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Austin Peay vs Murray State Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 03 Feb 2022
Tip-off: 22:30
Final 53-65
31-35 22-30
Position#262
Record7-11
FormWLLWW
Points / game67.4
Allowed / game70.0
vs
Position#4
Record20-2
FormWWWWW
Points / game82.1
Allowed / game63.5
USANCAA
Other2021-22
Meetings · Austin Peay v Murray State
09 Dec 2023
AUST53
MURR49
03 Feb 2022
AUST53
MURR65
21 Dec 2020
AUST74
MURR70
13 Feb 2020
AUST71
MURR68
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Austin Peay winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Murray State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Austin PeayUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South Florida
#332
L
51-60
51
60
-9
A15/12
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#191
L
51-77
51
77
-26
A18/12
NCAA
UT Martin
#329
L
62-65
62
65
-3
H31/12
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#244
L
79-98
79
98
-19
A01/01
NCAA
Morehead State
#76
L
55-66
55
66
-11
H08/01
NCAA
UT Martin
#329
W
72-57
72
57
+15
A21/01
NCAA
Tennessee State
#241
L
61-65
61
65
-4
A22/01
NCAA
Belmont
#24
L
67-75
67
75
-8
H28/01
NCAA
Tennessee Tech
#295
W
58-55
58
55
+3
A30/01
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#296
W
68-63 OT
68
63
+5
H01/02
NCAA
1H
2H
16-22
35-38
23-37
28-40
34-33
28-32
31-42
48-56
29-38
26-28
33-28
39-29
31-31
30-34
28-37
39-38
30-19
28-36
25-33
25-17
130.5Avg total
62.4Scored
68.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)67.470.0137.4-2.639%
Season at home (6)72.767.2139.8+5.550%
Season away (12)64.871.4136.2-6.633%
Last 10 (10)62.468.1130.5-5.730%
Last 5 (5)65.263.0128.2+2.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)61.870.8132.6-9.022%
vs Similar (11)70.571.6142.2-1.136%
vs Weaker (9)77.967.0144.9+10.956%
This opponent (Murray State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Murray StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Southeast Missouri State
#244
W
106-81
106
81
+25
H31/12
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#296
W
74-69
74
69
+5
A08/01
NCAA
Tennessee State
#241
W
67-44
67
44
+23
H14/01
NCAA
Belmont
#24
W
82-60
82
60
+22
A15/01
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#356
W
72-46
72
46
+26
A17/01
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#356
W
91-51
91
51
+40
H21/01
NCAA
UT Martin
#329
W
74-66
74
66
+8
H23/01
NCAA
Tennessee Tech
#295
W
79-53
79
53
+26
H25/01
NCAA
Tennessee Tech
#295
W
80-75
80
75
+5
A28/01
NCAA
Morehead State
#76
W
77-66
77
66
+11
H29/01
NCAA
1H
2H
59-40
47-41
42-27
32-42
35-16
32-28
48-35
34-25
33-24
39-22
48-22
43-29
32-29
42-37
39-24
40-29
34-36
46-39
33-28
44-38
141.3Avg total
80.2Scored
61.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)82.163.5145.6+18.591%
Season at home (14)86.464.1150.4+22.393%
Season away (8)74.662.6137.2+12.088%
Last 10 (10)80.261.1141.3+19.1100%
Last 5 (5)80.262.2142.4+18.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)69.577.5147.0-8.00%
vs Weaker ◀ (26)79.262.8142.0+16.385%
This opponent (Austin Peay) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-15-8+0+8+151st half1st half: -4.0-4.01st half: +12.2+12.22nd half2nd half: -2.2-2.22nd half: +6.9+6.9
-15-8+0+8+151st half1st half: -4.0-4.01st half: +12.2+12.22nd half2nd half: -2.2-2.22nd half: +6.9+6.9
Austin PeayMurray State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Austin PeayLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South Florida
#332
L
16-22
16
22
-6
A15/12
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#191
L
23-37
23
37
-14
A18/12
NCAA
UT Martin
#329
W
34-33
34
33
+1
H31/12
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#244
L
31-42
31
42
-11
A01/01
NCAA
Morehead State
#76
L
29-38
29
38
-9
H08/01
NCAA
UT Martin
#329
W
33-28
33
28
+5
A21/01
NCAA
Tennessee State
#241
D
31-31
31
31
+0
A22/01
NCAA
Belmont
#24
L
28-37
28
37
-9
H28/01
NCAA
Tennessee Tech
#295
W
30-19
30
19
+11
A30/01
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#296
L
25-33
25
33
-8
H01/02
NCAA
60.0Avg total
28.0Scored
32.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.332.665.8+0.753%-
