Balkan vs Beroe Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 20 Mar 2021

Tip-off: 17:00

Final 106-84

22-23 25-25 29-17 30-19

Position#3

Record13-5

FormWWWWL

Points / game85.6

Allowed / game74.2

Balkan 🏆

Beroe

Position#6

Record9-9

FormLWWLL

Points / game85.3

Allowed / game82.6

NBLRound 21

Other2020-21

Meetings · Balkan v Beroe

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Balkan winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Beroe winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Balkan

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

CSU Sibiu

75-88

-13

A26/01

FIBA Europe Cup

CSM Oradea

58-55

H28/01

FIBA Europe Cup

Besiktas

#11

74-71

H29/01

FIBA Europe Cup

Yambol

85-70

+15

H02/02

NBL

Lukoil Levski

76-81

-5

H06/02

NBL

Academic Bultex

81-70

+11

A10/02

NBL

Chernomorets

92-86

H27/02

NBL

Spartak Pleven

80-70

+10

A05/03

NBL

Chernomorets

84-71

+13

H11/03

Bulgarian Cup

Rilski Sportist

48-90

-42

A13/03

Bulgarian Cup

18-30

23-23

16-23

18-12

15-11

9-18

18-14

16-12

9-21

18-16

21-20

26-14

21-19

28-21

22-14

14-16

20-19

17-20

18-19

21-23

16-19

18-14

31-22

16-15

36-18

15-24

16-22

25-22

21-25

21-14

17-17

24-11

15-23

28-13

17-24

14-22

16-25

8-22

10-21

150.5Avg total

75.3Scored

75.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (18)	85.6	74.2	159.8	+11.3	72%
Season at home (9)	85.9	76.3	162.2	+9.6	56%
Season away (9)	85.2	72.1	157.3	+13.1	89%
Last 10 (10)	75.3	75.2	150.5	+0.1	70%
Last 5 (5)	77.0	77.4	154.4	-0.4	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	71.4	84.4	155.8	-13.0	20%
vs Similar (4)	69.0	68.2	137.2	+0.8	75%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	89.8	73.9	163.7	+15.9	83%

This opponent (Beroe) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Beroe

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Yambol

93-78

+15

A22/01

NBL

Cherno More

102-63

102

+39

H25/01

NBL

Academic Plovdiv

88-89

-1

A28/01

BIBL

Chernomorets

121-123 OT

121

123

-2

A30/01

NBL

Kumanovo

#11

80-93

-13

A03/02

BIBL

Rilski Sportist

78-92

-14

H08/02

NBL

TFT Skopje

#14

87-83

A24/02

BIBL

Spartak Pleven

87-72

+15

H27/02

NBL

Lukoil Levski

85-86 OT

-1

A06/03

NBL

Yambol

88-98

-10

H12/03

Bulgarian Cup

22-28

20-10

23-15

28-25

23-16

22-16

34-15

23-16

22-29

28-19

23-18

15-23

16-19

16-27

26-16

20-16

22-29

19-23

18-16

21-25

24-19

15-31

21-18

18-24

23-28

33-15

11-23

20-17

28-15

19-21

23-12

17-24

13-19

17-13

25-22

21-22

20-18

22-23

24-33

22-24

178.6Avg total

90.9Scored

87.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (18)	85.3	82.6	167.8	+2.7	50%
Season at home (9)	85.9	80.7	166.6	+5.2	56%
Season away (9)	84.7	84.4	169.1	+0.2	44%
Last 10 (10)	90.9	87.7	178.6	+3.2	40%
Last 5 (5)	85.0	86.2	171.2	-1.2	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)	77.6	84.7	162.3	-7.1	29%
vs Similar (8)	90.0	90.5	180.5	-0.5	25%
vs Weaker (14)	88.4	75.4	163.7	+13.0	79%

This opponent (Balkan) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

BalkanBeroe

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.7	19.5	40.2	+1.3	67%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.8	17.5	40.2	+5.2	88%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.4	21.7	40.1	-3.3	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.4	19.5	38.9	-0.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.2	19.0	41.2	+3.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	16.8	22.4	39.2	-5.6	40%	-
vs Similar (4)	15.2	17.2	32.5	-2.0	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	23.1	20.0	43.1	+3.1	78%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.0	20.4	42.4	+1.6	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	24.7	17.8	42.5	+6.9	87%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.2	23.0	42.2	-3.8	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.3	22.0	43.3	-0.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.6	19.8	41.4	+1.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)	20.0	19.9	39.9	+0.1	29%	-
vs Similar (8)	19.0	21.1	40.1	-2.1	38%	-
vs Weaker (14)	24.8	20.4	45.2	+4.4	71%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.8	18.4	39.3	+2.4	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.2	18.8	38.9	+1.4	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.6	18.1	39.6	+3.5	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.0	19.8	37.8	-1.8	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.0	20.0	37.0	-3.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	18.8	21.6	40.4	-2.8	20%	-
vs Similar (4)	14.5	18.0	32.5	-3.5	25%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	23.3	17.7	41.0	+5.6	67%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.8	19.8	40.6	+1.0	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.3	20.1	40.4	+0.3	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.3	19.5	40.9	+1.8	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.1	19.8	40.9	+1.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.2	20.6	41.8	+0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)	17.0	19.4	36.4	-2.4	43%	-
vs Similar (8)	22.1	21.4	43.5	+0.8	62%	-
vs Weaker (14)	21.9	18.9	40.8	+3.1	50%	-

BalkanLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

CSU Sibiu

41-53

-12

A26/01

FIBA Europe Cup

CSM Oradea

24-29

-5

H28/01

FIBA Europe Cup

Besiktas

#11

27-37

-10

H29/01

FIBA Europe Cup

Yambol

49-40

H02/02

NBL

Lukoil Levski

37-39

-2

H06/02

NBL

Academic Bultex

34-33

A10/02

NBL

Chernomorets

51-42

H27/02

NBL

Spartak Pleven

42-39

A05/03

NBL

Chernomorets

39-34

H11/03

Bulgarian Cup

Rilski Sportist

30-47

-17

A13/03

Bulgarian Cup

76.7Avg total

37.4Scored

39.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.6	37.9	79.5	+3.7	60%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	42.9	36.2	79.2	+6.7	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	40.0	39.8	79.8	+0.2	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.4	39.3	76.7	-1.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.2	39.0	78.2	+0.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	35.6	44.0	79.6	-8.4	0%	-
vs Similar (4)	29.8	35.2	65.0	-5.5	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	46.3	37.7	84.1	+8.6	89%	-

This opponent (Beroe) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

BeroeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Yambol

42-38

A22/01

NBL

Cherno More

45-32

+13

H25/01

NBL

Academic Plovdiv

50-48

A28/01

BIBL

Chernomorets

32-46

-14

A30/01

NBL

Kumanovo

#11

41-52

-11

A03/02

BIBL

Rilski Sportist

39-50

-11

H08/02

NBL

TFT Skopje

#14

56-43

+13

A24/02

BIBL

Spartak Pleven

47-36

+11

H27/02

NBL

Lukoil Levski

30-32

-2

A06/03

NBL

Yambol

42-41

H12/03

Bulgarian Cup

84.2Avg total

42.4Scored

41.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.8	40.2	83.0	+2.6	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	45.1	37.9	82.9	+7.2	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	40.5	42.5	83.1	-2.0	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.4	41.8	84.2	+0.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.8	40.4	83.2	+2.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)	37.0	39.3	76.3	-2.3	29%	-
vs Similar (8)	41.1	42.5	83.6	-1.4	50%	-
vs Weaker (14)	46.7	39.3	86.0	+7.4	64%	-

This opponent (Balkan) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.1	17.5	37.6	+2.6	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.0	17.4	38.4	+3.6	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.1	17.7	36.8	+1.4	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.9	18.3	38.2	+1.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	18.6	39.4	+2.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	16.0	20.8	36.8	-4.8	20%	-
vs Similar (4)	18.5	16.5	35.0	+2.0	75%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	21.4	17.1	38.4	+4.3	56%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.4	19.0	40.4	+2.3	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	23.3	19.5	42.8	+3.9	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.4	18.6	38.0	+0.8	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.8	18.8	41.6	+4.0	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	21.6	42.4	-0.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)	21.0	20.0	41.0	+1.0	71%	-
vs Similar (8)	21.1	19.9	41.0	+1.2	50%	-
vs Weaker (14)	21.5	17.1	38.6	+4.4	64%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.4	18.1	39.5	+3.3	63%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.4	17.8	39.2	+3.6	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.4	18.4	39.9	+3.0	71%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.0	17.6	35.6	+0.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.0	19.8	36.8	-2.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	19.8	19.6	39.4	+0.2	80%	-
vs Similar (4)	20.8	16.5	37.2	+4.2	75%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	21.7	18.2	39.9	+3.4	56%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.5	20.5	40.0	-1.1	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.6	21.4	40.0	-2.8	27%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.3	19.7	40.0	+0.7	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.5	21.6	42.1	-1.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	22.2	41.8	-2.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)	18.3	24.0	42.3	-5.7	29%	-
vs Similar (8)	19.0	19.8	38.8	-0.8	50%	-
vs Weaker (14)	20.1	19.0	39.1	+1.1	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.5	35.6	77.1	+5.9	63%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	42.4	35.2	77.6	+7.2	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	40.5	36.1	76.6	+4.4	71%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.9	35.9	73.8	+2.0	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.8	38.4	76.2	-0.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	35.8	40.4	76.2	-4.6	20%	-
vs Similar (4)	39.2	33.0	72.2	+6.2	75%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	43.1	35.3	78.3	+7.8	72%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.8	39.6	80.4	+1.3	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	41.9	40.9	82.8	+1.1	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	39.7	38.3	78.0	+1.5	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.3	40.4	83.7	+2.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.4	43.8	84.2	-3.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)	39.3	44.0	83.3	-4.7	29%	-
vs Similar (8)	40.1	39.6	79.8	+0.5	38%	-
vs Weaker (14)	41.6	36.1	77.7	+5.6	57%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Balkantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Balkan: 63.0 points a game scored

