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Forli vs Avellino Basket Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 25 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 73-71
18-19 15-15 26-16 14-21
Position#17
Record10-20
FormLLLWL
Points / game76.9
Allowed / game81.0
Forli 🏆
Italy
vs
Position#6
Record19-11
FormWWWWW
Points / game82.6
Allowed / game79.5
ItalySerie A2Round 32· PalaGalassi
Other2025-26
Meetings · Forli v Avellino Basket
27 Mar 2027
FORL v AVEL
upcoming
25 Mar 2026
FORL73
AVEL71
26 Mar 2025
FORL86
AVEL85
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Forli winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Avellino Basket winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ForliItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormForli
Date
Competition
Mestre
#15
W
83-55
83
55
+28
82avg 69
A10/01
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#10
L
82-86 OT
82
86
-4
no box
H17/01
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#13
W
74-69
74
69
+5
70avg 69
H21/01
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#14
L
81-99
81
99
-18
76avg 69
A24/01
Serie A2
Cento
#18
W
90-88
90
88
+2
84avg 69
H01/02
Serie A2
Pistoia
#19
L
73-78
73
78
-5
63avg 69
A08/02
Serie A2
Rimini
#8
L
63-78
63
78
-15
43avg 69
A15/02
Serie A2
Brindisi
#9
L
74-79
74
79
-5
60avg 69
H25/02
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
W
84-80
84
80
+4
79avg 69
A07/03
Serie A2
Ruvo Di Puglia
#16
L
84-87
84
87
-3
77avg 69
A22/03
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-22
21-9
30-13
14-11
18-22
14-13
22-15
18-22
19-22
16-14
21-9
18-24
19-25
28-26
20-28
14-20
29-25
17-21
17-19
27-23
16-24
22-20
12-15
23-19
17-22
17-16
8-24
21-16
29-23
16-22
11-21
18-13
25-31
12-13
21-13
26-23
28-15
18-28
19-25
19-19
158.7Avg total
78.8Scored
79.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)76.981.0157.9-4.233%
Season at home (14)78.980.3159.1-1.443%
Season away (16)75.181.7156.8-6.625%
Last 10 (10)78.879.9158.7-1.140%
Last 5 (5)75.680.4156.0-4.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)73.782.0155.7-8.321%
vs Similar (11)82.379.4161.6+2.955%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Avellino Basket) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Avellino BasketItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBasket
Date
Competition
Pistoia
#19
W
99-94 OT
99
94
+5
92avg 76
H11/01
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#13
L
67-80
67
80
-13
no box
A18/01
Serie A2
Pesaro
#3
W
93-73
93
73
+20
88avg 76
H21/01
Serie A2
Brindisi
#9
L
67-83
67
83
-16
56avg 76
A25/01
Serie A2
Verona
#2
W
72-71
72
71
+1
72avg 76
H01/02
Serie A2
Rimini
#8
W
101-96
101
96
+5
98avg 76
A08/02
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
W
87-74
87
74
+13
84avg 76
H22/02
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#14
W
101-100
101
100
+1
100avg 76
A06/03
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#10
W
86-71
86
71
+15
84avg 76
H14/03
Serie A2
Cento
#18
W
98-94 OT
98
94
+4
90avg 76
H21/03
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-19
25-19
28-24
9-23
17-25
10-26
20-14
20-15
22-11
25-27
24-20
22-15
16-26
14-19
17-18
20-20
23-25
21-19
16-10
12-17
24-27
34-18
16-22
27-29
24-12
23-24
14-14
26-24
12-21
28-31
23-22
38-26
25-16
20-19
14-16
27-20
30-18
11-32
18-11
20-18
170.7Avg total
87.1Scored
83.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)82.679.5162.1+3.163%
Season at home (16)83.876.8160.6+7.175%
Season away (14)81.282.6163.8-1.450%
Last 10 (10)87.183.6170.7+3.580%
Last 5 (5)94.687.0181.6+7.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)80.082.2162.2-2.240%
vs Similar (17)82.478.0160.4+4.471%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)84.680.9165.5+3.862%
This opponent (Forli) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: +1.6+1.6Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: -2.3-2.3Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: +1.9+1.9Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: +1.4+1.4
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: +1.6+1.6Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: -2.3-2.3Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: +1.9+1.9Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: +1.4+1.4
ForliAvellino Basket
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ForliLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mestre
#15
W
39-31
39
31
+8
A10/01
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#10
L
32-35
32
35
-3
H17/01
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#13
L
35-36
35
36
-1
H21/01
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#14
L
47-51
47
51
-4
A24/01
Serie A2
Cento
#18
D
46-46
46
46
+0
H01/02
Serie A2
Pistoia
#19
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A08/02
Serie A2
Rimini
#8
L
34-38
34
38
-4
A15/02
Serie A2
Brindisi
#9
D
45-45
45
45
+0
H25/02
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
L
37-44
37
44
-7
A07/03
Serie A2
Ruvo Di Puglia
#16
W
46-43
46
43
+3
A22/03
Serie A2
81.2Avg total
39.9Scored
41.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.940.480.3-0.440%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.040.182.1+1.950%-
Last 30 away (16)38.140.678.7-2.431%-
Last 10 (10)39.941.381.2-1.420%-
Last 5 (5)40.042.882.8-2.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)37.139.676.7-2.526%-
