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Crailsheim Merlins vs Ludwigsburg Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 02 Oct 2021
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 65-63 (OT)
19-19 16-14 10-10 8-10 12-10
Position#2
Record-
FormLWLWL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
Crailsheim Merlins 🏆
Germany
vs
Ludwigsburg
Germany
Position#9
Record-
FormLLLWL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
GermanyGerman Cup
Other2021-22
Meetings · Crailsheim Merlins v Ludwigsburg
10 Feb 2024
CME89
LUD100
21 Jan 2023
CME106
LUD87
03 Dec 2022
CME69
LUD95
11 Dec 2021
CME72
LUD61
02 Oct 2021
CME65
LUD63
14 Mar 2021
CME68
LUD58
09 Nov 2019
CME83
LUD92
27 Apr 2019
CME85
LUD94
09 Apr 2016
CME74
LUD75
02 Apr 2015
CME89
LUD81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Crailsheim Merlins winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ludwigsburg winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Crailsheim MerlinsGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMerlins
Date
Competition
Ulm
#6
L
78-93
78
93
-15
no box
A29/04
BBL
Hamburg
#7
W
85-79
85
79
+6
89avg 81
H02/05
BBL
Oldenburg
#3
W
90-73
90
73
+17
94avg 81
A05/05
BBL
Bamberg
#8
W
77-70
77
70
+7
75avg 81
A09/05
BBL
Bayern
#4
L
66-86
66
86
-20
52avg 81
A19/05
BBL
Bayern
#4
L
79-83
79
83
-4
75avg 81
A21/05
BBL
Bayern
#4
W
96-82
96
82
+14
96avg 81
H23/05
BBL
Bayern
#4
L
72-86
72
86
-14
62avg 81
H25/05
BBL
s.Oliver Wurzburg
#12
W
111-84
111
84
+27
110avg 81
H25/09
BBL
Oldenburg
#11
L
79-82
79
82
-3
71avg 81
A28/09
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-21
26-23
21-28
14-21
23-17
24-25
16-20
22-17
23-17
24-16
20-20
23-20
14-22
20-18
20-11
23-19
13-22
25-29
17-15
11-20
20-25
19-17
19-25
21-16
32-19
22-16
18-21
24-26
16-16
16-24
21-24
19-22
27-24
20-26
36-14
28-20
25-17
15-26
25-25
14-14
165.1Avg total
83.3Scored
81.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)83.381.8165.1+1.550%
Last 5 (5)87.483.4170.8+4.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)75.085.0160.0-10.040%
vs Similar (13)82.884.4167.2-1.646%
vs Weaker (12)90.481.9172.3+8.575%
LudwigsburgGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLudwigsburg
Date
Competition
Bamberg
#8
W
86-83
86
83
+3
76avg 77
H21/05
BBL
Bamberg
#8
L
60-96
60
96
-36
44avg 77
A23/05
BBL
Bamberg
#8
L
84-87
84
87
-3
69avg 77
A25/05
BBL
Bamberg
#8
W
95-73
95
73
+22
90avg 77
H27/05
BBL
Bayern
#4
W
101-98
101
98
+3
85avg 77
H29/05
BBL
Bayern
#4
L
72-82
72
82
-10
58avg 77
H31/05
BBL
Bayern
#4
L
78-81
78
81
-3
63avg 77
A02/06
BBL
Bayern
#4
L
73-82
73
82
-9
60avg 77
A04/06
BBL
Hamburg
#7
W
88-87
88
87
+1
87avg 77
H25/09
BBL
Heidelberg
#14
L
67-73
67
73
-6
57avg 77
A29/09
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-16
19-20
20-28
23-19
17-29
18-31
13-22
12-14
21-24
25-25
16-26
22-12
26-16
24-21
26-15
19-21
29-17
26-30
21-19
25-32
19-19
14-23
21-21
18-19
21-19
18-18
14-22
25-22
16-20
18-21
23-16
16-25
24-27
24-20
20-22
20-18
11-20
22-19
17-15
17-19
164.6Avg total
80.4Scored
84.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)80.484.2164.6-3.840%
Last 5 (5)75.681.0156.6-5.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (10)85.182.5167.6+2.660%
vs Weaker (20)85.776.1161.8+9.675%

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: -2.0-2.0Q3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q3: -1.5-1.5Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: -0.4-0.4
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: -2.0-2.0Q3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q3: -1.5-1.5Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: -0.4-0.4
Crailsheim MerlinsLudwigsburg
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Crailsheim MerlinsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ulm
#6
L
43-44
43
44
-1
A29/04
BBL
Hamburg
#7
W
47-42
47
42
+5
H02/05
BBL
Oldenburg
#3
W
47-33
47
33
+14
A05/05
BBL
Bamberg
#8
L
34-40
34
40
-6
A09/05
BBL
Bayern
#4
L
38-51
38
51
-13
A19/05
BBL
Bayern
#4
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A21/05
BBL
Bayern
#4
W
54-35
54
35
+19
H23/05
BBL
Bayern
#4
L
32-40
32
40
-8
H25/05
BBL
s.Oliver Wurzburg
#12
L
47-50
47
50
-3
H25/09
BBL
Oldenburg
#11
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A28/09
BBL
84.1Avg total
42.1Scored
42.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.941.383.1+0.647%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.440.582.9+1.957%-
Last 30 away (16)41.441.983.3-0.638%-
