Avellino vs Pesaro Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 13 Jan 2013

Tip-off: 17:15

Final 71-78

21-21 22-17 18-19 10-21

Position#11

Record4-10

FormLLLLW

Points / game78.5

Allowed / game85.8

Avellino

Pesaro 🏆

Position#15

Record2-12

FormLLLLL

Points / game70.1

Allowed / game78.8

Lega ARound 15

Domestic2012-13

Meetings · Avellino v Pesaro

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Avellino winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Pesaro winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Avellino

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Virtus Bologna

#16

87-77

+10

H28/10

Lega A

Cantu

67-79

-12

A04/11

Lega A

Sassari

81-102

102

-21

A11/11

Lega A

Biella

#17

74-82

-8

H18/11

Lega A

Brindisi

#13

81-71

+10

H25/11

Lega A

Siena

65-101

101

-36

A03/12

Lega A

Virtus Roma

79-94

-15

H09/12

Lega A

Reggiana

64-91

-27

A23/12

Lega A

Caserta

#12

84-86 OT

-2

H30/12

Lega A

Venezia

97-93

A06/01

Lega A

26-15

21-17

21-16

19-29

10-19

18-14

16-28

23-18

17-30

19-23

23-26

22-23

20-16

15-25

19-20

20-21

15-15

19-25

15-11

32-20

20-25

16-16

14-31

15-29

21-24

19-25

28-21

11-24

12-18

14-23

17-26

21-24

21-20

22-14

18-16

16-27

14-23

26-26

28-14

29-30

165.5Avg total

77.9Scored

87.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (14)	78.5	85.8	164.3	-7.3	29%
Season at home (7)	79.9	78.6	158.4	+1.3	43%
Season away (7)	77.1	93.0	170.1	-15.9	14%
Last 10 (10)	77.9	87.6	165.5	-9.7	30%
Last 5 (5)	77.8	93.0	170.8	-15.2	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	73.1	88.0	161.1	-14.9	8%
vs Similar ◀ (15)	77.6	80.8	158.4	-3.2	53%
vs Weaker (1)	74.0	82.0	156.0	-8.0	0%

This opponent (Pesaro) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Pesaro

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Sassari

90-100

100

-10

H28/10

Lega A

Reggiana

59-71

-12

A04/11

Lega A

Brindisi

#13

55-72

-17

A11/11

Lega A

Cantu

66-76

-10

H18/11

Lega A

Caserta

#12

63-77

-14

H25/11

Lega A

Virtus Bologna

#16

58-76

-18

A02/12

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

70-72

-2

H10/12

Lega A

Cremona

#10

73-91

-18

A23/12

Lega A

Sutor Montegranaro

#14

78-93

-15

H30/12

Lega A

Varese

69-82

-13

H06/01

Lega A

27-28

21-16

14-27

28-29

18-19

7-19

17-11

17-22

8-13

7-17

20-23

20-19

21-22

15-18

13-19

17-17

14-13

15-20

19-24

15-20

17-19

13-23

14-22

14-12

20-25

24-13

13-14

13-20

17-20

23-26

17-22

16-23

15-32

19-15

21-24

23-22

13-16

25-21

15-28

16-17

149.1Avg total

68.1Scored

81.0Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (14)	70.1	78.8	148.9	-8.6	14%
Season at home (8)	74.4	81.2	155.6	-6.9	12%
Season away (6)	64.5	75.5	140.0	-11.0	17%
Last 10 (10)	68.1	81.0	149.1	-12.9	0%
Last 5 (5)	69.6	82.8	152.4	-13.2	0%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)	72.3	77.9	150.2	-5.6	22%
vs Similar ◀ (11)	73.5	75.5	149.0	-2.1	45%
vs Weaker (1)	82.0	78.0	160.0	+4.0	100%

This opponent (Avellino) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

AvellinoPesaro

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	18.7	20.4	39.1	-1.7	41%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.6	19.4	37.9	-0.8	50%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.8	21.4	40.2	-2.6	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.6	20.5	38.1	-2.9	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.6	22.0	39.6	-4.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	17.5	21.8	39.3	-4.4	15%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	19.4	19.5	38.9	-0.1	57%	-
vs Weaker (1)	20.0	16.0	36.0	+4.0	100%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.8	20.3	39.0	-1.5	33%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.7	21.1	41.8	-0.4	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	16.6	19.4	35.9	-2.8	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.0	20.7	37.7	-3.7	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.4	22.4	38.8	-6.0	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)	18.8	21.0	39.8	-2.2	17%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	18.4	18.8	37.2	-0.5	64%	-
vs Weaker (1)	23.0	23.0	46.0	+0.0	0%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	18.7	20.3	39.0	-1.6	34%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.6	19.7	39.4	-0.1	50%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.9	20.9	38.7	-3.0	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.9	20.8	39.7	-1.9	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	20.8	40.2	-1.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	19.1	21.2	40.3	-2.2	23%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	19.1	18.9	38.0	+0.3	50%	-
vs Weaker (1)	15.0	25.0	40.0	-10.0	0%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.2	17.4	35.6	+0.8	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.7	17.2	36.9	+2.4	75%	-
Last 30 away (14)	16.5	17.6	34.1	-1.1	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.9	18.8	35.7	-1.9	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	19.6	40.4	+1.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)	18.5	17.3	35.8	+1.2	56%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	16.9	18.6	35.5	-1.7	55%	-
vs Weaker (1)	27.0	7.0	34.0	+20.0	100%	-

AvellinoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Virtus Bologna

#16

47-32

+15

H28/10

Lega A

Cantu

28-33

-5

A04/11

Lega A

Sassari

36-53

-17

A11/11

Lega A

Biella

#17

35-41

-6

H18/11

Lega A

Brindisi

#13

34-40

-6

H25/11

Lega A

Siena

36-41

-5

A03/12

Lega A

Virtus Roma

40-49

-9

H09/12

Lega A

Reggiana

26-41

-15

A23/12

Lega A

Caserta

#12

43-34

H30/12

Lega A

Venezia

40-49

-9

A06/01

Lega A

77.8Avg total

36.5Scored

41.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	37.4	40.7	78.1	-3.3	31%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	38.2	39.1	77.3	-0.9	36%	-
Last 30 away (15)	36.7	42.3	78.9	-5.6	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.5	41.3	77.8	-4.8	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.0	42.8	79.8	-5.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	36.5	43.1	79.6	-6.5	15%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	38.5	38.4	76.9	+0.1	50%	-
vs Weaker (1)	35.0	41.0	76.0	-6.0	0%	-

This opponent (Pesaro) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

PesaroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Sassari

48-44

H28/10

Lega A

Reggiana

25-38

-13

A04/11

Lega A

Brindisi

#13

15-30

-15

A11/11

Lega A

Cantu

36-40

-4

H18/11

Lega A

Caserta

#12

29-33

-4

H25/11

Lega A

Virtus Bologna

#16

30-42

-12

A02/12

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

44-38

H10/12

Lega A

Cremona

#10

40-46

-6

A23/12

Lega A

Sutor Montegranaro

#14

34-47

-13

H30/12

Lega A

Varese

38-37

H06/01

Lega A

73.4Avg total

33.9Scored

39.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.0	37.7	74.7	-0.7	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	40.4	38.3	78.7	+2.1	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	33.1	37.0	70.1	-3.9	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	33.9	39.5	73.4	-5.6	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.2	42.0	79.2	-4.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)	37.3	38.3	75.6	-1.0	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	35.3	37.5	72.7	-2.2	45%	-
vs Weaker (1)	50.0	30.0	80.0	+20.0	100%	-

This opponent (Avellino) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	18.3	20.5	38.8	-2.2	34%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.6	16.4	36.0	+3.3	64%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.1	24.3	41.4	-7.3	7%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.9	20.9	40.8	-1.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	21.6	42.6	-0.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	17.4	22.7	40.1	-5.3	23%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	19.0	17.7	36.7	+1.3	50%	-
vs Weaker (1)	19.0	20.0	39.0	-1.0	0%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.0	19.6	38.6	-0.6	40%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.8	20.4	40.1	-0.6	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.1	18.8	36.9	-0.6	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.3	21.4	37.7	-5.1	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.0	22.0	38.0	-6.0	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)	18.2	19.1	37.3	-0.9	44%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	20.3	20.3	40.5	+0.0	36%	-
vs Weaker (1)	19.0	22.0	41.0	-3.0	0%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	19.6	23.3	42.9	-3.8	24%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.2	22.4	41.6	-3.2	29%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.9	24.2	44.1	-4.3	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.8	24.5	45.3	-3.7	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	26.8	45.2	-8.4	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	19.2	22.2	41.4	-3.1	23%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	20.4	24.4	44.8	-4.1	29%	-
vs Weaker (1)	20.0	21.0	41.0	-1.0	0%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.1	19.7	36.8	-2.6	37%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	18.4	19.5	37.9	-1.1	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	15.6	19.9	35.5	-4.4	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.9	20.1	38.0	-2.2	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.4	18.8	35.2	-2.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)	16.8	20.5	37.3	-3.7	22%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	17.9	17.8	35.7	+0.1	64%	-
vs Weaker (1)	13.0	26.0	39.0	-13.0	0%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	37.9	43.8	81.7	-5.9	21%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	38.9	38.8	77.6	+0.1	29%	-
Last 30 away (15)	37.0	48.5	85.5	-11.5	13%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.7	45.4	86.1	-4.7	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.4	48.4	87.8	-9.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	36.5	44.9	81.5	-8.4	8%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	39.4	42.1	81.5	-2.8	36%	-
vs Weaker (1)	39.0	41.0	80.0	-2.0	0%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.1	39.3	75.4	-3.2	37%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	38.2	39.9	78.1	-1.7	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	33.7	38.7	72.4	-5.0	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	34.2	41.5	75.7	-7.3	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	32.4	40.8	73.2	-8.4	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)	35.1	39.6	74.7	-4.6	39%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	38.2	38.1	76.3	+0.1	36%	-
vs Weaker (1)	32.0	48.0	80.0	-16.0	0%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Avellino wins

