PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Balkan vs Beroe Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 02 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 11:00
Final 77-74
23-25 13-20 22-7 19-22
Position#2
Record12-4
FormWLLWW
Points / game88.8
Allowed / game81.0
Balkan 🏆
Bulgaria
vs
Position#6
Record9-7
FormLWWWL
Points / game86.8
Allowed / game88.5
BulgariaNBLRound 19· Arena Botevgrad
Other2024-25
Meetings · Balkan v Beroe
27 Mar 2027
BAL v BERO
upcoming
13 Feb 2026
BAL94
BERO74
02 Mar 2025
BAL77
BERO74
06 Oct 2024
BAL91
BERO92
03 Feb 2024
BAL97
BERO60
02 May 2023
BAL89
BERO78
01 Apr 2023
BAL82
BERO83
18 Jan 2023
BAL105
BERO71
21 Mar 2022
BAL85
BERO76
10 Jan 2022
BAL106
BERO78
01 May 2021
BAL82
BERO67
21 Apr 2021
BAL94
BERO58
20 Mar 2021
BAL106
BERO84
14 Nov 2020
BAL72
BERO79
25 Mar 2020
BAL v BERO
upcoming
09 Nov 2019
BAL86
BERO94
13 May 2019
BAL110
BERO91
11 May 2019
BAL96
BERO101
08 Dec 2018
BAL82
BERO90
12 Nov 2017
BAL87
BERO80
10 Dec 2016
BAL84
BERO65
27 Feb 2016
BAL72
BERO80
12 Dec 2015
BAL93
BERO70
14 Mar 2015
BAL79
BERO65
29 Dec 2014
BAL134
BERO76
15 Feb 2014
BAL86
BERO70
06 Apr 2013
BAL96
BERO87
02 Feb 2013
BAL84
BERO68
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Balkan winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Beroe winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BalkanBulgariaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBalkan
Date
Competition
Minyor
#7
W
82-65
82
65
+17
81avg 73
H02/12
NBL
Levski
#8
W
83-71
83
71
+12
74avg 73
A07/12
NBL
Beroe
#6
W
110-106 OT
110
106
+4
103avg 73
A15/12
NBL
Cherno More
#3
W
95-78
95
78
+17
77avg 73
H22/12
NBL
Academic Plovdiv
#5
W
101-91
101
91
+10
105avg 73
A06/01
NBL
Shumen
#9
W
103-76
103
76
+27
101avg 73
H11/01
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#1
L
90-100
90
100
-10
84avg 73
A20/01
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#4
L
72-86
72
86
-14
60avg 73
H25/01
NBL
Minyor
#7
W
87-69
87
69
+18
87avg 73
A02/02
NBL
Levski
#8
W
91-72
91
72
+19
88avg 73
H10/02
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-17
24-14
16-17
23-17
23-20
18-17
20-25
22-9
23-30
25-31
18-20
30-15
21-18
29-23
24-17
21-20
27-25
24-17
31-23
19-26
25-22
29-18
28-21
21-15
27-29
20-26
19-19
24-26
22-27
16-24
20-15
14-20
30-15
18-28
20-17
19-9
24-17
17-21
29-12
21-22
172.8Avg total
91.4Scored
81.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)88.881.0169.8+7.875%
Season at home (8)88.278.5166.8+9.862%
Season away (8)89.483.5172.9+5.988%
Last 10 (10)91.481.4172.8+10.080%
Last 5 (5)88.680.6169.2+8.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)74.284.2158.4-9.925%
vs Similar (4)85.882.0167.8+3.875%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)92.079.2171.2+12.890%
This opponent (Beroe) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BeroeBulgariaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBeroe
Date
Competition
Levski
#8
W
66-58
66
58
+8
59avg 73
A16/11
NBL
Cherno More
#3
L
76-95
76
95
-19
66avg 73
H09/12
NBL
Balkan
#2
L
106-110 OT
106
110
-4
101avg 73
H15/12
NBL
Academic Plovdiv
#5
L
77-79
77
79
-2
69avg 73
A23/12
NBL
Shumen
#9
W
105-98
105
98
+7
97avg 73
H28/12
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#1
L
83-95
83
95
-12
72avg 73
A05/01
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#4
W
92-80
92
80
+12
91avg 73
H12/01
NBL
Minyor
#7
W
115-90
115
90
+25
119avg 73
H18/01
NBL
Levski
#8
W
83-71
83
71
+12
84avg 73
H25/01
NBL
Cherno More
#3
L
88-102
88
102
-14
77avg 73
A10/02
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-14
