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Auburn vs Michigan State Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 30 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 21:05
Final 70-64
33-24 37-40
Position#12
Record31-5
FormWLWWW
Points / game83.6
Allowed / game69.3
Auburn 🏆
USA
vs
Michigan State
USA
Position#17
Record30-6
FormWLWWW
Points / game78.1
Allowed / game67.1
USANCAANCAA - Quarter-finals
Other2024-25
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Auburn winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Michigan State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AuburnUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Georgia
#120
W
82-70
82
70
+12
H22/02
NCAA
Ole Miss
#73
W
106-76
106
76
+30
H27/02
NCAA
Kentucky
#71
W
94-78
94
78
+16
A01/03
NCAA
Texas A&M
#70
L
72-83
72
83
-11
A05/03
NCAA
Alabama
#34
L
91-93 OT
91
93
-2
H08/03
NCAA
Ole Miss
#73
W
62-57
62
57
+5
H14/03
NCAA
Tennessee
#23
L
65-70
65
70
-5
H15/03
NCAA
Alabama State
#156
W
83-63
83
63
+20
H20/03
NCAA
Creighton
#59
W
82-70
82
70
+12
H22/03
NCAA
Michigan
#44
W
78-65
78
65
+13
H29/03
NCAA
1H
2H
29-24
53-46
50-40
56-36
49-34
45-44
34-40
38-43
42-45
37-34
29-22
33-35
33-32
32-38
41-31
42-32
35-37
47-33
30-29
48-36
154.0Avg total
81.5Scored
72.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (36)83.669.3152.9+14.386%
Season at home (22)84.266.6150.8+17.686%
Season away (14)82.673.6156.2+9.186%
Last 10 (10)81.572.5154.0+9.070%
Last 5 (5)74.065.0139.0+9.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)78.084.0162.0-6.00%
vs Similar ◀ (4)70.869.8140.5+1.050%
vs Weaker (25)85.369.7155.0+15.692%
This opponent (Michigan State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Michigan StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Michigan
#44
W
75-62
75
62
+13
A22/02
NCAA
Maryland
#35
W
58-55
58
55
+3
A26/02
NCAA
Wisconsin
#43
W
71-62
71
62
+9
H02/03
NCAA
Iowa
#192
W
91-84
91
84
+7
A07/03
NCAA
Michigan
#44
W
79-62
79
62
+17
H09/03
NCAA
Oregon
#52
W
74-64
74
64
+10
H14/03
NCAA
Wisconsin
#43
L
74-77
74
77
-3
H15/03
NCAA
Bryant University
#81
W
87-62
87
62
+25
H22/03
NCAA
New Mexico
#25
W
71-63
71
63
+8
H24/03
NCAA
Ole Miss
#73
W
73-70
73
70
+3
H28/03
NCAA
1H
2H
34-38
41-24
21-23
37-32
32-34
39-28
30-37
61-47
50-28
29-34
42-32
32-32
33-37
41-40
33-28
54-34
29-31
42-32
31-33
42-37
141.4Avg total
75.3Scored
66.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (36)78.167.1145.1+11.083%
Season at home (25)78.865.9144.7+12.984%
Season away (11)76.469.6146.0+6.782%
Last 10 (10)75.366.1141.4+9.290%
Last 5 (5)75.867.2143.0+8.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (9)72.965.7138.6+7.278%
vs Weaker (21)79.467.9147.3+11.586%
This opponent (Auburn) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +3.8+3.81st half: +1.4+1.42nd half2nd half: +5.4+5.42nd half: +7.8+7.8
-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +3.8+3.81st half: +1.4+1.42nd half2nd half: +5.4+5.42nd half: +7.8+7.8
AuburnMichigan State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
AuburnLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Georgia
#120
W
29-24
29
24
+5
H22/02
NCAA
Ole Miss
#73
W
50-40
50
40
+10
H27/02
NCAA
Kentucky
#71
W
49-34
49
34
+15
A01/03
NCAA
Texas A&M
#70
L
34-40
34
40
-6
A05/03
NCAA
Alabama
#34
L
42-45
42
45
-3
H08/03
NCAA
Ole Miss
#73
W
29-22
29
22
+7
H14/03
NCAA
Tennessee
#23
W
33-32
33
32
+1
H15/03
NCAA
Alabama State
#156
W
41-31
41
31
+10
H20/03
NCAA
Creighton
#59
L
35-37
35
37
-2
H22/03
NCAA
Michigan
#44
W
30-29
30
29
+1
H29/03
NCAA
70.6Avg total
37.2Scored
33.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.331.771.0+7.580%-
Last 30 at home (18)39.231.470.6+7.783%-
Last 30 away (12)39.432.271.6+7.275%-
Last 10 (10)37.233.470.6+3.870%-
Last 5 (5)33.630.263.8+3.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)36.043.079.0-7.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (4)34.533.267.8+1.275%-
vs Weaker (25)40.231.071.2+9.184%-
