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Australia vs Iran Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 28 Feb 2027
Tip-off: 11:00
Scheduled
Position#1
Record8-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game101.8
Allowed / game70.0
vs
Position#28
Record5-3
FormWWWLL
Points / game74.9
Allowed / game67.8
EuropeWorld CupRound 6
Other2027
Meetings · Australia v Iran
28 Feb 2027
AUST v IRAN
upcoming
16 Aug 2025
AUST92
IRAN48
29 Aug 2022
AUST98
IRAN68
30 Nov 2018
AUST76
IRAN47
30 Jul 2010
AUST69
IRAN60
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Australia win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Iran win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Iran
#3
W
92-48
92
48
+44
H16/08
Asia Cup
China
#2
W
90-89
90
89
+1
H17/08
Asia Cup
New Zealand
#15
W
84-79
84
79
+5
H28/11
World Cup
New Zealand
#15
W
79-77
79
77
+2
A01/12
World Cup
Guam
#93
W
93-80
93
80
+13
A26/02
World Cup
Philippines
#45
W
93-66
93
66
+27
A01/03
World Cup
Guam
#93
W
124-52
124
52
+72
H03/07
World Cup
Philippines
#45
W
92-49
92
49
+43
H06/07
World Cup
Syria
#76
W
123-64
123
64
+59
A28/08
World Cup
Jordan
#26
W
126-93
126
93
+33
H30/08
World Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-20
24-9
29-8
12-11
17-25
25-21
26-25
22-18
28-25
14-24
24-18
18-12
23-21
16-16
18-25
22-15
17-17
29-16
27-26
20-21
14-13
24-20
30-20
25-13
32-16
33-10
28-18
31-8
33-14
8-13
22-10
29-12
27-16
36-11
30-16
30-21
29-16
34-25
28-23
35-29
169.3Avg total
99.6Scored
69.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)101.870.0171.8+31.8100%
Season at home (4)106.568.2174.8+38.2100%
Season away (4)97.071.8168.8+25.2100%
Last 10 (10)99.669.7169.3+29.9100%
Last 5 (5)111.664.8176.4+46.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)94.667.0161.6+27.690%
This opponent (Iran) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
IranLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Australia
#1
L
48-92
48
92
-44
A16/08
Asia Cup
New Zealand
#4
W
79-73
79
73
+6
H17/08
Asia Cup
Iraq
#90
W
94-68
94
68
+26
H27/11
World Cup
Iraq
#90
W
86-71
86
71
+15
A30/11
World Cup
Jordan
#26
L
60-73
60
73
-13
H27/02
World Cup
Syria
#76
W
72-68
72
68
+4
H29/06
World Cup
Jordan
#26
W
67-49
67
49
+18
A02/07
World Cup
Syria
#76
W
73-52
73
52
+21
A05/07
World Cup
New Zealand
#15
L
91-93 OT
91
93
-2
H28/08
World Cup
Philippines
#45
L
56-68
56
68
-12
A30/08
World Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-27
9-24
8-29
11-12
28-20
19-13
19-21
13-19
24-19
25-8
27-19
18-22
21-25
21-13
19-12
25-21
14-17
11-12
18-17
17-27
21-12
17-19
12-25
22-12
17-11
12-11
23-8
15-19
17-5
14-15
23-10
19-22
19-21
20-17
22-28
19-14
18-7
16-29
13-13
9-19
143.3Avg total
72.6Scored
70.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)74.967.8142.6+7.162%
Season at home (4)79.275.5154.8+3.850%
Season away (4)70.560.0130.5+10.575%
Last 10 (10)72.670.7143.3+1.960%
Last 5 (5)71.866.0137.8+5.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)66.078.2144.2-12.212%
vs Similar (1)79.073.0152.0+6.0100%
vs Weaker (21)79.161.0140.1+18.186%
This opponent (Australia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +6.4+6.4Q1: +3.5+3.5Q2Q2: +7.8+7.8Q2: +0.3+0.3Q3Q3: +7.3+7.3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: +8.4+8.4Q4: -1.9-1.9
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +6.4+6.4Q1: +3.5+3.5Q2Q2: +7.8+7.8Q2: +0.3+0.3Q3Q3: +7.3+7.3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: +8.4+8.4Q4: -1.9-1.9
AustraliaIran
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AustraliaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Iran
#3
W
51-29
51
29
+22
H16/08
Asia Cup
China
#2
L
42-46
42
46
-4
H17/08
Asia Cup
New Zealand
#15
L
42-49
42
49
-7
H28/11
World Cup
New Zealand
#15
W
39-37
39
37
+2
A01/12
World Cup
Guam
#93
W
46-33
46
33
+13
A26/02
World Cup
Philippines
#45
W
38-33
38
33
+5