🏀🏀60%

🏀🏀🏀29%

🏀11%

🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 60% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.0 pts a game · 29% of the points

🏀 Free throws7.0 pts a game · 11% of the points

League average for comparison: 83.8 points a game

51%

29%

20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	37.0	19.0	51.4%	54.7%	38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.0	6.0	22.2%	32.3%	18.0
🏀 Free throws	11.0	7.0	63.6%	71.3%	7.0

They take 64.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Beroetheir own shots, last 10 games

No box scores for this team yet.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	54.0	22.0	40.7%	54.7%	44.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	17.0	6.0	35.3%	32.3%	18.0
🏀 Free throws	12.0	11.0	91.7%	71.3%	11.0

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	54.0	22.0	40.7%	54.7%	44.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	17.0	6.0	35.3%	32.3%	18.0
🏀 Free throws	12.0	11.0	91.7%	71.3%	11.0

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Balkan wins

Beroe wins

Date	Game	Score
12/01/21	Beroe v Balkan	94-90
14/11/20	Balkan v Beroe	72-79
11/01/20	Beroe v Balkan	65-75
09/11/19	Balkan v Beroe	86-94
16/05/19	Beroe v Balkan	65-81
13/05/19	Balkan v Beroe	110-91
11/05/19	Balkan v Beroe	96-101
08/05/19	Beroe v Balkan	85-81
06/05/19	Beroe v Balkan	70-88
24/04/19	Beroe v Balkan	92-84

Balkanlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
13/03/21	A	Rilski Sportist	48-90
11/03/21	H	Chernomorets	84-71
05/03/21	A	Spartak Pleven	80-70
27/02/21	H	Chernomorets	92-86
10/02/21	A	Academic Bultex	81-70
06/02/21	H	Lukoil Levski	76-81
02/02/21	H	Yambol	85-70
29/01/21	H	Besiktas	74-71
28/01/21	H	CSM Oradea	58-55
26/01/21	A	CSU Sibiu	75-88

Beroelast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
12/03/21	H	Yambol	88-98
06/03/21	A	Lukoil Levski	85-86 OT
27/02/21	H	Spartak Pleven	87-72
24/02/21	A	TFT Skopje	87-83
08/02/21	H	Rilski Sportist	78-92
03/02/21	A	Kumanovo	80-93
30/01/21	A	Chernomorets	121-123 OT
28/01/21	A	Academic Plovdiv	88-89
25/01/21	H	Cherno More	102-63
22/01/21	A	Yambol	93-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Balkan

NBL 2020-21

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWWW	72%
Home	WWWLW	56%
Away	WLWWW	89%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	18	9	9
Win %	72%	56%	89%
Points / game	85.6	85.9	85.2
Allowed / game	74.2	76.3	72.1
Point differential	+11.3	+9.6	+13.1
Avg total	159.8	162.2	157.3
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	50%	33%	67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (4)	0% (1)	67% (3)
Overtime %	6%	11%	0%

Beroe

NBL 2020-21

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLLWL	50%
Home	WWWLW	56%
Away	LLWLL	44%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	18	9	9
Win %	50%	56%	44%
Points / game	85.3	85.9	84.7
Allowed / game	82.6	80.7	84.4
Point differential	+2.7	+5.2	+0.2
Avg total	167.8	166.6	169.1
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	33%	33%	33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	33% (6)	50% (4)	0% (2)
Overtime %	17%	11%	22%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Rilski Sportist	19	17	2	89%	92.2	75.4	+16.7
2	Lukoil Levski	18	14	4	78%	88.8	77.4	+11.4
3	Balkan	18	13	5	72%	85.6	74.2	+11.3
4	Beroe	18	9	9	50%	85.3	82.6	+2.7
5	Chernomorets	17	8	9	47%	88.9	89.1	-0.2
6	Academic Bultex	18	8	10	44%	83.6	85.5	-1.9
7	Yambol	18	7	11	39%	78.7	83.8	-5.1
8	Spartak Pleven	18	3	15	17%	75.2	90.7	-15.5
9	Cherno More	18	2	16	11%	70.8	91.1	-20.3

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Balkan	22	25	29	30	106
Beroe	23	25	17	19	84

← all games of the day

Balkan vs Beroe Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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