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Avellino Basket vs Roseto Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 26 Apr 2026
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 87-68
23-19 28-17 20-11 16-21
Position#6
Record21-15
FormLLWWL
Points / game81.3
Allowed / game79.1
vs
Position#20
Record7-29
FormWLWLL
Points / game77.7
Allowed / game85.0
ItalySerie A2Round 38· Palasport Del Mauro
Other2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Avellino Basket winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Roseto winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Avellino BasketItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cividale
#5
W
87-74
87
74
+13
H22/02
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#14
W
101-100
101
100
+1
A06/03
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#10
W
86-71
86
71
+15
H14/03
Serie A2
Cento
#18
W
98-94 OT
98
94
+4
H21/03
Serie A2
Forli
#17
L
71-73
71
73
-2
A25/03
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#4
L
62-71
62
71
-9
A29/03
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#12
L
72-83
72
83
-11
H04/04
Serie A2
Mestre
#15
W
85-83
85
83
+2
A08/04
Serie A2
Ruvo Di Puglia
#16
W
88-61
88
61
+27
H12/04
Serie A2
Scafati
#1
L
71-93
71
93
-22
A19/04
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-12
23-24
14-14
26-24
12-21
28-31
23-22
38-26
25-16
20-19
14-16
27-20
30-18
11-32
18-11
20-18
19-18
15-15
16-26
21-14
17-25
15-15
15-16
15-15
18-21
19-19
10-27
25-16
26-22
19-24
24-20
16-17
27-19
14-14
26-13
21-15
21-24
14-24
20-26
16-19
162.4Avg total
82.1Scored
80.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (36)81.379.1160.4+2.258%
Season at home (18)83.476.2159.6+7.272%
Season away (18)79.282.0161.2-2.844%
Last 10 (10)82.180.3162.4+1.860%
Last 5 (5)75.678.2153.8-2.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)75.881.2157.0-5.440%
vs Similar (15)82.981.1163.9+1.860%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)84.778.9163.6+5.870%
This opponent (Roseto) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RosetoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brindisi
#9
L
74-93
74
93
-19
A15/02
Serie A2
Ruvo Di Puglia
#16
L
78-96
78
96
-18
H22/02
Serie A2
Pistoia
#19
W
87-71
87
71
+16
H01/03
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#10
L
84-89
84
89
-5
A08/03
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
L
55-84
55
84
-29
A25/03
Serie A2
Rimini
#8
W
92-86
92
86
+6
H29/03
Serie A2
Forli
#17
L
81-89
81
89
-8
A04/04
Serie A2
Cento
#18
W
89-71
89
71
+18
H08/04
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#12
L
62-93
62
93
-31
A12/04
Serie A2
Verona
#2
L
69-84
69
84
-15
H19/04
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-21
16-23
21-25
16-24
16-24
25-23
21-20
16-29
24-18
17-16
20-16
26-21
19-15
17-17
13-34
35-23
9-22
11-28
20-21
15-13
30-22
30-27
11-24
21-13
25-22
24-23
15-23
17-21
26-17
21-17
18-26
24-11
14-24
10-24
19-19
19-26
17-18
25-31
16-17
11-18
162.7Avg total
77.1Scored
85.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (36)77.785.0162.7-7.219%
Season at home (18)78.781.9160.6-3.233%
Season away (18)76.788.1164.8-11.36%
Last 10 (10)77.185.6162.7-8.530%
Last 5 (5)78.684.6163.2-6.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)75.484.8160.2-9.314%
vs Similar (9)78.781.9160.6-3.233%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Avellino Basket) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.3+2.3Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: -3.9-3.9Q2: -3.3-3.3Q3Q3: -1.1-1.1Q3: -5.1-5.1Q4Q4: +4.1+4.1Q4: +0.1+0.1
Avellino BasketRoseto
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Avellino BasketLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cividale
#5
W
47-36
47
36
+11
H22/02
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#14
L
40-52
40
52
-12
A06/03
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#10
W
45-35
45
35
+10
H14/03
Serie A2
Cento
#18
L
41-50
41
50
-9
H21/03
Serie A2
Forli
#17
W
34-33
34
33
+1
A25/03
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#4
L
32-40
32
40
-8
A29/03
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#12
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H04/04
Serie A2
Mestre
#15
L
45-46
45
46
-1
A08/04
Serie A2
Ruvo Di Puglia
#16
W
41-33
41
33
+8
H12/04
Serie A2
Scafati
#1
L
35-48
35
48
-13
A19/04
Serie A2
81.0Avg total
39.7Scored
41.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.541.381.8-0.747%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.638.781.3+3.960%-
Last 30 away (15)38.543.982.3-5.433%-
Last 10 (10)39.741.381.0-1.640%-
Last 5 (5)38.041.479.4-3.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)36.843.079.8-6.20%-
vs Similar (15)41.941.783.7+0.253%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)40.339.780.0+0.660%-
This opponent (Roseto) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RosetoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brindisi
#9
L
37-44
37
44
-7
A15/02
Serie A2
Ruvo Di Puglia
#16
L
41-47
41
47
-6
H22/02
Serie A2
Pistoia
#19
W
41-34
41
34
+7
H01/03
