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Michigan State vs Wisconsin Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 02 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 71-62
32-34 39-28
Position#17
Record23-5
FormLWWWW
Points / game78.2
Allowed / game66.8
Michigan State 🏆
USA
vs
Wisconsin
USA
Position#43
Record22-6
FormWWWLW
Points / game81.9
Allowed / game70.5
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Michigan State v Wisconsin
15 Mar 2025
MICH74
WISC77
02 Mar 2025
MICH71
WISC62
05 Dec 2023
MICH57
WISC70
08 Feb 2022
MICH62
WISC70
25 Dec 2020
MICH76
WISC85
17 Jan 2020
MICH67
WISC55
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Michigan State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Wisconsin winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Michigan StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rutgers
#224
W
81-74
81
74
+7
A25/01
NCAA
Minnesota
#226
W
73-51
73
51
+22
H29/01
NCAA
USC
#215
L
64-70
64
70
-6
A01/02
NCAA
UCLA
#66
L
61-63
61
63
-2
A05/02
NCAA
Oregon
#52
W
86-74
86
74
+12
H08/02
NCAA
Indiana
#132
L
67-71
67
71
-4
H12/02
NCAA
Illinois
#100
W
79-65
79
65
+14
A16/02
NCAA
Purdue
#72
W
75-66
75
66
+9
H19/02
NCAA
Michigan
#44
W
75-62
75
62
+13
A22/02
NCAA
Maryland
#35
W
58-55
58
55
+3
A26/02
NCAA
1H
2H
35-32
46-42
36-16
37-35
32-35
32-35
28-35
33-28
36-50
50-24
29-32
38-39
37-41
42-24
33-31
42-35
34-38
41-24
21-23
37-32
137.0Avg total
71.9Scored
65.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)78.266.8145.0+11.482%
Season at home (18)80.166.0146.1+14.183%
Season away (10)74.968.2143.1+6.780%
Last 10 (10)71.965.1137.0+6.870%
Last 5 (5)70.863.8134.6+7.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)69.085.0154.0-16.00%
vs Similar ◀ (7)72.164.7136.9+7.486%
vs Weaker (22)79.766.7146.5+13.082%
This opponent (Wisconsin) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
WisconsinUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UCLA
#66
L
83-85
83
85
-2
A22/01
NCAA
Nebraska
#158
W
83-55
83
55
+28
H26/01
NCAA
Maryland
#35
L
68-76
68
76
-8
A30/01
NCAA
Northwestern
#191
W
75-69
75
69
+6
A01/02
NCAA
Indiana
#132
W
76-64
76
64
+12
H05/02
NCAA
Iowa
#192
W
74-63
74
63
+11
A08/02
NCAA
Purdue
#72
W
94-84
94
84
+10
A15/02
NCAA
Illinois
#100
W
95-74
95
74
+21
H19/02
NCAA
Oregon
#52
L
73-77 OT
73
77
-4
H22/02
NCAA
Washington
#287
W
88-62
88
62
+26
H26/02
NCAA
1H
2H
41-36
42-49
40-28
43-27
31-32
37-44
25-31
50-38
40-28
36-36
37-39
37-24
36-37
58-47
47-41
48-33
38-26
28-40
43-28
45-34
151.8Avg total
80.9Scored
70.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)81.970.5152.4+11.479%
Season at home (17)83.467.5150.9+15.888%
Season away (11)79.675.2154.8+4.564%
Last 10 (10)80.970.9151.8+10.070%
Last 5 (5)84.872.0156.8+12.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)72.080.3152.3-8.30%
vs Similar ◀ (9)81.879.7161.4+2.144%
vs Weaker (18)82.765.7148.4+17.1100%
This opponent (Michigan State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: -1.2-1.21st half: +5.2+5.22nd half2nd half: +8.0+8.02nd half: +5.2+5.2
-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: -1.2-1.21st half: +5.2+5.22nd half2nd half: +8.0+8.02nd half: +5.2+5.2
Michigan StateWisconsin
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Michigan StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rutgers
#224
W
35-32
35
32
+3
A25/01
NCAA
Minnesota
#226
W
36-16
36
16
+20
H29/01
NCAA
USC
#215
L
32-35
32
35
-3
A01/02
NCAA
UCLA
#66
L
28-35
28
35
-7
A05/02
NCAA
Oregon
#52
L
36-50
36
50
-14
H08/02
NCAA
Indiana
#132
L
29-32
29
32
-3
H12/02
NCAA
Illinois
#100
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A16/02
NCAA
Purdue
#72
W
33-31
33
31
+2
H19/02
NCAA
Michigan
#44
L
34-38
34
38
-4
A22/02
NCAA
Maryland
#35
L
21-23
21
23
-2
A26/02
NCAA
65.4Avg total
32.1Scored
33.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.231.467.6+4.760%-
Last 30 at home (18)37.130.867.8+6.367%-
Last 30 away (12)34.832.467.2+2.450%-
