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Balkan vs Chernomorets Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 15 May 2024
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 94-78
26-23 21-11 27-26 20-18
Position#4
Record25-13
FormLWWLW
Points / game81.6
Allowed / game78.1
Balkan 🏆
Bulgaria
vs
Position#2
Record28-9
FormWWLWL
Points / game84.3
Allowed / game75.2
BulgariaNBLNBL - Semi-finals· Arena Botevgrad
Other2023-24
Meetings · Balkan v Chernomorets
15 May 2024
BAL94
CHER78
13 May 2024
BAL82
CHER79
25 Mar 2024
BAL71
CHER95
20 Jan 2024
BAL85
CHER77
29 May 2023
BAL87
CHER64
27 May 2023
BAL87
CHER74
05 Apr 2023
BAL92
CHER88
19 Nov 2022
BAL83
CHER78
18 Apr 2022
BAL92
CHER70
13 Dec 2021
BAL49
CHER59
11 Mar 2021
BAL84
CHER71
27 Feb 2021
BAL92
CHER86
11 Nov 2020
BAL79
CHER87
06 Oct 2019
BAL83
CHER70
07 Nov 2015
BAL137
CHER56
17 Jan 2015
BAL109
CHER54
06 Dec 2013
BAL85
CHER70
29 Mar 2013
BAL85
CHER70
17 Nov 2012
BAL82
CHER84
21 Jan 2012
BAL90
CHER86
15 Oct 2011
BAL79
CHER87
01 Apr 2011
BAL97
CHER88
11 Dec 2010
BAL90
CHER75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Balkan winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Chernomorets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BalkanBulgariaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBalkan
Date
Competition
Spartak Pleven
#3
W
72-67
72
67
+5
69avg 71
H10/04
NBL
Cherno More
#11
W
80-68
80
68
+12
75avg 71
H13/04
NBL
Chernomorets
#2
W
90-89
90
89
+1
82avg 71
A19/04
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#1
L
62-89
62
89
-27
50avg 71
A23/04
NBL
CSKA Sofia
#5
W
91-76
91
76
+15
90avg 71
H29/04
NBL
CSKA Sofia
#5
L
77-82
77
82
-5
71avg 71
A01/05
NBL
CSKA Sofia
#5
W
94-74
94
74
+20
94avg 71
H03/05
NBL
Chernomorets
#2
W
84-79
84
79
+5
79avg 71
A08/05
NBL
Chernomorets
#2
L
57-70
57
70
-13
47avg 71
A10/05
NBL
Chernomorets
#2
W
82-79
82
79
+3
75avg 71
H13/05
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-21
16-15
19-24
12-7
12-12
15-14
20-20
33-22
25-33
20-27
26-12
19-17
13-23
18-20
9-26
22-20
18-26
29-13
26-25
18-12
16-26
18-21
20-21
23-14
31-4
19-24
22-21
22-25
25-22
14-16
22-21
23-20
14-18
12-18
18-19
13-15
19-17
25-23
12-17
26-22
156.2Avg total
78.9Scored
77.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (38)81.678.1159.7+3.566%
Season at home (19)84.576.2160.7+8.389%
Season away (19)78.880.0158.8-1.242%
Last 10 (10)78.977.3156.2+1.670%
Last 5 (5)78.876.8155.6+2.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)73.984.8158.8-10.938%
vs Similar (10)81.977.0158.9+4.960%
vs Weaker (6)86.371.8158.2+14.5100%
This opponent (Chernomorets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ChernomoretsBulgariaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormChernomorets
Date
Competition
Rilski Sportist
#1
W
88-87
88
87
+1
78avg 79
H07/04
NBL
Cherno More
#11
W
89-59
89
59
+30
94avg 79
H10/04
NBL
CSKA Sofia
#5
W
94-78
94
78
+16
97avg 79
A13/04
NBL
Balkan
#4
L
89-90
89
90
-1
86avg 79
H19/04
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#3
L
76-81
76
81
-5
67avg 79
A23/04
NBL
Levski
#7
W
73-59
73
59
+14
69avg 79
H29/04
NBL
Levski
#7
W
88-74
88
74
+14
83avg 79
A01/05
NBL
Balkan
#4
L
79-84
79
84
-5
69avg 79
H08/05
NBL
Balkan
#4
W
70-57
70
57
+13
72avg 79
H10/05
NBL
Balkan
#4
L
79-82
79
82
-3
75avg 79
A13/05
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-19
20-24
22-20
29-24
26-16
21-18
17-13
25-12
22-20
23-20
26-21
23-17
33-25
27-20
12-26
17-19
15-23
24-14
17-20
20-24
21-16
23-13
10-18
19-12
25-17
26-23
24-19
13-15
22-25
16-14
21-22
20-23
18-14
18-12
19-18
15-13
