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Avellino vs Pesaro Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 15 Apr 2018
Tip-off: 15:30
Final 103-81
31-25 28-23 25-13 19-20
Position#4
Record16-9
FormLWLWW
Points / game83.9
Allowed / game77.6
Avellino 🏆
Italy
vs
Pesaro
Italy
Position#15
Record6-19
FormWLLLW
Points / game76.6
Allowed / game83.9
ItalyLega ARound 26
Domestic2017-18
Meetings · Avellino v Pesaro
09 Dec 2018
AVE82
PES81
15 Apr 2018
AVE103
PES81
12 Feb 2017
AVE79
PES62
04 Oct 2015
AVE77
PES73
26 Oct 2014
AVE69
PES60
13 Oct 2013
AVE77
PES80
13 Jan 2013
AVE71
PES78
17 Mar 2012
AVE81
PES89
12 May 2011
AVE89
PES76
11 Oct 2009
AVE88
PES77
04 Jan 2009
AVE82
PES78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Avellino winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pesaro winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AvellinoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Minsk
#20
L
70-70
70
70
+0
H07/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Brindisi
#14
W
89-71
89
71
+18
H11/03
Lega A
Minsk
#20
W
81-72
81
72
+9
A14/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Varese
#8
L
75-82
75
82
-7
A18/03
Lega A
Juventus
#41
L
77-77
77
77
+0
A21/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
75-82
75
82
-7
H25/03
Lega A
Juventus
#41
W
85-68
85
68
+17
H28/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Venezia
#2
L
74-88
74
88
-14
A01/04
Lega A
Cremona
#10
W
95-72
95
72
+23
H08/04
Lega A
Bakken Bears
#15
W
75-72
75
72
+3
H11/04
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-18
15-12
13-25
25-15
27-11
25-18
17-18
20-24
24-14
13-18
20-16
24-24
14-26
19-18
24-21
18-17
14-21
24-15
22-24
17-17
19-15
18-19
17-23
21-25
19-15
31-8
15-23
20-22
17-14
17-16
19-25
21-33
26-15
27-24
24-16
18-17
15-15
22-16
28-21
10-20
155.0Avg total
79.6Scored
75.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)83.977.6161.5+6.264%
Season at home (12)84.671.2155.8+13.483%
Season away (13)83.283.6166.8-0.446%
Last 10 (10)79.675.4155.0+4.250%
Last 5 (5)80.876.4157.2+4.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (15)81.780.1161.7+1.640%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)81.671.7153.3+9.964%
This opponent (Pesaro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PesaroItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brescia
#3
L
70-88
70
88
-18
A21/01
Lega A
Reggiana
#11
L
96-104
96
104
-8
H27/01
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#7
L
67-85
67
85
-18
A03/02
Lega A
Torino
#12
L
90-95
90
95
-5
H11/02
Lega A
Cremona
#10
L
79-92
79
92
-13
A04/03
Lega A
Capo d'Orlando
#16
W
84-81 OT
84
81
+3
H11/03
Lega A
Brindisi
#14
L
83-93
83
93
-10
A18/03
Lega A
Trento
#5
L
62-77
62
77
-15
H25/03
Lega A
Varese
#8
L
68-88
68
88
-20
A31/03
Lega A
Pistoia
#13
W
80-72 OT
80
72
+8
H08/04
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-21
20-16
13-27
17-24
22-22
23-26
20-25
31-31
12-30
20-21
15-15
20-19
24-25
19-24
24-26
23-20
26-33
15-21
18-20
20-18
18-16
13-29
24-17
15-8
17-23
19-29
24-17
23-24
17-15
10-28
14-17
21-17
12-26
16-22
19-14
21-26
27-14
16-19
16-24
10-12
165.4Avg total
77.9Scored
87.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)76.683.9160.4-7.324%
Season at home (13)77.681.1158.7-3.538%
Season away (12)75.486.9162.3-11.58%
Last 10 (10)77.987.5165.4-9.620%
Last 5 (5)75.482.2157.6-6.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)78.085.3163.2-7.323%
vs Similar (6)82.881.8164.7+1.050%
vs Weaker (2)70.077.0147.0-7.050%
This opponent (Avellino) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +2.8+2.8Q1: -3.0-3.0Q2Q2: +4.7+4.7Q2: -6.4-6.4Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: -1.5-1.5Q4Q4: -2.0-2.0Q4: +0.2+0.2
AvellinoPesaro
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AvellinoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Minsk
#20
W
32-30
32
30
+2
H07/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Brindisi
#14
W
52-29
52
29
+23
H11/03
Lega A
Minsk
#20
W
37-32
37
32
+5
A14/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Varese
#8
L
33-44
33
44
-11
A18/03
Lega A
Juventus
#41
W
38-36
38
36
+2
A21/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
37-34
37
34
+3
H25/03
Lega A
Juventus
#41
W
50-23
50
23
+27
H28/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Venezia
#2
W
34-30
34
30
+4
A01/04
Lega A
Cremona
#10
W
53-39
53
39
+14
H08/04
Lega A
Bakken Bears
#15
W
37-31
37
31
+6
H11/04
FIBA Europe Cup
73.1Avg total
40.3Scored
32.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.335.475.8+4.967%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.632.874.4+8.981%-
Last 30 away (14)38.938.577.4+0.450%-
Last 10 (10)40.332.873.1+7.590%-
Last 5 (5)42.231.473.6+10.8100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (15)38.336.174.4+2.167%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)42.634.977.5+7.664%-
This opponent (Pesaro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PesaroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brescia
#3
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A21/01
Lega A
Reggiana
#11
L
45-48
45
