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Atyrau vs Astana Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 19 Oct 2025
Tip-off: 12:00
Final 64-99
12-25 19-28 22-24 11-22
Position#4
Record2-1
FormLLWWL
Points / game77.0
Allowed / game80.3
vs
Astana 🏆
Kazakhstan
Position#1
Record1-0
FormLLLLW
Points / game87.0
Allowed / game61.0
KazakhstanNational League
Other2025-26
Meetings · Atyrau v Astana
16 May 2026
ATYR79
AST78
15 May 2026
ATYR83
AST88
21 Jan 2026
ATYR68
AST97
20 Jan 2026
ATYR50
AST79
19 Oct 2025
ATYR64
AST99
18 Oct 2025
ATYR61
AST87
06 May 2023
ATYR52
AST58
09 Apr 2023
ATYR68
AST80
08 Apr 2023
ATYR62
AST67
10 May 2022
ATYR64
AST70
27 Sep 2021
ATYR65
AST76
26 Sep 2021
ATYR50
AST81
12 May 2021
ATYR65
AST88
30 Nov 2020
ATYR67
AST88
29 Nov 2020
ATYR59
AST89
30 Oct 2019
ATYR67
AST86
29 Oct 2019
ATYR67
AST102
06 Feb 2019
ATYR54
AST109
05 Feb 2019
ATYR76
AST95
17 Oct 2018
ATYR58
AST92
16 Oct 2018
ATYR62
AST85
05 May 2018
ATYR54
AST80
06 Feb 2018
ATYR66
AST72
05 Feb 2018
ATYR84
AST89
11 Feb 2017
ATYR54
AST67
10 Feb 2017
ATYR64
AST79
26 Oct 2016
ATYR70
AST75
25 Oct 2016
ATYR65
AST72
29 Apr 2016
ATYR90
AST88
28 Apr 2016
ATYR87
AST67
04 Feb 2016
ATYR104
AST87
03 Feb 2016
ATYR99
AST78
22 Apr 2014
ATYR64
AST73
15 Mar 2014
ATYR66
AST77
27 Nov 2013
ATYR74
AST100
26 Nov 2013
ATYR70
AST82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Atyrau winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Astana winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AtyrauKazakhstanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAtyrau
Date
Competition
Astana 2
#3
W
90-79
90
79
+11
93avg 75
H02/03
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#2
L
75-84
75
84
-9
63avg 75
H08/03
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#2
W
108-79
108
79
+29
121avg 75
H09/03
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#6
L
62-71
62
71
-9
56avg 75
H14/03
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#6
L
60-85
60
85
-25
52avg 75
H15/03
National League
Astana 2
#3
L
55-77
55
77
-22
42avg 75
H14/04
National League
Astana 2
#3
L
66-100
66
100
-34
59avg 75
A15/04
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#2
W
86-76
86
76
+10
82avg 75
A11/10
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#2
W
84-78
84
78
+6
80avg 75
A12/10
National League
Astana
#1
L
61-87
61
87
-26
40avg 75
H18/10
National League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-31
26-16
27-18
14-14
15-24
21-19
21-17
18-24
28-15
29-22
30-26
21-16
15-22
17-14
16-21
14-14
18-32
18-14
15-20
9-19
17-18
11-19
14-22
13-18
20-22
25-23
13-28
8-27
14-20
18-18
26-21
28-17
21-20
11-15
19-25
33-18
13-28
19-21
15-14
14-24
156.3Avg total
74.7Scored
81.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)77.080.3157.3-3.367%
Season at home (1)61.087.0148.0-26.00%
Season away (2)85.077.0162.0+8.0100%
Last 10 (10)74.781.6156.3-6.940%
Last 5 (5)70.483.6154.0-13.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)78.777.1155.8+1.650%
vs Similar (14)75.780.1155.9-4.443%
vs Weaker (6)84.571.5156.0+13.083%
This opponent (Astana) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AstanaKazakhstanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAstana
Date
Competition
Samara
#11
W
74-72
74
72
+2
no box
A26/03
VTB United League
MBA Moscow
#9
L
61-75
61
75
-14
no box
A30/03
VTB United League
Lokomotiv Kuban
#4
L
82-102
82
102
-20
no box
A02/04
VTB United League
Parma Perm
#8
L
56-87
56
87
-31
no box
H05/04
VTB United League
Unics Kazan
#3
L
65-105
65
105
-40
no box
H08/04
VTB United League
Zenit Petersburg
#2
L
67-101
67
101
-34
no box
H12/04
VTB United League
Al-Riyadi
#1
L
58-93
58
93
-35
46avg 74
A10/05
WASL
Al Ittihad
#8
L
76-79
76
79
-3
74avg 74
H12/05
WASL
Sagesse Beirut
#7
L
90-113
90
113
-23
84avg 74
A14/05
WASL
Atyrau
#4
W
87-61
87
61
+26
92avg 74
A18/10
National League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-16
16-22
16-16
18-18
17-21
12-17
10-19
22-18
24-24
16-18
21-31
21-29
21-20
11-26
10-22
14-19
19-26
16-38
19-20
11-21
16-20
24-23
9-32
18-26
15-23
14-20
12-26
17-24
23-21
12-18
22-22
19-18
24-31
25-31
21-25
20-26
28-13
21-19
14-15
24-14
160.4Avg total
71.6Scored
88.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)87.061.0148.0+26.0100%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)87.061.0148.0+26.0100%
Last 10 (10)71.688.8160.4-17.220%
Last 5 (5)75.689.4165.0-13.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (29)66.691.8158.4-25.17%
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (1)87.061.0148.0+26.0100%
This opponent (Atyrau) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: -4.8-4.8Q1: -0.4-0.4Q2Q2: +1.4+1.4Q2: -6.5-6.5Q3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q3: -7.4-7.4Q4Q4: -1.9-1.9Q4: -2.9-2.9
-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: -4.8-4.8Q1: -0.4-0.4Q2Q2: +1.4+1.4Q2: -6.5-6.5Q3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q3: -7.4-7.4Q4Q4: -1.9-1.9Q4: -2.9-2.9
