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Austin Peay vs Murray State Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 10 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 00:15
Final 53-49
28-26 25-23
Position#171
Record4-6
FormWLLLW
Points / game68.1
Allowed / game65.1
vs
Position#296
Record3-4
FormLLLWL
Points / game77.0
Allowed / game73.4
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Austin Peay v Murray State
09 Dec 2023
AUST53
MURR49
03 Feb 2022
AUST53
MURR65
21 Dec 2020
AUST74
MURR70
13 Feb 2020
AUST71
MURR68
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Austin Peay winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Murray State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Austin PeayUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Life University
#409
W
90-72
90
72
+18
H07/11
NCAA
George Mason
#106
L
45-67
45
67
-22
A11/11
NCAA
Fisk
#423
W
79-52
79
52
+27
H15/11
NCAA
UTEP
#185
L
63-71
63
71
-8
A18/11
NCAA
Tarleton
#42
L
59-66
59
66
-7
H20/11
NCAA
Sacramento State
#329
W
74-71
74
71
+3
A22/11
NCAA
Appalachian State
#14
L
58-78
58
78
-20
A26/11
NCAA
Morehead State
#34
L
50-61
50
61
-11
H30/11
NCAA
Tennessee State
#176
L
65-69
65
69
-4
A03/12
NCAA
Midway
#486
W
98-44
98
44
+54
H06/12
NCAA
1H
2H
42-37
48-35
15-42
30-25
39-21
40-31
27-38
36-33
35-37
24-29
35-44
39-27
24-44
34-34
27-27
23-34
42-32
23-37
46-13
52-31
133.2Avg total
68.1Scored
65.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)68.165.1133.2+3.040%
Season at home (5)75.259.0134.2+16.260%
Season away (5)61.071.2132.2-10.220%
Last 10 (10)68.165.1133.2+3.040%
Last 5 (5)69.064.6133.6+4.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)61.674.9136.6-13.310%
vs Similar ◀ (6)64.568.5133.0-4.017%
vs Weaker (3)83.755.7139.3+28.0100%
This opponent (Murray State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Murray StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Valparaiso
#306
W
77-76 OT
77
76
+1
H26/02
NCAA
Valparaiso
#306
W
78-50
78
50
+28
H03/03
NCAA
Drake
#24
L
62-74
62
74
-12
A04/03
NCAA
Midway
#486
W
91-58
91
58
+33
H07/11
NCAA
Tennessee Tech
#322
W
78-72
78
72
+6
H11/11
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#84
L
81-86
81
86
-5
H15/11
NCAA
NC Wilmington
#60
L
81-83 OT
81
83
-2
A20/11
NCAA
Appalachian State
#14
L
57-67
57
67
-10
H22/11
NCAA
Bradley
#71
W
79-72
79
72
+7
H30/11
NCAA
Illinois State
#240
L
72-76
72
76
-4
A03/12
NCAA
1H
2H
33-32
32-33
38-25
40-25
31-33
31-41
54-33
37-25
36-26
42-46
34-43
47-43
37-35
35-37
28-33
29-34
42-32
37-40
33-35
39-41
147.0Avg total
75.6Scored
71.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)77.073.4150.4+3.643%
Season at home (5)77.271.0148.2+6.260%
Season away (2)76.579.5156.0-3.00%
Last 10 (10)75.671.4147.0+4.250%
Last 5 (5)74.076.8150.8-2.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)67.677.5145.1-9.927%
vs Similar ◀ (10)72.771.9144.6+0.860%
vs Weaker (5)77.861.8139.6+16.0100%
This opponent (Austin Peay) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-5-2+0+2+51st half1st half: -0.3-0.31st half: +3.9+3.92nd half2nd half: +3.3+3.32nd half: +0.4+0.4
-5-2+0+2+51st half1st half: -0.3-0.31st half: +3.9+3.92nd half2nd half: +3.3+3.32nd half: +0.4+0.4
Austin PeayMurray State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Austin PeayLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Life University
#409
W
42-37
42
37
+5
H07/11
NCAA
George Mason
#106
L
15-42
15
42
-27
A11/11
NCAA
Fisk
#423
W
39-21
39
21
+18
H15/11
NCAA
UTEP
#185
L
27-38
27
38
-11
A18/11
NCAA
Tarleton
#42
L
35-37
35
37
-2
H20/11
NCAA
Sacramento State
#329
L
35-44
35
44
-9
A22/11
NCAA
Appalachian State
#14
L
24-44
24
44
-20
A26/11
NCAA
Morehead State
#34
D
27-27
27
27
+0
H30/11
NCAA
Tennessee State
#176
W
42-32
42
32
+10
A03/12
NCAA
Midway
#486
W
46-13
46
13
+33
H06/12
NCAA
66.7Avg total
33.2Scored
33.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.535.366.8-3.840%-
Last 30 at home (14)33.230.964.1+2.350%-
