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Pavlodar vs Atyrau Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 02 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 12:00
Final 69-92
18-26 24-24 23-26 4-16
Position#8
Record1-19
FormLLLLL
Points / game75.7
Allowed / game92.8
vs
Atyrau 🏆
Kazakhstan
Position#2
Record15-7
FormLLLWW
Points / game81.8
Allowed / game74.0
KazakhstanNational League
Other2023-24
Meetings · Pavlodar v Atyrau
06 Nov 2024
PAVL56
ATYR98
05 Nov 2024
PAVL57
ATYR66
03 Feb 2024
PAVL67
ATYR77
02 Feb 2024
PAVL69
ATYR92
06 Nov 2023
PAVL73
ATYR82
05 Nov 2023
PAVL83
ATYR86
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pavlodar winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Atyrau winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PavlodarKazakhstanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPavlodar
Date
Competition
Astana 2
#5
L
76-90
76
90
-14
61avg 61
H01/12
National League
Astana 2
#5
W
86-77
86
77
+9
77avg 61
H02/12
National League
Aktobe
#3
L
71-87
71
87
-16
56avg 61
H14/12
National League
Aktobe
#3
L
76-104
76
104
-28
60avg 61
H15/12
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#4
L
83-101
83
101
-18
73avg 61
A09/01
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#4
L
82-111
82
111
-29
75avg 61
A10/01
National League
Astana 2
#5
L
68-90
68
90
-22
55avg 61
A12/01
National League
Astana 2
#5
L
72-101
72
101
-29
61avg 61
A13/01
National League
Almaty
#6
L
98-106
98
106
-8
80avg 61
H23/01
National League
Almaty
#6
L
69-109
69
109
-40
49avg 61
H24/01
National League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-23
22-24
16-23
16-20
19-26
35-15
16-11
16-25
20-23
15-26
18-23
18-15
16-25
25-20
12-32
23-27
24-27
22-28
22-20
15-26
16-20
22-34
16-31
28-26
18-19
19-27
21-24
10-20
16-25
17-22
20-23
19-31
25-27
20-34
20-24
33-21
18-28
15-25
20-31
16-25
175.7Avg total
78.1Scored
97.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)75.792.8168.5-17.25%
Season at home (12)76.892.2169.0-15.38%
Season away (8)73.993.9167.8-20.00%
Last 10 (10)78.197.6175.7-19.510%
Last 5 (5)77.8103.4181.2-25.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)75.090.8165.8-15.89%
vs Similar (5)73.677.6151.2-4.040%
vs Weaker (2)79.582.5162.0-3.00%
This opponent (Atyrau) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AtyrauKazakhstanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAtyrau
Date
Competition
Tobol Kostanay
#4
L
92-94
92
94
-2
95avg 82
A15/12
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#4
W
101-95
101
95
+6
101avg 82
A16/12
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#7
W
102-77
102
77
+25
114avg 82
A25/12
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#7
W
97-82
97
82
+15
100avg 82
A26/12
National League
Aktobe
#3
W
91-85
91
85
+6
94avg 82
H13/01
National League
Aktobe
#3
L
75-76
75
76
-1
78avg 82
H14/01
National League
Irbis Almaty
#1
L
76-78
76
78
-2
66avg 82
A25/01
National League
Irbis Almaty
#1
L
61-73
61
73
-12
52avg 82
A26/01
National League
Almaty
#6
W
20-0
20
0
+20
no box
A29/01
National League
Almaty
#6
W
89-83
89
83
+6
84avg 82
A30/01
National League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-29
33-19
22-29
22-17
27-28
16-26
24-21
34-20
26-13
28-20
30-25
18-19
22-25
27-18
24-26
24-13
30-21
16-24
26-12
19-28
22-20
15-20
26-19
12-17
19-20
19-25
22-22
16-11
18-13
10-20
20-27
13-13
–
–
–
–
29-22
23-26
21-20
16-15
154.7Avg total
80.4Scored
74.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)81.874.0155.8+7.768%
Season at home (8)83.272.0155.2+11.275%
Season away (14)80.975.2156.1+5.764%
Last 10 (10)80.474.3154.7+6.160%
Last 5 (5)64.262.0126.2+2.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)69.277.6146.8-8.322%
vs Similar (2)96.594.5191.0+2.050%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)80.871.8152.7+9.084%
This opponent (Pavlodar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -4.9-4.9Q1: +1.9+1.9Q2Q2: -4.3-4.3Q2: -1.2-1.2Q3Q3: -6.1-6.1Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: -4.2-4.2Q4: +2.3+2.3
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -4.9-4.9Q1: +1.9+1.9Q2Q2: -4.3-4.3Q2: -1.2-1.2Q3Q3: -6.1-6.1Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: -4.2-4.2Q4: +2.3+2.3
PavlodarAtyrau
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PavlodarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Astana 2