Last 10 (10)32.133.365.4-1.230%-
Last 5 (5)30.833.063.8-2.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)31.040.071.0-9.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)32.031.163.1+0.943%-
vs Weaker (22)37.731.168.9+6.668%-
This opponent (Wisconsin) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
WisconsinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UCLA
#66
W
41-36
41
36
+5
A22/01
NCAA
Nebraska
#158
W
40-28
40
28
+12
H26/01
NCAA
Maryland
#35
L
31-32
31
32
-1
A30/01
NCAA
Northwestern
#191
L
25-31
25
31
-6
A01/02
NCAA
Indiana
#132
W
40-28
40
28
+12
H05/02
NCAA
Iowa
#192
L
37-39
37
39
-2
A08/02
NCAA
Purdue
#72
L
36-37
36
37
-1
A15/02
NCAA
Illinois
#100
W
47-41
47
41
+6
H19/02
NCAA
Oregon
#52
W
38-26
38
26
+12
H22/02
NCAA
Washington
#287
W
43-28
43
28
+15
H26/02
NCAA
70.4Avg total
37.8Scored
32.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.533.071.4+5.567%-
Last 30 at home (18)38.431.870.2+6.778%-
Last 30 away (12)38.534.873.2+3.850%-
Last 10 (10)37.832.670.4+5.260%-
Last 5 (5)40.234.274.4+6.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)30.335.365.7-5.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)40.034.074.0+6.078%-
vs Weaker (18)39.132.171.1+7.072%-
This opponent (Michigan State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Michigan State wins
5
Wisconsin wins
DateGameScore
27/01/24Wisconsin v Michigan State81-66
06/12/23Michigan State v Wisconsin57-70
11/01/23Wisconsin v Michigan State65-69
11/03/22Wisconsin v Michigan State63-69
09/02/22Michigan State v Wisconsin62-70
22/01/22Wisconsin v Michigan State74-86
25/12/20Michigan State v Wisconsin76-85
01/02/20Wisconsin v Michigan State64-63
18/01/20Michigan State v Wisconsin67-55
Michigan Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/02/25AMaryland58-55
22/02/25AMichigan75-62
19/02/25HPurdue75-66
16/02/25AIllinois79-65
12/02/25HIndiana67-71
08/02/25HOregon86-74
05/02/25AUCLA61-63
01/02/25AUSC64-70
29/01/25HMinnesota73-51
25/01/25ARutgers81-74
Wisconsinlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/02/25HWashington88-62
22/02/25HOregon73-77 OT
19/02/25HIllinois95-74
15/02/25APurdue94-84
08/02/25AIowa74-63
05/02/25HIndiana76-64
01/02/25ANorthwestern75-69
30/01/25AMaryland68-76
26/01/25HNebraska83-55
22/01/25AUCLA83-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Michigan State
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW82%
HomeWWWLW83%
AwayLLWWW80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281810
Win %82%83%80%
Points / game78.280.174.9
Allowed / game66.866.068.2
Point differential+11.4+14.1+6.7
Avg total145.0146.1143.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+54%61%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)67% (3)67% (3)
Overtime %4%0%10%
Wisconsin
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW79%
HomeWWWLW88%
AwayLLWWW64%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281711
Win %79%88%64%
Points / game81.983.479.6
Allowed / game70.567.575.2
Point differential+11.4+15.8+4.5
Avg total152.4150.9154.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+61%71%45%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)50% (4)0% (1)
Overtime %4%6%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Michigan State2823582%78.266.8+11.4
2 Wisconsin2822679%81.970.5+11.4
3 Michigan2822679%79.870.6+9.2
4 Maryland2922776%82.166.9+15.3
5 Oregon2921872%76.871.4+5.3
6 UCLA2920969%74.465.0+9.4
7 Purdue2920969%77.470.0+7.4
8 Illinois29181162%83.273.3+9.9
9 Indiana29181162%75.972.4+3.4
10 Nebraska29171259%74.371.0+3.3
11 Ohio State29161355%78.572.3+6.2
12 Northwestern29161355%73.369.0+4.3
13 Iowa29151452%82.279.1+3.1
14 Minnesota29151452%68.369.3-1.0
15 Penn State30151550%78.973.2+5.7
16 USC29141548%76.375.0+1.3
17 Rutgers29141548%76.976.5+0.4
18 Washington28121643%71.775.2-3.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Michigan State323971
Wisconsin342862
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