PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Australia vs Iran Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 16 Aug 2025
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 92-48
27-20 24-9 29-8 12-11
Position#1
Record10-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game99.7
Allowed / game65.0
vs
Position#3
Record9-1
FormWWWWW
Points / game76.8
Allowed / game54.5
EuropeAsia CupAsia Cup - Semi-finals· King Abdullah Sports City
Other2023Neutral venue
Meetings · Australia v Iran
28 Feb 2027
AUST v IRAN
upcoming
16 Aug 2025
AUST92
IRAN48
29 Aug 2022
AUST98
IRAN68
30 Nov 2018
AUST76
IRAN47
30 Jul 2010
AUST69
IRAN60
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Australia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Iran winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAustralia
Date
Competition
South Korea
#8
W
85-71
85
71
+14
no box
H22/02
Asia Cup
Indonesia
#29
W
106-51
106
51
+55
no box
A25/02
Asia Cup
Thailand
#12
W
101-48
101
48
+53
104avg 96
A21/11
Asia Cup
South Korea
#8
W
98-75
98
75
+23
99avg 96
A24/11
Asia Cup
Indonesia
#29
W
109-58
109
58
+51
109avg 96
H20/02
Asia Cup
Thailand
#12
W
114-64
114
64
+50
122avg 96
H23/02
Asia Cup
South Korea
#8
W
97-61
97
61
+36
93avg 96
H06/08
Asia Cup
Lebanon
#5
W
93-80
93
80
+13
91avg 96
A08/08
Asia Cup
Qatar
#13
W
110-82
110
82
+28
111avg 96
A10/08
Asia Cup
Philippines
#11
W
84-60
84
60
+24
78avg 96
H13/08
Asia Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-15
22-25
17-17
32-14
22-12
27-21
22-2
35-16
20-22
30-9
23-9
28-8
19-19
35-13
17-26
27-17
22-4
28-18
27-17
32-19
26-18
30-17
25-18
33-11
25-17
23-14
20-16
29-14
31-14
27-24
26-22
9-20
22-20
24-23
31-20
33-19
29-12
19-16
21-22
15-10
164.7Avg total
99.7Scored
65.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)99.765.0164.7+34.7100%
Season at home (5)97.862.8160.6+35.0100%
Season away (5)101.667.2168.8+34.4100%
Last 10 (10)99.765.0164.7+34.7100%
Last 5 (5)99.669.4169.0+30.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)87.079.0166.0+8.0100%
vs Weaker ◀ (28)89.663.3152.9+26.289%
This opponent (Iran) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
IranLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormIran
Date
Competition
Qatar
#13
W
76-74 OT
76
74
+2
no box
H23/02
Asia Cup
India
#23
W
86-53
86
53
+33
no box
A26/02
Asia Cup
Kazakhstan
#21
W
20-0
20
0
+20
no box
H22/11
Asia Cup
Qatar
#13
L
77-78 OT
77
78
-1
77avg 76
A25/11
Asia Cup
India
#23
W
106-55
106
55
+51
110avg 76
H21/02
Asia Cup
Kazakhstan
#21
W
88-45
88
45
+43
93avg 76
A24/02
Asia Cup
Guam
#14
W
77-52
77
52
+25
76avg 76
A06/08
Asia Cup
Japan
#6
W
78-70
78
70
+8
64avg 76
H08/08
Asia Cup
Syria
#20
W
82-43
82
43
+39
78avg 76
A10/08
Asia Cup
Chinese Taipei
#9
W
78-75
78
75
+3
66avg 76
H13/08
Asia Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-13
15-19
12-16
20-19
23-20
19-12
25-12
19-9
–
–
–
–
14-16
22-15
15-17
17-20
18-15
28-5
33-13
27-22
25-13
24-7
18-9
21-16
23-10
18-10
11-21
25-11
16-13
18-21
24-24
20-12
13-11
12-12
32-11
25-9
11-24
15-18
26-22
26-11
131.3Avg total
76.8Scored
54.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)76.854.5131.3+22.390%
Season at home (5)71.654.8126.4+16.8100%
Season away (5)82.054.2136.2+27.880%
Last 10 (10)76.854.5131.3+22.390%
Last 5 (5)80.657.0137.6+23.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)63.277.1140.3-13.918%
