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Avellino Basket vs Mestre Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 21 Mar 2027
Tip-off: 17:00
Scheduled
Position#2
Record8-1
FormWLWWW
Points / game82.2
Allowed / game74.7
vs
Form · last 5 games
6.5/10
Above normal
4.4/10
Below normal
Position#13
Record4-5
FormWLWWL
Points / game75.0
Allowed / game76.4
ItalySerie A2Round 31· Palasport Del Mauro
Other2026-27
Meetings · Avellino Basket v Mestre
21 Mar 2027
AVEL v MEST
upcoming
16 Nov 2025
AVEL75
MEST79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Avellino Basket win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Mestre win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Avellino BasketItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBasket
Date
Competition
Fortitudo Bologna
#4
L
61-93
61
93
-32
53avg 69
A17/05
Serie A2
Vigevano
#14
W
87-69
87
69
+18
86avg 69
H27/09
Serie A2
Rimini
#5
W
73-72
73
72
+1
23avg 69
A04/10
Serie A2
Forli
#9
W
94-81
94
81
+13
96avg 69
H11/10
Serie A2
Cividale
#12
W
77-62
77
62
+15
82avg 69
A17/10
Serie A2
Montecatini
#20
W
85-74
85
74
+11
105avg 69
H21/10
Serie A2
Brindisi
#6
L
70-83
70
83
-13
55avg 69
A25/10
Serie A2
Pesaro
#10
W
79-70
79
70
+9
78avg 69
H01/11
Serie A2
Caserta
#15
W
82-76
82
76
+6
no box
A08/11
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#19
W
93-85 OT
93
85
+8
no box
H11/11
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
9-28
19-17
15-26
18-22
29-10
26-16
11-23
21-20
23-23
11-22
21-11
18-16
25-19
24-21
24-23
21-18
31-13
20-16
14-14
12-19
24-11
21-21
19-16
21-26
19-27
18-24
23-17
10-15
21-19
27-18
16-13
15-20
22-25
22-22
22-16
16-13
34-23
17-26
16-14
15-19
156.6Avg total
80.1Scored
76.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)82.274.7156.9+7.689%
Season at home (5)87.675.8163.4+11.8100%
Season away (4)75.573.2148.8+2.275%
Last 10 (10)80.176.5156.6+3.680%
Last 5 (5)81.877.6159.4+4.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)71.582.0153.5-10.550%
vs Similar (17)77.578.4155.9-0.859%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)85.074.6159.6+10.491%
This opponent (Mestre) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MestreItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMestre
Date
Competition
JuVi Cremona
#12
L
82-83
82
83
-1
68avg 65
A26/04
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#7
W
79-57
79
57
+22
72avg 65
A27/09
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#1
L
49-88
49
88
-39
15avg 65
H03/10
Serie A2
Sassari
#11
L
74-87
74
87
-13
60avg 65
H10/10
Serie A2
Rimini
#5
L
76-91
76
91
-15
66avg 65
A18/10
Serie A2
Ruvo Di Puglia
#17
W
93-71
93
71
+22
98avg 65
H21/10
Serie A2
Caserta
#15
L
70-77
70
77
-7
62avg 65
A25/10
Serie A2
Brindisi
#6
W
70-63
70
63
+7
no box
H31/10
Serie A2
Pesaro
#10
W
85-73
85
73
+12
no box
A07/11
Serie A2
Cividale
#12
L
79-81
79
81
-2
no box
H11/11
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-21
26-29
20-16
12-17
23-15
19-26
21-11
16-5
9-19
11-22
12-26
17-21
27-25
21-25
15-19
11-18
16-20
23-26
17-29
20-16
24-12
21-26
26-8
22-25
17-26
18-15
22-16
13-20
18-24
18-15
13-16
21-8
22-22
30-18
12-19
21-14
26-15
18-23
22-23
13-20
152.8Avg total
75.7Scored
77.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)75.076.4151.4-1.444%
Season at home (5)73.078.0151.0-5.040%
Season away (4)77.574.5152.0+3.050%
Last 10 (10)75.777.1152.8-1.440%
Last 5 (5)79.473.0152.4+6.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)74.683.3157.9-8.629%
vs Similar (14)78.477.9156.3+0.443%
vs Weaker (2)83.574.5158.0+9.050%
This opponent (Avellino Basket) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +3.9+3.9Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: -2.0-2.0Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: -0.3-0.3Q4Q4: -2.1-2.1Q4: +0.2+0.2
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +3.9+3.9Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: -2.0-2.0Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: -0.3-0.3Q4Q4: -2.1-2.1Q4: +0.2+0.2
Avellino BasketMestre
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Avellino BasketLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fortitudo Bologna
#4
L
28-45
28
45
-17
A17/05
Serie A2
Vigevano
#14
W
55-26
55
26
+29
H27/09
Serie A2
Rimini
#5
L
34-45
34
45
-11
A04/10
Serie A2
Forli
#9
W
49-40
49
40
+9
H11/10
Serie A2
Cividale
#12
W
51-29
51
29
+22
A17/10
Serie A2
Montecatini
#20
W
45-32
45
32
+13
H21/10
Serie A2
Brindisi
#6
L
37-51
37
51
-14
A25/10
Serie A2
Pesaro
#10
W
48-37
48
37
+11
H01/11
Serie A2
Caserta
#15
L
44-47
44
47
-3
A08/11
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#19
W
51-49
51
49
+2
H11/11
Serie A2
84.3Avg total
44.2Scored
40.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.440.982.3+0.447%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.238.983.2+5.362%-
Last 30 away (14)38.143.281.3-5.129%-
Last 10 (10)44.240.184.3+4.160%-
Last 5 (5)45.043.288.2+1.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)39.546.085.5-6.50%-
vs Similar (17)38.642.180.8-3.535%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)45.938.284.1+7.773%-
This opponent (Mestre) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MestreLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