vs Similar (11)44.841.686.5+3.264%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Avellino Basket) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Avellino BasketLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pistoia
#19
W
48-38
48
38
+10
H11/01
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#13
L
27-51
27
51
-24
A18/01
Serie A2
Pesaro
#3
W
47-38
47
38
+9
H21/01
Serie A2
Brindisi
#9
L
30-45
30
45
-15
A25/01
Serie A2
Verona
#2
D
44-44
44
44
+0
H01/02
Serie A2
Rimini
#8
W
58-45
58
45
+13
A08/02
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
W
47-36
47
36
+11
H22/02
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#14
L
40-52
40
52
-12
A06/03
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#10
W
45-35
45
35
+10
H14/03
Serie A2
Cento
#18
L
41-50
41
50
-9
H21/03
Serie A2
86.1Avg total
42.7Scored
43.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.040.781.7+0.350%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.138.180.1+4.056%-
Last 30 away (14)39.943.783.6-3.943%-
Last 10 (10)42.743.486.1-0.750%-
Last 5 (5)46.243.689.8+2.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)39.243.282.4-4.00%-
vs Similar (17)42.540.182.6+2.565%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)39.040.579.5-1.550%-
This opponent (Forli) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Forlitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Forli: 76.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.0 points a game
46%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.418.3
48.9%
50.8%36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.58.8
35.9%
34.6%26.4
🏀 Free throws19.613.9
70.9%
74.4%13.9
They take 61.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Avellino Baskettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Avellino Basket: 87.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.2 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.0 points a game
46%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.121.1
55.4%
50.8%42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.19.5
37.8%
34.6%28.5
🏀 Free throws21.317.2
80.8%
74.4%17.2
They take 63.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 25 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Forli
LWLLLWLWLW
Avellino Basket
WWWWWWLWLW
#17
League position
#6
-1.9
Net rating
+4.8
95.0
Offensive rating
103.9
96.8
Defensive rating
99.1
50.9%
Effective FG%
55.9%
49.9%
Opp. effective FG%
50.4%
12.6%
Turnover %
13.9%
36.1%
Off. rebound %
24.4%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.34
35.9%
3-point %
37.8%
58.7%
Assist %
62.7%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence95.0 · 103.9Defence96.8 · 99.1Shooting50.9% · 55.9%3-point %35.9% · 37.8%Ball care12.6% · 13.9%Off. rebounds36.1% · 24.4%Free throws0.32 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)40% · 80%
■ Forli   ■ Avellino Basket
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Forli wins
1
Avellino Basket wins
DateGameScore
14/12/25Avellino Basket v Forli90-79
26/03/25Forli v Avellino Basket86-85
20/10/24Avellino Basket v Forli64-73
Forlilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/03/26ARuvo Di Puglia84-87
07/03/26ACividale84-80
25/02/26HBrindisi74-79
15/02/26ARimini63-78
08/02/26APistoia73-78
01/02/26HCento90-88
24/01/26AUrania Milano81-99
21/01/26HBasket Torino74-69
17/01/26HSebastiani Rieti82-86 OT
10/01/26AMestre83-55
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/03/26HCento98-94 OT
14/03/26HSebastiani Rieti86-71
06/03/26AUrania Milano101-100
22/02/26HCividale87-74
08/02/26ARimini101-96
01/02/26HVerona72-71
25/01/26ABrindisi67-83
21/01/26HPesaro93-73
18/01/26ABasket Torino67-80
11/01/26HPistoia99-94 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Forli
Serie A2 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL33%
HomeLLWWL43%
AwayLLLWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301416
Win %33%43%25%
Points / game76.978.975.1
Allowed / game81.080.381.7
Point differential-4.2-1.4-6.6
Avg total157.9159.1156.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%21%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won45% (11)43% (7)50% (4)
Overtime %3%7%0%
Avellino Basket
Serie A2 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW63%
HomeWWWWW75%
AwayLLLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301614
Win %63%75%50%
Points / game82.683.881.2
Allowed / game79.576.882.6
Point differential+3.1+7.1-1.4
Avg total162.1160.6163.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+37%44%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (8)60% (5)67% (3)
Overtime %7%12%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Pesaro3123874%82.277.6+4.6
2 Brindisi30201067%78.772.9+5.8
3 Scafati31201165%82.877.9+4.9
4 Fortitudo Bologna31201165%77.073.2+3.8
5 Avellino Basket30191163%82.679.5+3.1
6 Libertas Livorno31191261%79.673.2+6.4
7 Verona31191261%77.773.5+4.1
8 Rimini30181260%81.577.7+3.8
9 Sebastiani Rieti31181358%78.977.7+1.2
10 Cividale31181358%77.776.6+1.1
11 Blu Basket Bergamo25131252%79.479.7-0.3
12 JuVi Cremona31151648%75.377.3-2.0
13 Basket Torino31141745%73.174.1-1.0
14 Mestre31131842%77.880.8-3.0
15 Urania Milano31131842%79.382.4-3.1
16 Forli30102033%76.981.0-4.2
17 Ruvo Di Puglia30102033%77.186.2-9.1
18 Cento31102132%77.881.4-3.6
19 Pistoia3172423%77.183.2-6.1
20 Roseto3052517%78.385.1-6.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Forli1815261473
Avellino Basket1915162171
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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