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Australia vs Philippines Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 06 Jul 2026
Tip-off: 10:30
Final 92-49
33-14 8-13 22-10 29-12
Position#1
Record5-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game94.6
Allowed / game70.8
vs
Position#45
Record2-3
FormWWLLL
Points / game83.2
Allowed / game77.0
EuropeWorld CupRound 6· RAC Arena
Other2027
Meetings · Australia v Philippines
06 Jul 2026
AUST92
PHIL49
13 Aug 2025
AUST84
PHIL60
22 Feb 2018
AUST84
PHIL68
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Australia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Philippines winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAustralia
Date
Competition
Lebanon
#5
W
93-80
93
80
+13
91avg 92
A08/08
Asia Cup
Qatar
#13
W
110-82
110
82
+28
111avg 92
A10/08
Asia Cup
Philippines
#11
W
84-60
84
60
+24
78avg 92
H13/08
Asia Cup
Iran
#3
W
92-48
92
48
+44
95avg 92
H16/08
Asia Cup
China
#2
W
90-89
90
89
+1
80avg 92
H17/08
Asia Cup
New Zealand
#15
W
84-79
84
79
+5
no box
H28/11
World Cup
New Zealand
#15
W
79-77
79
77
+2
no box
A01/12
World Cup
Guam
#93
W
93-80
93
80
+13
no box
A26/02
World Cup
Philippines
#45
W
93-66
93
66
+27
no box
A01/03
World Cup
Guam
#93
W
124-52
124
52
+72
no box
H03/07
World Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-14
27-24
26-22
9-20
22-20
24-23
31-20
33-19
29-12
19-16
21-22
15-10
27-20
24-9
29-8
12-11
17-25
25-21
26-25
22-18
28-25
14-24
24-18
18-12
23-21
16-16
18-25
22-15
17-17
29-16
27-26
20-21
14-13
24-20
30-20
25-13
32-16
33-10
28-18
31-8
165.5Avg total
94.2Scored
71.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)94.670.8165.4+23.8100%
Season at home (2)104.065.5169.5+38.5100%
Season away (3)88.374.3162.7+14.0100%
Last 10 (10)94.271.3165.5+22.9100%
Last 5 (5)94.670.8165.4+23.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (1)75.073.0148.0+2.0100%
vs Weaker ◀ (29)92.666.6159.2+26.190%
This opponent (Philippines) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PhilippinesLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPhilippines
Date
Competition
Chinese Taipei
#9
L
87-95
87
95
-8
83avg 71
A05/08
Asia Cup
New Zealand
#4
L
86-94
86
94
-8
74avg 71
H07/08
Asia Cup
Iraq
#16
W
66-57
66
57
+9
56avg 71
A09/08
Asia Cup
Saudi Arabia
#10
W
95-88 OT
95
88
+7
93avg 71
A11/08
Asia Cup
Australia
#1
L
60-84
60
84
-24
46avg 71
A13/08
Asia Cup
Guam
#93
W
87-46
87
46
+41
no box
A28/11
World Cup
Guam
#93
W
95-71
95
71
+24
no box
H01/12
World Cup
New Zealand
#15
L
66-69
66
69
-3
no box
H26/02
World Cup
Australia
#1
L
66-93
66
93
-27
no box
H01/03
World Cup
New Zealand
#15
L
102-106 OT
102
106
-4
no box
A03/07
World Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-27
18-16
28-30
25-22
18-23
23-32
27-19
18-20
12-18
21-15
22-7
11-17
25-15
15-22
20-22
19-20
12-29
16-19
22-21
10-15
17-17
23-12
24-7
23-10
32-15
18-21
22-19
23-16
21-25
16-12
9-20
20-12
13-14
20-24
20-30
13-25
17-23
22-21
25-19
19-20
161.3Avg total
81.0Scored
80.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)83.277.0160.2+6.240%
Season at home (3)75.777.7153.3-2.033%
Season away (2)94.576.0170.5+18.550%
Last 10 (10)81.080.3161.3+0.740%
Last 5 (5)83.277.0160.2+6.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)75.484.4159.8-9.129%
vs Similar (7)90.781.1171.9+9.657%
vs Weaker (9)85.759.4145.1+26.2100%
This opponent (Australia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +5.7+5.7Q1: -2.3-2.3Q2Q2: +5.6+5.6Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: +5.6+5.6Q3: +2.5+2.5Q4Q4: +6.0+6.0Q4: +0.4+0.4
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +5.7+5.7Q1: -2.3-2.3Q2Q2: +5.6+5.6Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: +5.6+5.6Q3: +2.5+2.5Q4Q4: +6.0+6.0Q4: +0.4+0.4
AustraliaPhilippines
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AustraliaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lebanon
#5
W
58-38
58
38
+20
A08/08
Asia Cup
Qatar
#13
W
46-43
46
43
+3
A10/08
Asia Cup
Philippines
#11
W
48-28
48
28
+20
H13/08
Asia Cup
Iran
