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Forli vs Avellino Basket Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 26 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 86-85
27-24 21-14 21-25 17-22
Position#6
Record19-13
FormLWWLW
Points / game77.5
Allowed / game75.8
Forli 🏆
Italy
vs
Position#11
Record18-14
FormLLWLW
Points / game79.1
Allowed / game79.4
ItalySerie A2Round 28· PalaGalassi
Other2024-25
Meetings · Forli v Avellino Basket
27 Mar 2027
FORL v AVEL
upcoming
25 Mar 2026
FORL73
AVEL71
26 Mar 2025
FORL86
AVEL85
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Forli winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Avellino Basket winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ForliItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormForli
Date
Competition
Libertas Livorno
#17
L
73-80
73
80
-7
61avg 70
A26/01
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#10
W
80-61
80
61
+19
78avg 70
H29/01
Serie A2
Cantu
#2
W
81-77
81
77
+4
74avg 70
A02/02
Serie A2
Udine
#1
W
82-76
82
76
+6
81avg 70
H09/02
Serie A2
Orzinuovi
#14
W
61-57
61
57
+4
54avg 70
A16/02
Serie A2
Nardo
#19
L
69-82
69
82
-13
58avg 70
H26/02
Serie A2
Vigevano
#18
W
78-76
78
76
+2
73avg 70
A02/03
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#16
W
83-82
83
82
+1
80avg 70
H09/03
Serie A2
Pesaro
#9
L
71-84
71
84
-13
56avg 70
A15/03
Serie A2
Assigeco Piacenza
#20
W
100-82
100
82
+18
94avg 70
A22/03
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-21
19-18
19-18
21-23
15-14
22-11
28-17
15-19
19-17
21-25
25-17
16-18
18-15
24-24
21-17
19-20
13-14
14-18
14-18
20-7
19-25
10-19
16-20
24-18
17-12
11-24
29-14
21-26
23-21
18-16
18-24
24-21
16-26
14-22
13-14
28-22
33-19
15-17
26-20
26-26
153.5Avg total
77.8Scored
75.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)77.575.8153.3+1.859%
Season at home (15)78.674.4153.0+4.267%
Season away (17)76.677.0153.6-0.453%
Last 10 (10)77.875.7153.5+2.170%
Last 5 (5)80.281.2161.4-1.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)78.580.0158.5-1.550%
vs Similar ◀ (22)75.874.6150.4+1.255%
vs Weaker (6)85.381.3166.7+4.083%
This opponent (Avellino Basket) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Avellino BasketItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBasket
Date
Competition
Vigevano
#18
L
69-79
69
79
-10
58avg 74
A26/01
Serie A2
Pesaro
#9
W
82-80
82
80
+2
77avg 74
H29/01
Serie A2
Udine
#1
L
91-100
91
100
-9
82avg 74
A02/02
Serie A2
Orzinuovi
#14
W
89-78
89
78
+11
85avg 74
H09/02
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#12
W
85-76
85
76
+9
83avg 74
A15/02
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
L
81-85
81
85
-4
76avg 74
H26/02
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#17
L
66-83
66
83
-17
56avg 74
A02/03
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#7
W
79-73
79
73
+6
70avg 74
H09/03
Serie A2
Cento
#15
L
78-79
78
79
-1
76avg 74
H15/03
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#4
W
93-92 OT
93
92
+1
92avg 74
A22/03
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-17
22-22
10-10
18-30
24-17
21-16
18-23
19-24
18-18
23-28
19-24
31-30
16-24
28-18
31-22
14-14
28-18
19-22
13-17
25-19
18-24
25-15
22-25
16-21
15-29
19-26
10-20
22-8
16-22
20-9
23-15
20-27
25-15
17-27
16-24
20-13
20-16
19-19
9-15
19-17
163.8Avg total
81.3Scored
82.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)79.179.4158.5-0.356%
Season at home (16)78.375.5153.8+2.862%
Season away (16)79.983.3163.2-3.450%
Last 10 (10)81.382.5163.8-1.250%
Last 5 (5)79.482.4161.8-3.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)75.086.3161.3-11.30%
vs Similar ◀ (21)79.479.3158.8+0.162%
vs Weaker (6)83.579.5163.0+4.067%
This opponent (Forli) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: -2.6-2.6Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: +3.0+3.0Q3: -2.4-2.4Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: +0.1+0.1
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: -2.6-2.6Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: +3.0+3.0Q3: -2.4-2.4Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: +0.1+0.1
ForliAvellino Basket
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ForliLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Libertas Livorno
#17
L
33-39
33
39
-6
A26/01
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#10
W
37-25
37
25
+12
H29/01
Serie A2
Cantu
#2
L
40-42
40
42
-2
A02/02
Serie A2
Udine
#1
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H09/02
Serie A2
Orzinuovi
#14
L
27-32
27
32
-5
A16/02
Serie A2
Nardo
#19
L
29-44
29
44
-15
H26/02
Serie A2
Vigevano
#18
L
28-36
28
36
-8
A02/03
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#16
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H09/03
Serie A2
Pesaro
#9
L
30-48
30
48
-18
A15/03
Serie A2
Assigeco Piacenza
#20
W
48-36
48
36
+12
A22/03
Serie A2
73.3Avg total
35.5Scored
37.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.436.975.3+1.660%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.335.373.6+3.071%-
Last 30 away (16)38.638.276.8+0.350%-
Last 10 (10)35.537.873.3-2.340%-
Last 5 (5)35.240.275.4-5.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)38.044.582.5-6.550%-
vs Similar ◀ (22)38.135.573.6+2.664%-
vs Weaker (6)39.739.379.0+0.350%-
This opponent (Avellino Basket) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Avellino BasketLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vigevano