Last 30 at home (10)35.631.667.2+4.070%-
Last 30 away (20)32.133.065.2-0.945%-
Last 10 (10)28.032.060.0-4.030%-
Last 5 (5)29.429.659.0-0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)29.234.663.8-5.322%-
vs Similar (11)32.232.364.5-0.145%-
vs Weaker (9)37.930.668.4+7.389%-
This opponent (Murray State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Murray StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Southeast Missouri State
#244
W
59-40
59
40
+19
H31/12
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#296
W
42-27
42
27
+15
A08/01
NCAA
Tennessee State
#241
W
35-16
35
16
+19
H14/01
NCAA
Belmont
#24
W
48-35
48
35
+13
A15/01
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#356
W
33-24
33
24
+9
A17/01
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#356
W
48-22
48
22
+26
H21/01
NCAA
UT Martin
#329
W
32-29
32
29
+3
H23/01
NCAA
Tennessee Tech
#295
W
39-24
39
24
+15
H25/01
NCAA
Tennessee Tech
#295
L
34-36
34
36
-2
A28/01
NCAA
Morehead State
#76
W
33-28
33
28
+5
H29/01
NCAA
68.4Avg total
40.3Scored
28.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.630.168.8+8.570%-
Last 30 at home (18)40.429.369.7+11.178%-
Last 30 away (12)36.031.367.3+4.758%-
Last 10 (10)40.328.168.4+12.290%-
Last 5 (5)37.227.865.0+9.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)30.536.066.5-5.550%-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)38.229.267.4+9.169%-
This opponent (Austin Peay) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Austin Peay wins
3
Murray State wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/02/22HSiu Edwardsville68-63 OT
30/01/22ATennessee Tech58-55
28/01/22HBelmont67-75
22/01/22ATennessee State61-65
21/01/22AUT Martin72-57
08/01/22HMorehead State55-66
01/01/22ASoutheast Missouri State79-98
31/12/21HUT Martin62-65
18/12/21AVanderbilt51-77
15/12/21ASouth Florida51-60
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/01/22HMorehead State77-66
28/01/22ATennessee Tech80-75
25/01/22HTennessee Tech79-53
23/01/22HUT Martin74-66
21/01/22HEastern Illinois91-51
17/01/22AEastern Illinois72-46
15/01/22ABelmont82-60
14/01/22HTennessee State67-44
08/01/22ASiu Edwardsville74-69
31/12/21HSoutheast Missouri State106-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Austin Peay
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW39%
HomeWLLLW50%
AwayLLWLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18612
Win %39%50%33%
Points / game67.472.764.8
Allowed / game70.067.271.4
Point differential-2.6+5.5-6.6
Avg total137.4139.8136.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%17%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)50% (2)50% (4)
Overtime %6%17%0%
Murray State
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW91%
HomeWWWWW93%
AwayLWWWW88%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games22148
Win %91%93%88%
Points / game82.186.474.6
Allowed / game63.564.162.6
Point differential+18.5+22.3+12.0
Avg total145.6150.4137.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+68%79%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)-100% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

ASUN conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Jacksonville2013765%67.158.8+8.3
2 Florida Gulf Coast2213959%76.072.7+3.3
3 Bellarmine23131057%69.866.0+3.8
4 Eastern Kentucky23111248%81.073.6+7.4
5 Lipscomb23101343%75.479.2-3.8
6 North Alabama2191243%71.365.5+5.8
7 Stetson2191243%69.270.0-0.8
8 Austin Peay1871139%67.470.0-2.6
9 Central Arkansas2061430%72.282.8-10.5
10 North Florida2251723%68.271.8-3.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Murray State2220291%82.163.5+18.5
2 Belmont2217577%81.369.9+11.4
3 Drake2317674%75.866.9+8.9
4 Northern Iowa2112957%74.769.7+5.0
5 Bradley23121152%71.666.4+5.2
6 Southern Illinois23111248%63.260.6+2.7
7 Valparaiso22101245%71.470.5+0.9
8 Illinois State23101343%77.476.8+0.7
9 Indiana State2191243%72.171.0+1.1
10 Illinois (Chi.)1971237%70.473.0-2.6
11 Evansville2051525%59.268.5-9.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Austin Peay312253
Murray State353065
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