PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Nardo vs Cantu Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 02 Apr 2025
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 73-87
22-21 15-26 19-23 17-17
Position#19
Record10-23
FormLLWLW
Points / game74.6
Allowed / game80.7
Nardo
Italy
vs
Cantu 🏆
Italy
Position#2
Record21-12
FormWLWLW
Points / game77.9
Allowed / game73.3
ItalySerie A2Round 29· Palasport San Giuseppe da Copertino
Other2024-25
Meetings · Nardo v Cantu
02 Apr 2025
NARD73
KAN87
25 Feb 2024
NARD75
KAN80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nardo winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cantu winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NardoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNardo
Date
Competition
Verona
#8
W
81-78
81
78
+3
73avg 65
H29/01
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
L
87-91
87
91
-4
78avg 65
A01/02
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#12
L
79-81
79
81
-2
67avg 65
H09/02
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#4
L
74-87
74
87
-13
60avg 65
A15/02
Serie A2
Forli
#6
W
82-69
82
69
+13
77avg 65
A26/02
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#16
L
73-98
73
98
-25
57avg 65
A02/03
Serie A2
Brindisi
#13
L
65-76
65
76
-11
56avg 65
H09/03
Serie A2
Vigevano
#18
W
107-65
107
65
+42
109avg 65
H15/03
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#7
L
77-87
77
87
-10
73avg 65
A23/03
Serie A2
Assigeco Piacenza
#20
W
74-70
74
70
+4
64avg 65
H30/03
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-17
20-21
14-19
27-21
25-24
24-16
19-29
19-22
17-19
27-23
8-29
27-10
14-23
27-23
15-25
18-16
25-19
19-10
20-16
18-24
16-28
18-26
26-24
13-20
18-20
16-15
18-23
13-18
25-8
30-24
22-17
30-16
23-24
19-20
27-24
8-19
24-13
8-25
20-13
22-19
160.1Avg total
79.9Scored
80.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)74.680.7155.4-6.130%
Season at home (16)78.878.2157.0+0.550%
Season away (17)70.883.1153.8-12.312%
Last 10 (10)79.980.2160.1-0.340%
Last 5 (5)79.279.2158.4+0.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)74.580.2154.8-5.833%
vs Similar (6)76.376.7153.0-0.333%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Cantu) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CantuItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCantu
Date
Competition
Fortitudo Bologna
#7
L
57-74
57
74
-17
43avg 70
A29/01
Serie A2
Forli
#6
L
77-81
77
81
-4
68avg 70
H02/02
Serie A2
Cento
#15
L
72-77
72
77
-5
60avg 70
A09/02
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
W
78-77
78
77
+1
75avg 70
H12/02
Serie A2
Assigeco Piacenza
#20
W
87-68
87
68
+19
87avg 70
H16/02
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#17
W
87-62
87
62
+25
87avg 70
H26/02
Serie A2
Udine
#1
L
85-89
85
89
-4
73avg 70
A02/03
Serie A2
Rimini
#3
W
84-74
84
74
+10
82avg 70
H09/03
Serie A2
Brindisi
#13
L
79-84
79
84
-5
67avg 70
A23/03
Serie A2
Verona
#8
W
81-76
81
76
+5
77avg 70
H30/03
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-11
17-22
7-23
13-18
17-19
25-21
17-25
18-16
18-25
18-19
14-14
22-19
23-18
13-12
20-19
22-28
25-21
22-16
19-15
21-16
29-16
16-15
27-16
15-15
16-27
21-17
30-24
18-21
18-15
19-20
27-18
20-21
16-23
15-11
30-26
18-24
18-22
20-11
18-16
25-27
154.9Avg total
78.7Scored
76.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)77.973.3151.2+4.664%
Season at home (17)80.269.1149.4+11.182%
Season away (16)75.477.8153.1-2.444%
Last 10 (10)78.776.2154.9+2.550%
Last 5 (5)83.277.0160.2+6.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (11)77.679.5157.1-1.855%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)78.570.7149.2+7.868%
This opponent (Nardo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.2+1.2Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: +2.2+2.2Q3Q3: -3.0-3.0Q3: +1.3+1.3Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: -1.3-1.3
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.2+1.2Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: +2.2+2.2Q3Q3: -3.0-3.0Q3: +1.3+1.3Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: -1.3-1.3
NardoCantu
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NardoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Verona
#8
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H29/01
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
W
49-40
49
40
+9
A01/02
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#12
W
44-42
44
42
+2
H09/02
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#4
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A15/02
Serie A2
Forli
#6
W
44-29
44
29
+15
A26/02
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#16
L
34-54
34
54
-20
A02/03
Serie A2
Brindisi
#13
L
34-35
34
35
-1
H09/03
Serie A2
Vigevano
#18
W
55-32
55
32
+23
H15/03
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#7
L
42-44
42
44
-2
A23/03
Serie A2
Assigeco Piacenza
#20
L
32-38
32
38
-6
H30/03
Serie A2
81.3Avg total
41.5Scored
39.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.440.077.4-2.637%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.538.077.5+1.557%-
Last 30 away (16)35.641.777.2-6.119%-
Last 10 (10)41.539.881.3+1.750%-
Last 5 (5)39.440.680.0-1.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)38.040.378.3-2.342%-
