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Michigan vs Michigan State Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 22 Feb 2025
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 62-75
38-34 24-41
Position#44
Record20-5
FormWWWWW
Points / game81.6
Allowed / game71.0
Michigan
USA
vs
Michigan State 🏆
USA
Position#17
Record21-5
FormLWLWW
Points / game79.1
Allowed / game67.4
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Michigan v Michigan State
08 Mar 2026
MICH90
MICH80
21 Feb 2025
MICH62
MICH75
17 Feb 2024
MICH63
MICH73
18 Feb 2023
MICH84
MICH72
01 Mar 2022
MICH87
MICH70
04 Mar 2021
MICH69
MICH50
08 Feb 2020
MICH77
MICH68
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Michigan winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Michigan State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MichiganUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Washington
#287
W
91-75
91
75
+16
H12/01
NCAA
Minnesota
#226
L
81-84 OT
81
84
-3
A17/01
NCAA
Northwestern
#191
W
80-76 OT
80
76
+4
H19/01
NCAA
Purdue
#72
L
64-91
64
91
-27
A25/01
NCAA
Penn State
#185
W
76-72
76
72
+4
H27/01
NCAA
Rutgers
#224
W
66-63
66
63
+3
A01/02
NCAA
Oregon
#52
W
80-76
80
76
+4
H05/02
NCAA
Indiana
#132
W
70-67
70
67
+3
A08/02
NCAA
Purdue
#72
W
75-73
75
73
+2
H12/02
NCAA
Ohio State
#172
W
86-83
86
83
+3
A16/02
NCAA
1H
2H
48-38
43-37
40-31
31-40
30-35
35-30
26-51
38-40
35-35
41-37
32-25
34-38
41-36
39-40
43-27
27-40
35-37
40-36
44-39
42-44
152.9Avg total
76.9Scored
76.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)81.671.0152.6+10.680%
Season at home (15)85.569.3154.7+16.287%
Season away (10)75.873.6149.4+2.270%
Last 10 (10)76.976.0152.9+0.980%
Last 5 (5)75.472.4147.8+3.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)63.280.2143.4-17.00%
vs Similar (16)82.072.9154.9+9.181%
vs Weaker (9)80.967.6148.4+13.378%
This opponent (Michigan State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Michigan StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Penn State
#185
W
90-85
90
85
+5
H16/01
NCAA
Illinois
#100
W
80-78
80
78
+2
H19/01
NCAA
Rutgers
#224
W
81-74
81
74
+7
A25/01
NCAA
Minnesota
#226
W
73-51
73
51
+22
H29/01
NCAA
USC
#215
L
64-70
64
70
-6
A01/02
NCAA
UCLA
#66
L
61-63
61
63
-2
A05/02
NCAA
Oregon
#52
W
86-74
86
74
+12
H08/02
NCAA
Indiana
#132
L
67-71
67
71
-4
H12/02
NCAA
Illinois
#100
W
79-65
79
65
+14
A16/02
NCAA
Purdue
#72
W
75-66
75
66
+9
H19/02
NCAA
1H
2H
46-36
44-49
36-36
44-42
35-32
46-42
36-16
37-35
32-35
32-35
28-35
33-28
36-50
50-24
29-32
38-39
37-41
42-24
33-31
42-35
145.3Avg total
75.6Scored
69.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)79.167.4146.5+11.781%
Season at home (18)80.166.0146.1+14.183%
Season away (8)77.070.6147.6+6.475%
Last 10 (10)75.669.7145.3+5.970%
Last 5 (5)73.667.8141.4+5.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)65.576.0141.5-10.50%
vs Similar (7)74.966.4141.3+8.486%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)80.067.0146.9+13.081%
This opponent (Michigan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-3+0+3+71st half1st half: +2.0+2.01st half: +0.4+0.42nd half2nd half: -1.2-1.22nd half: +5.5+5.5
-7-3+0+3+71st half1st half: +2.0+2.01st half: +0.4+0.42nd half2nd half: -1.2-1.22nd half: +5.5+5.5
MichiganMichigan State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
MichiganLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Washington
#287
W
48-38
48
38
+10
H12/01
NCAA
Minnesota
#226
W
40-31
40
31
+9
A17/01
NCAA
Northwestern
#191
L
30-35
30
35
-5
H19/01
NCAA
Purdue
#72
L
26-51
26
51
-25
A25/01
NCAA
Penn State
#185
D
35-35
35
35
+0
H27/01
NCAA
Rutgers
#224
W
32-25
32
25
+7
A01/02
NCAA
Oregon
#52
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H05/02
NCAA
Indiana
#132
W
43-27
43
27
+16
A08/02
NCAA
Purdue
#72
L
35-37
35
37
-2
H12/02
NCAA
Ohio State
#172
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A16/02
NCAA
72.8Avg total
37.4Scored
35.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.135.574.6+3.667%-
Last 30 at home (17)42.735.978.6+6.871%-
