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Ball State vs Western Michigan Prediction & Stats

Date: Mon 22 Feb 2021
Tip-off: 00:00
Postponed
Position#232
Record7-11
FormLLWLL
Points / game70.7
Allowed / game73.8
vs
Position#321
Record4-13
FormLWWLL
Points / game63.5
Allowed / game71.7
USANCAA
Other2020-21
Meetings · Ball State v Western Michigan
28 Jan 2025
BALL71
WEST74
02 Mar 2024
BALL76
WEST78
17 Jan 2023
BALL71
WEST70
29 Jan 2022
BALL83
WEST72
21 Feb 2021
BALL v WEST
upcoming
25 Feb 2020
BALL71
WEST61
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ball State win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Western Michigan win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Ball StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Buffalo
#74
L
69-86
69
86
-17
A09/01
NCAA
Bowling Green
#142
W
88-64
88
64
+24
A13/01
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#346
W
78-58
78
58
+20
H16/01
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#168
L
71-81
71
81
-10
A20/01
NCAA
Ohio
#67
L
77-85
77
85
-8
A23/01
NCAA
Akron
#88
L
42-74
42
74
-32
A30/01
NCAA
Buffalo
#74
L
58-78
58
78
-20
H02/02
NCAA
Toledo
#40
W
81-67
81
67
+14
H06/02
NCAA
Bowling Green
#142
L
62-75
62
75
-13
H17/02
NCAA
Akron
#88
L
79-88
79
88
-9
H20/02
NCAA
1H
2H
31-33
38-53
43-36
45-28
34-19
44-39
36-35
35-46
40-46
37-39
16-34
26-40
32-33
26-45
34-36
47-31
35-34
27-41
36-30
43-58
146.1Avg total
70.5Scored
75.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)70.773.8144.6-3.139%
Season at home (8)72.072.0144.0+0.050%
Season away (10)69.775.3145.0-5.630%
Last 10 (10)70.575.6146.1-5.130%
Last 5 (5)64.476.4140.8-12.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)67.480.0147.4-12.612%
vs Similar (11)68.267.5135.6+0.745%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)71.564.1135.6+7.573%
This opponent (Western Michigan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Western MichiganUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Toledo
#40
L
59-70
59
70
-11
H02/01
NCAA
Kent State
#89
L
54-80
54
80
-26
A09/01
NCAA
Buffalo
#74
L
69-85
69
85
-16
H12/01
NCAA
Akron
#88
L
68-79
68
79
-11
H23/01
NCAA
Ohio
#67
L
58-81
58
81
-23
A26/01
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#168
L
56-65
56
65
-9
A30/01
NCAA
Bowling Green
#142
W
76-70
76
70
+6
A04/02
NCAA
Central Michigan
#296
W
67-65
67
65
+2
A06/02
NCAA
Buffalo
#74
L
54-86
54
86
-32
A13/02
NCAA
Kent State
#89
L
69-76
69
76
-7
H17/02
NCAA
1H
2H
27-39
32-31
27-27
27-53
32-38
37-47
38-31
30-48
31-43
27-38
21-25
35-40
40-29
36-41
32-28
35-37
21-41
33-45
40-36
29-40
138.7Avg total
63.0Scored
75.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)63.571.7135.2-8.224%
Season at home (9)65.769.7135.3-4.022%
Season away (8)61.074.0135.0-13.025%
Last 10 (10)63.075.7138.7-12.720%
Last 5 (5)64.472.4136.8-8.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)64.372.5136.7-8.222%
vs Similar (6)65.569.8135.3-4.333%
vs Weaker (1)62.042.0104.0+20.0100%
This opponent (Ball State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: +0.1+0.11st half: -2.8-2.82nd half2nd half: -5.2-5.22nd half: -9.9-9.9
-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: +0.1+0.11st half: -2.8-2.82nd half2nd half: -5.2-5.22nd half: -9.9-9.9
Ball StateWestern Michigan
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Ball StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Buffalo
#74
L
31-33
31
33
-2
A09/01
NCAA
Bowling Green
#142
W
43-36
43
36
+7
A13/01
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#346
W
34-19
34
19
+15
H16/01
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#168
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A20/01
NCAA
Ohio
#67
L
40-46
40
46
-6
A23/01
NCAA
Akron
#88
L
16-34
16
34
-18
A30/01
NCAA
Buffalo
#74
L
32-33
32