17-19
23-25
17-12
22-26
157.6Avg total
82.5Scored
75.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (37)84.375.2159.5+9.176%
Season at home (19)85.373.7159.0+11.689%
Season away (18)83.376.8160.1+6.461%
Last 10 (10)82.575.1157.6+7.460%
Last 5 (5)77.871.2149.0+6.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (6)81.277.8159.0+3.350%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)84.375.1159.3+9.274%
This opponent (Balkan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q1: +2.2+2.2Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: +3.8+3.8Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: -0.4-0.4Q4Q4: +3.7+3.7Q4: +1.8+1.8
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q1: +2.2+2.2Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: +3.8+3.8Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: -0.4-0.4Q4Q4: +3.7+3.7Q4: +1.8+1.8
BalkanChernomorets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BalkanLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Spartak Pleven
#3
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H10/04
NBL
Cherno More
#11
W
27-26
27
26
+1
H13/04
NBL
Chernomorets
#2
L
45-60
45
60
-15
A19/04
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#1
L
31-43
31
43
-12
A23/04
NBL
CSKA Sofia
#5
W
47-39
47
39
+8
H29/04
NBL
CSKA Sofia
#5
L
34-47
34
47
-13
A01/05
NBL
CSKA Sofia
#5
W
50-28
50
28
+22
H03/05
NBL
Chernomorets
#2
W
39-38
39
38
+1
A08/05
NBL
Chernomorets
#2
L
26-36
26
36
-10
A10/05
NBL
Chernomorets
#2
W
44-40
44
40
+4
H13/05
NBL
77.7Avg total
38.4Scored
39.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.041.881.7-1.847%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.139.080.1+2.167%-
Last 30 away (15)38.844.583.3-5.727%-
Last 10 (10)38.439.377.7-0.960%-
Last 5 (5)38.637.876.4+0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)37.044.881.8-7.823%-
vs Similar (10)42.940.883.7+2.150%-
vs Weaker (6)41.838.380.2+3.583%-
This opponent (Chernomorets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ChernomoretsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rilski Sportist
#1
L
37-43
37
43
-6
H07/04
NBL
Cherno More
#11
W
47-34
47
34
+13
H10/04
NBL
CSKA Sofia
#5
W
45-40
45
40
+5
A13/04
NBL
Balkan
#4
W
60-45
60
45
+15
H19/04
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#3
W
39-37
39
37
+2
A23/04
NBL
Levski
#7
W
44-29
44
29
+15
H29/04
NBL
Levski
#7
W
51-40
51
40
+11
A01/05
NBL
Balkan
#4
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H08/05
NBL
Balkan
#4
W
36-26
36
26
+10
H10/05
NBL
Balkan
#4
L
40-44
40
44
-4
A13/05
NBL
81.4Avg total
43.7Scored
37.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.237.079.2+5.273%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.435.978.4+6.575%-
Last 30 away (14)42.038.280.2+3.871%-
Last 10 (10)43.737.781.4+6.070%-
Last 5 (5)41.835.677.4+6.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (6)40.038.778.7+1.367%-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)43.236.880.0+6.374%-
This opponent (Balkan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Balkantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Balkan: 78.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.2 points a game
53%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.118.9
55.4%
54.3%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.98.3
29.7%
31.3%24.9
🏀 Free throws21.715.4
71.0%
71.1%15.4
They take 62.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Chernomoretstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Chernomorets: 81.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.2 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.2 points a game
