Avellino vs Pesaro Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 04 Jan 2009

Tip-off: 15:30

Final 82-78

17-22 11-8 26-13 28-35

Position#10

Record6-6

FormLWLLW

Points / game76.7

Allowed / game74.8

Avellino 🏆

Pesaro

Position#11

Record6-6

FormLWLLW

Points / game81.8

Allowed / game77.8

Lega A

Domestic2008-09

Meetings · Avellino v Pesaro

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Avellino winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Pesaro winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Avellino

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Olimpia Milano

68-61

H22/11

Lega A

Cibona

#12

79-82 OT

-3

A26/11

Euroleague

Sutor Montegranaro

#12

76-81

-5

A30/11

Lega A

Olympiacos

66-91

-25

A03/12

Euroleague

Siena

77-85

-8

H07/12

Lega A

Maccabi Tel Aviv

72-86

-14

H11/12

Euroleague

Fortitudo Bologna

#15

82-71

+11

A14/12

Lega A

Unicaja

68-72

-4

A18/12

Euroleague

Udine

#16

85-89

-4

H21/12

Lega A

Teramo

91-78

+13

A28/12

Lega A

22-14

12-10

16-17

18-20

17-19

14-14

20-21

19-16

12-14

21-26

24-25

16-20

9-21

15-32

26-18

24-28

18-18

21-23

14-16

23-24

17-24

16-17

16-21

24-18

27-17

18-21

13-15

17-20

16-15

20-14

15-23

16-13

22-14

16-30

31-32

27-26

14-15

23-17

27-20

156.0Avg total

76.4Scored

79.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (12)	76.7	74.8	151.5	+1.8	50%
Season at home (6)	76.7	77.5	154.2	-0.8	33%
Season away (6)	76.7	72.2	148.8	+4.5	67%
Last 10 (10)	76.4	79.6	156.0	-3.2	30%
Last 5 (5)	79.6	79.2	158.8	+0.4	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	72.4	82.4	154.9	-10.0	14%
vs Similar ◀ (9)	73.9	71.9	145.8	+2.0	56%
vs Weaker (4)	83.8	80.2	164.0	+3.5	50%

This opponent (Pesaro) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Pesaro

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

NSB Napoli

#13

59-61

-2

A26/10

Lega A

Virtus Bologna

99-65

+34

H02/11

Lega A

Udine

#16

83-79

H16/11

Lega A

Virtus Roma

106-93

106

+13

H23/11

Lega A

Teramo

73-83

-10

A30/11

Lega A

Treviso

97-103 OT

103

-6

A06/12

Lega A

Caserta

#14

83-68

+15

A10/12

Lega A

Sutor Montegranaro

#12

89-93

-4

H14/12

Lega A

Siena

55-83

-28

A21/12

Lega A

Fortitudo Bologna

#15

99-72

+27

H28/12

Lega A

9-21

26-17

15-14

9-9

18-14

23-17

26-22

32-12

21-22

18-25

25-17

19-15

29-18

29-19

22-20

26-36

17-21

21-19

19-18

16-25

12-15

17-22

25-26

22-13

20-19

15-17

21-15

27-17

19-25

20-20

34-17

16-31

16-19

7-18

14-20

18-26

29-25

22-14

24-16

24-17

164.3Avg total

84.3Scored

80.0Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (12)	81.8	77.8	159.6	+3.9	50%
Season at home (6)	89.7	78.2	167.8	+11.5	67%
Season away (6)	73.8	77.5	151.3	-3.7	33%
Last 10 (10)	84.3	80.0	164.3	+4.3	50%
Last 5 (5)	84.6	83.8	168.4	+0.8	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	80.5	88.0	168.5	-7.5	50%
vs Similar ◀ (9)	81.9	75.4	157.3	+6.4	44%
vs Weaker (1)	83.0	79.0	162.0	+4.0	100%

