PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Balkan vs Chernomorets Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 20 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 85-77
19-23 24-13 19-16 23-25
Position#4
Record9-8
FormLLLLW
Points / game80.6
Allowed / game78.9
Balkan 🏆
Bulgaria
vs
Chernomorets
Bulgaria
Position#2
Record15-2
FormLWLWW
Points / game85.1
Allowed / game72.5
BulgariaNBLRound 18· Arena Botevgrad
Other2023-24
Meetings · Balkan v Chernomorets
15 May 2024
BAL94
CHER78
13 May 2024
BAL82
CHER79
25 Mar 2024
BAL71
CHER95
20 Jan 2024
BAL85
CHER77
29 May 2023
BAL87
CHER64
27 May 2023
BAL87
CHER74
05 Apr 2023
BAL92
CHER88
19 Nov 2022
BAL83
CHER78
18 Apr 2022
BAL92
CHER70
13 Dec 2021
BAL49
CHER59
11 Mar 2021
BAL84
CHER71
27 Feb 2021
BAL92
CHER86
11 Nov 2020
BAL79
CHER87
06 Oct 2019
BAL83
CHER70
07 Nov 2015
BAL137
CHER56
17 Jan 2015
BAL109
CHER54
06 Dec 2013
BAL85
CHER70
29 Mar 2013
BAL85
CHER70
17 Nov 2012
BAL82
CHER84
21 Jan 2012
BAL90
CHER86
15 Oct 2011
BAL79
CHER87
01 Apr 2011
BAL97
CHER88
11 Dec 2010
BAL90
CHER75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Balkan winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Chernomorets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BalkanBulgariaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBalkan
Date
Competition
FC Porto
#12
L
63-88
63
88
-25
45avg 69
H06/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Academic Plovdiv
#8
L
73-75
73
75
-2
68avg 69
A09/12
NBL
Gottingen
#8
L
70-76
70
76
-6
64avg 69
A13/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Shumen
#6
W
96-90 OT
96
90
+6
no box
A17/12
NBL
Levski
#7
W
79-75
79
75
+4
73avg 69
H22/12
NBL
Cherno More
#11
L
81-89
81
89
-8
66avg 69
A29/12
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#1
L
64-69
64
69
-5
55avg 69
A07/01
NBL
Bilbao
#3
L
62-94
62
94
-32
56avg 69
H10/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Spartak Pleven
#3
L
78-88
78
88
-10
64avg 69
A13/01
NBL
Minyor
#10
W
85-67
85
67
+18
88avg 69
A17/01
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-34
22-18
11-13
18-23
15-20
30-17
20-16
8-22
17-22
14-20
22-17
17-17
17-22
28-23
23-24
18-17
22-21
23-20
23-20
11-14
15-19
17-17
22-27
27-26
10-20
17-19
10-15
27-15
15-20
17-23
15-32
15-19
23-20
17-29
19-22
19-17
22-19
23-15
24-10
16-23
156.2Avg total
75.1Scored
81.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)80.678.9159.5+1.853%
Season at home (8)84.478.6163.0+5.888%
Season away (9)77.379.1156.4-1.822%
Last 10 (10)75.181.1156.2-6.030%
Last 5 (5)74.081.4155.4-7.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)74.780.4155.1-5.740%
vs Similar (5)87.488.2175.6-0.860%
vs Weaker (14)81.674.1155.6+7.571%
This opponent (Chernomorets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ChernomoretsBulgariaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormChernomorets
Date
Competition
CSKA Sofia
#5
W
95-82
95
82
+13
93avg 79
H26/11
NBL
Academic Plovdiv
#8
W
79-66
79
66
+13
83avg 79
A29/11
NBL
Shumen
#6
W
89-78
89
78
+11
76avg 79
A02/12
NBL
Levski
#7
W
84-72
84
72
+12
80avg 79
H09/12
NBL
Beroe
#12
W
86-74
86
74
+12
82avg 79
H16/12
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#1
L
67-69
67
69
-2
53avg 79
A23/12
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#3
W
91-70
91
70
+21
89avg 79
H29/12
NBL
Minyor
#10
L
80-82
80
82
-2
69avg 79
A06/01
NBL
Yambol
#9
W
100-66
100
66
+34
95avg 79
A14/01
NBL
Cherno More
#11
W
83-76
83
76
+7
71avg 79
H17/01
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-16
19-13
28-30
22-23
22-18
14-19
21-16
22-13
20-25
22-19
19-9
28-25
21-18
22-14
24-19
17-21
23-18
23-17
17-17
23-22
6-24
14-14
26-12
21-19
22-10
25-16
32-21
12-23
25-25
18-13
23-16
14-28
26-23
