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Ball State vs Western Michigan Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 18 Jan 2023
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 71-70
31-29 40-41
Position#103
Record12-5
FormWWWLW
Points / game76.5
Allowed / game67.0
vs
Position#345
Record6-11
FormLLLWW
Points / game72.2
Allowed / game72.9
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · Ball State v Western Michigan
28 Jan 2025
BALL71
WEST74
02 Mar 2024
BALL76
WEST78
17 Jan 2023
BALL71
WEST70
29 Jan 2022
BALL83
WEST72
21 Feb 2021
BALL v WEST
upcoming
25 Feb 2020
BALL71
WEST61
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ball State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Western Michigan winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Ball StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Duquesne
#104
L
77-78
77
78
-1
A03/12
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#335
W
76-59
76
59
+17
A08/12
NCAA
Evansville
#365
W
88-69
88
69
+19
H10/12
NCAA
Illinois State
#303
W
83-69
83
69
+14
H17/12
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#198
W
58-54
58
54
+4
H22/12
NCAA
Chicago State
#297
W
70-63
70
63
+7
H29/12
NCAA
Toledo
#18
W
90-83
90
83
+7
A04/01
NCAA
Akron
#59
W
70-63
70
63
+7
H07/01
NCAA
Ohio
#133
L
71-76
71
76
-5
A11/01
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#122
W
75-61
75
61
+14
H14/01
NCAA
1H
2H
40-36
37-42
36-29
40-30
42-28
46-41
41-34
42-35
17-24
41-30
29-28
41-35
40-37
50-46
30-31
40-32
29-26
42-50
47-30
28-31
143.3Avg total
75.8Scored
67.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)76.567.0143.5+9.571%
Season at home (10)77.963.2141.1+14.790%
Season away (7)74.472.4146.9+2.043%
Last 10 (10)75.867.5143.3+8.380%
Last 5 (5)75.269.2144.4+6.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)74.480.9155.3-6.433%
vs Similar (8)72.170.0142.1+2.150%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)75.267.3142.5+7.982%
This opponent (Western Michigan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Western MichiganUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dayton
#85
L
47-67
47
67
-20
A01/12
NCAA
Concordia
#588
W
94-50
94
50
+44
H06/12
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#289
L
56-62
56
62
-6
H10/12
NCAA
Iowa State
#136
L
57-73
57
73
-16
A18/12
NCAA
Siena Heights
#418
W
61-41
61
41
+20
H21/12
NCAA
Wisconsin
#158
L
66-76
66
76
-10
A31/12
NCAA
Kent State
#17
L
72-80
72
80
-8
A04/01
NCAA
Toledo
#18
L
74-102
74
102
-28
A06/01
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#347
W
85-79
85
79
+6
H11/01
NCAA
Bowling Green
#296
W
108-92
108
92
+16
H14/01
NCAA
1H
2H
24-37
23-30
39-23
55-27
18-30
38-32
23-37
34-36
27-8
34-33
27-29
39-47
26-38
46-42
23-42
51-60
36-28
49-51
39-50
69-42
144.2Avg total
72.0Scored
72.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)72.272.9145.2-0.735%
Season at home (8)76.165.0141.1+11.162%
Season away (9)68.880.0148.8-11.211%
Last 10 (10)72.072.2144.2-0.240%
Last 5 (5)81.085.8166.8-4.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)64.276.0140.2-11.812%
vs Similar (8)72.272.8145.0-0.550%
vs Weaker (3)81.367.3148.7+14.067%
This opponent (Ball State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +4.8+4.81st half: -4.0-4.02nd half2nd half: +3.5+3.52nd half: +3.8+3.8
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +4.8+4.81st half: -4.0-4.02nd half2nd half: +3.5+3.52nd half: +3.8+3.8
Ball StateWestern Michigan
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Ball StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Duquesne
#104
W
40-36
40
36
+4
A03/12
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#335
W
36-29
36
29
+7
A08/12
NCAA
Evansville
#365
W
42-28
42
28
+14
H10/12
NCAA
Illinois State
#303
W
41-34
41
34
+7
H17/12
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#198
L
17-24
17
24
-7
H22/12
NCAA
Chicago State
#297
W
29-28
29
28
+1
H29/12