#5
L
44-47
44
47
-3
H01/12
National League
Astana 2
#5
W
54-41
54
41
+13
H02/12
National League
Aktobe
#3
L
35-49
35
49
-14
H14/12
National League
Aktobe
#3
L
41-45
41
45
-4
H15/12
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#4
L
46-55
46
55
-9
A09/01
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#4
L
38-54
38
54
-16
A10/01
National League
Astana 2
#5
L
37-46
37
46
-9
A12/01
National League
Astana 2
#5
L
33-47
33
47
-14
A13/01
National League
Almaty
#6
L
45-61
45
61
-16
H23/01
National League
Almaty
#6
L
33-53
33
53
-20
H24/01
National League
90.4Avg total
40.6Scored
49.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.945.684.5-6.730%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.446.186.4-5.731%-
Last 30 away (14)37.345.182.4-7.829%-
Last 10 (10)40.649.890.4-9.210%-
Last 5 (5)37.252.289.4-15.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)38.347.785.9-9.413%-
vs Similar (5)39.638.678.2+1.080%-
vs Weaker (2)45.039.584.5+5.5100%-
This opponent (Atyrau) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AtyrauLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tobol Kostanay
#4
D
48-48
48
48
+0
A15/12
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#4
L
43-54
43
54
-11
A16/12
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#7
W
54-33
54
33
+21
A25/12
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#7
W
49-43
49
43
+6
A26/12
National League
Aktobe
#3
W
46-45
46
45
+1
H13/01
National League
Aktobe
#3
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H14/01
National League
Irbis Almaty
#1
L
38-45
38
45
-7
A25/01
National League
Irbis Almaty
#1
L
28-33
28
33
-5
A26/01
National League
Almaty
#6
W
52-48
52
48
+4
A30/01
National League
87.1Avg total
43.9Scored
43.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)42.038.480.5+3.666%-
Last 30 at home (11)41.436.477.7+5.073%-
Last 30 away (18)42.439.782.2+2.761%-
Last 10 (9)43.943.287.1+0.744%-
Last 5 (5)40.242.282.4-2.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)37.037.774.7-0.744%-
vs Similar (2)45.551.096.5-5.50%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)44.237.481.6+6.783%-
This opponent (Pavlodar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Pavlodar wins
3
Atyrau wins
DateGameScore
06/11/23Pavlodar v Atyrau73-82
05/11/23Pavlodar v Atyrau83-86
11/11/15Atyrau v Pavlodar83-56
Pavlodarlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/01/24HAlmaty69-109
23/01/24HAlmaty98-106
13/01/24AAstana 272-101
12/01/24AAstana 268-90
10/01/24ATobol Kostanay82-111
09/01/24ATobol Kostanay83-101
15/12/23HAktobe76-104
14/12/23HAktobe71-87
02/12/23HAstana 286-77
01/12/23HAstana 276-90
Atyraulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/01/24AAlmaty89-83
29/01/24AAlmaty20-0
26/01/24AIrbis Almaty61-73
25/01/24AIrbis Almaty76-78
14/01/24HAktobe75-76
13/01/24HAktobe91-85
26/12/23AKaspiy Aktau97-82
25/12/23AKaspiy Aktau102-77
16/12/23ATobol Kostanay101-95
15/12/23ATobol Kostanay92-94

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pavlodar
National League 2023-24
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL5%
HomeWLLLL8%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20128
Win %5%8%0%
Points / game75.776.873.9
Allowed / game92.892.293.9
Point differential-17.2-15.3-20.0
Avg total168.5169.0167.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Atyrau
National League 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW68%
HomeWWWWL75%
AwayWLLWW64%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games22814
Win %68%75%64%
Points / game81.883.280.9
Allowed / game74.072.075.2
Point differential+7.7+11.2+5.7
Avg total155.8155.2156.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%50%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won29% (7)33% (3)25% (4)
Overtime %5%0%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Irbis Almaty2120195%86.770.7+16.0
2 Atyrau2215768%81.874.0+7.7
3 Tobol Kostanay2114767%88.882.8+6.0
4 Aktobe2011955%83.382.9+0.4
5 Astana 222121055%79.074.7+4.3
6 Almaty2281436%79.082.0-2.9
7 Kaspiy Aktau2241818%72.887.6-14.8
8 Pavlodar201195%75.792.8-17.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Pavlodar182423469
Atyrau2624261692
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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