33
-1
H02/02
NCAA
Toledo
#40
L
34-36
34
36
-2
H06/02
NCAA
Bowling Green
#142
W
35-34
35
34
+1
H17/02
NCAA
Akron
#88
W
36-30
36
30
+6
H20/02
NCAA
67.3Avg total
33.7Scored
33.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.332.265.5+1.150%-
Last 30 at home (14)34.529.463.9+5.164%-
Last 30 away (16)32.234.867.0-2.538%-
Last 10 (10)33.733.667.3+0.150%-
Last 5 (5)30.633.464.0-2.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)32.436.869.1-4.412%-
vs Similar (11)35.331.767.0+3.573%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)32.029.561.5+2.555%-
This opponent (Western Michigan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Western MichiganLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Toledo
#40
L
27-39
27
39
-12
H02/01
NCAA
Kent State
#89
D
27-27
27
27
+0
A09/01
NCAA
Buffalo
#74
L
32-38
32
38
-6
H12/01
NCAA
Akron
#88
W
38-31
38
31
+7
H23/01
NCAA
Ohio
#67
L
31-43
31
43
-12
A26/01
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#168
L
21-25
21
25
-4
A30/01
NCAA
Bowling Green
#142
W
40-29
40
29
+11
A04/02
NCAA
Central Michigan
#296
W
32-28
32
28
+4
A06/02
NCAA
Buffalo
#74
L
21-41
21
41
-20
A13/02
NCAA
Kent State
#89
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H17/02
NCAA
64.6Avg total
30.9Scored
33.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)30.732.963.6-2.237%-
Last 30 at home (15)32.931.864.7+1.160%-
Last 30 away (15)28.534.062.5-5.513%-
Last 10 (10)30.933.764.6-2.840%-
Last 5 (5)30.831.862.6-1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)31.233.564.7-2.339%-
vs Similar (6)28.733.362.0-4.717%-
vs Weaker (1)30.016.046.0+14.0100%-
This opponent (Ball State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Ball State wins
1
Western Michigan wins
Ball Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/02/21HAkron79-88
17/02/21HBowling Green62-75
06/02/21HToledo81-67
02/02/21HBuffalo58-78
30/01/21AAkron42-74
23/01/21AOhio77-85
20/01/21AMiami (Ohio)71-81
16/01/21HNorthern Illinois78-58
13/01/21ABowling Green88-64
09/01/21ABuffalo69-86
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/02/21HKent State69-76
13/02/21ABuffalo54-86
06/02/21ACentral Michigan67-65
04/02/21ABowling Green76-70
30/01/21AMiami (Ohio)56-65
26/01/21AOhio58-81
23/01/21HAkron68-79
12/01/21HBuffalo69-85
09/01/21AKent State54-80
02/01/21HToledo59-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ball State
NCAA 2020-21
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL39%
HomeWLWLL50%
AwayLWLLL30%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18810
Win %39%50%30%
Points / game70.772.069.7
Allowed / game73.872.075.3
Point differential-3.1+0.0-5.6
Avg total144.6144.0145.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%38%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %6%0%10%
Western Michigan
NCAA 2020-21
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL24%
HomeLLLLL22%
AwayLLWWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1798
Win %24%22%25%
Points / game63.565.761.0
Allowed / game71.769.774.0
Point differential-8.2-4.0-13.0
Avg total135.2135.3135.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%22%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mid-American conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Akron1814478%79.369.9+9.4
2 Toledo2418675%80.772.2+8.5
3 Kent State1914574%78.869.9+8.9
4 Ohio1711665%80.173.4+6.8
5 UMass117464%77.971.5+6.5
6 Bowling Green2112957%78.775.6+3.0
7 Buffalo169756%81.473.1+8.4
8 Miami (Ohio)189950%71.972.8-0.8
9 Ball State1871139%70.773.8-3.1
10 Central Michigan1761135%77.676.8+0.9
11 Eastern Michigan134931%70.174.9-4.8
12 Western Michigan1741324%63.571.7-8.2
13 Northern Illinois1521313%60.775.4-14.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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