Last 10 (10)42.142.084.1+0.130%-
Last 5 (5)42.442.084.4+0.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)39.840.880.6-1.040%-
vs Similar (13)40.243.183.2-2.931%-
vs Weaker (12)44.639.584.1+5.167%-
LudwigsburgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bamberg
#8
W
43-36
43
36
+7
H21/05
BBL
Bamberg
#8
L
35-60
35
60
-25
A23/05
BBL
Bamberg
#8
L
46-49
46
49
-3
A25/05
BBL
Bamberg
#8
W
50-37
50
37
+13
H27/05
BBL
Bayern
#4
W
55-47
55
47
+8
H29/05
BBL
Bayern
#4
L
33-42
33
42
-9
H31/05
BBL
Bayern
#4
W
39-37
39
37
+2
A02/06
BBL
Bayern
#4
L
34-41
34
41
-7
A04/06
BBL
Hamburg
#7
W
48-47
48
47
+1
H25/09
BBL
Heidelberg
#14
L
33-39
33
39
-6
A29/09
BBL
85.1Avg total
41.6Scored
43.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.739.584.2+5.267%-
Last 30 at home (14)48.639.988.5+8.886%-
Last 30 away (16)41.239.280.4+2.050%-
Last 10 (10)41.643.585.1-1.950%-
Last 5 (5)37.441.278.6-3.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (10)44.640.184.7+4.570%-
vs Weaker (20)44.739.283.9+5.565%-
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Crailsheim Merlinstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Crailsheim Merlins: 82.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.4 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.2 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.1 points a game
43%
37%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers29.117.7
60.8%
51.2%35.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.610.3
38.7%
34.0%30.9
🏀 Free throws20.416.2
79.4%
72.2%16.2
They take 55.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 47%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Ludwigsburgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ludwigsburg: 79.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.1 points a game
43%
37%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.319.0
47.1%
51.2%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.29.3
35.5%
34.0%27.9
🏀 Free throws18.413.5
73.4%
72.2%13.5
They take 66.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 47%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 02 Oct 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Crailsheim Merlins
LWLWLLWWWL
Ludwigsburg
LWLLLWWLLW
#2
League position
#9
+2.1
Net rating
-5.1
116.4
Offensive rating
107.1
114.2
Defensive rating
112.2
59.5%
Effective FG%
49.5%
55.1%
Opp. effective FG%
57.0%
20.4%
Turnover %
17.6%
28.1%
Off. rebound %
33.9%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.28
38.7%
3-point %
35.5%
64.3%
Assist %
51.2%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence116.4 · 107.1Defence114.2 · 112.2Shooting59.5% · 49.5%3-point %38.7% · 35.5%Ball care20.4% · 17.6%Off. rebounds28.1% · 33.9%Free throws0.37 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)50% · 40%
■ Crailsheim Merlins   ■ Ludwigsburg
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Crailsheim Merlins wins
7
Ludwigsburg wins
DateGameScore
14/03/21Crailsheim Merlins v Ludwigsburg68-58
06/12/20Ludwigsburg v Crailsheim Merlins97-88
09/11/19Crailsheim Merlins v Ludwigsburg83-92
27/04/19Crailsheim Merlins v Ludwigsburg85-94
15/12/18Ludwigsburg v Crailsheim Merlins82-70
09/04/16Crailsheim Merlins v Ludwigsburg74-75
30/12/15Ludwigsburg v Crailsheim Merlins100-65
02/04/15Crailsheim Merlins v Ludwigsburg89-81
12/10/14Ludwigsburg v Crailsheim Merlins91-80
Crailsheim Merlinslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/09/21AOldenburg79-82
25/09/21Hs.Oliver Wurzburg111-84
25/05/21HBayern72-86
23/05/21HBayern96-82
21/05/21ABayern79-83
19/05/21ABayern66-86
09/05/21ABamberg77-70
05/05/21AOldenburg90-73
02/05/21HHamburg85-79
29/04/21AUlm78-93
Ludwigsburglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/09/21AHeidelberg67-73
25/09/21HHamburg88-87
04/06/21ABayern73-82
02/06/21ABayern78-81
31/05/21HBayern72-82
29/05/21HBayern101-98
27/05/21HBamberg95-73
25/05/21ABamberg84-87
23/05/21ABamberg60-96
21/05/21HBamberg86-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Crailsheim Merlins
German Cup 2021-22
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Ludwigsburg
German Cup 2021-22
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Basketball Braunschweig110100%97.077.0+20.0
2 Chemnitz110100%87.085.0+2.0
3 Ulm1010%85.087.0-2.0
4 Gottingen1010%77.097.0-20.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Crailsheim Merlins19161081265
Ludwigsburg191410101063
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