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Australia W vs Canada W Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 01 Aug 2024
Tip-off: 11:30
Final 70-65
18-16 20-16 13-12 19-21
Position#3
Record3-1
FormWWWWL
Points / game70.5
Allowed / game63.8
Australia W 🏆
vs
Canada W
Position#8
Record4-3
FormWWLLL
Points / game69.4
Allowed / game62.3
EuropeOlympic Games Women· Stade Pierre-Mauroy
Women2024
Meetings · Australia W v Canada W
01 Aug 2024
AUST70
CANA65
01 Oct 2022
AUST95
CANA65
03 Oct 2014
AUST63
CANA52
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Australia W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Canada W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Australia WLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Philippines W
#7
W
105-34
105
34
+71
no box
H26/06
Asia Cup Women
Chinese Taipei W
#8
W
91-45
91
45
+46
no box
A27/06
Asia Cup Women
Japan W
#2
L
66-91
66
91
-25
no box
H28/06
Asia Cup Women
South Korea W
#5
W
91-64
91
64
+27
no box
H30/06
Asia Cup Women
China W
#1
L
60-74
60
74
-14
no box
A01/07
Asia Cup Women
New Zealand W
#4
W
81-59
81
59
+22
no box
H02/07
Asia Cup Women
Brazil W
#15
W
60-55
60
55
+5
53avg 69
A08/02
Olympic Games Women
Germany W
#5
W
85-52
85
52
+33
83avg 69
H10/02
Olympic Games Women
Serbia W
#9
W
75-73
75
73
+2
68avg 69
A11/02
Olympic Games Women
Nigeria W
#10
L
62-75
62
75
-13
58avg 69
A29/07
Olympic Games Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-7
26-16
22-5
27-6
19-12
22-12
29-16
21-5
21-15
11-29
19-26
15-21
31-16
21-17
19-21
20-10
11-18
21-17
11-18
17-21
22-14
17-14
24-17
18-14
19-16
14-7
16-24
11-8
24-10
30-14
21-21
10-7
12-22
23-12
16-14
24-25
17-18
11-23
19-10
15-24
139.8Avg total
77.6Scored
62.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)70.563.8134.2+6.875%
Season at home (1)85.052.0137.0+33.0100%
Season away (3)65.767.7133.3-2.067%
Last 10 (10)77.662.2139.8+15.470%
Last 5 (5)72.662.8135.4+9.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)63.876.0139.8-12.20%
vs Similar ◀ (1)60.074.0134.0-14.00%
vs Weaker (23)82.160.8142.9+21.387%
This opponent (Canada W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Canada WLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Argentina W
#7
W
68-60
68
60
+8
no box
H07/07
AmeriCup Women
USA W
#3
L
63-67
63
67
-4
no box
H09/07
AmeriCup Women
Puerto Rico W
#4
W
80-73
80
73
+7
no box
A09/07
AmeriCup Women
Venezuela W
#16
W
81-39
81
39
+42
79avg 67
H09/11
Olympic Games Women
Colombia W
#12
W
70-53
70
53
+17
67avg 67
A11/11
Olympic Games Women
Puerto Rico W
#14
W
77-68
77
68
+9
83avg 67
H12/11
Olympic Games Women
Hungary W
#11
W
67-55
67
55
+12
65avg 67
A08/02
Olympic Games Women
Spain W
#4
L
55-60
55
60
-5
48avg 67
H09/02
Olympic Games Women
Japan W
#13
L
82-86
82
86
-4
77avg 67
H11/02
Olympic Games Women
France W
#2
L
54-75
54
75
-21
50avg 67
H29/07
Olympic Games Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-20
20-10
16-21
14-9
17-22
12-17
21-15
13-13
22-17
16-20
26-21
16-15
23-8
19-7
22-10
17-14
17-13
17-18
18-8
18-14
18-12
25-13
22-27
12-16
25-11
16-19
14-9
12-16
12-16
13-20
23-9
7-15
20-20
26-30
21-20
15-16
18-15
2-23
16-15
18-22
133.3Avg total
69.7Scored
63.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)69.462.3131.7+7.157%
Season at home (5)69.865.6135.4+4.240%
Season away (2)68.554.0122.5+14.5100%
Last 10 (10)69.763.6133.3+6.160%
Last 5 (5)67.068.8135.8-1.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)58.582.0140.5-23.50%
vs Similar ◀ (1)66.076.0142.0-10.00%
vs Weaker (25)76.061.4137.4+14.672%
