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Avellino vs Pesaro Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 12 Feb 2017
Tip-off: 17:15
Final 79-62
16-21 25-15 17-11 21-15
Position#3
Record12-6
FormWLWWL
Points / game79.3
Allowed / game74.4
Avellino 🏆
Italy
vs
Pesaro
Italy
Position#15
Record6-12
FormLWLLW
Points / game74.2
Allowed / game78.2
ItalyLega ARound 19
Domestic2016-17
Meetings · Avellino v Pesaro
09 Dec 2018
AVE82
PES81
15 Apr 2018
AVE103
PES81
12 Feb 2017
AVE79
PES62
04 Oct 2015
AVE77
PES73
26 Oct 2014
AVE69
PES60
13 Oct 2013
AVE77
PES80
13 Jan 2013
AVE71
PES78
17 Mar 2012
AVE81
PES89
12 May 2011
AVE89
PES76
11 Oct 2009
AVE88
PES77
04 Jan 2009
AVE82
PES78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Avellino winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pesaro winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AvellinoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAvellino
Date
Competition
Capo d'Orlando
#8
W
94-65
94
65
+29
127avg 108
H27/12
Lega A
Caserta
#13
W
86-82
86
82
+4
106avg 108
A01/01
Lega A
Oostende
#35
W
78-73
78
73
+5
no box
A04/01
Champions League
Trento
#4
W
79-69 OT
79
69
+10
no box
H08/01
Lega A
Mornar Bar
#42
L
53-60
53
60
-7
no box
H11/01
Champions League
Tenerife
#2
W
78-66
78
66
+12
no box
A17/01
Champions League
Torino
#12
L
79-84
79
84
-5
110avg 108
A22/01
Lega A
Juventus
#17
W
74-64
74
64
+10
no box
H25/01
Champions League
Olimpia Milano
#2
W
80-68
80
68
+12
111avg 108
H30/01
Lega A
Pistoia
#7
L
59-67
59
67
-8
86avg 108
A05/02
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-17
17-15
24-20
23-13
22-23
26-20
18-23
20-16
24-16
16-18
22-16
16-23
13-18
17-14
14-13
21-20
13-20
13-8
10-17
17-15
17-28
18-16
18-8
25-14
20-21
17-17
21-22
21-24
21-20
19-20
15-14
19-10
30-15
17-21
16-15
17-17
22-14
13-13
6-16
18-24
145.8Avg total
76.0Scored
69.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)79.374.4153.8+4.967%
Season at home (9)83.274.4157.7+8.878%
Season away (9)75.474.4149.9+1.056%
Last 10 (10)76.069.8145.8+6.270%
Last 5 (5)74.069.8143.8+4.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)76.571.0147.5+5.550%
vs Similar (10)74.071.2145.2+2.860%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)78.770.9149.6+7.778%
This opponent (Pesaro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PesaroItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPesaro
Date
Competition
Trento
#4
L
73-78
73
78
-5
98avg 97
H27/11
Lega A
Cremona
#16
W
73-71
73
71
+2
98avg 97
A04/12
Lega A
Brindisi
#9
L
96-102 OT
96
102
-6
no box
H11/12
Lega A
Caserta
#13
W
87-82
87
82
+5
108avg 97
A18/12
Lega A
Pistoia
#7
L
57-59
57
59
-2
82avg 97
H27/12
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
84-88
84
88
-4
105avg 97
A02/01
Lega A
Capo d'Orlando
#8
W
70-68
70
68
+2
90avg 97
H08/01
Lega A
Brescia
#11
L
68-99
68
99
-31
92avg 97
A22/01
Lega A
Torino
#12
L
65-66
65
66
-1
88avg 97
H29/01
Lega A
Cantu
#14
W
78-73
78
73
+5
103avg 97
H05/02
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-23
15-19
19-14
17-22
29-22
12-23
15-13
17-13
21-19
20-14
22-26
24-28
10-15
26-21
20-26
31-20
7-13
16-13
19-16
15-17
23-16
24-34
18-25
19-13
16-17
14-19
17-15
23-17
17-31
16-22
13-21
22-25
12-18
16-18
23-13
14-17
22-15
12-26
23-15
21-17
153.7Avg total
75.1Scored
78.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)74.278.2152.3-4.033%
Season at home (10)73.773.4147.1+0.340%
Season away (8)74.884.1158.9-9.425%
Last 10 (10)75.178.6153.7-3.540%
Last 5 (5)73.078.8151.8-5.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)77.881.5159.3-3.627%
vs Similar (19)75.776.5152.2-0.847%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Avellino) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: -3.8-3.8Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.5+0.5Q4Q4: +2.1+2.1Q4: +1.4+1.4
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: -3.8-3.8Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.5+0.5Q4Q4: +2.1+2.1Q4: +1.4+1.4
AvellinoPesaro
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AvellinoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Capo d'Orlando
#8
W
47-32
47
32
+15
H27/12
Lega A
Caserta
#13
W
48-43
48
43
+5
A01/01
Lega A
Oostende
#35
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A04/01
Champions League
Trento
#4
L
30-32
30
32
-2
H08/01
Lega A
Mornar Bar
#42
L
26-28
26
28
-2
H11/01
Champions League
Tenerife
#2
L
35-44
35
44
-9
A17/01
Champions League
Torino
#12
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A22/01
Lega A
Juventus
#17
D
40-40
40
40
+0
H25/01
Champions League
Olimpia Milano
#2
W
47-36
47
36
+11
H30/01
Lega A
Pistoia
#7
W
35-27
35
27
+8
A05/02
Lega A
73.9Avg total
38.5Scored
35.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.836.172.9+0.847%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.635.072.6+2.653%-
Last 30 away (15)36.137.173.2-1.140%-
Last 10 (10)38.535.473.9+3.150%-
Last 5 (5)38.837.075.8+1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)34.041.075.0-7.00%-
vs Similar (10)33.935.669.5-1.740%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)38.835.874.6+3.056%-
This opponent (Pesaro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PesaroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trento
