PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Balkan vs Rilski Sportist Prediction & Stats

Date: Fri 04 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 16:00
Scheduled
Position#1
Record5-0
FormLWWWL
Points / game89.4
Allowed / game71.6
vs
Form · last 5 games
4.0/10
Below normal
4.6/10
Around normal
Position#3
Record5-1
FormWLWWW
Points / game90.8
Allowed / game74.3
BulgariaNBLRound 8· Arena Botevgrad
Other2026-27
Meetings · Balkan v Rilski Sportist
04 Dec 2026
BAL v RSP
upcoming
22 Mar 2026
BAL79
RSP78
26 Oct 2025
BAL75
RSP70
15 Mar 2025
BAL94
RSP83
09 Nov 2024
BAL68
RSP76
30 May 2024
BAL69
RSP81
28 May 2024
BAL69
RSP68
31 Mar 2024
BAL86
RSP79
28 Oct 2023
BAL81
RSP70
28 Dec 2022
BAL68
RSP83
03 Oct 2022
BAL60
RSP70
09 Jun 2022
BAL66
RSP54
07 Jun 2022
BAL88
RSP65
18 Feb 2022
BAL74
RSP73
14 Dec 2020
BAL80
RSP87
18 Mar 2020
BAL v RSP
upcoming
08 Feb 2020
BAL82
RSP75
26 Oct 2019
BAL85
RSP83
16 Mar 2019
BAL91
RSP80
13 Oct 2018
BAL89
RSP90
24 Apr 2018
BAL92
RSP80
10 Feb 2018
BAL83
RSP78
29 Apr 2017
BAL100
RSP75
18 Dec 2016
BAL85
RSP72
05 Mar 2016
BAL93
RSP80
19 Dec 2015
BAL99
RSP97
19 May 2015
BAL84
RSP65
11 May 2015
BAL72
RSP77
09 May 2015
BAL91
RSP66
25 Apr 2015
BAL82
RSP85
05 Dec 2014
BAL120
RSP90
23 Mar 2014
BAL97
RSP74
02 Mar 2014
BAL90
RSP96
05 Jan 2014
BAL90
RSP70
30 May 2013
BAL75
RSP88
23 May 2013
BAL84
RSP76
21 Oct 2012
BAL93
RSP67
11 Feb 2012
BAL72
RSP58
05 Nov 2011
BAL62
RSP84
04 Feb 2011
BAL84
RSP70
10 Nov 2010
BAL71
RSP65
31 Oct 2010
BAL73
RSP61
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Balkan win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Rilski Sportist win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BalkanBulgariaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBalkan
Date
Competition
Botev 2012
#9
W
91-66
91
66
+25
74avg 82
A10/10
NBL
BC Roma
#18
L
72-77 OT
72
77
-5
62avg 82
A13/10
Eurocup
Levski
#12
W
101-83
101
83
+18
98avg 82
H16/10
NBL
Lietkabelis
#21
L
57-64
57
64
-7
54avg 82
H20/10
Eurocup
Yambol
#13
W
84-73
84
73
+11
78avg 82
A23/10
NBL
Manresa
#8
L
65-76
65
76
-11
52avg 82
H27/10
Eurocup
CSKA Sofia
#11
W
94-65
94
65
+29
94avg 82
H30/10
NBL
KK Bosna
#23
W
78-69
78
69
+9
no box
A04/11
Eurocup
Spartak Pleven
#7
W
77-71
77
71
+6
no box
A07/11
NBL
PAOK
#7
L
56-79
56
79
-23
no box
H10/11
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-24
28-14
24-15
16-13
12-13
21-16
12-18
24-22
26-22
23-14
26-25
26-22
10-13
15-20
20-16
12-15
22-20
19-15
24-16
19-22
17-25
19-14
14-15
15-22
35-14
17-19
21-20
21-12
18-24
23-15
20-16
17-14
22-19
12-25
22-12
21-15
12-19
20-34
9-19
15-7
149.8Avg total
77.5Scored
72.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)89.471.6161.0+17.8100%
Season at home (2)97.574.0171.5+23.5100%
Season away (3)84.070.0154.0+14.0100%
Last 10 (10)77.572.3149.8+5.260%
Last 5 (5)74.072.0146.0+2.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)67.480.6148.0-13.114%
vs Similar ◀ (1)79.078.0157.0+1.0100%
vs Weaker (22)88.277.6165.9+10.682%
This opponent (Rilski Sportist) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Rilski SportistBulgariaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSportist
Date
Competition
Yambol
#13
W
96-64
96
64
+32
93avg 86
A11/10
NBL
Esenler Erokspor
#2
L
62-94
62
94
-32
49avg 86
H14/10
FIBA Europe Cup
CSKA Sofia
#11
W
114-76
114
76
+38
112avg 86
H17/10
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#7
L
70-86
70
86
-16
59avg 86
A25/10
NBL
SCM Craiova
#34
L
86-103
86
103
-17
84avg 86
A28/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Lok. Plovdiv
#5
W
88-79
88
79
+9
76avg 86
H31/10
NBL
Kolossos Rhodes
#10
L
70-92
70
92
-22
no box