53%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.221.1
58.3%
54.3%42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.88.6
29.9%
31.3%25.8
🏀 Free throws19.113.7
71.7%
71.1%13.7
They take 65.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 May 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Balkan
WLWWLWLWWW
Chernomorets
LWLWWLLWWW
#4
League position
#2
+2.3
Net rating
+10.0
101.6
Offensive rating
107.2
99.3
Defensive rating
97.2
50.6%
Effective FG%
52.3%
51.3%
Opp. effective FG%
48.9%
17.9%
Turnover %
17.7%
23.2%
Off. rebound %
28.8%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.29
29.7%
3-point %
29.9%
65.8%
Assist %
73.1%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence101.6 · 107.2Defence99.3 · 97.2Shooting50.6% · 52.3%3-point %29.7% · 29.9%Ball care17.9% · 17.7%Off. rebounds23.2% · 28.8%Free throws0.35 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)70% · 60%
■ Balkan   ■ Chernomorets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Balkan wins
3
Chernomorets wins
DateGameScore
13/05/24Balkan v Chernomorets82-79
10/05/24Chernomorets v Balkan70-57
08/05/24Chernomorets v Balkan79-84
19/04/24Chernomorets v Balkan89-90
25/03/24Balkan v Chernomorets71-95
20/01/24Balkan v Chernomorets85-77
18/11/23Chernomorets v Balkan90-81
01/06/23Chernomorets v Balkan75-83
29/05/23Balkan v Chernomorets87-64
27/05/23Balkan v Chernomorets87-74
Balkanlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/05/24HChernomorets82-79
10/05/24AChernomorets57-70
08/05/24AChernomorets84-79
03/05/24HCSKA Sofia94-74
01/05/24ACSKA Sofia77-82
29/04/24HCSKA Sofia91-76
23/04/24ARilski Sportist62-89
19/04/24AChernomorets90-89
13/04/24HCherno More80-68
10/04/24HSpartak Pleven72-67
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/05/24ABalkan79-82
10/05/24HBalkan70-57
08/05/24HBalkan79-84
01/05/24ALevski88-74
29/04/24HLevski73-59
23/04/24ASpartak Pleven76-81
19/04/24HBalkan89-90
13/04/24ACSKA Sofia94-78
10/04/24HCherno More89-59
07/04/24HRilski Sportist88-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Balkan
NBL 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW66%
HomeWWWWW89%
AwayWLLWL42%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games381919
Win %66%89%42%
Points / game81.684.578.8
Allowed / game78.176.280.0
Point differential+3.5+8.3-1.2
Avg total159.7160.7158.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%42%21%
Close games (≤5 pts) won64% (14)100% (6)38% (8)
Overtime %3%0%5%
Chernomorets
NBL 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL76%
HomeWLWLW89%
AwayWWLWL61%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games371918
Win %76%89%61%
Points / game84.385.383.3
Allowed / game75.273.776.8
Point differential+9.1+11.6+6.4
Avg total159.5159.0160.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+49%53%44%
Close games (≤5 pts) won42% (12)50% (4)38% (8)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Chernomorets3728976%84.375.2+9.1
2 Rilski Sportist38281074%86.075.6+10.5
3 Spartak Pleven39271269%86.879.5+7.3
4 Balkan38251366%81.678.1+3.5
5 CSKA Sofia35161946%83.383.3+0.0
6 Shumen34151944%84.583.6+0.9
7 Levski34142041%75.677.7-2.1
8 Academic Plovdiv32131941%81.984.4-2.5
9 Yambol32122038%79.584.7-5.2
10 Minyor32112134%77.481.5-4.1
11 Cherno More35122334%81.189.2-8.1
12 Beroe3282425%80.594.6-14.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Balkan2621272094
Chernomorets2311261878
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