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Bayern vs Crailsheim Merlins Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 21 May 2021
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 83-79
25-20 17-19 25-19 16-21
Position#4
Record25-10
FormLLWWW
Points / game86.5
Allowed / game79.6
Bayern 🏆
Germany
vs
Position#5
Record24-11
FormLWWWL
Points / game86.0
Allowed / game82.4
GermanyBBLBBL - Quarter-finals
Domestic2020-21
Meetings · Bayern v Crailsheim Merlins
28 Jan 2024
BAY98
CME81
30 Oct 2022
BAY88
CME77
27 Mar 2022
BAY93
CME64
21 May 2021
BAY83
CME79
19 May 2021
BAY86
CME66
31 Jan 2021
BAY103
CME105
01 Dec 2019
BAY82
CME63
21 Apr 2019
BAY99
CME79
29 Nov 2015
BAY106
CME59
28 Mar 2015
BAY110
CME76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bayern winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Crailsheim Merlins winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BayernGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBayern
Date
Competition
Alba Berlin
#1
L
62-100
62
100
-38
55avg 76
H25/04
BBL
Olimpia Milano
#4
W
85-79
85
79
+6
85avg 76
H28/04
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#4
W
85-82
85
82
+3
75avg 76
H30/04
Euroleague
Gottingen
#11
W
102-90
102
90
+12
106avg 76
A02/05
BBL
Olimpia Milano
#4
L
89-92
89
92
-3
80avg 76
A04/05
Euroleague
Ulm
#6
L
64-98
64
98
-34
59avg 76
H07/05
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#2
L
77-91
77
91
-14
69avg 76
A09/05
BBL
Ulm
#9
W
104-102 OT
104
102
+2
no box
A15/05
German Cup
Alba Berlin
#2
W
85-79
85
79
+6
no box
H16/05
German Cup
Crailsheim Merlins
#5
W
86-66
86
66
+20
84avg 76
H19/05
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-23
9-29
16-31
16-17
23-9
16-26
25-16
21-28
23-19
17-31
23-21
22-11
25-26
27-18
25-18
25-28
22-24
18-26
18-22
31-20
18-35
14-21
17-17
15-25
12-24
21-26
25-17
19-24
26-18
23-18
20-32
15-16
17-29
24-10
24-19
20-21
22-13
29-25
15-17
20-11
171.8Avg total
83.9Scored
87.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (35)86.579.6166.1+6.871%
Season at home (18)85.877.5163.3+8.378%
Season away (17)87.181.9169.0+5.265%
Last 10 (10)83.987.9171.8-4.060%
Last 5 (5)83.287.2170.4-4.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)74.783.7158.3-9.067%
vs Similar ◀ (16)79.882.6162.4-2.844%
vs Weaker (11)89.278.9168.1+10.382%
This opponent (Crailsheim Merlins) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Crailsheim MerlinsGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMerlins
Date
Competition
Frankfurt
#12
L
84-92
84
92
-8
73avg 81
A04/04
BBL
Bonn
#13
W
91-88
91
88
+3
84avg 81
H07/04
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#15
L
77-82
77
82
-5
70avg 81
H09/04
BBL
Chemnitz
#14
W
85-73
85
73
+12
78avg 81
A14/04
BBL
Vechta
#18
W
98-81
98
81
+17
98avg 81
H24/04
BBL
Ulm
#6
L
78-93
78
93
-15
no box
A29/04
BBL
Hamburg
#7
W
85-79
85
79
+6
89avg 81
H02/05
BBL
Oldenburg
#3
W
90-73
90
73
+17
94avg 81
A05/05
BBL
Bamberg
#8
W
77-70
77
70
+7
75avg 81
A09/05
BBL
Bayern
#4
L
66-86
66
86
-20
52avg 81
A19/05
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-21
22-21
15-21
25-29
25-16
15-31
20-16
31-25
20-21
20-27
16-19
21-15
15-27
23-14
21-13
26-19
25-15
20-22
25-27
28-17
17-21
26-23
21-28
14-21
23-17
24-25
16-20
22-17
23-17
24-16
20-20
23-20
14-22
20-18
20-11
23-19
13-22
25-29
17-15
11-20
164.8Avg total
83.1Scored
81.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (35)86.082.4168.4+3.769%
Season at home (17)85.180.1165.2+5.176%
Season away (18)86.984.6171.4+2.361%
Last 10 (10)83.181.7164.8+1.460%
Last 5 (5)79.280.2159.4-1.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)79.384.1163.4-4.957%
vs Similar ◀ (8)79.985.0164.9-5.150%
vs Weaker (15)91.180.2171.3+10.980%
This opponent (Bayern) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: -3.2-3.2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: +0.1+0.1Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: +2.2+2.2
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: -3.2-3.2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: +0.1+0.1Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: +2.2+2.2
BayernCrailsheim Merlins
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BayernLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alba Berlin
#1
L
30-52
30
52
-22
H25/04
BBL
Olimpia Milano
#4
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H28/04
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#4
L
40-50
40
50
-10
H30/04
Euroleague
Gottingen
#11
W
52-44
52
44
+8
A02/05
BBL
Olimpia Milano
#4
L
40-50
40
50
-10
A04/05
Euroleague
Ulm
#6
L
32-56
32
56
-24
H07/05
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#2
L
33-50
33
50
-17
A09/05
BBL
Ulm
#9
W
49-36
49
36
+13
A15/05
German Cup
Alba Berlin
#2
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H16/05
German Cup
Crailsheim Merlins
#5
W
51-38
51
38
+13
H19/05
BBL
85.7Avg total
40.7Scored
45.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.740.580.2-0.860%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.540.979.4-2.360%-
Last 30 away (15)40.940.180.9+0.860%-
Last 10 (10)40.745.085.7-4.350%-
Last 5 (5)41.243.885.0-2.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)36.745.081.7-8.333%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)37.941.279.1-3.444%-