48
-3
H27/01
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#7
L
32-51
32
51
-19
A03/02
Lega A
Torino
#12
L
43-49
43
49
-6
H11/02
Lega A
Cremona
#10
L
41-54
41
54
-13
A04/03
Lega A
Capo d'Orlando
#16
L
31-45
31
45
-14
H11/03
Lega A
Brindisi
#14
L
36-52
36
52
-16
A18/03
Lega A
Trento
#5
L
27-43
27
43
-16
H25/03
Lega A
Varese
#8
L
28-48
28
48
-20
A31/03
Lega A
Pistoia
#13
W
43-33
43
33
+10
H08/04
Lega A
82.6Avg total
36.6Scored
46.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.242.880.9-4.627%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.940.478.3-2.533%-
Last 30 away (15)38.445.183.5-6.720%-
Last 10 (10)36.646.082.6-9.420%-
Last 5 (5)33.044.277.2-11.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)37.743.080.8-5.323%-
vs Similar (6)42.542.585.0+0.050%-
vs Weaker (2)30.040.570.5-10.50%-
This opponent (Avellino) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Avellinotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Avellino: 84.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.5 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.7 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.021.2
55.8%
51.6%42.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.510.1
44.9%
34.9%30.3
🏀 Free throws17.011.5
67.6%
73.0%11.5
They take 60.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Pesarotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pesaro: 76.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.8 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.8 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.7 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.521.9
52.8%
51.6%43.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.06.6
30.0%
34.9%19.8
🏀 Free throws16.412.6
76.8%
73.0%12.6
They take 63.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Apr 2018 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Avellino
WWLWLLLWWL
Pesaro
WLLLWLLLLL
#4
League position
#15
+9.8
Net rating
-14.8
117.5
Offensive rating
101.6
107.7
Defensive rating
116.4
60.1%
Effective FG%
50.1%
49.5%
Opp. effective FG%
56.1%
19.8%
Turnover %
19.3%
32.1%
Off. rebound %
29.0%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.26
44.9%
3-point %
30.0%
66.1%
Assist %
43.5%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence117.5 · 101.6Defence107.7 · 116.4Shooting60.1% · 50.1%3-point %44.9% · 30.0%Ball care19.8% · 19.3%Off. rebounds32.1% · 29.0%Free throws0.28 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)50% · 20%
■ Avellino   ■ Pesaro
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Avellino wins
2
Pesaro wins
DateGameScore
17/12/17Pesaro v Avellino78-83
12/02/17Avellino v Pesaro79-62
23/10/16Pesaro v Avellino55-60
18/01/16Pesaro v Avellino82-88
04/10/15Avellino v Pesaro77-73
08/02/15Pesaro v Avellino62-77
26/10/14Avellino v Pesaro69-60
19/01/14Pesaro v Avellino88-82
13/10/13Avellino v Pesaro77-80
05/05/13Pesaro v Avellino80-95
Avellinolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/04/18HBakken Bears75-72
08/04/18HCremona95-72
01/04/18AVenezia74-88
28/03/18HJuventus85-68
25/03/18HOlimpia Milano75-82
21/03/18AJuventus77-77
18/03/18AVarese75-82
14/03/18AMinsk81-72
11/03/18HBrindisi89-71
07/03/18HMinsk70-70
Pesarolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/04/18HPistoia80-72 OT
31/03/18AVarese68-88
25/03/18HTrento62-77
18/03/18ABrindisi83-93
11/03/18HCapo d'Orlando84-81 OT
04/03/18ACremona79-92
11/02/18HTorino90-95
03/02/18AVirtus Bologna67-85
27/01/18HReggiana96-104
21/01/18ABrescia70-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Avellino
Lega A 2017-18
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW64%
HomeLWWLW83%
AwayLWLLL46%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251213
Win %64%83%46%
Points / game83.984.683.2
Allowed / game77.671.283.6
Point differential+6.2+13.4-0.4
Avg total161.5155.8166.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%58%23%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)67% (3)40% (5)
Overtime %20%17%23%
Pesaro
Lega A 2017-18
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW24%
HomeLLWLW38%
AwayLLLLL8%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251312
Win %24%38%8%
Points / game76.677.675.4
Allowed / game83.981.186.9
Point differential-7.3-3.5-11.5
Avg total160.4158.7162.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won44% (9)57% (7)0% (2)
Overtime %8%15%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olimpia Milano2520580%80.973.0+7.9
2 Venezia2519676%82.278.8+3.3
3 Brescia2518772%79.274.2+4.9
4 Avellino2516964%83.977.6+6.2
5 Trento25141156%79.675.9+3.6
6 Virtus Bologna26141254%78.776.4+2.3
7 Cantu25131252%87.188.0-0.9
8 Sassari26131350%85.783.1+2.6
9 Cremona24121250%83.281.9+1.2
10 Varese25121348%78.575.7+2.8
11 Torino26121446%79.882.0-2.2
12 Reggiana24101442%75.677.2-1.6
13 Pistoia2691735%75.880.9-5.1
14 Brindisi2581732%77.881.9-4.1
15 Pesaro2561924%76.683.9-7.3
16 Capo d'Orlando2552020%70.284.0-13.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Avellino31282519103
Pesaro2523132081
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