PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Atyrau vs Tobol Kostanay Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 08 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 12:00
Final 75-84
15-24 21-19 21-17 18-24
Position#5
Record13-9
FormLLLWW
Points / game80.5
Allowed / game75.7
vs
Position#2
Record17-3
FormWWWWL
Points / game87.9
Allowed / game75.5
KazakhstanNational League· AiRom Arena
Other2024-25
Meetings · Atyrau v Tobol Kostanay
22 Apr 2026
ATYR89
TOBO62
24 Mar 2026
ATYR106
TOBO66
23 Mar 2026
ATYR97
TOBO82
23 Dec 2025
ATYR90
TOBO72
22 Dec 2025
ATYR94
TOBO72
09 Mar 2025
ATYR108
TOBO79
08 Mar 2025
ATYR75
TOBO84
06 May 2024
ATYR75
TOBO71
21 Apr 2024
ATYR81
TOBO86
20 Apr 2024
ATYR78
TOBO82
09 Mar 2024
ATYR70
TOBO66
08 Mar 2024
ATYR72
TOBO83
23 Apr 2023
ATYR71
TOBO70
22 Apr 2023
ATYR77
TOBO73
30 Nov 2022
ATYR79
TOBO59
29 Nov 2022
ATYR102
TOBO80
12 Oct 2022
ATYR73
TOBO83
11 Oct 2022
ATYR107
TOBO67
04 Apr 2022
ATYR98
TOBO90
03 Apr 2022
ATYR92
TOBO78
12 Nov 2021
ATYR94
TOBO79
11 Nov 2021
ATYR90
TOBO84
29 Apr 2021
ATYR92
TOBO78
28 Apr 2021
ATYR79
TOBO62
13 Dec 2020
ATYR84
TOBO65
12 Dec 2020
ATYR97
TOBO89
18 Apr 2020
ATYR v TOBO
upcoming
15 Oct 2019
ATYR72
TOBO97
14 Oct 2019
ATYR85
TOBO65
17 Nov 2018
ATYR95
TOBO109
16 Nov 2018
ATYR98
TOBO83
06 Apr 2018
ATYR81
TOBO64
05 Apr 2018
ATYR105
TOBO60
11 Feb 2018
ATYR93
TOBO96
10 Feb 2018
ATYR90
TOBO61
17 Nov 2017
ATYR70
TOBO78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Atyrau winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Tobol Kostanay winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AtyrauKazakhstanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAtyrau
Date
Competition
Tobol Kostanay
#2
L
78-80
78
80
-2
76avg 79
A14/12
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#2
L
76-78
76
78
-2
76avg 79
A15/12
National League
Almaty
#4
L
96-105
96
105
-9
86avg 79
A18/01
National League
Almaty
#4
L
68-81
68
81
-13
58avg 79
A19/01
National League
Irbis Almaty
#1
W
77-71
77
71
+6
70avg 79
A22/01
National League
Irbis Almaty
#1
L
68-71
68
71
-3
56avg 79
A23/01
National League
Astana 2
#3
L
60-69
60
69
-9
48avg 79
A02/02
National League
Astana 2
#3
L
60-79
60
79
-19
53avg 79
A03/02
National League
Astana 2
#3
W
95-64
95
64
+31
92avg 79
H01/03
National League
Astana 2
#3
W
90-79
90
79
+11
93avg 79
H02/03
National League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-21
20-17
19-21
19-21
17-15
18-20
26-23
15-20
26-25
21-23
28-25
21-32
17-16
22-16
13-26
16-23
27-17
20-24
18-11
12-19
21-16
16-20
15-18
16-17
17-21
19-19
13-13
11-16
9-20
12-16
16-21
23-22
35-10
14-21
21-15
25-18
23-31
26-16
27-18
14-14
154.5Avg total
76.8Scored
77.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)80.575.7156.3+4.859%
Season at home (8)84.973.1158.0+11.888%
Season away (14)78.177.2155.3+0.943%
Last 10 (10)76.877.7154.5-0.930%
Last 5 (5)74.672.4147.0+2.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)73.177.1150.2-4.030%
vs Similar (14)81.678.6160.1+3.064%
vs Weaker (6)84.571.5156.0+13.083%
This opponent (Tobol Kostanay) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Tobol KostanayKazakhstanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKostanay
Date
Competition
Aktobe
#7
W
78-70
78
70
+8
75avg 91
A23/12
National League
Aktobe
#7
W
78-73
78
73
+5
84avg 91
A24/12
National League
Pavlodar
#8
W
87-69
87
69
+18
92avg 91
H05/01
National League
Pavlodar
#8
W
89-75
89
75
+14
89avg 91
H06/01
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#6
W
75-63
75
63
+12
74avg 91
A13/01
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#6
W
71-55
71
55
+16
73avg 91
A14/01
National League
Astana 2
#3
W
114-70
114
70
+44
123avg 91
H24/01
National League
Astana 2
#3
W
112-73
112
73
+39
121avg 91
H25/01
National League
Almaty
#4
W
101-98
101
98
+3
97avg 91
A01/03
National League
Almaty
#4
L
72-88
72
88
-16
68avg 91
A02/03
National League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-16
16-19
16-20
20-15
16-18
25-18
15-15
22-22
19-16
21-20
27-6
20-27
16-21
30-21
23-22
20-11
23-20
12-15
18-15
22-13
19-12
20-15
19-13
13-15
32-18
21-15
35-18
26-19
23-16
40-21
31-16
18-20
23-24
35-21
21-31
22-22
22-24
8-28
20-22
22-14
161.1Avg total
87.7Scored
73.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)87.975.5163.4+12.485%
Season at home (10)90.977.1168.0+13.880%
Season away (10)84.974.0158.9+10.990%
Last 10 (10)87.773.4161.1+14.390%
Last 5 (5)94.076.8170.8+17.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (9)83.385.4168.8-2.133%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)88.976.6165.5+12.286%
This opponent (Atyrau) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q1: +3.4+3.4Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: +3.5+3.5Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: +4.7+4.7Q4Q4: -3.0-3.0Q4: +2.7+2.7