NCAA
Toledo
#18
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A04/01
NCAA
Akron
#59
L
30-31
30
31
-1
H07/01
NCAA
Ohio
#133
W
29-26
29
26
+3
A11/01
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#122
W
47-30
47
30
+17
H14/01
NCAA
65.4Avg total
35.1Scored
30.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.533.368.8+2.257%-
Last 30 at home (16)36.431.968.2+4.556%-
Last 30 away (14)34.534.969.4-0.457%-
Last 10 (10)35.130.365.4+4.880%-
Last 5 (5)35.030.465.4+4.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)33.938.071.9-4.133%-
vs Similar (8)33.833.166.9+0.650%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)35.830.766.5+5.173%-
This opponent (Western Michigan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Western MichiganLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dayton
#85
L
24-37
24
37
-13
A01/12
NCAA
Concordia
#588
W
39-23
39
23
+16
H06/12
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#289
L
18-30
18
30
-12
H10/12
NCAA
Iowa State
#136
L
23-37
23
37
-14
A18/12
NCAA
Siena Heights
#418
W
27-8
27
8
+19
H21/12
NCAA
Wisconsin
#158
L
27-29
27
29
-2
A31/12
NCAA
Kent State
#17
L
26-38
26
38
-12
A04/01
NCAA
Toledo
#18
L
23-42
23
42
-19
A06/01
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#347
W
36-28
36
28
+8
H11/01
NCAA
Bowling Green
#296
L
39-50
39
50
-11
H14/01
NCAA
60.4Avg total
28.2Scored
32.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.634.065.6-2.430%-
Last 30 at home (13)32.431.263.5+1.238%-
Last 30 away (17)31.036.167.1-5.124%-
Last 10 (10)28.232.260.4-4.030%-
Last 5 (5)30.237.467.6-7.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)30.237.067.2-6.812%-
vs Similar (8)32.933.966.8-1.038%-
vs Weaker (3)35.029.364.3+5.767%-
This opponent (Ball State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Ball State wins
1
Western Michigan wins
Ball Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/01/23HMiami (FL)75-61
11/01/23AOhio71-76
07/01/23HAkron70-63
04/01/23AToledo90-83
29/12/22HChicago State70-63
22/12/22HGeorgia Southern58-54
17/12/22HIllinois State83-69
10/12/22HEvansville88-69
08/12/22AEastern Illinois76-59
03/12/22ADuquesne77-78
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/01/23HBowling Green108-92
11/01/23HEastern Michigan85-79
06/01/23AToledo74-102
04/01/23AKent State72-80
31/12/22AWisconsin66-76
21/12/22HSiena Heights61-41
18/12/22AIowa State57-73
10/12/22HIllinois (Chi.)56-62
06/12/22HConcordia94-50
01/12/22ADayton47-67

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ball State
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW71%
HomeWWWWW90%
AwayLLWWL43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games17107
Win %71%90%43%
Points / game76.577.974.4
Allowed / game67.063.272.4
Point differential+9.5+14.7+2.0
Avg total143.5141.1146.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+41%50%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)67% (3)0% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Western Michigan
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW35%
HomeWLWWW62%
AwayLLLLL11%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1789
Win %35%62%11%
Points / game72.276.168.8
Allowed / game72.965.080.0
Point differential-0.7+11.1-11.2
Avg total145.2141.1148.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mid-American conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Kent State1714382%74.562.2+12.3
2 Akron1712571%72.861.9+10.9
3 Ball State1712571%76.567.0+9.5
4 Toledo1711665%84.578.8+5.8
5 UMass1711665%71.769.2+2.5
6 Ohio179853%76.471.5+4.9
7 Bowling Green178947%78.176.1+2.0
8 Buffalo178947%78.777.5+1.2
9 Central Michigan1771041%68.469.4-1.0
10 Western Michigan1761135%72.272.9-0.7
11 Northern Illinois1751229%67.875.6-7.8
12 Eastern Michigan1741324%72.781.5-8.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Ball State314071
Western Michigan294170
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