A01/03
World Cup
Guam
#93
W
65-26
65
26
+39
H03/07
World Cup
Philippines
#45
W
41-27
41
27
+14
H06/07
World Cup
Syria
#76
W
63-27
63
27
+36
A28/08
World Cup
Jordan
#26
W
63-41
63
41
+22
H30/08
World Cup
83.8Avg total
49.0Scored
34.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)49.034.483.4+14.783%-
Last 30 at home (17)49.233.983.1+15.376%-
Last 30 away (12)48.835.183.9+13.892%-
Last 10 (10)49.034.883.8+14.280%-
Last 5 (5)54.030.884.8+23.2100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (29)49.034.483.4+14.783%-
This opponent (Iran) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
IranLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Australia
#1
L
29-51
29
51
-22
A16/08
Asia Cup
New Zealand
#4
W
47-33
47
33
+14
H17/08
Asia Cup
Iraq
#90
W
49-27
49
27
+22
H27/11
World Cup
Iraq
#90
W
42-38
42
38
+4
A30/11
World Cup
Jordan
#26
L
25-29
25
29
-4
H27/02
World Cup
Syria
#76
W
38-31
38
31
+7
H29/06
World Cup
Jordan
#26
W
29-22
29
22
+7
A02/07
World Cup
Syria
#76
W
31-20
31
20
+11
A05/07
World Cup
New Zealand
#15
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H28/08
World Cup
Philippines
#45
L
34-36
34
36
-2
A30/08
World Cup
68.8Avg total
36.3Scored
32.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)36.733.470.1+3.359%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.936.073.9+1.950%-
Last 30 away (13)35.230.265.5+5.069%-
Last 10 (10)36.332.568.8+3.870%-
Last 5 (5)34.229.463.6+4.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)31.837.969.6-6.125%-
vs Similar (1)47.033.080.0+14.0100%-
vs Weaker (20)38.131.669.8+6.570%-
This opponent (Australia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Australiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Australia: 98.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.6 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.3 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 15% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.025.3
57.5%
-50.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.411.1
36.5%
-33.3
🏀 Free throws20.214.3
70.8%
-14.3
They take 74.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Irantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Iran: 79.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.4 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.8 pts a game · 15% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.918.2
52.1%
-36.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.810.4
36.1%
-31.2
🏀 Free throws17.911.8
65.9%
-11.8
They take 63.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Feb 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Australia
WWWWWWWWWW
Iran
LLWWWLWWWL
#1
League position
#28
+40.6
Net rating
+22.6
123.0
Offensive rating
108.2
82.4
Defensive rating
85.5
56.4%
Effective FG%
53.1%
39.9%
Opp. effective FG%
43.8%
13.6%
Turnover %
16.8%
38.1%
Off. rebound %
29.9%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.28
36.5%
3-point %
36.1%
63.7%
Assist %
64.7%
100%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Form (last 10/10)100% · 60%
■ Australia   ■ Iran
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Australia wins
2
Iran wins
DateGameScore
16/08/25Australia v Iran92-48
14/11/22Iran v Australia20-0
29/08/22Australia v Iran98-68
24/02/19Iran v Australia85-74
30/11/18Australia v Iran76-47
20/08/17Iran v Australia56-79
30/07/10Australia v Iran69-60
Australialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/08/26HJordan126-93
28/08/26ASyria123-64
06/07/26HPhilippines92-49
03/07/26HGuam124-52
01/03/26APhilippines93-66
26/02/26AGuam93-80
01/12/25ANew Zealand79-77
28/11/25HNew Zealand84-79
17/08/25HChina90-89
16/08/25HIran92-48
Iranlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/08/26APhilippines56-68
28/08/26HNew Zealand91-93 OT
05/07/26ASyria73-52
02/07/26AJordan67-49
29/06/26HSyria72-68
