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Tobol Kostanay vs Almaty Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 31 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 13:00
Final 112-85
29-28 23-23 29-14 31-20
Position#4
Record19-10
FormLWWWW
Points / game89.6
Allowed / game81.6
vs
Position#6
Record10-19
FormWLLLL
Points / game81.1
Allowed / game85.4
KazakhstanNational LeagueNational League - Quarter-finals
Other2023-24
Meetings · Tobol Kostanay v Almaty
28 Feb 2026
TOBO79
ALMA73
27 Feb 2026
TOBO72
ALMA84
28 Nov 2025
TOBO62
ALMA103
27 Nov 2025
TOBO63
ALMA105
19 May 2025
TOBO94
ALMA90
11 May 2025
TOBO102
ALMA90
10 May 2025
TOBO93
ALMA98
25 Mar 2025
TOBO20
ALMA0
24 Mar 2025
TOBO92
ALMA81
31 Mar 2024
TOBO112
ALMA85
30 Mar 2024
TOBO121
ALMA89
20 Jan 2024
TOBO109
ALMA102
19 Jan 2024
TOBO108
ALMA80
24 Jan 2021
TOBO113
ALMA72
23 Jan 2021
TOBO107
ALMA75
10 Feb 2019
TOBO83
ALMA91
09 Feb 2019
TOBO109
ALMA101
15 Apr 2017
TOBO100
ALMA89
05 Apr 2017
TOBO93
ALMA84
19 Feb 2017
TOBO105
ALMA69
25 Jan 2017
TOBO97
ALMA81
25 Dec 2016
TOBO97
ALMA87
11 Dec 2016
TOBO93
ALMA64
28 Oct 2016
TOBO70
ALMA69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tobol Kostanay winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Almaty winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Tobol KostanayKazakhstanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKostanay
Date
Competition
Almaty
#6
W
109-102
109
102
+7
111avg 91
H20/01
National League
Irbis Almaty
#1
L
76-87
76
87
-11
82avg 91
H01/02
National League
Irbis Almaty
#1
L
76-89
76
89
-13
75avg 91
H02/02
National League
Atyrau
#2
W
83-72
83
72
+11
81avg 91
A08/03
National League
Atyrau
#2
L
66-70
66
70
-4
62avg 91
A09/03
National League
Aktobe
#3
L
88-95
88
95
-7
90avg 91
A13/03
National League
Aktobe
#3
W
91-87
91
87
+4
96avg 91
A14/03
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#7
W
97-51
97
51
+46
107avg 91
H19/03
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#7
W
113-73
113
73
+40
120avg 91
H20/03
National League
Almaty
#6
W
121-89
121
89
+32
128avg 91
H30/03
National League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-20
24-25
25-35
28-22
15-26
21-25
19-19
21-17
23-16
25-20
13-24
15-29
16-23
23-20
24-19
20-10
14-18
19-21
21-13
12-18
21-19
18-28
30-25
19-23
25-23
20-22
22-24
24-18
17-12
31-7
20-17
29-15
26-18
26-24
30-18
31-13
31-26
29-22
38-25
23-16
173.5Avg total
92.0Scored
81.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)89.681.6171.2+8.166%
Season at home (15)98.183.1181.3+15.080%
Season away (14)80.579.9160.4+0.650%
Last 10 (10)92.081.5173.5+10.560%
Last 5 (5)102.079.0181.0+23.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)72.289.8162.0-17.50%
vs Similar (9)88.784.3173.0+4.367%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)93.977.9171.8+15.982%
This opponent (Almaty) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AlmatyKazakhstanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAlmaty
Date
Competition
Pavlodar
#8
W
109-69
109
69
+40
116avg 79
A24/01
National League
Atyrau
#2
L
0-20
0
20
-20
no box
H29/01
National League
Atyrau
#2
L
83-89
83
89
-6
70avg 79
H30/01
National League
Aktobe
#3
L
91-100
91
100
-9
84avg 79
A05/02
National League
Aktobe
#3
W
90-85
90
85
+5
102avg 79
A06/02
National League
Astana 2
#5
W
97-78
97
78
+19
99avg 79
H05/03
National League
Astana 2
#5
L
73-92
73
92
-19
60avg 79
H06/03
National League
Irbis Almaty
#1
L
71-94
71
94
-23
62avg 79
A16/03
National League
Irbis Almaty
#1
L
103-105
103
105
-2
98avg 79
A17/03
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#4
L
89-121
89
121
-32
86avg 79
A30/03
National League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-18
25-15
31-20
25-16
–
–
–
–
22-29
26-23
20-21
15-16
20-30
20-27
28-19
23-24
26-25
19-22
29-23
16-15
27-22
29-17
15-27
26-12
24-29
9-25
13-23
27-15
12-21
20-22
24-27
15-24
23-24
32-20
20-29
28-32
26-31
22-29
25-38
16-23
165.9Avg total
80.6Scored
85.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)81.185.4166.6-4.334%
Season at home (14)76.178.5154.6-2.443%
Season away (15)85.891.9177.7-6.127%
Last 10 (10)80.685.3165.9-4.730%
Last 5 (5)86.698.0184.6-11.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)78.187.6165.8-9.523%
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker (8)90.578.2168.8+12.275%
This opponent (Tobol Kostanay) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +1.9+1.9Q1: -2.3-2.3Q2Q2: +2.2+2.2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: +2.3+2.3Q3: -2.4-2.4Q4Q4: +4.1+4.1Q4: +1.6+1.6