Last 30 away (13)34.434.869.2-0.562%-
Last 10 (10)37.435.472.8+2.060%-
Last 5 (5)39.032.871.8+6.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)30.840.671.4-9.80%-
vs Similar (16)40.835.676.4+5.169%-
vs Weaker (9)40.832.373.1+8.4100%-
This opponent (Michigan State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Michigan StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Penn State
#185
W
46-36
46
36
+10
H16/01
NCAA
Illinois
#100
D
36-36
36
36
+0
H19/01
NCAA
Rutgers
#224
W
35-32
35
32
+3
A25/01
NCAA
Minnesota
#226
W
36-16
36
16
+20
H29/01
NCAA
USC
#215
L
32-35
32
35
-3
A01/02
NCAA
UCLA
#66
L
28-35
28
35
-7
A05/02
NCAA
Oregon
#52
L
36-50
36
50
-14
H08/02
NCAA
Indiana
#132
L
29-32
29
32
-3
H12/02
NCAA
Illinois
#100
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A16/02
NCAA
Purdue
#72
W
33-31
33
31
+2
H19/02
NCAA
69.2Avg total
34.8Scored
34.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.331.768.0+4.660%-
Last 30 at home (19)36.830.967.7+5.863%-
Last 30 away (11)35.532.968.4+2.555%-
Last 10 (10)34.834.469.2+0.440%-
Last 5 (5)32.637.870.4-5.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)29.037.066.0-8.00%-
vs Similar (7)33.632.766.3+0.943%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)37.930.868.7+7.171%-
This opponent (Michigan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Michigan wins
6
Michigan State wins
DateGameScore
18/02/24Michigan v Michigan State63-73
31/01/24Michigan State v Michigan81-62
19/02/23Michigan v Michigan State84-72
07/01/23Michigan State v Michigan59-53
02/03/22Michigan v Michigan State87-70
29/01/22Michigan State v Michigan83-67
07/03/21Michigan State v Michigan70-64
05/03/21Michigan v Michigan State69-50
08/02/20Michigan v Michigan State77-68
05/01/20Michigan State v Michigan87-69
Michiganlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/02/25AOhio State86-83
12/02/25HPurdue75-73
08/02/25AIndiana70-67
05/02/25HOregon80-76
01/02/25ARutgers66-63
27/01/25HPenn State76-72
25/01/25APurdue64-91
19/01/25HNorthwestern80-76 OT
17/01/25AMinnesota81-84 OT
12/01/25HWashington91-75
Michigan Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/02/25HPurdue75-66
16/02/25AIllinois79-65
12/02/25HIndiana67-71
08/02/25HOregon86-74
05/02/25AUCLA61-63
01/02/25AUSC64-70
29/01/25HMinnesota73-51
25/01/25ARutgers81-74
19/01/25HIllinois80-78
16/01/25HPenn State90-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Michigan
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW80%
HomeWWWWW87%
AwayLLWWW70%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251510
Win %80%87%70%
Points / game81.685.575.8
Allowed / game71.069.373.6
Point differential+10.6+16.2+2.2
Avg total152.6154.7149.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%53%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won69% (13)71% (7)67% (6)
Overtime %8%7%10%
Michigan State
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW81%
HomeWWWLW83%
AwayWWLLW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games26188
Win %81%83%75%
Points / game79.180.177.0
Allowed / game67.466.070.6
Point differential+11.7+14.1+6.4
Avg total146.5146.1147.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+54%61%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)67% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %4%0%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Michigan State2621581%79.167.4+11.7
2 Wisconsin2621581%82.070.6+11.4
3 Michigan2520580%81.671.0+10.6
4 Maryland2721678%83.767.3+16.4
5 UCLA2719870%75.064.7+10.2
6 Purdue2719870%78.270.0+8.2
7 Oregon2719870%76.671.7+4.8
8 Illinois27171063%83.972.4+11.5
9 Nebraska27171063%75.772.0+3.7
10 Indiana26151158%75.673.2+2.5
11 Ohio State27151256%78.872.0+6.8
12 Iowa26141254%83.979.5+4.4
13 USC26141254%76.473.5+2.9
14 Minnesota26141254%68.869.3-0.4
15 Penn State27141352%79.873.5+6.3
16 Northwestern27141352%73.469.7+3.7
17 Rutgers27131448%76.075.9+0.1
18 Washington25121348%72.274.2-2.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Michigan382462
Michigan State344175
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