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Austin Peay vs Murray State Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 14 Feb 2020
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 71-68
35-34 36-34
Position#60
Record15-6
FormWWWLL
Points / game76.7
Allowed / game69.8
vs
Position#47
Record15-5
FormWWWLW
Points / game76.0
Allowed / game65.8
USANCAA
Other2019-20
Meetings · Austin Peay v Murray State
09 Dec 2023
AUST53
MURR49
03 Feb 2022
AUST53
MURR65
21 Dec 2020
AUST74
MURR70
13 Feb 2020
AUST71
MURR68
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Austin Peay winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Murray State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Austin PeayUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tennessee Tech
#301
W
75-62
75
62
+13
A10/01
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#242
W
71-67
71
67
+4
A11/01
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#337
W
84-59
84
59
+25
A17/01
NCAA
UT Martin
#311
W
92-81
92
81
+11
A18/01
NCAA
Tennessee State
#193
W
99-74
99
74
+25
H24/01
NCAA
Belmont
#30
W
86-78
86
78
+8
H25/01
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#329
W
82-58
82
58
+24
H31/01
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#167
W
68-64
68
64
+4
H01/02
NCAA
Tennessee State
#193
L
68-70
68
70
-2
A07/02
NCAA
Belmont
#30
L
63-71
63
71
-8
A08/02
NCAA
1H
2H
35-24
40-38
26-36
45-31
40-21
44-38
50-31
42-50
52-43
47-31
38-43
48-35
38-26
44-32
31-38
37-26
36-37
32-33
30-32
33-39
147.2Avg total
78.8Scored
68.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)76.769.8146.5+6.971%
Season at home (11)83.268.7151.9+14.591%
Season away (10)69.571.0140.5-1.550%
Last 10 (10)78.868.4147.2+10.480%
Last 5 (5)73.468.2141.6+5.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (8)72.477.2149.6-4.938%
vs Weaker (13)79.466.9146.3+12.585%
This opponent (Murray State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Murray StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jacksonville State
#242
W
72-68
72
68
+4
A10/01
NCAA
Tennessee Tech
#301
W
81-69
81
69
+12
A12/01
NCAA
UT Martin
#311
W
84-62
84
62
+22
A17/01
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#337
W
96-91 OT
96
91
+5
A18/01
NCAA
Belmont
#30
W
85-75
85
75
+10
H24/01
NCAA
Tennessee State
#193
W
76-64
76
64
+12
H26/01
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#167
W
73-70
73
70
+3
H31/01
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#329
W
74-55
74
55
+19
H02/02
NCAA
Belmont
#30
L
64-71
64
71
-7
A07/02
NCAA
Tennessee State
#193
W
73-65
73
65
+8
A09/02
NCAA
1H
2H
35-30
37-38
36-35
45-34
43-24
41-38
41-40
37-38
31-35
54-40
32-29
44-35
32-27
41-43
35-26
39-29
26-32
38-39
33-29
40-36
146.8Avg total
77.8Scored
69.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)76.065.8141.8+10.275%
Season at home (11)75.961.2137.1+14.782%
Season away (9)76.071.4147.4+4.667%
Last 10 (10)77.869.0146.8+8.890%
Last 5 (5)72.065.0137.0+7.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (2)74.573.0147.5+1.550%
vs Weaker (23)77.266.3143.5+10.978%
This opponent (Austin Peay) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: +4.5+4.51st half: +3.7+3.72nd half2nd half: +5.9+5.92nd half: +4.6+4.6
-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: +4.5+4.51st half: +3.7+3.72nd half2nd half: +5.9+5.92nd half: +4.6+4.6
Austin PeayMurray State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Austin PeayLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tennessee Tech
#301
W
35-24
35
24
+11
A10/01
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#242
L
26-36
26
36
-10
A11/01
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#337
W
40-21
40
21
+19
A17/01
NCAA
UT Martin
#311
W
50-31
50
31
+19
A18/01
NCAA
Tennessee State
#193
W
52-43
52
43
+9
H24/01
NCAA
Belmont
#30
L
38-43
38
43
-5
H25/01
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#329
W
38-26
38
26
+12
H31/01
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#167
L
31-38
31
38
-7
H01/02
NCAA
Tennessee State
#193
L
36-37
36
37
-1
A07/02
NCAA
Belmont
#30
L
30-32
30
32
-2
A08/02
NCAA
70.7Avg total
37.6Scored
