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Bakken Bears vs Crailsheim Merlins Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 13 Oct 2021
Tip-off: 16:30
Final 78-91
24-18 19-27 18-20 17-26
Position#17
Record-
FormLWWWW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
Bakken Bears
vs
Crailsheim Merlins 🏆
Position#7
Record-
FormLWLWL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
EuropeFIBA Europe CupRound 1
European cup2021
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bakken Bears winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Crailsheim Merlins winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Bakken BearsLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Horsens
#2
W
77-70
77
70
+7
A13/05
Basketligaen
Horsens
#2
W
115-112 OT
115
112
+3
H17/05
Basketligaen
Horsens
#2
L
75-84
75
84
-9
A21/05
Basketligaen
Horsens
#2
L
79-85
79
85
-6
H24/05
Basketligaen
Horsens
#2
W
96-87
96
87
+9
A27/05
Basketligaen
Treviso
#14
L
90-92
90
92
-2
H15/09
Champions League
Horsens
#2
W
104-89
104
89
+15
H23/09
Basketligaen
Randers
#5
W
102-95
102
95
+7
A29/09
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#8
W
92-73
92
73
+19
A06/10
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#9
W
106-69
106
69
+37
H09/10
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-27
20-10
21-17
21-16
19-15
28-29
22-30
28-23
17-16
14-28
28-20
16-20
14-18
21-30
20-16
24-21
18-16
19-22
28-19
31-30
24-19
23-19
12-29
31-25
24-25
29-22
22-24
29-18
25-21
30-19
23-29
24-26
28-11
14-23
20-23
30-16
20-15
31-16
24-26
31-12
179.2Avg total
93.6Scored
85.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)93.685.6179.2+8.070%
Last 5 (5)98.883.6182.4+15.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀no games
vs Similar (1)82.080.0162.0+2.0100%
vs Weaker (28)103.687.9191.5+15.786%
This opponent (Crailsheim Merlins) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Crailsheim MerlinsLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oldenburg
#3
W
90-73
90
73
+17
A05/05
BBL
Bamberg
#8
W
77-70
77
70
+7
A09/05
BBL
Bayern
#4
L
66-86
66
86
-20
A19/05
BBL
Bayern
#4
L
79-83
79
83
-4
A21/05
BBL
Bayern
#4
W
96-82
96
82
+14
H23/05
BBL
Bayern
#4
L
72-86
72
86
-14
H25/05
BBL
s.Oliver Wurzburg
#12
W
111-84
111
84
+27
H25/09
BBL
Oldenburg
#11
L
79-82
79
82
-3
A28/09
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#9
W
65-63 OT
65
63
+2
H02/10
German Cup
Syntainics MBC
#15
L
111-116 OT
111
116
-5
A10/10
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-17
24-16
20-20
23-20
14-22
20-18
20-11
23-19
13-22
25-29
17-15
11-20
20-25
19-17
19-25
21-16
32-19
22-16
18-21
24-26
16-16
16-24
21-24
19-22
27-24
20-26
36-14
28-20
25-17
15-26
25-25
14-14
19-19
16-14
10-10
8-10
24-33
29-22
25-22
21-22
167.1Avg total
84.6Scored
82.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)84.682.5167.1+2.150%
Last 5 (5)87.686.2173.8+1.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)75.085.0160.0-10.040%
vs Similar (12)83.784.0167.7-0.350%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)92.584.9177.4+7.667%
This opponent (Bakken Bears) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +2.1+2.1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: +2.4+2.4Q4Q4: +5.8+5.8Q4: +0.3+0.3
Bakken BearsCrailsheim Merlins
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Bakken BearsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Horsens
#2
L
35-37
35
37
-2
A13/05
Basketligaen
Horsens
#2
W
47-44
47
44
+3
H17/05
Basketligaen
Horsens
#2
L
31-44
31
44
-13
A21/05
Basketligaen
Horsens
#2
L
35-48
35
48
-13
H24/05
Basketligaen
Horsens
#2
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A27/05
Basketligaen
Treviso
#14
W
47-38
47
38
+9
H15/09
Champions League
Horsens
#2
W
53-47
53
47
+6
H23/09
Basketligaen
Randers
#5
W
55-40
55
40
+15
A29/09
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#8
W
42-34
42
34
+8
A06/10
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#9
W
51-31
51
31
+20
H09/10
Basketligaen
83.4Avg total
43.3Scored
40.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)50.442.793.1+7.777%-
Last 30 at home (14)53.443.096.4+10.493%-
Last 30 away (16)47.842.490.1+5.462%-
Last 10 (10)43.340.183.4+3.260%-
Last 5 (5)49.638.087.6+11.6100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀no games
vs Similar (1)35.036.071.0-1.00%-
vs Weaker (28)51.143.194.1+8.079%-
This opponent (Crailsheim Merlins) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Crailsheim MerlinsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oldenburg
#3
W
47-33
47
33
+14
A05/05
BBL
Bamberg
#8
L
34-40
34
40
-6
A09/05
BBL
Bayern
#4
L
38-51
38
51
-13
A19/05
BBL
Bayern
#4
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A21/05
BBL
Bayern
#4
W
54-35
54
35
+19
H23/05
BBL
Bayern
#4
L
32-40
32
40
-8
H25/05
BBL
s.Oliver Wurzburg
#12
L
47-50
47
50
-3
H25/09