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#10
W
36-32
36
32
+4
A08/03
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
L
20-50
20
50
-30
A25/03
Serie A2
Rimini
#8
W
60-49
60
49
+11
H29/03
Serie A2
Forli
#17
W
49-45
49
45
+4
A04/04
Serie A2
Cento
#18
W
47-34
47
34
+13
H08/04
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#12
L
24-48
24
48
-24
A12/04
Serie A2
Verona
#2
L
42-49
42
49
-7
H19/04
Serie A2
82.9Avg total
39.7Scored
43.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.341.780.1-3.437%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.340.081.3+1.347%-
Last 30 away (15)35.443.578.9-8.127%-
Last 10 (10)39.743.282.9-3.550%-
Last 5 (5)44.445.089.4-0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)38.042.580.6-4.529%-
vs Similar (9)39.039.978.9-0.956%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Avellino Basket) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Avellino Baskettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Avellino Basket: 82.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.0 points a game
46%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.220.6
53.9%
50.8%41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.48.5
33.5%
34.6%25.5
🏀 Free throws20.215.4
76.2%
74.4%15.4
They take 63.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Rosetotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Roseto: 76.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.0 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.6 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.0 points a game
46%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.317.0
49.6%
50.8%34.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.19.1
33.6%
34.6%27.3
🏀 Free throws21.815.6
71.6%
74.4%15.6
They take 61.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 26 Apr 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Avellino Basket
LWWLLLWWWW
Roseto
LLWLWLLWLL
#6
League position
#20
+2.1
Net rating
-10.6
98.0
Offensive rating
93.5
95.9
Defensive rating
104.1
52.4%
Effective FG%
49.9%
51.0%
Opp. effective FG%
55.7%
13.7%
Turnover %
13.6%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.36
33.5%
3-point %
33.6%
61.5%
Assist %
47.1%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence98.0 · 93.5Defence95.9 · 104.1Shooting52.4% · 49.9%3-point %33.5% · 33.6%Ball care13.7% · 13.6%Free throws0.32 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)60% · 30%
■ Avellino Basket   ■ Roseto
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Avellino Basket wins
0
Roseto wins
DateGameScore
02/11/25Roseto v Avellino Basket81-93
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/04/26AScafati71-93
12/04/26HRuvo Di Puglia88-61
08/04/26AMestre85-83
04/04/26HJuVi Cremona72-83
29/03/26AFortitudo Bologna62-71
25/03/26AForli71-73
21/03/26HCento98-94 OT
14/03/26HSebastiani Rieti86-71
06/03/26AUrania Milano101-100
22/02/26HCividale87-74
Rosetolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/04/26HVerona69-84
12/04/26AJuVi Cremona62-93
08/04/26HCento89-71
04/04/26AForli81-89
29/03/26HRimini92-86
25/03/26ACividale55-84
08/03/26ASebastiani Rieti84-89
01/03/26HPistoia87-71
22/02/26HRuvo Di Puglia78-96
15/02/26ABrindisi74-93

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Avellino Basket
Serie A2 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL58%
HomeWWWLW72%
AwayWLLWL44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games361818
Win %58%72%44%
Points / game81.383.479.2
Allowed / game79.176.282.0
Point differential+2.2+7.2-2.8
Avg total160.4159.6161.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%44%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (10)60% (5)60% (5)
Overtime %6%11%0%
Roseto
Serie A2 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL19%
HomeLWWWL33%
AwayLLLLL6%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games361818
Win %19%33%6%
Points / game77.778.776.7
Allowed / game85.081.988.1
Point differential-7.2-3.2-11.3
Avg total162.7160.6164.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%11%6%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (10)33% (6)0% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Pesaro37271073%82.879.1+3.7
2 Scafati37261170%83.677.5+6.0
3 Fortitudo Bologna36241267%76.372.8+3.6
4 Verona37241365%78.973.4+5.6
5 Cividale37241365%78.874.4+4.5
6 Brindisi36221461%77.874.1+3.7
7 Rimini36211558%82.178.8+3.2
8 Avellino Basket36211558%81.379.1+2.2
9 Libertas Livorno37211657%79.373.9+5.4
10 Sebastiani Rieti37211657%79.877.7+2.1
11 Blu Basket Bergamo25131252%79.479.7-0.3
12 Basket Torino36171947%73.373.9-0.6
13 JuVi Cremona36171947%75.677.3-1.7
14 Urania Milano36162044%79.581.7-2.2
15 Mestre36142239%78.181.4-3.3
16 Forli36132336%76.781.6-5.0
17 Ruvo Di Puglia36112531%77.187.1-9.9
18 Cento37102727%77.281.2-4.0
19 Pistoia3692725%76.682.9-6.3
20 Roseto3672919%77.785.0-7.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Avellino Basket2328201687
Roseto1917112168
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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