20-12
36-13
18-18
22-14
13-22
24-25
24-15
158.9Avg total
85.4Scored
73.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)85.172.5157.6+12.688%
Season at home (9)87.872.0159.8+15.8100%
Season away (8)82.173.1155.2+9.075%
Last 10 (10)85.473.5158.9+11.980%
Last 5 (5)84.272.6156.8+11.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)81.984.6166.5-2.850%
vs Similar (7)79.973.4153.3+6.471%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)88.073.3161.3+14.793%
This opponent (Balkan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -4.9-4.9Q1: +2.2+2.2Q2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q2: +3.1+3.1Q3Q3: -0.7-0.7Q3: +7.2+7.2Q4Q4: -1.7-1.7Q4: -0.6-0.6
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -4.9-4.9Q1: +2.2+2.2Q2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q2: +3.1+3.1Q3Q3: -0.7-0.7Q3: +7.2+7.2Q4Q4: -1.7-1.7Q4: -0.6-0.6
BalkanChernomorets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BalkanLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
FC Porto
#12
L
34-52
34
52
-18
H06/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Academic Plovdiv
#8
W
45-37
45
37
+8
A09/12
NBL
Gottingen
#8
L
31-42
31
42
-11
A13/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Shumen
#6
D
45-45
45
45
+0
A17/12
NBL
Levski
#7
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H22/12
NBL
Cherno More
#11
L
32-36
32
36
-4
A29/12
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#1
L
27-39
27
39
-12
A07/01
NBL
Bilbao
#3
L
32-43
32
43
-11
H10/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Spartak Pleven
#3
L
40-49
40
49
-9
A13/01
NBL
Minyor
#10
W
45-34
45
34
+11
A17/01
NBL
79.4Avg total
37.6Scored
41.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.239.880.0+0.457%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.737.979.6+3.767%-
Last 30 away (15)38.841.780.5-2.947%-
Last 10 (10)37.641.879.4-4.230%-
Last 5 (5)35.240.275.4-5.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)38.441.579.9-3.140%-
vs Similar (5)42.642.685.2+0.060%-
vs Weaker (14)41.838.680.4+3.271%-
This opponent (Chernomorets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ChernomoretsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CSKA Sofia
#5
W
45-29
45
29
+16
H26/11
NBL
Academic Plovdiv
#8
L
36-37
36
37
-1
A29/11
NBL
Shumen
#6
L
42-44
42
44
-2
A02/12
NBL
Levski
#7
W
43-32
43
32
+11
H09/12
NBL
Beroe
#12
W
46-35
46
35
+11
H16/12
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#1
L
20-38
20
38
-18
A23/12
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#3
W
47-26
47
26
+21
H29/12
NBL
Minyor
#10
W
43-38
43
38
+5
A06/01
NBL
Yambol
#9
W
46-35
46
35
+11
A14/01
NBL
Cherno More
#11
L
35-36
35
36
-1
H17/01
NBL
75.3Avg total
40.3Scored
35.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.736.377.0+4.453%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.034.777.7+8.362%-
Last 30 away (14)38.138.176.2-0.143%-
Last 10 (10)40.335.075.3+5.360%-
Last 5 (5)38.234.672.8+3.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)37.838.976.6-1.125%-
vs Similar (7)38.037.175.1+0.957%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)43.534.578.1+9.067%-
This opponent (Balkan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Balkantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Balkan: 73.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.6 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.6 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.2 points a game
53%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.218.8
53.4%
54.3%37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.08.6
27.7%
31.3%25.8
🏀 Free throws14.69.6
65.8%
71.1%9.6