This opponent (Avellino) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

AvellinoPesaro

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (20)	19.6	19.2	38.8	+0.4	50%	-
Last 30 at home (10)	20.9	17.7	38.6	+3.2	60%	-
Last 30 away (10)	18.3	20.7	39.0	-2.4	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.5	19.8	40.3	+0.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	20.2	41.6	+1.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	19.4	22.1	41.6	-2.7	14%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	18.7	18.9	37.6	-0.2	56%	-
vs Weaker (4)	22.0	14.8	36.8	+7.2	100%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (12)	19.2	19.2	38.5	+0.0	42%	-
Last 30 at home (6)	21.8	19.8	41.7	+2.0	50%	-
Last 30 away (6)	16.7	18.7	35.3	-2.0	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.0	19.9	38.9	-0.9	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	20.6	39.8	-1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	22.5	18.5	41.0	+4.0	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	18.3	19.1	37.4	-0.8	44%	-
vs Weaker (1)	21.0	22.0	43.0	-1.0	0%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (20)	17.0	16.4	33.4	+0.6	55%	-
Last 30 at home (10)	16.8	17.7	34.5	-0.9	50%	-
Last 30 away (10)	17.2	15.1	32.3	+2.1	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.1	16.2	32.3	-0.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	17.0	36.2	+2.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	15.3	19.7	35.0	-4.4	29%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	16.6	13.7	30.2	+2.9	67%	-
vs Weaker (4)	21.0	16.8	37.8	+4.2	75%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (12)	19.3	18.5	37.8	+0.8	50%	-
Last 30 at home (6)	21.2	17.8	39.0	+3.3	67%	-
Last 30 away (6)	17.5	19.2	36.7	-1.7	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.8	18.8	38.6	+1.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.2	18.2	34.4	-2.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	18.0	18.5	36.5	-0.5	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	19.8	17.8	37.6	+2.0	56%	-
vs Weaker (1)	18.0	25.0	43.0	-7.0	0%	-

AvellinoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Olimpia Milano

34-24

+10

H22/11

Lega A

Cibona

#12

31-33

-2

A26/11

Euroleague

Sutor Montegranaro

#12

31-30

A30/11

Lega A

Olympiacos

25-41

-16

A03/12

Euroleague

Siena

42-46

-4

H07/12

Lega A

Maccabi Tel Aviv

40-48

-8

H11/12

Euroleague

Fortitudo Bologna

#15

51-35

+16

A14/12

Lega A

Unicaja

33-35

-2

A18/12

Euroleague

Udine

#16

38-27

+11

H21/12

Lega A

Teramo

41-41

A28/12

Lega A

72.6Avg total

36.6Scored

36.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (20)	36.6	35.6	72.2	+1.0	45%	-
Last 30 at home (10)	37.7	35.4	73.1	+2.3	50%	-
Last 30 away (10)	35.5	35.8	71.3	-0.3	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.6	36.0	72.6	+0.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.6	37.2	77.8	+3.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	34.7	41.9	76.6	-7.1	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	35.2	32.6	67.8	+2.7	56%	-
vs Weaker (4)	43.0	31.5	74.5	+11.5	100%	-

This opponent (Pesaro) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

PesaroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

NSB Napoli

#13

35-38

-3

A26/10

Lega A

Virtus Bologna

41-31

+10

H02/11

Lega A

Udine

#16

39-47

-8

H16/11

Lega A

Virtus Roma

58-37

+21

H23/11

Lega A

Teramo

38-40

-2

A30/11

Lega A

Treviso

29-37

-8

A06/12

Lega A

Caserta

#14

35-36

-1

A10/12

Lega A

Sutor Montegranaro

#12

39-45

-6

H14/12

Lega A

Siena

23-37

-14

A21/12

Lega A

Fortitudo Bologna

#15

51-39

+12

H28/12

Lega A

77.5Avg total

38.8Scored

38.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (12)	38.6	37.8	76.3	+0.8	42%	-
Last 30 at home (6)	43.0	37.7	80.7	+5.3	67%	-
Last 30 away (6)	34.2	37.8	72.0	-3.7	17%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.8	38.7	77.5	+0.1	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.4	38.8	74.2	-3.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	40.5	37.0	77.5	+3.5	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	38.1	36.9	75.0	+1.2	44%	-
vs Weaker (1)	39.0	47.0	86.0	-8.0	0%	-