12-10
19-18
19-16
17-29
26-25
12-23
21-18
30-23
31-25
20-18
15-30
19-24
17-14
17-20
24-21
27-27
15-30
29-23
34-18
17-31
31-22
9-22
26-20
24-21
21-24
17-19
30-16
25-21
30-19
32-29
28-21
21-13
16-16
28-23
18-19
25-20
18-25
28-26
17-31
176.9Avg total
89.1Scored
87.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)86.888.5175.2-1.856%
Season at home (8)91.091.0182.0+0.062%
Season away (8)82.586.0168.5-3.550%
Last 10 (10)89.187.8176.9+1.350%
Last 5 (5)92.287.6179.8+4.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)81.1103.9185.0-22.814%
vs Similar (2)81.076.0157.0+5.050%
vs Weaker (6)89.282.8172.0+6.383%
This opponent (Balkan) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +2.1+2.1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: +3.9+3.9Q3: -1.0-1.0Q4Q4: +3.5+3.5Q4: +2.2+2.2
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +2.1+2.1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: +3.9+3.9Q3: -1.0-1.0Q4Q4: +3.5+3.5Q4: +2.2+2.2
BalkanBeroe
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BalkanLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Minyor
#7
W
43-31
43
31
+12
H02/12
NBL
Levski
#8
W
41-37
41
37
+4
A07/12
NBL
Beroe
#6
L
48-61
48
61
-13
A15/12
NBL
Cherno More
#3
W
50-41
50
41
+9
H22/12
NBL
Academic Plovdiv
#5
W
51-42
51
42
+9
A06/01
NBL
Shumen
#9
W
54-40
54
40
+14
H11/01
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#1
L
47-55
47
55
-8
A20/01
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#4
L
38-51
38
51
-13
H25/01
NBL
Minyor
#7
W
48-43
48
43
+5
A02/02
NBL
Levski
#8
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H10/02
NBL
90.0Avg total
46.1Scored
43.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.240.581.6+0.757%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.739.580.3+1.260%-
Last 30 away (15)41.641.483.0+0.253%-
Last 10 (10)46.143.990.0+2.270%-
Last 5 (5)45.645.491.0+0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)37.439.677.0-2.144%-
vs Similar (4)43.043.286.2-0.250%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)46.440.887.2+5.680%-
This opponent (Beroe) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BeroeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Levski
#8
W
28-24
28
24
+4
A16/11
NBL
Cherno More
#3
L
43-54
43
54
-11
H09/12
NBL
Balkan
#2
W
61-48
61
48
+13
H15/12
NBL
Academic Plovdiv
#5
L
36-38
36
38
-2
A23/12
NBL
Shumen
#9
L
42-57
42
57
-15
H28/12
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#1
L
48-53
48
53
-5
A05/01
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#4
D
45-45
45
45
+0
H12/01
NBL
Minyor
#7
W
55-40
55
40
+15
H18/01
NBL
Levski
#8
W
37-29
37
29
+8
H25/01
NBL
Cherno More
#3
L
43-45
43
45
-2
A10/02
NBL
87.1Avg total
43.8Scored
43.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.848.990.7-7.130%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.949.092.9-5.133%-
Last 30 away (15)39.848.888.6-9.027%-
Last 10 (10)43.843.387.1+0.540%-
Last 5 (5)45.642.488.0+3.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)41.951.993.7-10.018%-
vs Similar (2)41.536.578.0+5.050%-
vs Weaker (6)41.842.284.0-0.367%-
This opponent (Balkan) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Balkantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Balkan: 90.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.8 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.1 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.9 points a game
50%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.022.4
54.6%
53.9%44.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.49.5
