PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Balkan vs Rilski Sportist Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 28 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 10:00
Final 81-70
25-7 27-19 10-25 19-19
Position#4
Record2-1
FormLWLWW
Points / game79.3
Allowed / game77.3
Balkan 🏆
Bulgaria
vs
Position#1
Record1-2
FormLLWLL
Points / game78.3
Allowed / game69.7
BulgariaNBLRound 4· Arena Botevgrad
Other2023-24
Meetings · Balkan v Rilski Sportist
04 Dec 2026
BAL v RSP
upcoming
22 Mar 2026
BAL79
RSP78
26 Oct 2025
BAL75
RSP70
15 Mar 2025
BAL94
RSP83
09 Nov 2024
BAL68
RSP76
30 May 2024
BAL69
RSP81
28 May 2024
BAL69
RSP68
31 Mar 2024
BAL86
RSP79
28 Oct 2023
BAL81
RSP70
28 Dec 2022
BAL68
RSP83
03 Oct 2022
BAL60
RSP70
09 Jun 2022
BAL66
RSP54
07 Jun 2022
BAL88
RSP65
18 Feb 2022
BAL74
RSP73
14 Dec 2020
BAL80
RSP87
18 Mar 2020
BAL v RSP
upcoming
08 Feb 2020
BAL82
RSP75
26 Oct 2019
BAL85
RSP83
16 Mar 2019
BAL91
RSP80
13 Oct 2018
BAL89
RSP90
24 Apr 2018
BAL92
RSP80
10 Feb 2018
BAL83
RSP78
29 Apr 2017
BAL100
RSP75
18 Dec 2016
BAL85
RSP72
05 Mar 2016
BAL93
RSP80
19 Dec 2015
BAL99
RSP97
19 May 2015
BAL84
RSP65
11 May 2015
BAL72
RSP77
09 May 2015
BAL91
RSP66
25 Apr 2015
BAL82
RSP85
05 Dec 2014
BAL120
RSP90
23 Mar 2014
BAL97
RSP74
02 Mar 2014
BAL90
RSP96
05 Jan 2014
BAL90
RSP70
30 May 2013
BAL75
RSP88
23 May 2013
BAL84
RSP76
21 Oct 2012
BAL93
RSP67
11 Feb 2012
BAL72
RSP58
05 Nov 2011
BAL62
RSP84
04 Feb 2011
BAL84
RSP70
10 Nov 2010
BAL71
RSP65
31 Oct 2010
BAL73
RSP61
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Balkan winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Rilski Sportist winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BalkanBulgariaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBalkan
Date
Competition
CSKA Sofia
#3
W
85-70
85
70
+15
no box
A17/05
NBL
CSKA Sofia
#3
W
92-83
92
83
+9
no box
A19/05
NBL
Chernomorets
#4
W
87-74
87
74
+13
no box
H27/05
NBL
Chernomorets
#4
W
87-64
87
64
+23
no box
H29/05
NBL
Chernomorets
#4
W
83-75
83
75
+8
no box
A01/06
NBL
Levski
#1
L
56-57
56
57
-1
36avg 67
H01/10
Super Cup
Shumen
#6
W
88-83
88
83
+5
81avg 67
H07/10
NBL
Levski
#7
L
64-69
64
69
-5
57avg 67
A15/10
NBL
Cherno More
#11
W
86-80
86
80
+6
81avg 67
H21/10
NBL
Alba Fehervar
#36
W
88-78
88
78
+10
82avg 67
A25/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-21
14-19
24-16
20-14
18-20
31-27
17-15
26-21
16-20
28-19
23-19
20-16
25-14
16-10
16-18
30-22
23-22
21-21
15-18
24-14
8-12
17-14
20-9
11-22
18-16
22-23
27-26
21-18
18-22
15-13
14-8
17-26
26-19
14-28
17-19
29-14
28-20
20-26
19-12
21-20
154.9Avg total
81.6Scored
73.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)79.377.3156.7+2.067%
Season at home (2)87.081.5168.5+5.5100%
Season away (1)64.069.0133.0-5.00%
Last 10 (10)81.673.3154.9+8.380%
Last 5 (5)76.473.4149.8+3.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)88.078.0166.0+10.0100%
vs Similar (2)82.080.0162.0+2.050%
vs Weaker (25)85.477.1162.5+8.380%
This opponent (Rilski Sportist) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Rilski SportistBulgariaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSportist
Date
Competition
Academic Plovdiv
#8
W
97-76
97
76
+21
no box
H08/05
NBL
Chernomorets
#4
L
73-79
73
79
-6
no box
H13/05
NBL
Chernomorets
#4
W
82-75
82
75
+7
no box
H15/05
NBL
Chernomorets
#4
L
70-84
70
84
-14
no box
A18/05
NBL
Chernomorets
#4
L
90-95 OT
90
95
-5
no box
A20/05
NBL
CSKA Sofia
#3
L
71-88
71
88
-17
no box
H26/05
NBL
CSKA Sofia
#3
L
72-86
72
86
-14
no box
A28/05
NBL
Minyor
#10
W
95-49
95
49
