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Ball State vs Western Michigan Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 02 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 76-78 (OT)
26-32 39-33 11-13
Position#226
Record14-14
FormLLWLW
Points / game73.5
Allowed / game70.5
vs
Position#300
Record10-18
FormLLWWL
Points / game71.2
Allowed / game74.3
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Ball State v Western Michigan
28 Jan 2025
BALL71
WEST74
02 Mar 2024
BALL76
WEST78
17 Jan 2023
BALL71
WEST70
29 Jan 2022
BALL83
WEST72
21 Feb 2021
BALL v WEST
upcoming
25 Feb 2020
BALL71
WEST61
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ball State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Western Michigan winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Ball StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Buffalo
#362
W
87-59
87
59
+28
A24/01
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#307
W
81-71
81
71
+10
H27/01
NCAA
Bowling Green
#127
L
72-81
72
81
-9
H31/01
NCAA
Western Michigan
#300
W
77-67
77
67
+10
A03/02
NCAA
Ohio
#120
L
79-84 OT
79
84
-5
H07/02
NCAA
Texas State
#214
L
60-68
60
68
-8
A10/02
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#228
L
59-80
59
80
-21
A17/02
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#307
W
70-63
70
63
+7
A21/02
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#278
L
56-58
56
58
-2
H24/02
NCAA
Central Michigan
#168
W
79-71
79
71
+8
A28/02
NCAA
1H
2H
45-31
42-28
39-26
42-45
31-33
41-48
39-22
38-45
27-36
45-36
31-37
29-31
29-30
30-50
27-31
43-32
27-26
29-32
38-31
41-40
142.2Avg total
72.0Scored
70.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)73.570.5144.0+3.050%
Season at home (14)78.068.0146.0+10.057%
Season away (14)69.072.9141.9-3.943%
Last 10 (10)72.070.2142.2+1.850%
Last 5 (5)64.868.0132.8-3.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)77.083.5160.5-6.50%
vs Similar (10)69.280.6149.8-11.410%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)75.663.1138.7+12.481%
This opponent (Western Michigan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Western MichiganUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Eastern Michigan
#278
W
73-56
73
56
+17
H24/01
NCAA
Central Michigan
#168
L
55-62
55
62
-7
H27/01
NCAA
Toledo
#107
L
63-88
63
88
-25
A31/01
NCAA
Ball State
#226
L
67-77
67
77
-10
H03/02
NCAA
Kent State
#199
L
61-63
61
63
-2
A07/02
NCAA
Southern Miss
#211
L
54-86
54
86
-32
A10/02
NCAA
Central Michigan
#168
L
42-69
42
69
-27
A18/02
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#228
W
77-58
77
58
+19
H21/02
NCAA
Buffalo
#362
W
91-72
91
72
+19
H24/02
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#278
L
67-70
67
70
-3
A28/02
NCAA
1H
2H
31-20
42-36
16-29
39-33
27-48
36-40
22-39
45-38
25-27
36-36
33-40
21-46
21-40
21-29
38-33
39-25
47-32
44-40
32-35
35-35
135.1Avg total
65.0Scored
70.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)71.274.3145.5-3.136%
Season at home (14)76.570.9147.4+5.657%
Season away (14)65.977.8143.6-11.914%
Last 10 (10)65.070.1135.1-5.130%
Last 5 (5)66.271.0137.2-4.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)68.574.8143.3-6.319%
vs Similar (11)67.373.3140.5-6.045%
vs Weaker (2)86.574.5161.0+12.0100%
This opponent (Ball State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +3.0+3.01st half: -5.1-5.12nd half2nd half: -0.7-0.72nd half: +0.0+0.0
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +3.0+3.01st half: -5.1-5.12nd half2nd half: -0.7-0.72nd half: +0.0+0.0
Ball StateWestern Michigan
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Ball StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Buffalo
#362
W
45-31
45
31
+14
A24/01
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#307
W
39-26
39
26
+13
H27/01
NCAA
Bowling Green
#127
L
31-33
31
33
-2
H31/01
NCAA
Western Michigan
#300
W
39-22
39
22
+17
A03/02
NCAA
Ohio
#120
L
27-36
27
36
-9
H07/02
NCAA
Texas State
#214
L
31-37
31
37
-6
A10/02
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#228
L
29-30
29
30
-1
A17/02
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#307
L
27-31
27