34.7%
32.9%28.5
🏀 Free throws22.417.1
76.3%
71.3%17.1
They take 68.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Beroetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Beroe: 88.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.1 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.9 points a game
50%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.622.1
54.4%
53.9%44.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.39.0
34.2%
32.9%27.0
🏀 Free throws24.617.1
69.5%
71.3%17.1
They take 66.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 02 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Balkan
WWLLWWWWWW
Beroe
LWWWLWLLLW
#2
League position
#6
+13.2
Net rating
+1.9
118.9
Offensive rating
110.9
105.8
Defensive rating
109.0
53.6%
Effective FG%
53.2%
50.1%
Opp. effective FG%
51.3%
13.3%
Turnover %
16.4%
33.2%
Off. rebound %
29.0%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.37
34.7%
3-point %
34.2%
63.3%
Assist %
64.6%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence118.9 · 110.9Defence105.8 · 109.0Shooting53.6% · 53.2%3-point %34.7% · 34.2%Ball care13.3% · 16.4%Off. rebounds33.2% · 29.0%Free throws0.33 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)80% · 50%
■ Balkan   ■ Beroe
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Balkan wins
3
Beroe wins
DateGameScore
15/12/24Beroe v Balkan106-110 OT
06/10/24Balkan v Beroe91-92
03/02/24Balkan v Beroe97-60
29/11/23Beroe v Balkan75-74
05/05/23Beroe v Balkan72-91
02/05/23Balkan v Beroe89-78
01/04/23Balkan v Beroe82-83
18/01/23Balkan v Beroe105-71
04/11/22Beroe v Balkan85-86
21/03/22Balkan v Beroe85-76
Balkanlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/02/25HLevski91-72
02/02/25AMinyor87-69
25/01/25HSpartak Pleven72-86
20/01/25ARilski Sportist90-100
11/01/25HShumen103-76
06/01/25AAcademic Plovdiv101-91
22/12/24HCherno More95-78
15/12/24ABeroe110-106 OT
07/12/24ALevski83-71
02/12/24HMinyor82-65
Beroelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/02/25ACherno More88-102
25/01/25HLevski83-71
18/01/25HMinyor115-90
12/01/25HSpartak Pleven92-80
05/01/25ARilski Sportist83-95
28/12/24HShumen105-98
23/12/24AAcademic Plovdiv77-79
15/12/24HBalkan106-110 OT
09/12/24HCherno More76-95
16/11/24ALevski66-58

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Balkan
NBL 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW75%
HomeWWWLW62%
AwayWWWLW88%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %75%62%88%
Points / game88.888.289.4
Allowed / game81.078.583.5
Point differential+7.8+9.8+5.9
Avg total169.8166.8172.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%62%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)0% (1)100% (3)
Overtime %6%0%12%
Beroe
NBL 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL56%
HomeLWWWW62%
AwayLWLLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %56%62%50%
Points / game86.891.082.5
Allowed / game88.591.086.0
Point differential-1.8+0.0-3.5
Avg total175.2182.0168.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)0% (1)75% (4)
Overtime %6%12%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Rilski Sportist1715288%92.274.8+17.5
2 Balkan1612475%88.881.0+7.8
3 Cherno More169756%85.983.6+2.2
4 Beroe169756%86.888.5-1.8
5 Spartak Pleven179853%86.883.9+2.8
6 Minyor178947%84.687.6-3.0
7 Academic Plovdiv178947%81.686.1-4.5
8 Levski1731418%75.285.1-9.9
9 Shumen1721512%83.494.0-10.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Balkan2313221977
Beroe252072274
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.