+46
no box
H07/10
NBL
Chernomorets
#2
L
65-74
65
74
-9
59avg 64
A16/10
NBL
Shumen
#6
L
75-86
75
86
-11
68avg 64
H21/10
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-15
23-20
31-22
25-19
21-14
10-28
19-20
23-17
27-13
14-28
21-21
20-13
25-18
12-24
19-20
14-22
15-10
14-19
23-18
16-21
13-23
17-22
24-25
17-18
17-26
19-24
23-20
13-16
23-13
26-12
21-8
25-16
17-10
10-23
19-24
19-17
17-28
26-17
19-18
13-23
158.2Avg total
79.0Scored
79.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)78.369.7148.0+8.733%
Season at home (2)85.067.5152.5+17.550%
Season away (1)65.074.0139.0-9.00%
Last 10 (10)79.079.2158.2-0.230%
Last 5 (5)75.676.6152.2-1.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)71.075.0146.0-4.050%
vs Weaker ◀ (27)85.679.0164.6+6.659%
This opponent (Balkan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.1+2.1Q1: +2.3+2.3Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: -4.6-4.6Q3Q3: +3.2+3.2Q3: +2.3+2.3Q4Q4: +3.2+3.2Q4: +0.3+0.3
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.1+2.1Q1: +2.3+2.3Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: -4.6-4.6Q3Q3: +3.2+3.2Q3: +2.3+2.3Q4Q4: +3.2+3.2Q4: +0.3+0.3
BalkanRilski Sportist
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BalkanLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CSKA Sofia
#3
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A17/05
NBL
CSKA Sofia
#3
W
49-47
49
47
+2
A19/05
NBL
Chernomorets
#4
W
44-39
44
39
+5
H27/05
NBL
Chernomorets
#4
W
41-24
41
24
+17
H29/05
NBL
Chernomorets
#4
W
44-43
44
43
+1
A01/06
NBL
Levski
#1
L
25-26
25
26
-1
H01/10
Super Cup
Shumen
#6
W
40-39
40
39
+1
H07/10
NBL
Levski
#7
L
33-35
33
35
-2
A15/10
NBL
Cherno More
#11
L
40-47
40
47
-7
H21/10
NBL
Alba Fehervar
#36
W
48-46
48
46
+2
A25/10
FIBA Europe Cup
79.1Avg total
40.5Scored
38.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.439.281.5+3.273%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.039.080.0+2.060%-
Last 30 away (15)43.739.383.1+4.487%-
Last 10 (10)40.538.679.1+1.970%-
Last 5 (5)37.238.675.8-1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)48.046.094.0+2.0100%-
vs Similar (2)42.538.080.5+4.5100%-
vs Weaker (25)42.339.882.2+2.572%-
This opponent (Rilski Sportist) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Rilski SportistLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Academic Plovdiv
#8
W
41-35
41
35
+6
H08/05
NBL
Chernomorets
#4
L
31-42
31
42
-11
H13/05
NBL
Chernomorets
#4
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H15/05
NBL
Chernomorets
#4
L
37-42
37
42
-5
A18/05
NBL
Chernomorets
#4
D
29-29
29
29
+0
A20/05
NBL
CSKA Sofia
#3
L
30-45
30
45
-15
H26/05
NBL
CSKA Sofia
#3
L
36-50
36
50
-14
A28/05
NBL
Minyor
#10
W
49-25
49
25
+24
H07/10
NBL
Chernomorets
#2
L
27-33
27
33
-6
A16/10
NBL
Shumen
#6
L
43-45
43
45
-2
H21/10
NBL
75.1Avg total
36.4Scored
38.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.738.680.4+3.150%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.539.480.9+2.147%-
Last 30 away (15)42.037.979.9+4.153%-
Last 10 (10)36.438.775.1-2.320%-
Last 5 (5)37.039.676.6-2.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)32.039.071.0-7.00%-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)42.638.881.4+3.752%-
This opponent (Balkan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Balkantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Balkan: 73.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.3 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.0 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.2 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.2 points a game
