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Crailsheim Merlins vs Bayern Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 25 May 2021
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 72-86
16-16 16-24 21-24 19-22
Position#5
Record25-12
FormWWLLW
Points / game86.1
Allowed / game82.4
vs
Bayern 🏆
Germany
Position#4
Record26-11
FormWWWWL
Points / game86.2
Allowed / game80.1
GermanyBBLBBL - Quarter-finals
Domestic2020-21
Meetings · Crailsheim Merlins v Bayern
22 Oct 2023
CME62
BAY97
23 Apr 2023
CME69
BAY78
26 Dec 2021
CME77
BAY68
25 May 2021
CME72
BAY86
23 May 2021
CME96
BAY82
21 Mar 2021
CME74
BAY79
26 Oct 2020
CME63
BAY80
08 Jun 2020
CME79
BAY110
15 Apr 2020
CME v BAY
upcoming
04 Nov 2018
CME71
BAY96
22 Apr 2016
CME78
BAY89
23 Nov 2014
CME66
BAY103
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Crailsheim Merlins winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bayern winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Crailsheim MerlinsGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMerlins
Date
Competition
Syntainics MBC
#15
L
77-82
77
82
-5
70avg 81
H09/04
BBL
Chemnitz
#14
W
85-73
85
73
+12
78avg 81
A14/04
BBL
Vechta
#18
W
98-81
98
81
+17
98avg 81
H24/04
BBL
Ulm
#6
L
78-93
78
93
-15
no box
A29/04
BBL
Hamburg
#7
W
85-79
85
79
+6
89avg 81
H02/05
BBL
Oldenburg
#3
W
90-73
90
73
+17
94avg 81
A05/05
BBL
Bamberg
#8
W
77-70
77
70
+7
75avg 81
A09/05
BBL
Bayern
#4
L
66-86
66
86
-20
52avg 81
A19/05
BBL
Bayern
#4
L
79-83
79
83
-4
75avg 81
A21/05
BBL
Bayern
#4
W
96-82
96
82
+14
96avg 81
H23/05
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-21
20-27
16-19
21-15
15-27
23-14
21-13
26-19
25-15
20-22
25-27
28-17
17-21
26-23
21-28
14-21
23-17
24-25
16-20
22-17
23-17
24-16
20-20
23-20
14-22
20-18
20-11
23-19
13-22
25-29
17-15
11-20
20-25
19-17
19-25
21-16
32-19
22-16
18-21
24-26
163.3Avg total
83.1Scored
80.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (37)86.182.4168.5+3.768%
Season at home (18)85.780.2165.9+5.678%
Season away (19)86.584.5170.9+2.058%
Last 10 (10)83.180.2163.3+2.960%
Last 5 (5)81.678.8160.4+2.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)76.884.8161.7-8.050%
vs Similar ◀ (10)81.484.5165.9-3.150%
vs Weaker (14)89.980.6170.5+9.479%
This opponent (Bayern) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BayernGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBayern
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#4
W
85-82
85
82
+3
75avg 76
H30/04
Euroleague
Gottingen
#11
W
102-90
102
90
+12
106avg 76
A02/05
BBL
Olimpia Milano
#4
L
89-92
89
92
-3
80avg 76
A04/05
Euroleague
Ulm
#6
L
64-98
64
98
-34
59avg 76
H07/05
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#2
L
77-91
77
91
-14
69avg 76
A09/05
BBL
Ulm
#9
W
104-102 OT
104
102
+2
no box
A15/05
German Cup
Alba Berlin
#2
W
85-79
85
79
+6
no box
H16/05
German Cup
Crailsheim Merlins
#5
W
86-66
86
66
+20
84avg 76
H19/05
BBL
Crailsheim Merlins
#5
W
83-79
83
79
+4
78avg 76
H21/05
BBL
Crailsheim Merlins
#5
L
82-96
82
96
-14
73avg 76
A23/05
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-19
17-31
23-21
22-11
25-26
27-18
25-18
25-28
22-24
18-26
18-22
31-20
18-35
14-21
17-17
15-25
12-24
21-26
25-17
19-24
26-18
23-18
20-32
15-16
17-29
24-10
24-19
20-21
22-13
29-25
15-17
20-11
25-20
17-19
25-19
16-21
19-32
16-22
21-18
26-24
173.2Avg total
85.7Scored
87.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (37)86.280.1166.3+6.270%
Season at home (19)85.777.6163.3+8.179%
Season away (18)86.882.7169.5+4.261%
Last 10 (10)85.787.5173.2-1.860%
Last 5 (5)88.084.4172.4+3.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)74.783.7158.3-9.067%
vs Similar ◀ (18)80.183.1163.2-3.044%
vs Weaker (9)90.279.9170.1+10.378%
This opponent (Crailsheim Merlins) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q1: -3.1-3.1Q2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q2: -1.0-1.0Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: +1.3+1.3Q4Q4: +2.3+2.3Q4: +0.8+0.8
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q1: -3.1-3.1Q2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q2: -1.0-1.0Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: +1.3+1.3Q4Q4: +2.3+2.3Q4: +0.8+0.8
Crailsheim MerlinsBayern
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Crailsheim MerlinsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Syntainics MBC
#15
L
40-48
40
48
-8
H09/04
BBL
Chemnitz
#14
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A14/04
BBL
Vechta
#18
W
45-37
45
37
+8
H24/04
BBL
Ulm
#6
L
43-44
43
44
-1
A29/04
BBL
Hamburg
#7
W
47-42
47
42
+5
H02/05
BBL
Oldenburg
#3
W
47-33
47
33
+14
A05/05
BBL
Bamberg
#8
L
34-40
34
40
-6
A09/05
BBL
Bayern
#4
L
38-51
38
51
-13
A19/05
BBL
Bayern
#4
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A21/05
BBL
Bayern
#4
W
54-35
54
35
+19
H23/05
BBL
83.8Avg total
42.5Scored
41.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.040.882.8+1.250%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.138.981.0+3.364%-
Last 30 away (16)41.942.584.4-0.638%-
Last 10 (10)42.541.383.8+1.240%-
Last 5 (5)42.440.282.6+2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)40.039.579.5+0.550%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)40.342.783.0-2.440%-
vs Weaker (14)44.140.084.1+4.157%-
This opponent (Bayern) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BayernLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#4
