84
22/03/23	A	Parma Perm	59-94
19/03/23	A	Enisey	67-77
16/03/23	A	Saratov	70-79
13/03/23	H	Samara	73-92

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Atyrau

National League 2022-23

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWWL	67%
Home	WWWLL	77%
Away	WLWWW	57%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	27	13	14
Win %	67%	77%	57%
Points / game	76.9	76.1	77.7
Allowed / game	72.6	68.1	76.9
Point differential	+4.3	+8.0	+0.9
Avg total	149.6	144.2	154.6
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	37%	46%	29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (2)	0% (1)	0% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Astana

National League 2022-23

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWW	74%
Home	WWWWW	100%
Away	LWWWW	44%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	19	10	9
Win %	74%	100%	44%
Points / game	84.5	90.8	77.6
Allowed / game	71.2	64.8	78.3
Point differential	+13.3	+26.0	-0.8
Avg total	155.7	155.6	155.9
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	58%	90%	22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (2)	100% (1)	100% (1)
Overtime %	5%	10%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Astana	19	14	5	74%	84.5	71.2	+13.3
2	Atyrau	27	18	9	67%	76.9	72.6	+4.3
3	Tobol Kostanay	28	15	13	54%	78.4	84.5	-6.1
4	Irbis Almaty	28	13	15	46%	78.7	79.1	-0.5
5	Aktobe	28	5	23	18%	73.8	80.5	-6.6

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Atyrau	21	24	9	14	68
Astana	25	13	19	23	80

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Atyrau vs Astana Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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