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +1.9+1.9Q1: -2.3-2.3Q2Q2: +2.2+2.2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: +2.3+2.3Q3: -2.4-2.4Q4Q4: +4.1+4.1Q4: +1.6+1.6
Tobol KostanayAlmaty
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Tobol KostanayLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Almaty
#6
W
56-45
56
45
+11
H20/01
National League
Irbis Almaty
#1
L
36-51
36
51
-15
H01/02
National League
Irbis Almaty
#1
W
48-36
48
36
+12
H02/02
National League
Atyrau
#2
L
39-43
39
43
-4
A08/03
National League
Atyrau
#2
L
33-39
33
39
-6
A09/03
National League
Aktobe
#3
L
39-47
39
47
-8
A13/03
National League
Aktobe
#3
D
45-45
45
45
+0
A14/03
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#7
W
48-19
48
19
+29
H19/03
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#7
W
52-42
52
42
+10
H20/03
National League
Almaty
#6
W
60-48
60
48
+12
H30/03
National League
87.1Avg total
45.6Scored
41.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.241.988.1+4.360%-
Last 30 at home (16)51.041.292.2+9.881%-
Last 30 away (14)40.742.783.4-2.036%-
Last 10 (10)45.641.587.1+4.150%-
Last 5 (5)48.840.289.0+8.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)41.048.589.5-7.525%-
vs Similar (9)45.243.388.6+1.933%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)47.939.687.5+8.482%-
This opponent (Almaty) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AlmatyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pavlodar
#8
W
53-33
53
33
+20
A24/01
National League
Atyrau
#2
L
48-52
48
52
-4
H30/01
National League
Aktobe
#3
L
40-57
40
57
-17
A05/02
National League
Aktobe
#3
L
45-47
45
47
-2
A06/02
National League
Astana 2
#5
W
56-39
56
39
+17
H05/03
National League
Astana 2
#5
L
33-54
33
54
-21
H06/03
National League
Irbis Almaty
#1
L
32-43
32
43
-11
A16/03
National League
Irbis Almaty
#1
W
55-44
55
44
+11
A17/03
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#4
L
48-60
48
60
-12
A30/03
National League
93.2Avg total
45.6Scored
47.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)43.644.788.3-1.141%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.242.484.6-0.243%-
Last 30 away (15)44.946.991.7-2.040%-
Last 10 (9)45.647.793.2-2.133%-
Last 5 (5)44.848.092.8-3.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)41.947.489.2-5.524%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker (8)48.137.885.9+10.488%-
This opponent (Tobol Kostanay) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Tobol Kostanay wins
1
Almaty wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/03/24HAlmaty121-89
20/03/24HKaspiy Aktau113-73
19/03/24HKaspiy Aktau97-51
14/03/24AAktobe91-87
13/03/24AAktobe88-95
09/03/24AAtyrau66-70
08/03/24AAtyrau83-72
02/02/24HIrbis Almaty76-89
01/02/24HIrbis Almaty76-87
20/01/24HAlmaty109-102
Almatylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/03/24ATobol Kostanay89-121
17/03/24AIrbis Almaty103-105
16/03/24AIrbis Almaty71-94
06/03/24HAstana 273-92
05/03/24HAstana 297-78
06/02/24AAktobe90-85
05/02/24AAktobe91-100
30/01/24HAtyrau83-89
29/01/24HAtyrau0-20
24/01/24APavlodar109-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tobol Kostanay
National League 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW66%
HomeLLWWW80%
AwayWWLLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291514
Win %66%80%50%
Points / game89.698.180.5
Allowed / game81.683.179.9
Point differential+8.1+15.0+0.6
Avg total171.2181.3160.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+48%53%43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)100% (1)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Almaty
National League 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL34%
HomeWLLWL43%
AwayLWLLL27%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291415
Win %34%43%27%
Points / game81.176.185.8
Allowed / game85.478.591.9
Point differential-4.3-2.4-6.1
Avg total166.6154.6177.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%36%13%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)0% (1)25% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Irbis Almaty3130197%89.470.9+18.5
2 Atyrau2820871%80.972.4+8.5
3 Tobol Kostanay29191066%89.681.6+8.1
4 Aktobe28171161%85.682.2+3.5
5 Astana 228131546%77.076.4+0.6
6 Almaty29101934%81.185.4-4.3
7 Kaspiy Aktau2862221%72.888.7-15.9
8 Pavlodar311303%73.492.4-19.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Tobol Kostanay29232931112
Almaty2823142085
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