vs Similar (1)88.076.0164.0+12.0100%
vs Weaker (18)80.761.4142.1+19.383%
This opponent (Australia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-16-8+0+8+16Q1Q1: +7.7+7.7Q1: +3.1+3.1Q2Q2: +8.5+8.5Q2: +5.8+5.8Q3Q3: +6.0+6.0Q3: +5.7+5.7Q4Q4: +12.5+12.5Q4: +7.9+7.9
-16-8+0+8+16Q1Q1: +7.7+7.7Q1: +3.1+3.1Q2Q2: +8.5+8.5Q2: +5.8+5.8Q3Q3: +6.0+6.0Q3: +5.7+5.7Q4Q4: +12.5+12.5Q4: +7.9+7.9
AustraliaIran
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AustraliaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South Korea
#8
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H22/02
Asia Cup
Indonesia
#29
W
49-33
49
33
+16
A25/02
Asia Cup
Thailand
#12
W
50-31
50
31
+19
A21/11
Asia Cup
South Korea
#8
W
54-32
54
32
+22
A24/11
Asia Cup
Indonesia
#29
W
50-22
50
22
+28
H20/02
Asia Cup
Thailand
#12
W
56-35
56
35
+21
H23/02
Asia Cup
South Korea
#8
W
48-31
48
31
+17
H06/08
Asia Cup
Lebanon
#5
W
58-38
58
38
+20
A08/08
Asia Cup
Qatar
#13
W
46-43
46
43
+3
A10/08
Asia Cup
Philippines
#11
W
48-28
48
28
+20
H13/08
Asia Cup
82.8Avg total
49.5Scored
33.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)47.132.179.2+15.090%-
Last 30 at home (16)46.632.078.6+14.688%-
Last 30 away (13)47.732.279.9+15.592%-
Last 10 (10)49.533.382.8+16.290%-
Last 5 (5)51.235.086.2+16.2100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)43.531.074.5+12.5100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)47.432.279.6+15.289%-
This opponent (Iran) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
IranLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Qatar
#13
W
35-32
35
32
+3
H23/02
Asia Cup
India
#23
W
42-32
42
32
+10
A26/02
Asia Cup
Qatar
#13
W
36-31
36
31
+5
A25/11
Asia Cup
India
#23
W
46-20
46
20
+26
H21/02
Asia Cup
Kazakhstan
#21
W
49-20
49
20
+29
A24/02
Asia Cup
Guam
#14
W
41-20
41
20
+21
A06/08
Asia Cup
Japan
#6
D
34-34
34
34
+0
H08/08
Asia Cup
Syria
#20
W
25-23
25
23
+2
A10/08
Asia Cup
Chinese Taipei
#9
L
26-42
26
42
-16
H13/08
Asia Cup
65.3Avg total
37.1Scored
28.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (28)37.136.673.7+0.550%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.339.276.5-1.938%-
Last 30 away (12)36.833.169.9+3.867%-
Last 10 (9)37.128.265.3+8.978%-
Last 5 (5)35.027.862.8+7.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)34.243.277.4-9.020%-
vs Similar (1)48.034.082.0+14.0100%-
vs Weaker (17)38.232.871.0+5.465%-
This opponent (Australia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Australiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Australia: 98.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.2 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.3 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.825.6
57.1%
49.3%51.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.111.1
35.7%
32.7%33.3
🏀 Free throws19.514.4
73.8%
70.1%14.4
They take 75.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Irantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Iran: 83.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.8 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.419.6
54.0%
49.3%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.410.2
38.9%
32.7%30.8
🏀 Free throws20.013.0
65.0%
70.1%13.0
They take 62.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/8 games with a box score before 16 Aug 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Australia