This opponent (Australia W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +5.8+5.8Q1: +3.6+3.6Q2Q2: +3.5+3.5Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: +2.4+2.4Q3: +4.4+4.4Q4Q4: +3.7+3.7Q4: -0.8-0.8
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +5.8+5.8Q1: +3.6+3.6Q2Q2: +3.5+3.5Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: +2.4+2.4Q3: +4.4+4.4Q4Q4: +3.7+3.7Q4: -0.8-0.8
Australia WCanada W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Australia WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Philippines W
#7
W
56-23
56
23
+33
H26/06
Asia Cup Women
Chinese Taipei W
#8
W
41-24
41
24
+17
A27/06
Asia Cup Women
Japan W
#2
L
32-44
32
44
-12
H28/06
Asia Cup Women
South Korea W
#5
W
52-33
52
33
+19
H30/06
Asia Cup Women
China W
#1
L
32-35
32
35
-3
A01/07
Asia Cup Women
New Zealand W
#4
W
39-28
39
28
+11
H02/07
Asia Cup Women
Brazil W
#15
W
33-23
33
23
+10
A08/02
Olympic Games Women
Germany W
#5
W
54-24
54
24
+30
H10/02
Olympic Games Women
Serbia W
#9
W
35-34
35
34
+1
A11/02
Olympic Games Women
Nigeria W
#10
L
28-41
28
41
-13
A29/07
Olympic Games Women
71.1Avg total
40.2Scored
30.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.932.973.8+8.170%-
Last 30 at home (17)40.932.873.7+8.271%-
Last 30 away (13)40.933.073.9+7.969%-
Last 10 (10)40.230.971.1+9.370%-
Last 5 (5)37.830.067.8+7.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)33.739.573.2-5.817%-
vs Similar ◀ (1)32.035.067.0-3.00%-
vs Weaker (23)43.231.074.3+12.287%-
This opponent (Canada W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Canada WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Argentina W
#7
W
38-30
38
30
+8
H07/07
AmeriCup Women
USA W
#3
L
29-39
29
39
-10
H09/07
AmeriCup Women
Puerto Rico W
#4
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A09/07
AmeriCup Women
Venezuela W
#16
W
42-15
42
15
+27
H09/11
Olympic Games Women
Colombia W
#12
W
34-31
34
31
+3
A11/11
Olympic Games Women
Puerto Rico W
#14
W
43-25
43
25
+18
H12/11
Olympic Games Women
Hungary W
#11
W
41-30
41
30
+11
A08/02
Olympic Games Women
Spain W
#4
L
25-36
25
36
-11
H09/02
Olympic Games Women
Japan W
#13
L
46-50
46
50
-4
H11/02
Olympic Games Women
France W
#2
L
20-38
20
38
-18
H29/07
Olympic Games Women
68.7Avg total
35.6Scored
33.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.531.869.3+5.667%-
Last 30 at home (18)36.633.369.9+3.256%-
Last 30 away (12)38.829.668.4+9.383%-
Last 10 (10)35.633.168.7+2.560%-
Last 5 (5)35.035.870.8-0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)29.243.072.2-13.80%-
vs Similar ◀ (1)34.040.074.0-6.00%-
vs Weaker (25)38.929.768.6+9.280%-
This opponent (Australia W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Australia Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Australia W: 77.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.0 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.7 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 70.9 points a game
52%
29%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.121.0
47.6%
45.1%42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.07.5
35.7%
30.1%22.5
🏀 Free throws17.012.7
74.7%
74.5%12.7
They take 65.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Canada Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Canada W: 69.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀21%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers14.7 pts a game · 21% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 70.9 points a game
52%