AtyrauAstana
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AtyrauLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Astana 2
#3
W
49-47
49
47
+2
H02/03
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#2
L
36-43
36
43
-7
H08/03
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#2
W
57-37
57
37
+20
H09/03
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#6
L
32-36
32
36
-4
H14/03
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#6
L
36-46
36
46
-10
H15/03
National League
Astana 2
#3
L
28-37
28
37
-9
H14/04
National League
Astana 2
#3
D
45-45
45
45
+0
A15/04
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#2
L
32-38
32
38
-6
A11/10
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#2
L
32-35
32
35
-3
A12/10
National League
Astana
#1
L
32-49
32
49
-17
H18/10
National League
79.2Avg total
37.9Scored
41.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.838.578.2+1.353%-
Last 30 at home (13)40.340.280.5+0.146%-
Last 30 away (17)39.437.176.5+2.259%-
Last 10 (10)37.941.379.2-3.420%-
Last 5 (5)33.840.874.6-7.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)38.738.977.6-0.250%-
vs Similar (14)39.339.879.1-0.536%-
vs Weaker (6)42.734.777.3+8.0100%-
This opponent (Astana) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AstanaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Samara
#11
W
40-38
40
38
+2
A26/03
VTB United League
MBA Moscow
#9
L
29-38
29
38
-9
A30/03
VTB United League
Lokomotiv Kuban
#4
L
40-42
40
42
-2
A02/04
VTB United League
Parma Perm
#8
L
32-46
32
46
-14
H05/04
VTB United League
Unics Kazan
#3
L
35-64
35
64
-29
H08/04
VTB United League
Zenit Petersburg
#2
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H12/04
VTB United League
Al-Riyadi
#1
L
29-43
29
43
-14
A10/05
WASL
Al Ittihad
#8
L
35-39
35
39
-4
H12/05
WASL
Sagesse Beirut
#7
L
49-62
49
62
-13
A14/05
WASL
Atyrau
#4
W
49-32
49
32
+17
A18/10
National League
82.5Avg total
37.8Scored
44.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.046.579.5-13.413%-
Last 30 at home (14)33.146.079.1-12.914%-
Last 30 away (16)32.946.979.8-13.912%-
Last 10 (10)37.844.782.5-6.920%-
Last 5 (5)40.443.884.2-3.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (29)32.547.079.4-14.510%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (1)49.032.081.0+17.0100%-
This opponent (Atyrau) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Atyrautheir own shots, last 10 games
No box scores for this team yet.
Astanatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Astana: 72.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.5 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.6 points a game
49%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.316.9
47.9%
50.5%33.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.39.0
29.7%
30.4%27.0
🏀 Free throws16.111.5
71.4%
69.6%11.5
They take 65.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Atyrau wins
9
Astana wins
DateGameScore
18/10/25Atyrau v Astana61-87
06/05/23Atyrau v Astana52-58
02/05/23Astana v Atyrau84-46
01/05/23Astana v Atyrau110-62
18/04/23Astana v Atyrau80-71
17/04/23Astana v Atyrau67-88
09/04/23Atyrau v Astana68-80
08/04/23Atyrau v Astana62-67
30/09/22Astana v Atyrau77-64
29/09/22Astana v Atyrau92-59
Atyraulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/10/25HAstana61-87
12/10/25AKaspiy Aktau84-78
11/10/25AKaspiy Aktau86-76
15/04/25AAstana 266-100
14/04/25HAstana 255-77
15/03/25HKaspiy Aktau60-85
14/03/25HKaspiy Aktau62-71
09/03/25HTobol Kostanay108-79
08/03/25HTobol Kostanay75-84
02/03/25HAstana 290-79
Astanalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/10/25AAtyrau87-61
14/05/25ASagesse Beirut90-113
12/05/25HAl Ittihad76-79
10/05/25AAl-Riyadi58-93
12/04/25HZenit Petersburg67-101
08/04/25HUnics Kazan65-105
05/04/25HParma Perm56-87
02/04/25ALokomotiv Kuban82-102
30/03/25AMBA Moscow61-75
26/03/25ASamara74-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Atyrau
National League 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWL67%
HomeL0%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %67%0%100%
Points / game77.061.085.0
Allowed / game80.387.077.0
Point differential-3.3-26.0+8.0
Avg total157.3148.0162.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Astana
National League 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
Home--
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %100%-100%
Points / game87.0-87.0
Allowed / game61.0-61.0
Point differential+26.0-+26.0
Avg total148.0-148.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%-100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Almaty220100%100.059.0+41.0
2 Astana110100%87.061.0+26.0
3 Atyrau32167%77.080.3-3.3
4 Kaspiy Aktau2020%77.085.0-8.0
5 Tobol Kostanay2020%59.0100.0-41.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Atyrau1219221164
Astana2528242299
← all games of the day
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