53%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.019.7
54.6%
54.3%39.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.07.0
25.0%
31.3%21.0
🏀 Free throws18.713.2
70.5%
71.1%13.2
They take 64.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Rilski Sportisttheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rilski Sportist: 77.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.3 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.0 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.3 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.2 points a game
53%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.321.7
56.5%
54.3%43.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.07.0
29.2%
31.3%21.0
🏀 Free throws17.713.3
75.5%
71.1%13.3
They take 62.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 6/3 games with a box score before 28 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Balkan
WWLWLWWWWW
Rilski Sportist
LLWLLLLWLW
#4
League position
#1
+1.2
Net rating
+12.2
102.2
Offensive rating
109.1
101.0
Defensive rating
96.9
47.1%
Effective FG%
51.6%
47.0%
Opp. effective FG%
45.5%
16.8%
Turnover %
19.8%
31.0%
Off. rebound %
38.5%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.28
25.0%
3-point %
29.2%
70.6%
Assist %
74.4%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence102.2 · 109.1Defence101.0 · 96.9Shooting47.1% · 51.6%3-point %25.0% · 29.2%Ball care16.8% · 19.8%Off. rebounds31.0% · 38.5%Free throws0.29 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)80% · 30%
■ Balkan   ■ Rilski Sportist
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Balkan wins
6
Rilski Sportist wins
Balkanlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/10/23AAlba Fehervar88-78
21/10/23HCherno More86-80
15/10/23ALevski64-69
07/10/23HShumen88-83
01/10/23HLevski56-57
01/06/23AChernomorets83-75
29/05/23HChernomorets87-64
27/05/23HChernomorets87-74
19/05/23ACSKA Sofia92-83
17/05/23ACSKA Sofia85-70
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/10/23HShumen75-86
16/10/23AChernomorets65-74
07/10/23HMinyor95-49
28/05/23ACSKA Sofia72-86
26/05/23HCSKA Sofia71-88
20/05/23AChernomorets90-95 OT
18/05/23AChernomorets70-84
15/05/23HChernomorets82-75
13/05/23HChernomorets73-79
08/05/23HAcademic Plovdiv97-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Balkan
NBL 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLW67%
HomeWW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %67%100%0%
Points / game79.387.064.0
Allowed / game77.381.569.0
Point differential+2.0+5.5-5.0
Avg total156.7168.5133.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Rilski Sportist
NBL 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLL33%
HomeWL50%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %33%50%0%
Points / game78.385.065.0
Allowed / game69.767.574.0
Point differential+8.7+17.5-9.0
Avg total148.0152.5139.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Chernomorets440100%84.870.0+14.8
2 Levski330100%83.068.7+14.3
3 Spartak Pleven32167%88.068.7+19.3
4 CSKA Sofia32167%81.772.3+9.3
5 Balkan32167%79.377.3+2.0
6 Yambol32167%82.383.3-1.0
7 Rilski Sportist31233%78.369.7+8.7
8 Beroe31233%80.782.7-2.0
9 Shumen41325%80.883.8-3.0
10 Academic Plovdiv41325%77.589.5-12.0
11 Minyor41325%64.291.5-27.2
12 Cherno More3030%75.789.7-14.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Balkan2527101981
Rilski Sportist719251970
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.