H03/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Polytechnica
#14
W
95-65
95
65
+30
no box
A07/11
NBL
Sporting CP
#28
W
86-76
86
76
+10
no box
H11/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Beroe
#10
W
82-76
82
76
+6
no box
A14/11
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-22
21-11
29-15
25-16
20-25
13-31
11-13
18-25
28-19
32-15
27-26
27-16
22-26
20-16
15-22
13-22
16-16
17-21
22-37
31-29
25-14
20-25
20-17
23-23
17-24
22-20
12-28
19-20
27-16
21-10
25-22
22-17
23-18
25-16
23-23
15-19
16-14
17-22
21-23
28-17
166.0Avg total
84.9Scored
81.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)90.874.3165.2+16.583%
Season at home (2)101.077.5178.5+23.5100%
Season away (4)85.872.8158.5+13.075%
Last 10 (10)84.981.1166.0+3.860%
Last 5 (5)84.277.6161.8+6.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)75.888.8164.6-13.020%
vs Similar ◀ (4)91.886.2178.0+5.575%
vs Weaker (20)93.279.7172.9+13.580%
This opponent (Balkan) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +0.4+0.4Q1: +2.1+2.1Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: +2.1+2.1Q3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q3: -2.1-2.1Q4Q4: +2.2+2.2Q4: +1.7+1.7
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +0.4+0.4Q1: +2.1+2.1Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: +2.1+2.1Q3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q3: -2.1-2.1Q4Q4: +2.2+2.2Q4: +1.7+1.7
BalkanRilski Sportist
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BalkanLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Botev 2012
#9
W
51-38
51
38
+13
A10/10
NBL
BC Roma
#18
W
33-29
33
29
+4
A13/10
Eurocup
Levski
#12
W
49-36
49
36
+13
H16/10
NBL
Lietkabelis
#21
L
25-33
25
33
-8
H20/10
Eurocup
Yambol
#13
W
41-35
41
35
+6
A23/10
NBL
Manresa
#8
L
36-39
36
39
-3
H27/10
Eurocup
CSKA Sofia
#11
W
52-33
52
33
+19
H30/10
NBL
KK Bosna
#23
W
41-39
41
39
+2
A04/11
Eurocup
Spartak Pleven
#7
L
34-44
34
44
-10
A07/11
NBL
PAOK
#7
L
32-53
32
53
-21
H10/11
Eurocup
77.3Avg total
39.4Scored
37.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.140.881.9+0.357%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.140.480.5-0.250%-
Last 30 away (14)42.241.283.4+1.064%-
Last 10 (10)39.437.977.3+1.560%-
Last 5 (5)39.041.680.6-2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)32.442.975.3-10.429%-
vs Similar ◀ (1)35.043.078.0-8.00%-
vs Weaker (22)44.140.084.1+4.168%-
This opponent (Rilski Sportist) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Rilski SportistLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Yambol
#13
W
42-33
42
33
+9
A11/10
NBL
Esenler Erokspor
#2
L
33-56
33
56
-23
H14/10
FIBA Europe Cup
CSKA Sofia
#11
W
60-34
60
34
+26
H17/10
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#7
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A25/10
NBL
SCM Craiova
#34
L
33-37
33
37
-4
A28/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Lok. Plovdiv
#5
W
45-39
45
39
+6
H31/10
NBL
Kolossos Rhodes
#10
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H03/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Polytechnica
#14
W
48-26
48
26
+22
A07/11
NBL
Sporting CP
#28
W
48-34
48
34
+14
H11/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Beroe
#10
L
33-36
33
36
-3
A14/11
NBL
80.4Avg total
42.3Scored
38.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.440.785.1+3.757%-
Last 30 at home (14)45.942.488.4+3.557%-
Last 30 away (16)43.039.282.2+3.856%-
Last 10 (10)42.338.180.4+4.250%-
Last 5 (5)42.635.878.4+6.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)37.442.880.2-5.420%-
vs Similar ◀ (4)47.040.087.0+7.075%-
vs Weaker (20)45.939.585.4+6.465%-
