PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Bahcesehir Kol. vs Tofas Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 12 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 12:30
Scheduled
Position#1
Record5-0
FormWWLWW
Points / game92.8
Allowed / game83.4
vs
Position#11
Record2-3
FormWWLLW
Points / game79.8
Allowed / game84.0
TurkeyBasketbol Süper LigiRound 11· Sinan Erdem Dome
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · Bahcesehir Kol. v Tofas
12 Dec 2026
BKO v TOF
upcoming
25 Apr 2026
BKO78
TOF76
31 May 2025
BKO75
TOF65
06 Jan 2025
BKO85
TOF78
28 Apr 2024
BKO85
TOF90
14 Jan 2023
BKO89
TOF84
23 Oct 2021
BKO73
TOF84
27 Sep 2020
BKO84
TOF73
26 Oct 2019
BKO85
TOF92
29 Dec 2018
BKO79
TOF77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bahcesehir Kol. win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Tofas win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Bahcesehir Kol.TurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fenerbahce
#5
W
98-83
98
83
+15
H27/09
Basketbol Süper Ligi
BC Roma
#23
W
91-78
91
78
+13
H30/09
Eurocup
Cayirova
#16
W
84-76
84
76
+8
A04/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Balkan
#32
W
101-60
101
60
+41
A07/10
Eurocup
Karsiyaka
#10
W
92-82
92
82
+10
H10/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Manresa
#10
W
100-88
100
88
+12
H13/10
Eurocup
Bursaspor
#15
W
90-80
90
80
+10
A17/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
KK Bosna
#21
L
77-86
77
86
-9
A21/10
Eurocup
Besiktas
#12
W
100-96
100
96
+4
H24/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
PAOK
#11
W
84-81
84
81
+3
H27/10
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-16
23-27
23-22
24-18
23-18
22-20
22-18
24-22
27-23
32-22
12-20
13-11
24-16
29-5
29-20
19-19
20-13
22-21
28-24
22-24
32-20
21-24
23-22
24-22
20-20
21-16
28-31
21-13
13-21
20-15
17-22
27-28
31-24
21-26
19-21
29-25
26-23
26-17
11-18
21-23
172.7Avg total
91.7Scored
81.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)92.883.4176.2+9.4100%
Season at home (3)96.787.0183.7+9.7100%
Season away (2)87.078.0165.0+9.0100%
Last 10 (10)91.781.0172.7+10.790%
Last 5 (5)90.286.2176.4+4.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)72.086.5158.5-14.50%
vs Similar (12)84.379.5163.8+4.858%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)90.980.1171.0+10.988%
This opponent (Tofas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TofasTurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bordo Bandirma
#14
W
90-89
90
89
+1
H25/09
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Chemnitz
#5
W
82-69
82
69
+13
H29/09
Eurocup
Denizli Basket
#13
L
87-101
87
101
-14
A03/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
JL Bourg
#25
W
89-82
89
82
+7
A06/10
Eurocup
Esenler Erokspor
#4
L
79-87
79
87
-8
H10/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Buducnost
#18
W
90-85
90
85
+5
H14/10
Eurocup
Korfez Basket
#9
W
71-69
71
69
+2
A17/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Basket Napoli
#3
L
101-105 OT
101
105
-4
A21/10
Eurocup
Petkim Spor
#7
L
72-74
72
74
-2
H25/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Slask Wroclaw
#29
W
90-74
90
74
+16
A28/10
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-16
21-31
27-21
15-21
22-15
24-15
14-23
22-16
22-30
14-20
25-25
26-26
18-21
31-19
18-24
22-18
17-29
17-19
25-11
20-28
22-25
30-19
19-20
19-21
19-20
7-15
15-19
30-15
20-29
22-24
24-20
27-20
21-14
19-24
19-14
13-22
22-24
33-14
15-22
20-14
168.6Avg total
85.1Scored
83.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)79.884.0163.8-4.240%
Season at home (3)80.383.3163.7-3.033%
Season away (2)79.085.0164.0-6.050%
Last 10 (10)85.183.5168.6+1.660%
Last 5 (5)84.881.4166.2+3.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)79.987.6167.5-7.70%
vs Similar (11)84.489.7174.1-5.427%
vs Weaker (9)90.984.6175.4+6.389%
This opponent (Bahcesehir Kol.) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +5.0+5.0Q1: -1.3-1.3Q2Q2: +4.4+4.4Q2: +1.8+1.8Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: +1.3+1.3
Bahcesehir Kol.Tofas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Bahcesehir Kol.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fenerbahce
#5
W
51-43
51
43
+8
H27/09
Basketbol Süper Ligi
BC Roma
#23
W
45-38
45
38
+7
H30/09
Eurocup
Cayirova
#16
W
59-45
59
45
+14
A04/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Balkan
#32
W
53-21
53
21
+32
A07/10
Eurocup
Karsiyaka
#10
W
42-34
42
34
+8
H10/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Manresa
#10
W
53-44
53
44
+9
H13/10
Eurocup
Bursaspor
#15
W
41-36
41
36
+5
A17/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
KK Bosna
#21
L
33-36
33
36
-3
A21/10
Eurocup
Besiktas
#12
W
52-50
52
50
+2
H24/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
PAOK
#11
W
52-40
52
40
+12
H27/10
Eurocup
86.8Avg total
48.1Scored
38.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.040.083.1+3.053%-
Last 30 at home (17)43.940.684.5+3.365%-
Last 30 away (13)41.939.381.2+2.638%-
Last 10 (10)48.138.786.8+9.490%-
Last 5 (5)46.241.287.4+5.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)37.537.074.5+0.550%-