Last 30 away (16)29.939.169.1-9.231%-
Last 10 (10)33.233.566.7-0.340%-
Last 5 (5)34.832.066.8+2.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)29.636.466.0-6.835%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)31.736.067.7-4.333%-
vs Weaker (3)40.026.066.0+14.067%-
This opponent (Murray State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Murray StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Valparaiso
#306
W
33-32
33
32
+1
H26/02
NCAA
Valparaiso
#306
W
38-25
38
25
+13
H03/03
NCAA
Drake
#24
L
31-33
31
33
-2
A04/03
NCAA
Midway
#486
W
54-33
54
33
+21
H07/11
NCAA
Tennessee Tech
#322
W
36-26
36
26
+10
H11/11
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#84
L
34-43
34
43
-9
H15/11
NCAA
NC Wilmington
#60
W
37-35
37
35
+2
A20/11
NCAA
Appalachian State
#14
L
28-33
28
33
-5
H22/11
NCAA
Bradley
#71
W
42-32
42
32
+10
H30/11
NCAA
Illinois State
#240
L
33-35
33
35
-2
A03/12
NCAA
69.3Avg total
36.6Scored
32.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.734.367.9-0.643%-
Last 30 at home (17)35.533.568.9+2.059%-
Last 30 away (13)31.335.366.6-4.023%-
Last 10 (10)36.632.769.3+3.960%-
Last 5 (5)34.835.670.4-0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)32.736.369.1-3.627%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)33.435.068.4-1.650%-
vs Weaker (5)37.026.663.6+10.480%-
This opponent (Austin Peay) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Austin Peay wins
6
Murray State wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/12/23HMidway98-44
03/12/23ATennessee State65-69
30/11/23HMorehead State50-61
26/11/23AAppalachian State58-78
22/11/23ASacramento State74-71
20/11/23HTarleton59-66
18/11/23AUTEP63-71
15/11/23HFisk79-52
11/11/23AGeorge Mason45-67
07/11/23HLife University90-72
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/12/23AIllinois State72-76
30/11/23HBradley79-72
22/11/23HAppalachian State57-67
20/11/23ANC Wilmington81-83 OT
15/11/23HWestern Kentucky81-86
11/11/23HTennessee Tech78-72
07/11/23HMidway91-58
04/03/23ADrake62-74
03/03/23HValparaiso78-50
26/02/23HValparaiso77-76 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Austin Peay
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW40%
HomeWWLLW60%
AwayLLWLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %40%60%20%
Points / game68.175.261.0
Allowed / game65.159.071.2
Point differential+3.0+16.2-10.2
Avg total133.2134.2132.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%60%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Murray State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL43%
HomeWWLLW60%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games752
Win %43%60%0%
Points / game77.077.276.5
Allowed / game73.471.079.5
Point differential+3.6+6.2-3.0
Avg total150.4148.2156.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%20%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %14%0%50%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

ASUN conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Jacksonville75271%76.771.9+4.9
2 North Alabama95456%80.773.8+6.9
3 Stetson95456%73.769.4+4.2
4 Lipscomb116555%80.575.3+5.3
5 North Florida116555%77.272.0+5.2
6 Queens Royals116555%82.377.5+4.8
7 Eastern Kentucky73443%87.177.9+9.3
8 Austin Peay104640%68.165.1+3.0
9 Bellarmine114736%70.868.0+2.8
10 Florida Gulf Coast113827%68.974.8-5.9
11 Central Arkansas112918%70.277.1-6.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Indiana State109190%88.570.9+17.6
2 Drake98189%79.269.7+9.6
3 Evansville97278%82.271.4+10.8
4 Southern Illinois86275%78.265.4+12.9
5 Belmont107370%81.279.5+1.7
6 Illinois (Chi.)96367%72.261.1+11.1
7 Bradley96367%72.770.8+1.9
8 Illinois State106460%66.265.6+0.6
9 Murray State73443%77.073.4+3.6
10 Valparaiso104640%67.870.0-2.2
11 Northern Iowa103730%76.175.9+0.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Austin Peay282553
Murray State262349
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