33.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (24)37.233.971.2+3.350%-
Last 30 at home (13)40.334.875.2+5.569%-
Last 30 away (11)33.632.866.5+0.827%-
Last 10 (10)37.633.170.7+4.550%-
Last 5 (5)34.635.269.8-0.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (8)32.637.169.8-4.525%-
vs Weaker (13)38.532.370.8+6.262%-
This opponent (Murray State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Murray StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jacksonville State
#242
W
35-30
35
30
+5
A10/01
NCAA
Tennessee Tech
#301
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A12/01
NCAA
UT Martin
#311
W
43-24
43
24
+19
A17/01
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#337
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A18/01
NCAA
Belmont
#30
L
31-35
31
35
-4
H24/01
NCAA
Tennessee State
#193
W
32-29
32
29
+3
H26/01
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#167
W
32-27
32
27
+5
H31/01
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#329
W
35-26
35
26
+9
H02/02
NCAA
Belmont
#30
L
26-32
26
32
-6
A07/02
NCAA
Tennessee State
#193
W
33-29
33
29
+4
A09/02
NCAA
65.1Avg total
34.4Scored
30.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)36.431.668.0+4.966%-
Last 30 at home (17)39.031.070.0+8.076%-
Last 30 away (12)32.832.365.1+0.450%-
Last 10 (10)34.430.765.1+3.780%-
Last 5 (5)31.628.660.2+3.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (2)28.533.562.0-5.00%-
vs Weaker (23)37.031.068.0+6.074%-
This opponent (Austin Peay) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Austin Peay wins
0
Murray State wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/02/20ABelmont63-71
07/02/20ATennessee State68-70
01/02/20HEastern Illinois68-64
31/01/20HSiu Edwardsville82-58
25/01/20HBelmont86-78
24/01/20HTennessee State99-74
18/01/20AUT Martin92-81
17/01/20ASoutheast Missouri State84-59
11/01/20AJacksonville State71-67
10/01/20ATennessee Tech75-62
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/02/20ATennessee State73-65
07/02/20ABelmont64-71
02/02/20HSiu Edwardsville74-55
31/01/20HEastern Illinois73-70
26/01/20HTennessee State76-64
24/01/20HBelmont85-75
18/01/20ASoutheast Missouri State96-91 OT
17/01/20AUT Martin84-62
12/01/20ATennessee Tech81-69
10/01/20AJacksonville State72-68

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Austin Peay
NCAA 2019-20
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL71%
HomeWWWWW91%
AwayWWWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211110
Win %71%91%50%
Points / game76.783.269.5
Allowed / game69.868.771.0
Point differential+6.9+14.5-1.5
Avg total146.5151.9140.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+52%64%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Murray State
NCAA 2019-20
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW75%
HomeWWWWW82%
AwayWWWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20119
Win %75%82%67%
Points / game76.075.976.0
Allowed / game65.861.271.4
Point differential+10.2+14.7+4.6
Avg total141.8137.1147.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%73%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)100% (1)60% (5)
Overtime %10%0%22%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

ASUN conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Austin Peay2115671%76.769.8+6.9
2 North Florida2213959%76.773.9+2.8
3 Stetson22121055%63.264.9-1.7
4 Lipscomb20101050%71.072.1-1.1
5 Eastern Kentucky21101148%73.878.5-4.7
6 Jacksonville2191243%67.467.1+0.3
7 North Alabama2081240%68.069.0-1.1
8 Central Arkansas2081240%77.882.7-4.8
9 Florida Gulf Coast2271532%61.165.6-4.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Northern Iowa1916384%77.866.0+11.8
2 Murray State2015575%76.065.8+10.2
3 Indiana State2014670%69.864.2+5.6
4 Belmont2215768%78.568.9+9.6
5 Southern Illinois2013765%62.460.0+2.4
6 Bradley2214864%70.164.5+5.6
7 Drake2213959%68.468.7-0.4
8 Illinois (Chi.)22111150%69.770.0-0.2
9 Valparaiso22101245%70.670.4+0.3
10 Illinois State2261627%65.370.5-5.2
11 Evansville2261627%67.475.8-8.4
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Austin Peay353671
Murray State343468
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