They take 66.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Chernomoretstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Chernomorets: 84.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.2 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.2 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.2 points a game
53%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.822.1
54.2%
54.3%44.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.89.0
30.2%
31.3%27.0
🏀 Free throws19.213.2
68.8%
71.1%13.2
They take 70.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Balkan
WLLLLWWLLL
Chernomorets
WWLWLWWWWW
#4
League position
#2
-11.0
Net rating
+15.3
98.3
Offensive rating
110.2
109.3
Defensive rating
94.9
47.9%
Effective FG%
50.4%
52.7%
Opp. effective FG%
47.1%
19.4%
Turnover %
16.3%
32.2%
Off. rebound %
36.0%
0.22
Free-throw rate
0.27
27.7%
3-point %
30.2%
65.7%
Assist %
59.2%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence98.3 · 110.2Defence109.3 · 94.9Shooting47.9% · 50.4%3-point %27.7% · 30.2%Ball care19.4% · 16.3%Off. rebounds32.2% · 36.0%Free throws0.22 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)30% · 80%
■ Balkan   ■ Chernomorets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Balkan wins
4
Chernomorets wins
DateGameScore
18/11/23Chernomorets v Balkan90-81
01/06/23Chernomorets v Balkan75-83
29/05/23Balkan v Chernomorets87-64
27/05/23Balkan v Chernomorets87-74
05/04/23Balkan v Chernomorets92-88
23/01/23Chernomorets v Balkan93-83
19/11/22Balkan v Chernomorets83-78
18/04/22Balkan v Chernomorets92-70
31/01/22Chernomorets v Balkan83-78
13/12/21Balkan v Chernomorets49-59
Balkanlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/01/24AMinyor85-67
13/01/24ASpartak Pleven78-88
10/01/24HBilbao62-94
07/01/24ARilski Sportist64-69
29/12/23ACherno More81-89
22/12/23HLevski79-75
17/12/23AShumen96-90 OT
13/12/23AGottingen70-76
09/12/23AAcademic Plovdiv73-75
06/12/23HFC Porto63-88
Chernomoretslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/01/24HCherno More83-76
14/01/24AYambol100-66
06/01/24AMinyor80-82
29/12/23HSpartak Pleven91-70
23/12/23ARilski Sportist67-69
16/12/23HBeroe86-74
09/12/23HLevski84-72
02/12/23AShumen89-78
29/11/23AAcademic Plovdiv79-66
26/11/23HCSKA Sofia95-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Balkan
NBL 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW53%
HomeWWWLW88%
AwayWLLLW22%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1789
Win %53%88%22%
Points / game80.684.477.3
Allowed / game78.978.679.1
Point differential+1.8+5.8-1.8
Avg total159.5163.0156.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%38%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)100% (3)0% (4)
Overtime %6%0%11%
Chernomorets
NBL 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW88%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWLLW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1798
Win %88%100%75%
Points / game85.187.882.1
Allowed / game72.572.073.1
Point differential+12.6+15.8+9.0
Avg total157.6159.8155.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+59%67%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)-50% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Chernomorets1715288%85.172.5+12.6
2 CSKA Sofia1712571%86.577.6+8.9
3 Rilski Sportist1712571%81.474.8+6.6
4 Spartak Pleven1611569%85.979.6+6.4
5 Balkan179853%80.678.9+1.8
6 Cherno More1881044%81.385.1-3.8
7 Beroe1771041%81.884.1-2.3
8 Yambol1771041%79.986.6-6.7
9 Minyor1761135%74.684.4-9.8
10 Shumen1861233%82.484.7-2.3
11 Academic Plovdiv1751229%76.983.7-6.8
12 Levski1851328%73.777.4-3.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Balkan1924192385
Chernomorets2313162577
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.