JuVi Cremona
#12
D
50-50
50
50
+0
A26/04
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#7
W
42-41
42
41
+1
A27/09
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#1
L
20-41
20
41
-21
H03/10
Serie A2
Sassari
#11
L
48-50
48
50
-2
H10/10
Serie A2
Rimini
#5
L
39-46
39
46
-7
A18/10
Serie A2
Ruvo Di Puglia
#17
W
45-38
45
38
+7
H21/10
Serie A2
Caserta
#15
L
35-41
35
41
-6
A25/10
Serie A2
Brindisi
#6
L
36-39
36
39
-3
H31/10
Serie A2
Pesaro
#10
W
52-40
52
40
+12
A07/11
Serie A2
Cividale
#12
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H11/11
Serie A2
83.5Avg total
41.1Scored
42.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.141.581.6-1.447%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.140.982.1+0.256%-
Last 30 away (14)38.942.181.0-3.336%-
Last 10 (10)41.142.483.5-1.340%-
Last 5 (5)42.439.281.6+3.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)37.442.880.2-5.429%-
vs Similar (14)41.740.482.1+1.457%-
vs Weaker (2)47.040.587.5+6.5100%-
This opponent (Avellino Basket) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Avellino Baskettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Avellino Basket: 71.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀40%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers28.8 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.4 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.3 points a game
46%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers26.414.4
54.5%
51.4%28.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.29.8
34.8%
34.6%29.4
🏀 Free throws17.213.4
77.9%
70.8%13.4
They take 54.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 52% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Mestretheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mestre: 73.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.6 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.3 points a game
46%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.315.8
44.8%
51.4%31.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.69.2
31.1%
34.6%27.6
🏀 Free throws19.714.6
74.1%
70.8%14.6
They take 64.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Mar 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Avellino Basket
WWWLWWWWWL
Mestre
LWWLWLLLWL
#2
League position
#13
+2.9
Net rating
-7.9
102.4
Offensive rating
90.1
99.5
Defensive rating
98.0
53.3%
Effective FG%
45.6%
54.6%
Opp. effective FG%
51.6%
10.9%
Turnover %
9.7%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.30
34.8%
3-point %
31.1%
66.5%
Assist %
43.6%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence102.4 · 90.1Defence99.5 · 98.0Shooting53.3% · 45.6%3-point %34.8% · 31.1%Ball care10.9% · 9.7%Free throws0.32 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)80% · 40%
■ Avellino Basket   ■ Mestre
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Avellino Basket wins
1
Mestre wins
DateGameScore
08/04/26Mestre v Avellino Basket83-85
16/11/25Avellino Basket v Mestre75-79
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/26HUrania Milano93-85 OT
08/11/26ACaserta82-76
01/11/26HPesaro79-70
25/10/26ABrindisi70-83
21/10/26HMontecatini85-74
17/10/26ACividale77-62
11/10/26HForli94-81
04/10/26ARimini73-72
27/09/26HVigevano87-69
17/05/26AFortitudo Bologna61-93
Mestrelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/26HCividale79-81
07/11/26APesaro85-73
31/10/26HBrindisi70-63
25/10/26ACaserta70-77
21/10/26HRuvo Di Puglia93-71
18/10/26ARimini76-91
10/10/26HSassari74-87
03/10/26HLibertas Livorno49-88
27/09/26ABasket Torino79-57
26/04/26AJuVi Cremona82-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Avellino Basket
Serie A2 2026-27
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW89%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWLW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %89%100%75%
Points / game82.287.675.5
Allowed / game74.775.873.2
Point differential+7.6+11.8+2.2
Avg total156.9163.4148.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%60%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %11%20%0%
Mestre
Serie A2 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL44%
HomeLLWWL40%
AwayWLLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %44%40%50%
Points / game75.073.077.5
Allowed / game76.478.074.5
Point differential-1.4-5.0+3.0
Avg total151.4151.0152.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%20%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Libertas Livorno98189%81.269.7+11.6
2 Avellino Basket98189%82.274.7+7.6
3 Fortitudo Bologna97278%79.474.3+5.1
4 Sebastiani Rieti97278%74.872.1+2.7
5 Rimini96367%80.471.8+8.7
6 Brindisi96367%77.473.9+3.6
7 Basket Torino85362%72.872.2+0.5
8 Pistoia95456%77.469.6+7.9
9 Forli95456%82.377.6+4.8
10 Pesaro95456%81.079.9+1.1
11 Sassari95456%77.276.4+0.8
12 Cividale95456%71.874.1-2.3
13 Mestre94544%75.076.4-1.4
14 Vigevano93633%76.381.8-5.4
15 Caserta82625%78.182.6-4.5
16 JuVi Cremona92722%75.377.9-2.6
17 Ruvo Di Puglia92722%74.481.7-7.2
18 Cento92722%72.882.2-9.4
19 Urania Milano91811%75.783.1-7.4
20 Montecatini91811%68.182.3-14.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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