vs Similar (12)39.641.380.9-1.833%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)46.339.485.8+6.969%-
This opponent (Tofas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TofasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bordo Bandirma
#14
W
48-47
48
47
+1
H25/09
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Chemnitz
#5
W
46-30
46
30
+16
H29/09
Eurocup
Denizli Basket
#13
L
36-50
36
50
-14
A03/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
JL Bourg
#25
W
49-40
49
40
+9
A06/10
Eurocup
Esenler Erokspor
#4
L
34-48
34
48
-14
H10/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Buducnost
#18
W
52-44
52
44
+8
H14/10
Eurocup
Korfez Basket
#9
L
26-35
26
35
-9
A17/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Basket Napoli
#3
L
42-53
42
53
-11
A21/10
Eurocup
Petkim Spor
#7
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H25/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Slask Wroclaw
#29
W
55-38
55
38
+17
A28/10
Eurocup
85.1Avg total
42.8Scored
42.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.644.386.9-1.747%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.845.387.1-3.644%-
Last 30 away (14)43.643.186.8+0.550%-
Last 10 (10)42.842.385.1+0.560%-
Last 5 (5)43.041.684.6+1.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)41.142.883.9-1.750%-
vs Similar (11)39.846.686.5-6.818%-
vs Weaker (9)47.843.190.9+4.778%-
This opponent (Bahcesehir Kol.) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bahcesehir Kol.their own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bahcesehir Kol.: 91.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.2 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.7 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.723.2
57.0%
54.9%46.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.99.6
41.9%
35.7%28.8
🏀 Free throws21.116.2
76.8%
75.4%16.2
They take 63.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Tofastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tofas: 81.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.6 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.5 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.1 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.7 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.222.8
59.7%
54.9%45.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.56.5
26.5%
35.7%19.5
🏀 Free throws20.816.1
77.4%
75.4%16.1
They take 62.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Dec 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bahcesehir Kol.
WWLWWWWWWW
Tofas
WLLWWLWLWW
#1
League position
#11
+12.4
Net rating
-0.3
108.9
Offensive rating
92.3
96.5
Defensive rating
92.6
59.1%
Effective FG%
51.9%
53.9%
Opp. effective FG%
51.6%
14.8%
Turnover %
17.4%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.33
41.9%
3-point %
26.5%
61.9%
Assist %
58.0%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence108.9 · 92.3Defence96.5 · 92.6Shooting59.1% · 51.9%3-point %41.9% · 26.5%Ball care14.8% · 17.4%Free throws0.33 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)90% · 60%
■ Bahcesehir Kol.   ■ Tofas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Bahcesehir Kol. wins
5
Tofas wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/10/26HPAOK84-81
24/10/26HBesiktas100-96
21/10/26AKK Bosna77-86
17/10/26ABursaspor90-80
13/10/26HManresa100-88
10/10/26HKarsiyaka92-82
07/10/26ABalkan101-60
04/10/26ACayirova84-76
30/09/26HBC Roma91-78
27/09/26HFenerbahce98-83
Tofaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/10/26ASlask Wroclaw90-74
25/10/26HPetkim Spor72-74
21/10/26ABasket Napoli101-105 OT
17/10/26AKorfez Basket71-69
14/10/26HBuducnost90-85
10/10/26HEsenler Erokspor79-87
06/10/26AJL Bourg89-82
03/10/26ADenizli Basket87-101
29/09/26HChemnitz82-69
25/09/26HBordo Bandirma90-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bahcesehir Kol.
Basketbol Süper Ligi 2026-27
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWW100%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game92.896.787.0
Allowed / game83.487.078.0
Point differential+9.4+9.7+9.0
Avg total176.2183.7165.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+60%67%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Tofas
Basketbol Süper Ligi 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL40%
HomeWLL33%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %40%33%50%
Points / game79.880.379.0
Allowed / game84.083.385.0
Point differential-4.2-3.0-6.0
Avg total163.8163.7164.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bahcesehir Kol.550100%92.883.4+9.4
2 Turk Telekom54180%80.471.8+8.6
3 Anadolu Efes54180%85.677.2+8.4
4 Esenler Erokspor54180%85.682.8+2.8
5 Fenerbahce53260%88.484.2+4.2
6 Trabzonspor53260%82.281.8+0.4
7 Petkim Spor53260%83.683.4+0.2
8 Galatasaray52340%88.680.2+8.4
9 Korfez Basket52340%81.883.6-1.8
10 Karsiyaka52340%79.882.4-2.6
11 Tofas52340%79.884.0-4.2
12 Besiktas52340%82.688.8-6.2
13 Denizli Basket51420%80.885.8-5.0
14 Bordo Bandirma51420%79.085.2-6.2
15 Bursaspor51420%76.484.2-7.8
16 Cayirova51420%80.489.0-8.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.