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Balkan vs Lok. Plovdiv Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 14 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 17:15
Final 82-90
16-17 20-25 27-19 19-29
Position#1
Record18-3
FormLWWWW
Points / game92.9
Allowed / game75.8
Balkan
Bulgaria
vs
Lok. Plovdiv 🏆
Bulgaria
Position#4
Record12-9
FormLWWLL
Points / game90.3
Allowed / game84.0
BulgariaNBLRound 24· Arena Botevgrad
Other2025-26
Meetings · Balkan v Lok. Plovdiv
13 Nov 2026
BAL v LOK.
upcoming
05 Jun 2026
BAL81
LOK.80
27 May 2026
BAL94
LOK.89
25 May 2026
BAL88
LOK.73
14 Mar 2026
BAL82
LOK.90
11 Oct 2025
BAL83
LOK.80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Balkan winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Lok. Plovdiv winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BalkanBulgariaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBalkan
Date
Competition
Lok. Plovdiv
#4
W
94-89
94
89
+5
90avg 83
A23/12
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#5
W
103-75
103
75
+28
99avg 83
H28/12
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#2
L
79-81
79
81
-2
72avg 83
A05/01
NBL
Minyor
#7
W
118-75
118
75
+43
124avg 83
H12/01
NBL
Levski
#10
W
102-70
102
70
+32
no box
A19/01
NBL
Cherno More
#3
L
66-93
66
93
-27
54avg 83
A26/01
NBL
Shumen
#11
W
101-83
101
83
+18
99avg 83
A07/02
NBL
Beroe
#8
W
94-74
94
74
+20
99avg 83
H13/02
NBL
Botev 2012
#6
W
106-74
106
74
+32
93avg 83
H04/03
NBL
Academic Plovdiv
#9
W
91-77
91
77
+14
93avg 83
A09/03
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-24
27-22
26-19
23-24
32-8
31-17
22-25
18-25
15-17
21-28
22-19
21-17
33-22
28-25
29-10
28-18
21-13
31-20
21-23
29-14
12-26
22-25
16-20
16-22
28-17
31-28
20-19
22-19
24-22
19-15
24-16
27-21
29-20
22-16
32-17
23-21
25-19
28-21
17-27
21-10
174.5Avg total
95.4Scored
79.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)92.975.8168.7+17.186%
Season at home (10)94.972.1167.0+22.8100%
Season away (11)91.179.2170.3+11.973%
Last 10 (10)95.479.1174.5+16.380%
Last 5 (5)91.680.2171.8+11.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)71.082.5153.5-11.50%
vs Similar (9)83.082.2165.2+0.844%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)94.675.8170.4+18.789%
This opponent (Lok. Plovdiv) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Lok. PlovdivBulgariaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPlovdiv
Date
Competition
Balkan
#1
L
89-94
89
94
-5
79avg 83
H23/12
NBL
Shumen
#11
W
107-89
107
89
+18
110avg 83
A28/12
NBL
Beroe
#8
W
117-88
117
88
+29
124avg 83
H04/01
NBL
Botev 2012
#6
W
105-87
105
87
+18
no box
H17/01
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#2
L
72-84
72
84
-12
60avg 83
H25/01
NBL
Academic Plovdiv
#9
L
86-90
86
90
-4
no box
A02/02
NBL
Levski
#10
W
115-80
115
80
+35
114avg 83
H07/02
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#5
W
84-79
84
79
+5
76avg 83
A15/02
NBL
Minyor
#7
L
103-109
103
109
-6
98avg 83
A04/03
NBL
Cherno More
#3
L
76-79
76
79
-3
62avg 83
A08/03
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-18
22-27
19-26
24-23
33-18
18-24
35-23
21-24
34-21
29-26
38-21
16-20
19-27
31-18
23-21
32-21
14-19
20-24
19-26
19-15
24-14
27-25
17-30
18-21
33-21
25-18
33-26
24-15
15-19
30-18
23-15
16-27
23-27
28-39
21-21
31-22
17-19
27-18
13-22
19-20
183.3Avg total
95.4Scored
87.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)90.384.0174.3+6.457%
Season at home (10)94.881.8176.6+13.070%
Season away (11)86.385.9172.2+0.445%
Last 10 (10)95.487.9183.3+7.550%
Last 5 (5)92.887.4180.2+5.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)79.883.8163.5-4.025%
vs Similar (3)81.390.7172.0-9.30%
vs Weaker (14)95.382.6177.9+12.779%
This opponent (Balkan) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.9+4.9Q1: +3.3+3.3Q2Q2: +4.3+4.3Q2: +2.0+2.0Q3Q3: +3.4+3.4Q3: +1.0+1.0Q4Q4: +3.7+3.7Q4: +1.2+1.2
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.9+4.9Q1: +3.3+3.3Q2Q2: +4.3+4.3Q2: +2.0+2.0Q3Q3: +3.4+3.4Q3: +1.0+1.0Q4Q4: +3.7+3.7Q4: +1.2+1.2
BalkanLok. Plovdiv
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BalkanLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lok. Plovdiv
#4
L
45-46
45
46
-1
A23/12
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#5
W
63-25
63
25
+38
H28/12
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#2
L
36-45
36
45
-9
A05/01
NBL
Minyor
#7
W
61-47
61
47
+14
H12/01
NBL
Levski
#10
W
52-33
52
33
+19
A19/01
NBL
Cherno More
#3
L
34-51
34
51
-17
A26/01
NBL
Shumen
#11
W
59-45
59
45
+14
A07/02
NBL
Beroe
#8
W
43-37
43
37
+6
H13/02
NBL
Botev 2012
#6
W
51-36
51
36
+15
H04/03
NBL
Academic Plovdiv
#9
W
53-40
53
40
+13
A09/03
NBL
90.2Avg total
49.7Scored
40.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.637.982.5+6.767%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.336.381.5+9.073%-
Last 30 away (15)43.939.583.5+4.460%-
Last 10 (10)49.740.590.2+9.270%-
Last 5 (5)48.041.889.8+6.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)32.534.567.0-2.050%-
vs Similar (9)41.242.383.6-1.133%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)47.536.283.6+11.384%-