This opponent (Avellino) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (20)	18.4	21.9	40.3	-3.4	25%	-
Last 30 at home (10)	19.3	21.7	41.0	-2.4	30%	-
Last 30 away (10)	17.6	22.0	39.6	-4.4	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.6	21.8	40.4	-3.2	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	19.8	38.4	-1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	18.6	22.1	40.7	-3.6	29%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	18.1	19.8	37.9	-1.7	33%	-
vs Weaker (4)	19.0	26.0	45.0	-7.0	0%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (12)	21.1	18.1	39.2	+3.0	67%	-
Last 30 at home (6)	24.7	18.3	43.0	+6.3	83%	-
Last 30 away (6)	17.5	17.8	35.3	-0.3	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.5	18.5	41.0	+4.0	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.6	18.8	42.4	+4.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	18.0	20.0	38.0	-2.0	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	21.3	17.8	39.1	+3.6	67%	-
vs Weaker (1)	25.0	17.0	42.0	+8.0	100%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (20)	19.9	19.2	39.0	+0.7	35%	-
Last 30 at home (10)	18.1	20.6	38.7	-2.5	10%	-
Last 30 away (10)	21.6	17.8	39.4	+3.8	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.3	20.6	40.9	-0.3	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	22.2	42.6	-1.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	19.1	18.4	37.6	+0.7	43%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	19.6	18.2	37.8	+1.3	44%	-
vs Weaker (4)	21.8	22.8	44.5	-1.0	0%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (12)	20.3	19.8	40.1	+0.6	50%	-
Last 30 at home (6)	22.0	22.2	44.2	-0.2	50%	-
Last 30 away (6)	18.7	17.3	36.0	+1.3	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.9	20.1	41.0	+0.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	20.8	42.2	+0.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	22.0	31.0	53.0	-9.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	20.1	17.8	37.9	+2.3	56%	-
vs Weaker (1)	19.0	15.0	34.0	+4.0	100%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (20)	38.3	41.0	79.3	-2.8	20%	-
Last 30 at home (10)	37.4	42.3	79.7	-4.9	10%	-
Last 30 away (10)	39.2	39.8	79.0	-0.6	30%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.9	42.4	81.3	-3.5	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.0	42.0	81.0	-3.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	37.7	40.6	78.3	-2.9	14%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	37.7	38.0	75.7	-0.3	33%	-
vs Weaker (4)	40.8	48.8	89.5	-8.0	0%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (12)	41.4	37.8	79.2	+3.6	67%	-
Last 30 at home (6)	46.7	40.5	87.2	+6.2	67%	-
Last 30 away (6)	36.2	35.2	71.3	+1.0	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.4	38.6	82.0	+4.8	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	45.0	39.6	84.6	+5.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	40.0	51.0	91.0	-11.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	41.4	35.6	77.0	+5.9	78%	-
vs Weaker (1)	44.0	32.0	76.0	+12.0	100%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Avellino wins

Pesaro wins

No previous meetings.

Avellinolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
28/12/08	A	Teramo	91-78
21/12/08	H	Udine	85-89
18/12/08	A	Unicaja	68-72
14/12/08	A	Fortitudo Bologna	82-71
11/12/08	H	Maccabi Tel Aviv	72-86
07/12/08	H	Siena	77-85
03/12/08	A	Olympiacos	66-91
30/11/08	A	Sutor Montegranaro	76-81
26/11/08	A	Cibona	79-82 OT
22/11/08	H	Olimpia Milano	68-61

Pesarolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
28/12/08	H	Fortitudo Bologna	99-72
21/12/08	A	Siena	55-83
14/12/08	H	Sutor Montegranaro	89-93
10/12/08	A	Caserta	83-68
06/12/08	A	Treviso	97-103 OT
30/11/08	A	Teramo	73-83
23/11/08	H	Virtus Roma	106-93
16/11/08	H	Udine	83-79
02/11/08	H	Virtus Bologna	99-65
26/10/08	A	NSB Napoli	59-61

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Avellino

Lega A 2008-09

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWLW	50%
Home	LLWLL	33%
Away	WWLWW	67%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	12	6	6
Win %	50%	33%	67%
Points / game	76.7	76.7	76.7
Allowed / game	74.8	77.5	72.2
Point differential	+1.8	-0.8	+4.5
Avg total	151.5	154.2	148.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	25%	17%	33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	20% (5)	0% (2)	33% (3)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Pesaro

Lega A 2008-09

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLLW	50%
Home	WWWLW	67%
Away	LLLWL	33%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	12	6	6
Win %	50%	67%	33%
Points / game	81.8	89.7	73.8
Allowed / game	77.8	78.2	77.5
Point differential	+3.9	+11.5	-3.7
Avg total	159.6	167.8	151.3
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	33%	50%	17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	25% (4)	33% (3)	0% (1)
Overtime %	8%	0%	17%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Siena	13	13	0	100%	90.7	71.8	+18.8
2	Virtus Bologna	13	8	5	62%	78.8	76.8	+1.9
3	Virtus Roma	12	7	5	58%	86.5	82.6	+3.9
4	Teramo	12	7	5	58%	84.3	83.0	+1.3
5	Treviso	12	7	5	58%	78.6	78.1	+0.5
6	Sutor Montegranaro	12	7	5	58%	76.2	80.7	-4.4
7	Cantu	13	7	6	54%	80.4	83.5	-3.2
8	Pesaro	12	6	6	50%	81.8	77.8	+3.9
9	Olimpia Milano	12	6	6	50%	76.1	74.1	+2.0
10	Avellino	12	6	6	50%	76.7	74.8	+1.8
11	Caserta	12	5	7	42%	76.4	80.3	-3.9
12	Biella	13	5	8	38%	84.2	84.0	+0.2
13	Fortitudo Bologna	13	5	8	38%	75.4	82.6	-7.2
14	Udine	12	4	8	33%	80.9	85.2	-4.3
15	NSB Napoli	12	3	9	25%	74.6	79.5	-4.9
16	Ferrara	13	3	10	23%	71.2	78.1	-6.8

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Avellino	17	11	26	28	82
Pesaro	22	8	13	35	78

← all games of the day

Avellino vs Pesaro Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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