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Atyrau vs Tobol Kostanay Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 20 Apr 2024
Tip-off: 13:00
Final 78-82
21-25 19-18 26-13 12-26
Position#2
Record23-8
FormWWWWW
Points / game82.3
Allowed / game72.3
vs
Position#4
Record21-10
FormWWWWW
Points / game90.9
Allowed / game82.2
KazakhstanNational LeagueNational League - Semi-finals
Other2023-24
Meetings · Atyrau v Tobol Kostanay
22 Apr 2026
ATYR89
TOBO62
24 Mar 2026
ATYR106
TOBO66
23 Mar 2026
ATYR97
TOBO82
23 Dec 2025
ATYR90
TOBO72
22 Dec 2025
ATYR94
TOBO72
09 Mar 2025
ATYR108
TOBO79
08 Mar 2025
ATYR75
TOBO84
06 May 2024
ATYR75
TOBO71
21 Apr 2024
ATYR81
TOBO86
20 Apr 2024
ATYR78
TOBO82
09 Mar 2024
ATYR70
TOBO66
08 Mar 2024
ATYR72
TOBO83
23 Apr 2023
ATYR71
TOBO70
22 Apr 2023
ATYR77
TOBO73
30 Nov 2022
ATYR79
TOBO59
29 Nov 2022
ATYR102
TOBO80
12 Oct 2022
ATYR73
TOBO83
11 Oct 2022
ATYR107
TOBO67
04 Apr 2022
ATYR98
TOBO90
03 Apr 2022
ATYR92
TOBO78
12 Nov 2021
ATYR94
TOBO79
11 Nov 2021
ATYR90
TOBO84
29 Apr 2021
ATYR92
TOBO78
28 Apr 2021
ATYR79
TOBO62
13 Dec 2020
ATYR84
TOBO65
12 Dec 2020
ATYR97
TOBO89
18 Apr 2020
ATYR v TOBO
upcoming
15 Oct 2019
ATYR72
TOBO97
14 Oct 2019
ATYR85
TOBO65
17 Nov 2018
ATYR95
TOBO109
16 Nov 2018
ATYR98
TOBO83
06 Apr 2018
ATYR81
TOBO64
05 Apr 2018
ATYR105
TOBO60
11 Feb 2018
ATYR93
TOBO96
10 Feb 2018
ATYR90
TOBO61
17 Nov 2017
ATYR70
TOBO78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Atyrau winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Tobol Kostanay winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AtyrauKazakhstanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAtyrau
Date
Competition
Almaty
#6
W
89-83
89
83
+6
84avg 82
A30/01
National League
Pavlodar
#8
W
92-69
92
69
+23
96avg 82
A02/02
National League
Pavlodar
#8
W
77-67
77
67
+10
74avg 82
A03/02
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#4
L
72-83
72
83
-11
69avg 82
H08/03
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#4
W
70-66
70
66
+4
65avg 82
H09/03
National League
Astana 2
#5
W
71-52
71
52
+19
70avg 82
H13/03
National League
Astana 2
#5
W
83-60
83
60
+23
78avg 82
H14/03
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#7
W
102-69
102
69
+33
113avg 82
H04/04
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#7
W
95-80
95
80
+15
98avg 82
H05/04
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#7
W
89-66
89
66
+23
86avg 82
A07/04
National League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-22
23-26
21-20
16-15
26-18
24-24
26-23
16-4
16-16
29-15
11-26
21-10
23-16
20-23
19-24
10-20
18-14
21-19
13-21
18-12
26-13
13-14
20-12
12-13
19-10
17-27
26-8
21-15
30-13
23-9
27-26
22-21
23-11
22-32
24-21
26-16
22-14
21-16
20-16
26-20
153.5Avg total
84.0Scored
69.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)82.372.3154.5+10.074%
Season at home (14)82.870.4153.2+12.479%
Season away (17)81.873.8155.6+8.071%
Last 10 (10)84.069.5153.5+14.590%
Last 5 (5)88.065.4153.4+22.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)76.074.8150.8+1.225%
vs Similar ◀ (4)83.884.5168.2-0.850%
vs Weaker (22)82.969.8152.6+13.186%
This opponent (Tobol Kostanay) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Tobol KostanayKazakhstanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKostanay
Date
Competition
Irbis Almaty
#1
L
76-89
76
89
-13
75avg 92
H02/02
National League
Atyrau
#2
W
83-72
83
72
+11
81avg 92
A08/03
National League
Atyrau
#2
L
66-70
66
70
-4
62avg 92
A09/03
National League
Aktobe
#3
L
88-95
88
95
-7
90avg 92
A13/03
National League
Aktobe
#3
W
91-87
91
87
+4
96avg 92
A14/03
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#7
W
97-51
97
51
+46
107avg 92
H19/03
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#7
W
113-73
113
73
+40
120avg 92
H20/03
National League
Almaty
#6
W
121-89
121
89
+32
128avg 92
H30/03
National League
Almaty
#6
W
112-85
112
85
+27
120avg 92
H31/03
National League
Almaty
#6
W
108-98
108
98
+10
101avg 92
A06/04
National League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-16
25-20
13-24
15-29
16-23
23-20
24-19
20-10
14-18
19-21
21-13
12-18
21-19
18-28
30-25
19-23
25-23
20-22
22-24
24-18
17-12
31-7
20-17
29-15
26-18
26-24
30-18
31-13
31-26
29-22
38-25
23-16
29-28
23-23
29-14
31-20
28-29
24-25
33-24
23-20
176.4Avg total
95.5Scored
80.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)90.982.2173.1+8.768%
Season at home (16)99.083.2182.2+15.881%
Season away (15)82.381.1163.4+1.353%
Last 10 (10)95.580.9176.4+14.670%
Last 5 (5)110.279.2189.4+31.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)72.289.8162.0-17.50%
vs Similar ◀ (8)89.285.1174.4+4.162%
vs Weaker (18)96.180.0176.1+16.183%
This opponent (Atyrau) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-11-5+0+5+11Q1Q1: +8.5+8.5Q1: +1.8+1.8Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: +2.6+2.6Q3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q3: +5.7+5.7Q4Q4: +4.2+4.2Q4: +4.5+4.5