31
-4
A21/02
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#278
W
27-26
27
26
+1
H24/02
NCAA
Central Michigan
#168
W
38-31
38
31
+7
A28/02
NCAA
63.6Avg total
33.3Scored
30.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.933.767.6+0.243%-
Last 30 at home (16)35.732.768.4+3.056%-
Last 30 away (14)31.934.966.7-3.029%-
Last 10 (10)33.330.363.6+3.050%-
Last 5 (5)30.431.061.4-0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)31.537.268.8-5.825%-
vs Similar (10)32.240.172.3-7.910%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)35.628.864.4+6.869%-
This opponent (Western Michigan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Western MichiganLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Eastern Michigan
#278
W
31-20
31
20
+11
H24/01
NCAA
Central Michigan
#168
L
16-29
16
29
-13
H27/01
NCAA
Toledo
#107
L
27-48
27
48
-21
A31/01
NCAA
Ball State
#226
L
22-39
22
39
-17
H03/02
NCAA
Kent State
#199
L
25-27
25
27
-2
A07/02
NCAA
Southern Miss
#211
L
33-40
33
40
-7
A10/02
NCAA
Central Michigan
#168
L
21-40
21
40
-19
A18/02
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#228
W
38-33
38
33
+5
H21/02
NCAA
Buffalo
#362
W
47-32
47
32
+15
H24/02
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#278
L
32-35
32
35
-3
A28/02
NCAA
63.5Avg total
29.2Scored
34.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.736.267.9-4.537%-
Last 30 at home (16)32.934.267.1-1.450%-
Last 30 away (14)30.438.468.9-8.021%-
Last 10 (10)29.234.363.5-5.130%-
Last 5 (5)34.236.070.2-1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)29.637.166.7-7.631%-
vs Similar (11)30.035.365.3-5.327%-
vs Weaker (2)40.532.072.5+8.5100%-
This opponent (Ball State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Ball State wins
2
Western Michigan wins
Ball Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/02/24ACentral Michigan79-71
24/02/24HEastern Michigan56-58
21/02/24ANorthern Illinois70-63
17/02/24AMiami (Ohio)59-80
10/02/24ATexas State60-68
07/02/24HOhio79-84 OT
03/02/24AWestern Michigan77-67
31/01/24HBowling Green72-81
27/01/24HNorthern Illinois81-71
24/01/24ABuffalo87-59
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/02/24AEastern Michigan67-70
24/02/24HBuffalo91-72
21/02/24HMiami (Ohio)77-58
18/02/24ACentral Michigan42-69
10/02/24ASouthern Miss54-86
07/02/24AKent State61-63
03/02/24HBall State67-77
31/01/24AToledo63-88
27/01/24HCentral Michigan55-62
24/01/24HEastern Michigan73-56

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ball State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW50%
HomeLWLLL57%
AwayWLLWW43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281414
Win %50%57%43%
Points / game73.578.069.0
Allowed / game70.568.072.9
Point differential+3.0+10.0-3.9
Avg total144.0146.0141.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%43%21%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)25% (4)50% (2)
Overtime %7%14%0%
Western Michigan
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL36%
HomeWLLWW57%
AwayLLLLL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281414
Win %36%57%14%
Points / game71.276.565.9
Allowed / game74.370.977.8
Point differential-3.1+5.6-11.9
Avg total145.5147.4143.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%29%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (10)60% (5)20% (5)
Overtime %7%14%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mid-American conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Akron2820871%74.765.3+9.4
2 UMass28181064%78.871.0+7.8
3 Toledo28171161%79.877.0+2.8
4 Ohio29171259%77.871.2+6.7
5 Bowling Green29171259%74.171.5+2.6
6 Central Michigan28161257%66.670.4-3.9
7 Miami (Ohio)28151354%71.868.8+3.0
8 Kent State28141450%75.971.7+4.1
9 Ball State28141450%73.570.5+3.0
10 Eastern Michigan29121741%66.373.3-7.0
11 Western Michigan28101836%71.274.3-3.1
12 Northern Illinois28101836%73.477.9-4.5
13 Buffalo2842414%67.779.6-12.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HOTFinal
Ball State26391176
Western Michigan32331378
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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