#3
W
51-29
51
29
+22
H16/08
Asia Cup
China
#2
L
42-46
42
46
-4
H17/08
Asia Cup
New Zealand
#15
L
42-49
42
49
-7
H28/11
World Cup
New Zealand
#15
W
39-37
39
37
+2
A01/12
World Cup
Guam
#93
W
46-33
46
33
+13
A26/02
World Cup
Philippines
#45
W
38-33
38
33
+5
A01/03
World Cup
Guam
#93
W
65-26
65
26
+39
H03/07
World Cup
83.7Avg total
47.5Scored
36.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)48.134.382.4+13.883%-
Last 30 at home (16)48.834.182.9+14.875%-
Last 30 away (13)47.234.681.8+12.692%-
Last 10 (10)47.536.283.7+11.380%-
Last 5 (5)46.035.681.6+10.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (1)38.028.066.0+10.0100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (28)48.534.583.0+13.982%-
This opponent (Philippines) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PhilippinesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chinese Taipei
#9
L
34-43
34
43
-9
A05/08
Asia Cup
New Zealand
#4
L
41-55
41
55
-14
H07/08
Asia Cup
Iraq
#16
D
33-33
33
33
+0
A09/08
Asia Cup
Saudi Arabia
#10
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A11/08
Asia Cup
Australia
#1
L
28-48
28
48
-20
A13/08
Asia Cup
Guam
#93
W
40-29
40
29
+11
A28/11
World Cup
Guam
#93
W
50-36
50
36
+14
H01/12
World Cup
New Zealand
#15
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H26/02
World Cup
Australia
#1
L
33-38
33
38
-5
H01/03
World Cup
New Zealand
#15
L
39-44
39
44
-5
A03/07
World Cup
77.5Avg total
37.5Scored
40.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.739.679.3+0.137%-
Last 30 at home (13)42.538.581.0+3.938%-
Last 30 away (17)37.640.477.9-2.835%-
Last 10 (10)37.540.077.5-2.530%-
Last 5 (5)39.836.876.6+3.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)35.943.379.1-7.47%-
vs Similar (7)41.041.082.0+0.029%-
vs Weaker (9)44.732.777.3+12.089%-
This opponent (Australia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Australiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Australia: 98.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.6 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.3 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 15% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.025.3
57.5%
-50.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.411.1
36.5%
-33.3
🏀 Free throws20.214.3
70.8%
-14.3
They take 74.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Philippinestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Philippines: 83.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.8 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.0 pts a game · 14% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.722.9
50.1%
-45.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.38.4
31.9%
-25.2
🏀 Free throws16.812.0
71.4%
-12.0
They take 72.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Jul 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Australia
WWWWWWWWWW
Philippines
LLLWWLWWLL
#1
League position
#45
+40.6
Net rating
+6.1
123.0
Offensive rating
110.9
82.4
Defensive rating
104.8
56.4%
Effective FG%
49.3%
39.9%
Opp. effective FG%
49.4%
13.6%
Turnover %
12.8%
38.1%
Off. rebound %
35.7%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.23
36.5%
3-point %
31.9%
63.7%
Assist %
64.5%
100%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Form (last 10/10)100% · 40%
■ Australia   ■ Philippines
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Australia wins
0
Philippines wins
DateGameScore
01/03/26Philippines v Australia66-93
13/08/25Australia v Philippines84-60
02/07/18Philippines v Australia53-89
22/02/18Australia v Philippines84-68
Australialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/07/26HGuam124-52
01/03/26APhilippines93-66
26/02/26AGuam93-80
01/12/25ANew Zealand79-77
28/11/25HNew Zealand84-79
17/08/25HChina90-89
16/08/25HIran92-48
13/08/25HPhilippines84-60
10/08/25AQatar110-82
08/08/25ALebanon93-80
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/07/26ANew Zealand102-106 OT
01/03/26HAustralia66-93
26/02/26HNew Zealand66-69
01/12/25HGuam95-71