#18
W
41-39
41
39
+2
A26/01
Serie A2
Pesaro
#9
W
45-33
45
33
+12
H29/01
Serie A2
Udine
#1
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A02/02
Serie A2
Orzinuovi
#14
W
44-42
44
42
+2
H09/02
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#12
W
47-40
47
40
+7
A15/02
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
W
43-39
43
39
+4
H26/02
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#17
L
34-55
34
55
-21
A02/03
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#7
W
36-31
36
31
+5
H09/03
Serie A2
Cento
#15
D
42-42
42
42
+0
H15/03
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#4
W
39-35
39
35
+4
A22/03
Serie A2
81.4Avg total
41.2Scored
40.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.840.178.9-1.447%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.737.576.1+1.260%-
Last 30 away (15)38.942.881.7-3.933%-
Last 10 (10)41.240.281.4+1.070%-
Last 5 (5)38.840.479.2-1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)34.341.075.3-6.70%-
vs Similar ◀ (21)37.839.577.3-1.743%-
vs Weaker (6)44.341.886.2+2.583%-
This opponent (Forli) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Forlitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Forli: 76.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.2 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.0 points a game
47%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.817.1
45.2%
50.1%34.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.89.6
35.8%
34.6%28.8
🏀 Free throws17.413.8
79.3%
74.4%13.8
They take 64.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Avellino Baskettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Avellino Basket: 80.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.0 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.0 points a game
47%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.521.5
48.3%
50.1%43.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.77.9
36.4%
34.6%23.7
🏀 Free throws17.314.0
80.9%
74.4%14.0
They take 66.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 26 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Forli
WLWWLWWWWL
Avellino Basket
WLWLLWWLWL
#6
League position
#11
+2.6
Net rating
-0.1
104.8
Offensive rating
111.8
102.2
Defensive rating
112.0
48.8%
Effective FG%
50.4%
49.4%
Opp. effective FG%
53.3%
17.7%
Turnover %
13.5%
31.2%
Off. rebound %
29.5%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.26
35.8%
3-point %
36.4%
61.8%
Assist %
55.8%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence104.8 · 111.8Defence102.2 · 112.0Shooting48.8% · 50.4%3-point %35.8% · 36.4%Ball care17.7% · 13.5%Off. rebounds31.2% · 29.5%Free throws0.27 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)70% · 50%
■ Forli   ■ Avellino Basket
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Forli wins
0
Avellino Basket wins
DateGameScore
20/10/24Avellino Basket v Forli64-73
Forlilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/03/25AAssigeco Piacenza100-82
15/03/25APesaro71-84
09/03/25HJuVi Cremona83-82
02/03/25AVigevano78-76
26/02/25HNardo69-82
16/02/25AOrzinuovi61-57
09/02/25HUdine82-76
02/02/25ACantu81-77
29/01/25HBasket Torino80-61
26/01/25ALibertas Livorno73-80
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/03/25ASebastiani Rieti93-92 OT
15/03/25HCento78-79
09/03/25HFortitudo Bologna79-73
02/03/25ALibertas Livorno66-83
26/02/25HCividale81-85
15/02/25AUrania Milano85-76
09/02/25HOrzinuovi89-78
02/02/25AUdine91-100
29/01/25HPesaro82-80
26/01/25AVigevano69-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Forli
Serie A2 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW59%
HomeWWWLW67%
AwayWWWLW53%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321517
Win %59%67%53%
Points / game77.578.676.6
Allowed / game75.874.477.0
Point differential+1.8+4.2-0.4
Avg total153.3153.0153.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+16%20%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won64% (14)50% (8)83% (6)
Overtime %9%13%6%
Avellino Basket
Serie A2 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW56%
HomeWWLWL62%
AwayLLWLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321616
Win %56%62%50%
Points / game79.178.379.9
Allowed / game79.475.583.3
Point differential-0.3+2.8-3.4
Avg total158.5153.8163.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (15)57% (7)75% (8)
Overtime %9%6%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Udine3224875%83.275.0+8.2
2 Rimini31211068%81.478.3+3.1
3 Cantu32201262%77.873.2+4.6
4 Fortitudo Bologna33201361%76.073.2+2.8
5 Sebastiani Rieti32191359%75.874.1+1.8
6 Forli32191359%77.575.8+1.8
7 Urania Milano32191359%76.575.0+1.6
8 Verona33191458%76.873.4+3.4
9 Cividale33191458%79.878.6+1.2
10 Avellino Basket32181456%79.179.4-0.3
11 Pesaro33181555%81.880.2+1.6
12 Brindisi33181555%76.875.8+1.1
13 Basket Torino33171652%75.875.2+0.7
14 Orzinuovi33132039%77.480.8-3.4
15 Cento33132039%72.977.8-4.8
16 JuVi Cremona32112134%80.282.3-2.2
17 Libertas Livorno33112233%74.676.6-2.0
18 Vigevano33112233%75.880.8-5.0
19 Nardo3292328%74.781.1-6.4
20 Assigeco Piacenza3362718%76.083.0-7.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Forli2721211786
Avellino Basket2414252285
← all games of the day
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