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q1: +3.4+3.4Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: +3.5+3.5Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: +4.7+4.7Q4Q4: -3.0-3.0Q4: +2.7+2.7
AtyrauTobol Kostanay
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AtyrauLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tobol Kostanay
#2
W
40-38
40
38
+2
A14/12
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#2
D
35-35
35
35
+0
A15/12
National League
Almaty
#4
L
47-48
47
48
-1
A18/01
National League
Almaty
#4
W
39-32
39
32
+7
A19/01
National League
Irbis Almaty
#1
W
47-41
47
41
+6
A22/01
National League
Irbis Almaty
#1
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A23/01
National League
Astana 2
#3
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A02/02
National League
Astana 2
#3
L
21-36
21
36
-15
A03/02
National League
Astana 2
#3
W
49-31
49
31
+18
H01/03
National League
Astana 2
#3
W
49-47
49
47
+2
H02/03
National League
78.4Avg total
40.0Scored
38.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.639.079.7+1.660%-
Last 30 at home (12)40.740.481.1+0.250%-
Last 30 away (18)40.638.178.7+2.567%-
Last 10 (10)40.038.478.4+1.660%-
Last 5 (5)38.438.076.4+0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)39.240.579.7-1.350%-
vs Similar (14)40.839.980.6+0.950%-
vs Weaker (6)42.734.777.3+8.0100%-
This opponent (Tobol Kostanay) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Tobol KostanayLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Aktobe
#7
W
42-35
42
35
+7
A23/12
National League
Aktobe
#7
W
41-36
41
36
+5
A24/12
National League
Pavlodar
#8
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H05/01
National League
Pavlodar
#8
W
46-42
46
42
+4
H06/01
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#6
D
35-35
35
35
+0
A13/01
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#6
W
39-27
39
27
+12
A14/01
National League
Astana 2
#3
W
53-33
53
33
+20
H24/01
National League
Astana 2
#3
W
63-37
63
37
+26
H25/01
National League
Almaty
#4
W
58-45
58
45
+13
A01/03
National League
Almaty
#4
L
30-52
30
52
-22
A02/03
National League
82.5Avg total
44.7Scored
37.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.940.485.3+4.560%-
Last 30 at home (14)45.140.285.3+4.964%-
Last 30 away (16)44.840.685.4+4.156%-
Last 10 (10)44.737.882.5+6.980%-
Last 5 (5)48.638.887.4+9.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (9)42.842.385.1+0.433%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)45.839.685.4+6.271%-
This opponent (Atyrau) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Atyrau wins
5
Tobol Kostanay wins
Atyraulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/03/25HAstana 290-79
01/03/25HAstana 295-64
03/02/25AAstana 260-79
02/02/25AAstana 260-69
23/01/25AIrbis Almaty68-71
22/01/25AIrbis Almaty77-71
19/01/25AAlmaty68-81
18/01/25AAlmaty96-105
15/12/24ATobol Kostanay76-78
14/12/24ATobol Kostanay78-80
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/03/25AAlmaty72-88
01/03/25AAlmaty101-98
25/01/25HAstana 2112-73
24/01/25HAstana 2114-70
14/01/25AKaspiy Aktau71-55
13/01/25AKaspiy Aktau75-63
06/01/25HPavlodar89-75
05/01/25HPavlodar87-69
24/12/24AAktobe78-73
23/12/24AAktobe78-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Atyrau
National League 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW59%
HomeWWWWW88%
AwayLWLLL43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games22814
Win %59%88%43%
Points / game80.584.978.1
Allowed / game75.773.177.2
Point differential+4.8+11.8+0.9
Avg total156.3158.0155.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%62%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)100% (1)40% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Tobol Kostanay
National League 2024-25
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL85%
HomeWWWWW80%
AwayWWWWL90%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %85%80%90%
Points / game87.990.984.9
Allowed / game75.577.174.0
Point differential+12.3+13.8+10.9
Avg total163.4168.0158.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+45%50%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won86% (7)75% (4)100% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Tobol Kostanay2017385%87.975.5+12.3
2 Irbis Almaty1915479%81.269.1+12.1
3 Almaty1913668%83.779.1+4.7
4 Atyrau2213959%80.575.7+4.8
5 Astana 22491538%74.781.2-6.5
6 Kaspiy Aktau2281436%72.075.9-3.9
7 Aktobe1431121%77.183.6-6.4
8 Pavlodar2231914%70.485.9-15.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Atyrau1521211875
Tobol Kostanay2419172484
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.