L
40-50
40
50
-10
H30/04
Euroleague
Gottingen
#11
W
52-44
52
44
+8
A02/05
BBL
Olimpia Milano
#4
L
40-50
40
50
-10
A04/05
Euroleague
Ulm
#6
L
32-56
32
56
-24
H07/05
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#2
L
33-50
33
50
-17
A09/05
BBL
Ulm
#9
W
49-36
49
36
+13
A15/05
German Cup
Alba Berlin
#2
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H16/05
German Cup
Crailsheim Merlins
#5
W
51-38
51
38
+13
H19/05
BBL
Crailsheim Merlins
#5
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H21/05
BBL
Crailsheim Merlins
#5
L
35-54
35
54
-19
A23/05
BBL
87.1Avg total
41.5Scored
45.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.540.980.4-1.457%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.941.179.9-2.260%-
Last 30 away (15)40.140.780.8-0.753%-
Last 10 (10)41.545.687.1-4.150%-
Last 5 (5)43.641.284.8+2.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)36.745.081.7-8.333%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)37.941.879.8-3.944%-
vs Weaker (9)43.437.781.1+5.889%-
This opponent (Crailsheim Merlins) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Crailsheim Merlinstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Crailsheim Merlins: 82.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.6 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.5 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.9 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.517.8
58.4%
54.2%35.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.710.4
39.0%
37.1%31.2
🏀 Free throws21.015.5
73.8%
78.0%15.5
They take 57.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bayerntheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bayern: 81.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.6 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.3 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.9 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.421.3
55.5%
54.2%42.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.47.4
36.3%
37.1%22.2
🏀 Free throws20.616.3
79.1%
78.0%16.3
They take 58.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 25 May 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Crailsheim Merlins
WLLWWWLWWL
Bayern
LWWWWLLLWW
#5
League position
#4
+3.7
Net rating
-7.2
113.3
Offensive rating
112.6
109.5
Defensive rating
119.8
58.4%
Effective FG%
55.1%
53.5%
Opp. effective FG%
57.5%
21.0%
Turnover %
19.4%
33.1%
Off. rebound %
32.2%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.35
39.0%
3-point %
36.3%
57.1%
Assist %
64.5%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence113.3 · 112.6Defence109.5 · 119.8Shooting58.4% · 55.1%3-point %39.0% · 36.3%Ball care21.0% · 19.4%Off. rebounds33.1% · 32.2%Free throws0.37 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ Crailsheim Merlins   ■ Bayern
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Crailsheim Merlins wins
8
Bayern wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/05/21HBayern96-82
21/05/21ABayern79-83
19/05/21ABayern66-86
09/05/21ABamberg77-70
05/05/21AOldenburg90-73
02/05/21HHamburg85-79
29/04/21AUlm78-93
24/04/21HVechta98-81
14/04/21AChemnitz85-73
09/04/21HSyntainics MBC77-82
Bayernlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/05/21ACrailsheim Merlins82-96
21/05/21HCrailsheim Merlins83-79
19/05/21HCrailsheim Merlins86-66
16/05/21HAlba Berlin85-79
15/05/21AUlm104-102 OT
09/05/21ALudwigsburg77-91
07/05/21HUlm64-98
04/05/21AOlimpia Milano89-92
02/05/21AGottingen102-90
30/04/21HOlimpia Milano85-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Crailsheim Merlins
BBL 2020-21
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW68%
HomeWLWWW78%
AwayLWWLL58%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games371819
Win %68%78%58%
Points / game86.185.786.5
Allowed / game82.480.284.5
Point differential+3.7+5.6+2.0
Avg total168.5165.9170.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+41%44%37%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)60% (5)50% (2)
Overtime %3%0%5%
Bayern
BBL 2020-21
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL70%
HomeLLLWW79%
AwayLWWLL61%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games371918
Win %70%79%61%
Points / game86.285.786.8
Allowed / game80.177.682.7
Point differential+6.2+8.1+4.2
Avg total166.3163.3169.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+49%58%39%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (12)50% (4)50% (8)
Overtime %5%5%6%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Ludwigsburg3832684%87.977.8+10.1
2 Alba Berlin3731684%86.575.7+10.8
3 Oldenburg37261170%91.483.4+7.9
4 Bayern37261170%86.280.1+6.2
5 Ulm37251268%87.677.8+9.8
6 Crailsheim Merlins37251268%86.182.4+3.7
7 Hamburg37211657%83.980.7+3.3
8 Bamberg38191950%84.482.2+2.1
9 Basketball Braunschweig34161847%84.087.0-3.0
10 Bayreuth34151944%84.384.6-0.3
11 Gottingen34132138%84.590.1-5.6
12 Frankfurt34132138%76.982.8-5.9
13 Bonn34122235%82.384.8-2.5
14 Chemnitz34122235%79.187.6-8.5
15 Syntainics MBC3492526%82.789.9-7.2
16 s.Oliver Wurzburg3492526%77.587.8-10.3
17 Giessen3482624%85.693.9-8.2
18 Vechta3472721%79.987.6-7.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Crailsheim Merlins1616211972
Bayern1624242286
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