28/11/25AGuam87-46
13/08/25AAustralia60-84
11/08/25ASaudi Arabia95-88 OT
09/08/25AIraq66-57
07/08/25HNew Zealand86-94
05/08/25AChinese Taipei87-95

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Australia
World Cup 2027
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWW100%
AwayWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game94.6104.088.3
Allowed / game70.865.574.3
Point differential+23.8+38.5+14.0
Avg total165.4169.5162.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+60%50%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Philippines
World Cup 2027
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL40%
HomeWLL33%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %40%33%50%
Points / game83.275.794.5
Allowed / game77.077.776.0
Point differential+6.2-2.0+18.5
Avg total160.2153.3170.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%33%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %20%0%50%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Costa Rica550100%81.455.4+26.0
2 Australia550100%94.670.8+23.8
3 Canada550100%101.682.6+19.0
4 Brazil550100%91.674.4+17.2
5 Poland550100%94.878.4+16.4
6 Turkey550100%87.274.0+13.2
7 Croatia98189%96.969.8+27.1
8 Jordan65183%85.060.0+25.0
9 Senegal65183%88.267.7+20.5
10 Ivory Coast65183%94.875.2+19.7
11 Argentina65183%86.266.7+19.5
12 Lebanon65183%89.572.3+17.2
13 Spain65183%87.771.2+16.5
14 Uruguay65183%83.568.2+15.3
15 Iran65183%75.363.5+11.8
16 Italy65183%87.376.8+10.5
17 Mali65183%80.774.3+6.3
18 Cameroon65183%76.771.8+4.8
19 Japan54180%84.073.8+10.2
20 Germany54180%88.680.2+8.4
21 France54180%81.473.6+7.8
22 Finland54180%79.876.6+3.2
23 Mexico43175%92.882.8+10.0
24 Ukraine107370%81.974.6+7.3
25 South Sudan64267%82.765.3+17.3
26 New Zealand64267%93.278.8+14.3
27 Angola64267%84.772.5+12.2
28 Dominican Republic32167%88.778.3+10.3
29 Guinea64267%72.564.3+8.2
30 Tunisia64267%74.868.5+6.3
31 Qatar64267%80.074.3+5.7
32 Nigeria64267%79.774.7+5.0
33 Montenegro64267%68.572.3-3.8
34 Estonia53260%87.281.6+5.6
35 Slovenia53260%86.882.6+4.2
36 Serbia53260%85.081.4+3.6
37 El Salvador53260%64.871.8-7.0
38 Romania148657%76.976.6+0.3
39 Netherlands95456%79.975.7+4.2
40 Switzerland158753%73.271.3+1.9
41 Portugal63350%80.874.8+6.0
42 Lithuania63350%90.585.0+5.5
43 Greece63350%72.268.0+4.2
44 Egypt63350%77.773.7+4.0
45 Saudi Arabia63350%76.874.3+2.5
46 China63350%84.084.8-0.8
47 Cape Verde63350%79.881.8-2.0
48 Georgia63350%80.882.8-2.0
49 Ireland63350%75.778.3-2.7
50 Colombia42250%79.284.5-5.2
51 Iceland63350%84.089.7-5.7
52 Armenia42250%86.596.0-9.5
53 Austria136746%84.382.8+1.5
54 Hungary94544%80.478.4+2.0
55 Philippines52340%83.277.0+6.2
56 Israel52340%80.674.8+5.8
57 Bosnia & Herzegovina52340%78.673.8+4.8
58 Bahamas52340%90.289.2+1.0
59 South Korea52340%77.477.8-0.4
60 Latvia52340%78.079.8-1.8
61 Sweden52340%81.284.8-3.6
62 Czech Republic52340%82.688.8-6.2
63 Jamaica52340%88.0100.2-12.2
64 Chinese Taipei62433%77.284.5-7.3
65 Kosovo62433%73.781.5-7.8
66 Panama62433%75.887.5-11.7
67 Syria62433%66.078.3-12.3
68 D.R. Congo62433%66.382.5-16.2
69 Slovakia41325%75.580.8-5.2
70 Venezuela41325%80.586.2-5.8
71 Luxembourg41325%67.874.0-6.2
72 Bulgaria41325%75.886.0-10.2
73 Albania41325%72.585.2-12.8
74 North Macedonia41325%69.582.5-13.0
75 Norway82625%66.981.0-14.1
76 Puerto Rico51420%84.492.2-7.8
77 Chile51420%71.079.4-8.4
78 Honduras51420%61.870.6-8.8
79 Guatemala51420%62.873.0-10.2
80 Denmark102820%73.186.8-13.7
81 Great Britain61517%80.290.5-10.3
82 Azerbaijan61517%67.580.8-13.3
83 Belgium5050%72.279.0-6.8
84 Rwanda6060%66.285.7-19.5
85 Libya6060%66.586.7-20.2
86 Uganda6060%64.086.5-22.5
87 Cuba6060%66.789.8-23.2
88 Nicaragua3030%70.794.3-23.7
89 Madagascar6060%73.797.7-24.0
90 Iraq6060%69.393.8-24.5
91 India6060%60.886.2-25.3
92 Guam6060%65.2104.5-39.3
93 Cyprus5050%56.496.6-40.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 93 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Australia338222992
Philippines1413101249
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