This opponent (Michigan State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Michigan StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Michigan
#44
L
34-38
34
38
-4
A22/02
NCAA
Maryland
#35
L
21-23
21
23
-2
A26/02
NCAA
Wisconsin
#43
L
32-34
32
34
-2
H02/03
NCAA
Iowa
#192
L
30-37
30
37
-7
A07/03
NCAA
Michigan
#44
W
50-28
50
28
+22
H09/03
NCAA
Oregon
#52
W
42-32
42
32
+10
H14/03
NCAA
Wisconsin
#43
L
33-37
33
37
-4
H15/03
NCAA
Bryant University
#81
W
33-28
33
28
+5
H22/03
NCAA
New Mexico
#25
L
29-31
29
31
-2
H24/03
NCAA
Ole Miss
#73
L
31-33
31
33
-2
H28/03
NCAA
65.6Avg total
33.5Scored
32.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.931.667.4+4.353%-
Last 30 at home (19)36.330.867.1+5.558%-
Last 30 away (11)35.132.968.0+2.245%-
Last 10 (10)33.532.165.6+1.430%-
Last 5 (5)33.632.265.8+1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (9)31.332.964.2-1.622%-
vs Weaker (21)37.831.068.8+6.867%-
This opponent (Auburn) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Auburn wins
0
Michigan State wins
No previous meetings.
Auburnlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/03/25HMichigan78-65
22/03/25HCreighton82-70
20/03/25HAlabama State83-63
15/03/25HTennessee65-70
14/03/25HOle Miss62-57
08/03/25HAlabama91-93 OT
05/03/25ATexas A&M72-83
01/03/25AKentucky94-78
27/02/25HOle Miss106-76
22/02/25HGeorgia82-70
Michigan Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/03/25HOle Miss73-70
24/03/25HNew Mexico71-63
22/03/25HBryant University87-62
15/03/25HWisconsin74-77
14/03/25HOregon74-64
09/03/25HMichigan79-62
07/03/25AIowa91-84
02/03/25HWisconsin71-62
26/02/25AMaryland58-55
22/02/25AMichigan75-62

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Auburn
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW86%
HomeWLWWW86%
AwayWWWWL86%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games362214
Win %86%86%86%
Points / game83.684.282.6
Allowed / game69.366.673.6
Point differential+14.3+17.6+9.1
Avg total152.9150.8156.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+61%68%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won78% (9)60% (5)100% (4)
Overtime %3%5%0%
Michigan State
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW83%
HomeWLWWW84%
AwayLWWWW82%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games362511
Win %83%84%82%
Points / game78.178.876.4
Allowed / game67.165.969.6
Point differential+11.0+12.9+6.7
Avg total145.1144.7146.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%56%36%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (8)60% (5)67% (3)
Overtime %3%0%9%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southeastern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Florida3834489%85.469.7+15.8
2 Auburn3631586%83.669.3+14.3
3 Tennessee3830879%74.063.1+10.9
4 Alabama3728976%90.781.3+9.4
5 Texas A&M34231168%74.668.7+5.9
6 Kentucky36241267%84.477.2+7.2
7 Ole Miss36241267%77.271.7+5.5
8 Missouri34221265%83.673.6+10.0
9 Mississippi St.34211362%79.574.2+5.4
10 Arkansas36221461%76.871.4+5.4
11 Georgia33201361%75.369.9+5.4
12 Vanderbilt33201361%78.974.3+4.6
13 Oklahoma34201459%78.374.6+3.6
14 Texas35191654%78.572.6+5.9
15 LSU32141844%73.873.6+0.2
16 South Carolina32122038%69.871.4-1.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Michigan State3630683%78.167.1+11.0
2 Maryland3627975%81.167.2+13.9
3 Wisconsin37271073%80.170.9+9.2
4 Michigan37271073%78.071.5+6.5
5 Oregon35251071%76.570.9+5.7
6 UCLA34231168%74.265.2+9.0
7 Purdue36241267%77.270.4+6.9
8 Illinois35221363%83.674.8+8.8
9 Indiana32191359%74.772.0+2.6
10 Nebraska31171455%75.472.9+2.5
11 Ohio State32171553%78.873.5+5.3
12 Penn State31161552%79.173.2+5.9
13 Northwestern33171652%72.469.2+3.3
14 Iowa33171652%82.579.7+2.8
15 USC33161748%76.975.5+1.4
16 Rutgers32151747%77.077.6-0.5
17 Minnesota32151747%68.169.7-1.7
18 Washington30121840%71.475.9-4.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Auburn333770
Michigan State244064
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