WWWWWWWWWW
Iran
WWWWWWLWWW
#1
League position
#3
+43.3
Net rating
+33.8
122.6
Offensive rating
112.9
79.3
Defensive rating
79.0
55.7%
Effective FG%
55.8%
40.0%
Opp. effective FG%
41.2%
14.1%
Turnover %
16.4%
39.7%
Off. rebound %
31.3%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.32
35.7%
3-point %
38.9%
66.8%
Assist %
65.7%
100%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence122.6 · 112.9Defence79.3 · 79.0Shooting55.7% · 55.8%3-point %35.7% · 38.9%Ball care14.1% · 16.4%Off. rebounds39.7% · 31.3%Free throws0.26 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)100% · 90%
■ Australia   ■ Iran
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Australia wins
2
Iran wins
DateGameScore
14/11/22Iran v Australia20-0
29/08/22Australia v Iran98-68
24/02/19Iran v Australia85-74
30/11/18Australia v Iran76-47
20/08/17Iran v Australia56-79
30/07/10Australia v Iran69-60
Australialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/08/25HPhilippines84-60
10/08/25AQatar110-82
08/08/25ALebanon93-80
06/08/25HSouth Korea97-61
23/02/25HThailand114-64
20/02/25HIndonesia109-58
24/11/24ASouth Korea98-75
21/11/24AThailand101-48
25/02/24AIndonesia106-51
22/02/24HSouth Korea85-71
Iranlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/08/25HChinese Taipei78-75
10/08/25ASyria82-43
08/08/25HJapan78-70
06/08/25AGuam77-52
24/02/25AKazakhstan88-45
21/02/25HIndia106-55
25/11/24AQatar77-78 OT
22/11/24HKazakhstan20-0
26/02/24AIndia86-53
23/02/24HQatar76-74 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Australia
Asia Cup 2023
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game99.797.8101.6
Allowed / game65.062.867.2
Point differential+34.7+35.0+34.4
Avg total164.7160.6168.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Iran
Asia Cup 2023
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW90%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWLWWW80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %90%100%80%
Points / game76.871.682.0
Allowed / game54.554.854.2
Point differential+22.3+16.8+27.8
Avg total131.3126.4136.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+60%40%80%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %20%20%20%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Australia10100100%99.765.0+34.7
2 China1110191%90.067.8+22.2
3 Iran109190%76.854.5+22.3
4 New Zealand119282%92.074.7+17.3
5 Lebanon118373%88.880.1+8.7
6 Japan107370%82.076.7+5.3
7 Jordan107370%75.971.9+4.0
8 South Korea117464%84.980.6+4.3
9 Chinese Taipei138562%85.379.8+5.5
10 Saudi Arabia106460%76.573.0+3.5
11 Philippines116555%84.977.8+7.1
12 Thailand158753%83.083.1-0.1
13 Qatar147750%72.972.9+0.1
14 Guam178947%71.180.4-9.3
15 Mongolia136746%76.979.2-2.2
16 Iraq167944%72.675.6-3.0
17 Malaysia73443%74.075.7-1.7
18 Kuwait52340%73.270.2+3.0
19 United Arab Emirates114736%71.074.5-3.5
20 Syria93633%72.280.7-8.4
21 Kazakhstan62433%53.567.7-14.2
22 Palestine113827%69.073.7-4.7
23 India113827%68.282.1-13.9
24 Vietnam41325%68.070.8-2.8
25 Bahrain82625%75.082.2-7.2
26 Hong Kong112918%65.682.8-17.2
27 Oman5050%57.674.8-17.2
28 Singapore5050%57.476.4-19.0
29 Indonesia6060%62.896.0-33.2
30 Tahiti4040%52.889.8-37.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Australia2724291292
Iran20981148
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.