-11-5+0+5+11Q1Q1: +8.5+8.5Q1: +1.8+1.8Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: +2.6+2.6Q3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q3: +5.7+5.7Q4Q4: +4.2+4.2Q4: +4.5+4.5
AtyrauTobol Kostanay
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AtyrauLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Almaty
#6
W
52-48
52
48
+4
A30/01
National League
Pavlodar
#8
W
50-42
50
42
+8
A02/02
National League
Pavlodar
#8
W
45-31
45
31
+14
A03/02
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#4
W
43-39
43
39
+4
H08/03
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#4
W
39-33
39
33
+6
H09/03
National League
Astana 2
#5
W
39-27
39
27
+12
H13/03
National League
Astana 2
#5
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H14/03
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#7
W
53-22
53
22
+31
H04/04
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#7
W
45-43
45
43
+2
H05/04
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#7
W
43-30
43
30
+13
A07/04
National League
79.7Avg total
44.5Scored
35.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)43.337.781.0+5.672%-
Last 30 at home (13)42.235.777.9+6.577%-
Last 30 away (16)44.139.483.5+4.869%-
Last 10 (10)44.535.279.7+9.390%-
Last 5 (5)43.231.875.0+11.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)38.837.276.0+1.550%-
vs Similar ◀ (4)43.243.586.8-0.250%-
vs Weaker (21)44.136.780.9+7.481%-
This opponent (Tobol Kostanay) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Tobol KostanayLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Irbis Almaty
#1
W
48-36
48
36
+12
H02/02
National League
Atyrau
#2
L
39-43
39
43
-4
A08/03
National League
Atyrau
#2
L
33-39
33
39
-6
A09/03
National League
Aktobe
#3
L
39-47
39
47
-8
A13/03
National League
Aktobe
#3
D
45-45
45
45
+0
A14/03
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#7
W
48-19
48
19
+29
H19/03
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#7
W
52-42
52
42
+10
H20/03
National League
Almaty
#6
W
60-48
60
48
+12
H30/03
National League
Almaty
#6
W
52-51
52
51
+1
H31/03
National League
Almaty
#6
L
52-54
52
54
-2
A06/04
National League
89.2Avg total
46.8Scored
42.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.742.689.3+4.160%-
Last 30 at home (16)51.941.793.6+10.288%-
Last 30 away (14)40.943.684.5-2.829%-
Last 10 (10)46.842.489.2+4.450%-
Last 5 (5)52.842.895.6+10.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)41.048.589.5-7.525%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)46.143.489.5+2.838%-
vs Weaker (18)48.340.989.2+7.378%-
This opponent (Atyrau) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Atyrau wins
3
Tobol Kostanay wins
Atyraulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/04/24AKaspiy Aktau89-66
05/04/24HKaspiy Aktau95-80
04/04/24HKaspiy Aktau102-69
14/03/24HAstana 283-60
13/03/24HAstana 271-52
09/03/24HTobol Kostanay70-66
08/03/24HTobol Kostanay72-83
03/02/24APavlodar77-67
02/02/24APavlodar92-69
30/01/24AAlmaty89-83
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/04/24AAlmaty108-98
31/03/24HAlmaty112-85
30/03/24HAlmaty121-89
20/03/24HKaspiy Aktau113-73
19/03/24HKaspiy Aktau97-51
14/03/24AAktobe91-87
13/03/24AAktobe88-95
09/03/24AAtyrau66-70
08/03/24AAtyrau83-72
02/02/24HIrbis Almaty76-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Atyrau
National League 2023-24
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW74%
HomeWWWWW79%
AwayWWWWW71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311417
Win %74%79%71%
Points / game82.382.881.8
Allowed / game72.370.473.8
Point differential+10.0+12.4+8.0
Avg total154.5153.2155.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+48%57%41%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)50% (4)25% (4)
Overtime %3%0%6%
Tobol Kostanay
National League 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW68%
HomeLWWWW81%
AwayWLLWW53%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311615
Win %68%81%53%
Points / game90.999.082.3
Allowed / game82.283.281.1
Point differential+8.7+15.8+1.3
Avg total173.1182.2163.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+52%56%47%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)100% (1)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Irbis Almaty3231197%89.370.8+18.5
2 Atyrau3123874%82.372.3+10.0
3 Tobol Kostanay31211068%90.982.2+8.7
4 Aktobe33201361%84.281.2+3.1
5 Astana 232141844%76.476.6-0.2
6 Almaty31102132%81.887.0-5.2
7 Kaspiy Aktau3162519%72.689.3-16.7
8 Pavlodar311303%73.492.4-19.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Atyrau2119261278
Tobol Kostanay2518132682
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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