vs Similar (6)35.038.773.7-3.717%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Cantu) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CantuLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fortitudo Bologna
#7
W
37-33
37
33
+4
A29/01
Serie A2
Forli
#6
W
42-40
42
40
+2
H02/02
Serie A2
Cento
#15
L
36-44
36
44
-8
A09/02
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
W
36-30
36
30
+6
H12/02
Serie A2
Assigeco Piacenza
#20
W
47-37
47
37
+10
H16/02
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#17
W
45-31
45
31
+14
H26/02
Serie A2
Udine
#1
L
37-44
37
44
-7
A02/03
Serie A2
Rimini
#3
W
37-35
37
35
+2
H09/03
Serie A2
Brindisi
#13
L
31-34
31
34
-3
A23/03
Serie A2
Verona
#8
W
38-33
38
33
+5
H30/03
Serie A2
74.7Avg total
38.6Scored
36.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.336.076.3+4.363%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.633.676.2+9.188%-
Last 30 away (14)37.638.776.4-1.136%-
Last 10 (10)38.636.174.7+2.570%-
Last 5 (5)37.635.473.0+2.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (11)36.438.875.2-2.536%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)42.634.376.9+8.379%-
This opponent (Nardo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Nardotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nardo: 79.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.4 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.8 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.9 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.0 points a game
47%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.717.2
51.0%
50.1%34.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.210.6
37.6%
34.6%31.8
🏀 Free throws16.012.9
80.6%
74.4%12.9
They take 61.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Cantutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cantu: 77.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.4 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.0 points a game
47%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.218.8
55.0%
50.1%37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.69.3
35.0%
34.6%27.9
🏀 Free throws17.612.4
70.5%
74.4%12.4
They take 60.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 02 Apr 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Nardo
WLWLLWLLLW
Cantu
WLWLWWWLLL
#19
League position
#2
-0.1
Net rating
+2.9
108.0
Offensive rating
108.9
108.1
Defensive rating
106.0
53.5%
Effective FG%
53.9%
50.0%
Opp. effective FG%
53.9%
18.4%
Turnover %
17.8%
26.1%
Off. rebound %
28.1%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.29
37.6%
3-point %
35.0%
47.1%
Assist %
55.5%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence108.0 · 108.9Defence108.1 · 106.0Shooting53.5% · 53.9%3-point %37.6% · 35.0%Ball care18.4% · 17.8%Off. rebounds26.1% · 28.1%Free throws0.26 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)40% · 50%
■ Nardo   ■ Cantu
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Nardo wins
2
Cantu wins
DateGameScore
05/01/25Cantu v Nardo69-60
25/02/24Nardo v Cantu75-80
Nardolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/03/25HAssigeco Piacenza74-70
23/03/25AFortitudo Bologna77-87
15/03/25HVigevano107-65
09/03/25HBrindisi65-76
02/03/25AJuVi Cremona73-98
26/02/25AForli82-69
15/02/25ASebastiani Rieti74-87
09/02/25HUrania Milano79-81
01/02/25ACividale87-91
29/01/25HVerona81-78
Cantulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/03/25HVerona81-76
23/03/25ABrindisi79-84
09/03/25HRimini84-74
02/03/25AUdine85-89
26/02/25HLibertas Livorno87-62
16/02/25HAssigeco Piacenza87-68
12/02/25HCividale78-77
09/02/25ACento72-77
02/02/25HForli77-81
29/01/25AFortitudo Bologna57-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Nardo
Serie A2 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW30%
HomeWLLWW50%
AwayLLWLL12%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games331617
Win %30%50%12%
Points / game74.678.870.8
Allowed / game80.778.283.1
Point differential-6.1+0.5-12.3
Avg total155.4157.0153.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%19%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)75% (4)0% (1)
Overtime %3%0%6%
Cantu
Serie A2 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW64%
HomeWWWWW82%
AwayLLLLL44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games331716
Win %64%82%44%
Points / game77.980.275.4
Allowed / game73.369.177.8
Point differential+4.6+11.1-2.4
Avg total151.2149.4153.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%53%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (14)75% (4)50% (10)
Overtime %3%0%6%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Udine3426876%83.474.9+8.5
2 Rimini33231070%81.677.8+3.8
3 Cantu33211264%77.973.3+4.6
4 Forli34211362%78.376.0+2.3
5 Fortitudo Bologna34201459%75.973.5+2.4
6 Sebastiani Rieti34201459%75.774.1+1.6
7 Cividale34201459%79.778.4+1.4
8 Verona34191556%76.873.6+3.1
9 Pesaro34191556%81.979.9+2.0
10 Urania Milano34191556%76.375.9+0.4
11 Basket Torino34181653%76.275.4+0.8
12 Brindisi34181653%76.775.9+0.8
13 Avellino Basket34181653%79.079.9-0.8
14 Orzinuovi34142041%77.480.5-3.1
15 Cento34132138%72.977.7-4.8
16 JuVi Cremona33112233%80.382.5-2.2
17 Libertas Livorno34112332%74.476.9-2.4
18 Vigevano34112332%75.680.7-5.1
19 Nardo33102330%74.680.7-6.1
20 Assigeco Piacenza3462818%75.882.7-6.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Nardo2215191773
Cantu2126231787
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.