29%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.319.8
41.9%
45.1%39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.04.9
27.2%
30.1%14.7
🏀 Free throws19.515.0
76.9%
74.5%15.0
They take 65.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 18.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 28% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 01 Aug 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Australia W
LWWWWLWLWW
Canada W
LLLWWWWWLW
#3
League position
#8
+21.9
Net rating
+9.4
104.3
Offensive rating
94.3
82.4
Defensive rating
84.9
49.5%
Effective FG%
41.6%
40.5%
Opp. effective FG%
40.2%
20.5%
Turnover %
22.7%
35.7%
Off. rebound %
41.4%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.30
35.7%
3-point %
27.2%
62.1%
Assist %
59.5%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence104.3 · 94.3Defence82.4 · 84.9Shooting49.5% · 41.6%3-point %35.7% · 27.2%Ball care20.5% · 22.7%Off. rebounds35.7% · 41.4%Free throws0.26 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)70% · 60%
■ Australia W   ■ Canada W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Australia W wins
0
Canada W wins
DateGameScore
01/10/22Australia W v Canada W95-65
26/09/22Canada W v Australia W72-75
03/10/14Australia W v Canada W63-52
05/08/12Canada W v Australia W63-72
23/09/10Canada W v Australia W47-72
Australia Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/07/24ANigeria W62-75
11/02/24ASerbia W75-73
10/02/24HGermany W85-52
08/02/24ABrazil W60-55
02/07/23HNew Zealand W81-59
01/07/23AChina W60-74
30/06/23HSouth Korea W91-64
28/06/23HJapan W66-91
27/06/23AChinese Taipei W91-45
26/06/23HPhilippines W105-34
Canada Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/07/24HFrance W54-75
11/02/24HJapan W82-86
09/02/24HSpain W55-60
08/02/24AHungary W67-55
12/11/23HPuerto Rico W77-68
11/11/23AColombia W70-53
09/11/23HVenezuela W81-39
09/07/23APuerto Rico W80-73
09/07/23HUSA W63-67
07/07/23HArgentina W68-60

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Australia W
Olympic Games Women 2024
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWL75%
HomeW100%
AwayWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games413
Win %75%100%67%
Points / game70.585.065.7
Allowed / game63.852.067.7
Point differential+6.8+33.0-2.0
Avg total134.2137.0133.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)-100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Canada W
Olympic Games Women 2024
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL57%
HomeWWLLL40%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games752
Win %57%40%100%
Points / game69.469.868.5
Allowed / game62.365.654.0
Point differential+7.1+4.2+14.5
Avg total131.7135.4122.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%20%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 France W440100%84.845.8+39.0
2 USA W440100%96.060.0+36.0
3 Germany W54180%71.271.0+0.2
4 Spain W54180%72.272.8-0.6
5 Australia W43175%70.563.8+6.8
6 Serbia W53260%70.065.4+4.6
7 Canada W74357%69.462.3+7.1
8 Belgium W42250%80.872.8+8.0
9 Nigeria W42250%63.576.2-12.8
10 China W52340%79.473.8+5.6
11 Japan W52340%77.483.0-5.6
12 Puerto Rico W83538%63.574.2-10.8
13 Hungary W31233%69.371.7-2.3
14 Colombia W31233%69.774.0-4.3
15 Brazil W3030%63.768.3-4.7
16 Venezuela W3030%56.074.3-18.3
17 Senegal W3030%56.790.0-33.3
18 New Zealand W3030%51.085.7-34.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Australia W1820131970
Canada W1616122165
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