This opponent (Lok. Plovdiv) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Lok. PlovdivLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Balkan
#1
W
46-45
46
45
+1
H23/12
NBL
Shumen
#11
W
51-42
51
42
+9
A28/12
NBL
Beroe
#8
W
63-47
63
47
+16
H04/01
NBL
Botev 2012
#6
W
50-45
50
45
+5
H17/01
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#2
L
34-43
34
43
-9
H25/01
NBL
Academic Plovdiv
#9
W
51-39
51
39
+12
A02/02
NBL
Levski
#10
W
58-39
58
39
+19
H07/02
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#5
W
45-37
45
37
+8
A15/02
NBL
Minyor
#7
L
51-66
51
66
-15
A04/03
NBL
Cherno More
#3
W
44-37
44
37
+7
A08/03
NBL
93.3Avg total
49.3Scored
44.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (21)45.143.088.1+2.162%-
Last 30 at home (10)47.141.788.8+5.470%-
Last 30 away (11)43.444.287.5-0.855%-
Last 10 (10)49.344.093.3+5.380%-
Last 5 (5)49.843.693.4+6.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)39.044.283.2-5.250%-
vs Similar (3)43.344.087.3-0.767%-
vs Weaker (14)47.342.489.7+4.964%-
This opponent (Balkan) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Balkantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Balkan: 93.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.4 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.3 points a game
50%
29%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.123.0
62.0%
54.5%46.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.110.5
37.4%
32.5%31.5
🏀 Free throws20.916.4
78.5%
71.3%16.4
They take 65.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Lok. Plovdivtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lok. Plovdiv: 93.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.2 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.6 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.3 points a game
50%
29%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.620.0
51.8%
54.5%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.011.4
38.0%
32.5%34.2
🏀 Free throws26.619.6
73.7%
71.3%19.6
They take 68.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Balkan
WWWWLWWLWW
Lok. Plovdiv
LLWWLLWWWL
#1
League position
#4
+15.2
Net rating
+8.8
114.1
Offensive rating
112.6
98.9
Defensive rating
103.9
59.4%
Effective FG%
54.1%
51.7%
Opp. effective FG%
52.1%
13.1%
Turnover %
10.7%
30.2%
Off. rebound %
28.2%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.39
37.4%
3-point %
38.0%
69.0%
Assist %
65.3%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence114.1 · 112.6Defence98.9 · 103.9Shooting59.4% · 54.1%3-point %37.4% · 38.0%Ball care13.1% · 10.7%Off. rebounds30.2% · 28.2%Free throws0.32 · 0.39Form (last 10/10)80% · 50%
■ Balkan   ■ Lok. Plovdiv
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Balkan wins
0
Lok. Plovdiv wins
DateGameScore
23/12/25Lok. Plovdiv v Balkan89-94
11/10/25Balkan v Lok. Plovdiv83-80
Balkanlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/03/26AAcademic Plovdiv91-77
04/03/26HBotev 2012106-74
13/02/26HBeroe94-74
07/02/26AShumen101-83
26/01/26ACherno More66-93
19/01/26ALevski102-70
12/01/26HMinyor118-75
05/01/26ARilski Sportist79-81
28/12/25HSpartak Pleven103-75
23/12/25ALok. Plovdiv94-89
Lok. Plovdivlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/03/26ACherno More76-79
04/03/26AMinyor103-109
15/02/26ASpartak Pleven84-79
07/02/26HLevski115-80
02/02/26AAcademic Plovdiv86-90
25/01/26HRilski Sportist72-84
17/01/26HBotev 2012105-87
04/01/26HBeroe117-88
28/12/25AShumen107-89
23/12/25HBalkan89-94

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Balkan
NBL 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW86%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLWLWW73%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %86%100%73%
Points / game92.994.991.1
Allowed / game75.872.179.2
Point differential+17.1+22.8+11.9
Avg total168.7167.0170.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%70%64%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)100% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Lok. Plovdiv
NBL 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL57%
HomeLWWLW70%
AwayWLWLL45%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %57%70%45%
Points / game90.394.886.3
Allowed / game84.081.885.9
Point differential+6.4+13.0+0.4
Avg total174.3176.6172.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%60%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)50% (2)50% (6)
Overtime %5%10%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Balkan2118386%92.975.8+17.1
2 Rilski Sportist2218482%91.277.8+13.5
3 Cherno More2217577%90.380.3+10.0
4 Lok. Plovdiv2112957%90.384.0+6.4
5 Botev 201222111150%79.182.5-3.3
6 Spartak Pleven21101148%80.382.8-2.5
7 Minyor22101245%84.389.5-5.3
8 Beroe2291341%83.187.6-4.5
9 Academic Plovdiv2281436%81.585.7-4.2
10 Shumen2131814%79.691.3-11.7
11 Levski2231914%75.290.1-14.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Balkan1620271982
Lok. Plovdiv1725192990
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