vs Weaker (11)43.238.181.3+5.191%-
This opponent (Crailsheim Merlins) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Crailsheim MerlinsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Frankfurt
#12
W
44-42
44
42
+2
A04/04
BBL
Bonn
#13
L
40-47
40
47
-7
H07/04
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#15
L
40-48
40
48
-8
H09/04
BBL
Chemnitz
#14
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A14/04
BBL
Vechta
#18
W
45-37
45
37
+8
H24/04
BBL
Ulm
#6
L
43-44
43
44
-1
A29/04
BBL
Hamburg
#7
W
47-42
47
42
+5
H02/05
BBL
Oldenburg
#3
W
47-33
47
33
+14
A05/05
BBL
Bamberg
#8
L
34-40
34
40
-6
A09/05
BBL
Bayern
#4
L
38-51
38
51
-13
A19/05
BBL
84.1Avg total
41.6Scored
42.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.240.482.6+1.853%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.138.679.7+2.464%-
Last 30 away (16)43.241.985.1+1.244%-
Last 10 (10)41.642.584.1-0.940%-
Last 5 (5)41.842.083.8-0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)39.938.478.3+1.457%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)38.843.882.5-5.038%-
vs Weaker (15)45.139.584.7+5.660%-
This opponent (Bayern) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bayerntheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bayern: 79.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.6 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.5 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.9 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.120.0
51.2%
54.2%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.47.2
35.3%
37.1%21.6
🏀 Free throws22.617.5
77.4%
78.0%17.5
They take 59.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Crailsheim Merlinstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Crailsheim Merlins: 82.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.6 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.2 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.9 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.417.8
56.7%
54.2%35.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.210.5
37.2%
37.1%31.5
🏀 Free throws20.115.2
75.6%
78.0%15.2
They take 59.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 May 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bayern
WWWLLLWWWL
Crailsheim Merlins
LWWWLWWLWL
#4
League position
#5
-8.0
Net rating
+1.6
109.0
Offensive rating
111.1
117.0
Defensive rating
109.5
51.8%
Effective FG%
56.3%
54.6%
Opp. effective FG%
52.6%
18.3%
Turnover %
20.2%
31.3%
Off. rebound %
31.0%
0.38
Free-throw rate
0.34
35.3%
3-point %
37.2%
64.3%
Assist %
55.1%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence109.0 · 111.1Defence117.0 · 109.5Shooting51.8% · 56.3%3-point %35.3% · 37.2%Ball care18.3% · 20.2%Off. rebounds31.3% · 31.0%Free throws0.38 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ Bayern   ■ Crailsheim Merlins
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Bayern wins
1
Crailsheim Merlins wins
Bayernlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/05/21HCrailsheim Merlins86-66
16/05/21HAlba Berlin85-79
15/05/21AUlm104-102 OT
09/05/21ALudwigsburg77-91
07/05/21HUlm64-98
04/05/21AOlimpia Milano89-92
02/05/21AGottingen102-90
30/04/21HOlimpia Milano85-82
28/04/21HOlimpia Milano85-79
25/04/21HAlba Berlin62-100
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/05/21ABayern66-86
09/05/21ABamberg77-70
05/05/21AOldenburg90-73
02/05/21HHamburg85-79
29/04/21AUlm78-93
24/04/21HVechta98-81
14/04/21AChemnitz85-73
09/04/21HSyntainics MBC77-82
07/04/21HBonn91-88
04/04/21AFrankfurt84-92

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bayern
BBL 2020-21
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW71%
HomeWLLLW78%
AwayLLWWL65%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games351817
Win %71%78%65%
Points / game86.585.887.1
Allowed / game79.677.581.9
Point differential+6.8+8.3+5.2
Avg total166.1163.3169.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+51%61%41%
Close games (≤5 pts) won45% (11)33% (3)50% (8)
Overtime %6%6%6%
Crailsheim Merlins
BBL 2020-21
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL69%
HomeWWLWW76%
AwayWLWWL61%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games351718
Win %69%76%61%
Points / game86.085.186.9
Allowed / game82.480.184.6
Point differential+3.7+5.1+2.3
Avg total168.4165.2171.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%41%39%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)60% (5)100% (1)
Overtime %3%0%6%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Ludwigsburg3531489%88.976.9+12.0
2 Alba Berlin3529683%86.375.5+10.7
3 Oldenburg35251071%92.584.0+8.5
4 Bayern35251071%86.579.6+6.8
5 Ulm35241169%88.578.2+10.3
6 Crailsheim Merlins35241169%86.082.4+3.7
7 Hamburg35211460%84.380.1+4.1
8 Bamberg35171849%84.082.7+1.3
9 Basketball Braunschweig34161847%84.087.0-3.0
10 Bayreuth34151944%84.384.6-0.3
11 Gottingen34132138%84.590.1-5.6
12 Frankfurt34132138%76.982.8-5.9
13 Bonn34122235%82.384.8-2.5
14 Chemnitz34122235%79.187.6-8.5
15 Syntainics MBC3492526%82.789.9-7.2
16 s.Oliver Wurzburg3492526%77.587.8-10.3
17 Giessen3482624%85.693.9-8.2
18 Vechta3472721%79.987.6-7.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Bayern2517251683
Crailsheim Merlins2019192179
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