#4
L
37-42
37
42
-5
H27/11
Lega A
Cremona
#16
L
41-45
41
45
-4
A04/12
Lega A
Brindisi
#9
W
41-33
41
33
+8
H11/12
Lega A
Caserta
#13
D
36-36
36
36
+0
A18/12
Lega A
Pistoia
#7
L
23-26
23
26
-3
H27/12
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
47-50
47
50
-3
A02/01
Lega A
Capo d'Orlando
#8
L
30-36
30
36
-6
H08/01
Lega A
Brescia
#11
L
33-53
33
53
-20
A22/01
Lega A
Torino
#12
L
28-36
28
36
-8
H29/01
Lega A
Cantu
#14
L
34-41
34
41
-7
H05/02
Lega A
74.8Avg total
35.0Scored
39.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.838.876.6-1.033%-
Last 30 at home (16)36.735.672.2+1.144%-
Last 30 away (14)39.142.481.5-3.421%-
Last 10 (10)35.039.874.8-4.810%-
Last 5 (5)34.443.277.6-8.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)37.839.577.3-1.645%-
vs Similar (19)37.838.476.2-0.626%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Avellino) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Avellinotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Avellino: 77.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.1 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.7 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.618.3
51.4%
51.1%36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.59.6
37.6%
35.7%28.8
🏀 Free throws17.012.1
71.2%
74.0%12.1
They take 61.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Pesarotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pesaro: 72.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.4 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.6 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.6 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.7 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.620.2
49.8%
51.1%40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.07.2
32.7%
35.7%21.6
🏀 Free throws14.410.6
73.6%
74.0%10.6
They take 62.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Feb 2017 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Avellino
LWWLWLWWWW
Pesaro
WLLWLLWLWL
#3
League position
#15
+6.3
Net rating
-4.7
105.8
Offensive rating
97.5
99.5
Defensive rating
102.3
53.5%
Effective FG%
49.5%
48.1%
Opp. effective FG%
49.7%
20.0%
Turnover %
17.7%
30.8%
Off. rebound %
23.1%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.23
37.6%
3-point %
32.7%
55.9%
Assist %
39.4%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence105.8 · 97.5Defence99.5 · 102.3Shooting53.5% · 49.5%3-point %37.6% · 32.7%Ball care20.0% · 17.7%Off. rebounds30.8% · 23.1%Free throws0.28 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)70% · 40%
■ Avellino   ■ Pesaro
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Avellino wins
4
Pesaro wins
DateGameScore
23/10/16Pesaro v Avellino55-60
18/01/16Pesaro v Avellino82-88
04/10/15Avellino v Pesaro77-73
08/02/15Pesaro v Avellino62-77
26/10/14Avellino v Pesaro69-60
19/01/14Pesaro v Avellino88-82
13/10/13Avellino v Pesaro77-80
05/05/13Pesaro v Avellino80-95
13/01/13Avellino v Pesaro71-78
17/03/12Avellino v Pesaro81-89
Avellinolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/02/17APistoia59-67
30/01/17HOlimpia Milano80-68
25/01/17HJuventus74-64
22/01/17ATorino79-84
17/01/17ATenerife78-66
11/01/17HMornar Bar53-60
08/01/17HTrento79-69 OT
04/01/17AOostende78-73
01/01/17ACaserta86-82
27/12/16HCapo d'Orlando94-65
Pesarolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/02/17HCantu78-73
29/01/17HTorino65-66
22/01/17ABrescia68-99
08/01/17HCapo d'Orlando70-68
02/01/17AOlimpia Milano84-88
27/12/16HPistoia57-59
18/12/16ACaserta87-82
11/12/16HBrindisi96-102 OT
04/12/16ACremona73-71
27/11/16HTrento73-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Avellino
Lega A 2016-17
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL67%
HomeWLWWW78%
AwayLWWLL56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %67%78%56%
Points / game79.383.275.4
Allowed / game74.474.474.4
Point differential+4.9+8.8+1.0
Avg total153.8157.7149.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%56%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (10)50% (4)67% (6)
Overtime %11%11%11%
Pesaro
Lega A 2016-17
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW33%
HomeLLWLW40%
AwayLWWLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18108
Win %33%40%25%
Points / game74.273.774.8
Allowed / game78.273.484.1
Point differential-4.0+0.3-9.4
Avg total152.3147.1158.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+6%10%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won36% (11)29% (7)50% (4)
Overtime %6%10%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olimpia Milano1815383%88.479.5+8.9
2 Avellino1812667%79.374.4+4.9
3 Venezia1812667%81.979.6+2.4
4 Sassari1911858%77.473.0+4.4
5 Capo d'Orlando1810856%79.178.6+0.4
6 Reggiana1810856%81.781.6+0.1
7 Trento189950%75.272.4+2.8
8 Brescia189950%80.478.9+1.5
9 Pistoia189950%75.376.8-1.5
10 Torino189950%81.883.6-1.8
11 Caserta189950%81.984.7-2.8
12 Brindisi1881044%83.183.8-0.7
13 Cantu1971237%76.881.6-4.8
14 Pesaro1861233%74.278.2-4.0
15 Varese1851328%76.681.8-5.2
16 Cremona1841422%74.679.1-4.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Avellino1625172179
Pesaro2115111562
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