27/02/26HJordan60-73
30/11/25AIraq86-71
27/11/25HIraq94-68
17/08/25HNew Zealand79-73
16/08/25AAustralia48-92

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Australia
World Cup 2027
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game101.8106.597.0
Allowed / game70.068.271.8
Point differential+31.8+38.2+25.2
Avg total171.8174.8168.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%75%75%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Iran
World Cup 2027
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL62%
HomeWLWL50%
AwayWWWL75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %62%50%75%
Points / game74.979.270.5
Allowed / game67.875.560.0
Point differential+7.1+3.8+10.5
Avg total142.6154.8130.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%25%75%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %12%25%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Australia880100%101.870.0+31.8
2 Costa Rica550100%81.455.4+26.0
3 Canada880100%100.981.1+19.8
4 Turkey880100%91.972.6+19.2
5 Croatia1211192%99.273.5+25.8
6 France87188%85.171.6+13.5
7 Poland87188%95.882.2+13.5
8 Germany87188%93.682.1+11.5
9 Dominican Republic65183%93.377.8+15.5
10 Mexico65183%93.781.8+11.8
11 Senegal97278%86.370.6+15.8
12 South Sudan97278%82.068.6+13.4
13 Ivory Coast97278%88.276.1+12.1
14 Cameroon97278%76.471.6+4.9
15 New Zealand86275%97.279.8+17.5
16 Japan86275%91.074.8+16.2
17 Argentina86275%87.271.5+15.8
18 Lebanon86275%89.674.6+15.0
19 Brazil86275%90.878.1+12.6
20 Uruguay86275%84.473.4+11.0
21 Serbia86275%87.178.1+9.0
22 Ukraine129375%83.275.9+7.3
23 Angola96367%86.873.0+13.8
24 Guinea96367%75.266.1+9.1
25 Mali96367%81.478.0+3.4
26 Jordan85362%85.571.0+14.5
27 Spain85362%90.178.8+11.4
28 Iran85362%74.967.8+7.1
29 Italy85362%83.076.9+6.1
30 China85362%84.581.6+2.9
31 Georgia85362%85.582.6+2.9
32 Finland85362%80.679.2+1.4
33 El Salvador53260%64.871.8-7.0
34 Romania148657%76.976.6+0.3
35 Nigeria95456%79.976.9+3.0
36 Tunisia95456%71.769.9+1.8
37 Portugal84450%83.879.5+4.2
38 Hungary126650%80.977.9+3.0
39 Greece84450%77.174.5+2.6
40 Latvia84450%83.481.2+2.1
41 Lithuania84450%85.984.6+1.2
42 Bahamas84450%93.292.1+1.1
43 Switzerland168850%73.172.8+0.3
44 Slovenia84450%84.083.8+0.2
45 Philippines84450%76.976.8+0.1
46 South Korea84450%78.479.1-0.8
47 Sweden84450%81.183.5-2.4
48 Ireland63350%75.778.3-2.7
49 Czech Republic63350%81.386.2-4.8
50 Qatar84450%75.981.5-5.6
51 Montenegro84450%71.879.1-7.4
52 Armenia42250%86.596.0-9.5
53 Egypt94544%75.973.1+2.8
54 Austria146843%83.084.9-1.9
55 Colombia73443%83.691.4-7.9
56 Netherlands125742%82.181.1+1.0
57 Bosnia & Herzegovina83538%78.177.1+1.0
58 Estonia83538%80.483.0-2.6
59 Saudi Arabia83538%76.479.6-3.2
60 Iceland83538%81.293.8-12.5
61 Cape Verde93633%75.681.3-5.8
62 Chinese Taipei62433%77.284.5-7.3
63 Kosovo62433%73.781.5-7.8
64 Jamaica62433%86.3102.8-16.5
65 D.R. Congo93633%68.885.7-16.9
66 Chile72529%71.380.6-9.3
67 Israel82625%79.283.5-4.2
68 Puerto Rico82625%85.990.2-4.4
69 Slovakia41325%75.580.8-5.2
70 Luxembourg41325%67.874.0-6.2
71 Bulgaria41325%75.886.0-10.2
72 Albania41325%72.585.2-12.8
73 North Macedonia41325%69.582.5-13.0
74 Panama82625%75.488.9-13.5
75 Norway82625%66.981.0-14.1
76 Syria82625%66.889.9-23.1
77 Honduras51420%61.870.6-8.8
78 Guatemala51420%62.873.0-10.2
79 Denmark102820%73.186.8-13.7
80 Venezuela61517%79.087.5-8.5
81 Great Britain61517%80.290.5-10.3
82 Azerbaijan61517%67.580.8-13.3
83 Belgium6060%71.880.0-8.2
84 Rwanda6060%66.285.7-19.5
85 Libya6060%66.586.7-20.2
86 Uganda6060%64.086.5-22.5
87 Cuba6060%66.789.8-23.2
88 Nicaragua4040%72.095.5-23.5
89 Madagascar6060%73.797.7-24.0
90 Iraq6060%69.393.8-24.5
91 India6060%60.886.2-25.3
92 Cyprus6060%60.299.0-38.8
93 Guam6060%65.2104.5-39.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 93 teams: scroll the table.
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