Pesaro wins

Date	Game	Score
17/03/12	Avellino v Pesaro	81-89
27/11/11	Pesaro v Avellino	72-82
12/05/11	Avellino v Pesaro	89-76
09/01/11	Pesaro v Avellino	69-80
31/01/10	Pesaro v Avellino	94-86
11/10/09	Avellino v Pesaro	88-77
25/04/09	Pesaro v Avellino	89-67
04/01/09	Avellino v Pesaro	82-78

Avellinolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
06/01/13	A	Venezia	97-93
30/12/12	H	Caserta	84-86 OT
23/12/12	A	Reggiana	64-91
09/12/12	H	Virtus Roma	79-94
03/12/12	A	Siena	65-101
25/11/12	H	Brindisi	81-71
18/11/12	H	Biella	74-82
11/11/12	A	Sassari	81-102
04/11/12	A	Cantu	67-79
28/10/12	H	Virtus Bologna	87-77

Pesarolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
06/01/13	H	Varese	69-82
30/12/12	H	Sutor Montegranaro	78-93
23/12/12	A	Cremona	73-91
10/12/12	H	Olimpia Milano	70-72
02/12/12	A	Virtus Bologna	58-76
25/11/12	H	Caserta	63-77
18/11/12	H	Cantu	66-76
11/11/12	A	Brindisi	55-72
04/11/12	A	Reggiana	59-71
28/10/12	H	Sassari	90-100

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Avellino

Lega A 2012-13

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLLW	29%
Home	WLWLL	43%
Away	LLLLW	14%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	14	7	7
Win %	29%	43%	14%
Points / game	78.5	79.9	77.1
Allowed / game	85.8	78.6	93.0
Point differential	-7.3	+1.3	-15.9
Avg total	164.3	158.4	170.1
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	21%	43%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (2)	0% (1)	100% (1)
Overtime %	7%	14%	0%

Pesaro

Lega A 2012-13

Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLLL	14%
Home	LLLLL	12%
Away	LLLLL	17%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	14	8	6
Win %	14%	12%	17%
Points / game	70.1	74.4	64.5
Allowed / game	78.8	81.2	75.5
Point differential	-8.6	-6.9	-11.0
Avg total	148.9	155.6	140.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	7%	12%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	25% (4)	0% (2)	50% (2)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Nazionale Italiana	1	1	0	100%	107.0	92.0	+15.0
2	Varese	14	13	1	93%	87.3	78.1	+9.1
3	Siena	14	11	3	79%	77.2	65.4	+11.9
4	Sassari	14	11	3	79%	85.9	80.4	+5.4
5	Cantu	14	10	4	71%	79.4	69.3	+10.1
6	Virtus Roma	14	9	5	64%	79.1	75.4	+3.8
7	Brindisi	14	8	6	57%	82.1	79.0	+3.1
8	Reggiana	14	7	7	50%	76.0	73.0	+3.0
9	Olimpia Milano	14	7	7	50%	79.1	78.8	+0.3
10	Caserta	14	7	7	50%	71.4	76.7	-5.4
11	Venezia	14	6	8	43%	77.0	78.2	-1.2
12	Virtus Bologna	14	6	8	43%	71.8	74.0	-2.2
13	Cremona	14	4	10	29%	74.0	79.6	-5.6
14	Sutor Montegranaro	14	4	10	29%	79.9	86.1	-6.1
15	Avellino	14	4	10	29%	78.5	85.8	-7.3
16	Biella	14	3	11	21%	69.6	79.9	-10.2
17	Pesaro	14	2	12	14%	70.1	78.8	-8.6
18	International All Stars	1	0	1	0%	92.0	107.0	-15.0

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Avellino	21	22	18	10	71
Pesaro	21	17	19	21	78

← all games of the day

Avellino vs Pesaro Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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