This opponent (Balkan) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Balkantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Balkan: 76.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.2 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.1 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.0 points a game
54%
26%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.820.6
54.5%
55.5%41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.08.2
30.4%
29.8%24.6
🏀 Free throws16.011.1
69.4%
71.2%11.1
They take 64.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Rilski Sportisttheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rilski Sportist: 86.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.5 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.0 points a game
54%
26%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.122.2
56.8%
55.5%44.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.98.0
32.1%
29.8%24.0
🏀 Free throws24.718.5
74.9%
71.2%18.5
They take 64.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Dec 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Balkan
LWWWLWLWLW
Rilski Sportist
WWWLWLLWLW
#1
League position
#3
+3.6
Net rating
+3.2
91.7
Offensive rating
100.6
88.1
Defensive rating
97.3
50.8%
Effective FG%
53.4%
49.6%
Opp. effective FG%
55.1%
17.7%
Turnover %
14.9%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.39
30.4%
3-point %
32.1%
60.8%
Assist %
62.3%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence91.7 · 100.6Defence88.1 · 97.3Shooting50.8% · 53.4%3-point %30.4% · 32.1%Ball care17.7% · 14.9%Free throws0.25 · 0.39Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ Balkan   ■ Rilski Sportist
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Balkan wins
6
Rilski Sportist wins
Balkanlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/11/26HPAOK56-79
07/11/26ASpartak Pleven77-71
04/11/26AKK Bosna78-69
30/10/26HCSKA Sofia94-65
27/10/26HManresa65-76
23/10/26AYambol84-73
20/10/26HLietkabelis57-64
16/10/26HLevski101-83
13/10/26ABC Roma72-77 OT
10/10/26ABotev 201291-66
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26ABeroe82-76
11/11/26HSporting CP86-76
07/11/26APolytechnica95-65
03/11/26HKolossos Rhodes70-92
31/10/26HLok. Plovdiv88-79
28/10/26ASCM Craiova86-103
25/10/26ASpartak Pleven70-86
17/10/26HCSKA Sofia114-76
14/10/26HEsenler Erokspor62-94
11/10/26AYambol96-64

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Balkan
NBL 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWW100%
AwayWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game89.497.584.0
Allowed / game71.674.070.0
Point differential+17.8+23.5+14.0
Avg total161.0171.5154.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+80%100%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Rilski Sportist
NBL 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW83%
HomeWW100%
AwayWLWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games624
Win %83%100%75%
Points / game90.8101.085.8
Allowed / game74.377.572.8
Point differential+16.5+23.5+13.0
Avg total165.2178.5158.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Balkan550100%89.471.6+17.8
2 Minyor660100%106.790.8+15.8
3 Rilski Sportist65183%90.874.3+16.5
4 Botev Academic65183%90.381.0+9.3
5 Lok. Plovdiv54180%88.278.0+10.2
6 Cherno More64267%83.871.7+12.2
7 Spartak Pleven64267%81.575.2+6.3
8 Shumen64267%89.588.0+1.5
9 Botev 201262433%79.890.2-10.3
10 Beroe61517%90.787.8+2.8
11 CSKA Sofia61517%77.596.7-19.2
12 Levski6060%79.292.7-13.5
13 Yambol6060%74.094.2-20.2
14 Polytechnica6060%70.094.7-24.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.