BBL
Oldenburg
#11
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A28/09
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#9
W
35-33
35
33
+2
H02/10
German Cup
Syntainics MBC
#15
L
53-55
53
55
-2
A10/10
BBL
84.1Avg total
41.9Scored
42.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.241.183.3+1.147%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.940.081.9+1.960%-
Last 30 away (15)42.542.384.7+0.233%-
Last 10 (10)41.942.284.1-0.330%-
Last 5 (5)41.444.285.6-2.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)39.840.880.6-1.040%-
vs Similar (12)40.642.282.8-1.733%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)45.440.886.2+4.658%-
This opponent (Bakken Bears) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bakken Bearstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bakken Bears: 86.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.0 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.2 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.5 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.323.0
55.6%
52.5%46.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.89.9
34.4%
34.1%29.7
🏀 Free throws16.411.2
68.2%
73.3%11.2
They take 70.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Crailsheim Merlinstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Crailsheim Merlins: 82.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.4 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.2 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.5 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers29.117.7
60.8%
52.5%35.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.610.3
38.7%
34.1%30.9
🏀 Free throws20.416.2
79.4%
73.3%16.2
They take 55.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 9/10 games with a box score before 13 Oct 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bakken Bears
WWWWLWLLWW
Crailsheim Merlins
LWLWLWLLWW
#17
League position
#7
+7.5
Net rating
+2.1
114.8
Offensive rating
116.4
107.3
Defensive rating
114.2
54.0%
Effective FG%
59.5%
52.9%
Opp. effective FG%
55.1%
16.1%
Turnover %
20.4%
35.4%
Off. rebound %
28.1%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.37
34.4%
3-point %
38.7%
54.7%
Assist %
64.3%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence114.8 · 116.4Defence107.3 · 114.2Shooting54.0% · 59.5%3-point %34.4% · 38.7%Ball care16.1% · 20.4%Off. rebounds35.4% · 28.1%Free throws0.23 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)70% · 50%
■ Bakken Bears   ■ Crailsheim Merlins
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Bakken Bears wins
0
Crailsheim Merlins wins
No previous meetings.
Bakken Bearslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/10/21HHerlev Wolfpack106-69
06/10/21ABears Academy92-73
29/09/21ARanders102-95
23/09/21HHorsens104-89
15/09/21HTreviso90-92
27/05/21AHorsens96-87
24/05/21HHorsens79-85
21/05/21AHorsens75-84
17/05/21HHorsens115-112 OT
13/05/21AHorsens77-70
Crailsheim Merlinslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/10/21ASyntainics MBC111-116 OT
02/10/21HLudwigsburg65-63 OT
28/09/21AOldenburg79-82
25/09/21Hs.Oliver Wurzburg111-84
25/05/21HBayern72-86
23/05/21HBayern96-82
21/05/21ABayern79-83
19/05/21ABayern66-86
09/05/21ABamberg77-70
05/05/21AOldenburg90-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bakken Bears
FIBA Europe Cup 2021
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Crailsheim Merlins
FIBA Europe Cup 2021
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Parma Perm110100%106.084.0+22.0
2 Saratov110100%100.080.0+20.0
3 Szolnoki Olaj110100%81.064.0+17.0
4 Iraklis220100%84.573.5+11.0
5 Legia110100%76.066.0+10.0
6 Ironi Eilat110100%94.086.0+8.0
7 Bahcesehir Kol.110100%75.068.0+7.0
8 Bayreuth220100%82.076.0+6.0
9 Den Bosch110100%78.073.0+5.0
10 Ionikos110100%78.075.0+3.0
11 Minsk110100%87.085.0+2.0
12 Kyiv Basket110100%69.068.0+1.0
13 Benfica32167%79.076.0+3.0
14 FC Porto32167%71.069.7+1.3
15 Donar Groningen21150%76.567.0+9.5
16 Szedeak21150%84.580.0+4.5
17 Parnu21150%77.076.5+0.5
18 Hapoel Haifa21150%80.080.0+0.0
19 Swans Gmunden21150%68.070.0-2.0
20 Nes Ziona21150%78.080.5-2.5
21 Trefl Sopot31233%76.075.0+1.0
22 Peristeri1010%85.087.0-2.0
23 Belfius Mons1010%75.078.0-3.0
24 Enisey1010%80.085.0-5.0
25 Vienna Basket1010%67.072.0-5.0
26 BC Dnipro1010%82.088.0-6.0
27 Voluntari1010%77.083.0-6.0
28 Mornar Bar1010%68.075.0-7.0
29 Rilski Sportist1010%86.094.0-8.0
30 CSM Oradea1010%66.076.0-10.0
31 Keravnos1010%58.070.0-12.0
32 TFT Skopje1010%76.092.0-16.0
33 Academic Plovdiv1010%75.095.0-20.0
34 Basket Zaragoza1010%80.0100.0-20.0
35 Opava1010%84.0106.0-22.0
36 Kumanovo1010%60.083.0-23.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Bakken Bears2419181778
Crailsheim Merlins1827202691
← all games of the day
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