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Ball State vs Western Michigan Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 29 Jan 2022
Tip-off: 20:30
Final 83-72
46-39 37-33
Position#237
Record9-10
FormLLLWW
Points / game74.2
Allowed / game76.2
vs
Position#335
Record4-15
FormLLLLL
Points / game65.8
Allowed / game77.7
USANCAA
Other2021-22
Meetings · Ball State v Western Michigan
28 Jan 2025
BALL71
WEST74
02 Mar 2024
BALL76
WEST78
17 Jan 2023
BALL71
WEST70
29 Jan 2022
BALL83
WEST72
21 Feb 2021
BALL v WEST
upcoming
25 Feb 2020
BALL71
WEST61
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ball State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Western Michigan winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Ball StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Illinois State
#269
L
64-85
64
85
-21
A18/12
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#356
W
75-55
75
55
+20
H22/12
NCAA
Bowling Green
#256
W
81-80
81
80
+1
H01/01
NCAA
Kent State
#68
L
65-66
65
66
-1
H05/01
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#309
W
78-72
78
72
+6
A08/01
NCAA
Akron
#57
L
74-84
74
84
-10
A12/01
NCAA
Buffalo
#109
L
68-74
68
74
-6
H14/01
NCAA
Toledo
#21
L
70-83
70
83
-13
A19/01
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#240
W
81-64
81
64
+17
H26/01
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#320
W
74-67
74
67
+7
A28/01
NCAA
1H
2H
29-37
35-48
37-36
38-19
36-34
45-46
28-28
37-38
39-34
39-38
36-33
38-51
30-34
38-40
35-38
35-45
31-19
50-45
33-27
41-40
146.0Avg total
73.0Scored
73.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)74.276.2150.3-2.047%
Season at home (9)77.769.6147.2+8.167%
Season away (10)71.082.1153.1-11.130%
Last 10 (10)73.073.0146.0+0.050%
Last 5 (5)73.474.4147.8-1.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)71.880.5152.2-8.819%
vs Similar (8)77.680.9158.5-3.250%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)80.065.6145.6+14.4100%
This opponent (Western Michigan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Western MichiganUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Aquinas
#383
W
67-56
67
56
+11
H18/12
NCAA
Notre Dame
#72
L
52-85
52
85
-33
A21/12
NCAA
Toledo
#21
L
56-83
56
83
-27
A30/12
NCAA
Ohio
#47
L
47-59
47
59
-12
H01/01
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#309
L
79-85
79
85
-6
H05/01
NCAA
Buffalo
#109
L
64-78
64
78
-14
H12/01
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#240
L
62-70
62
70
-8
H15/01
NCAA
Akron
#57
L
73-74
73
74
-1
A18/01
NCAA
Bowling Green
#256
L
75-82
75
82
-7
H22/01
NCAA
Kent State
#68
L
64-75
64
75
-11
A26/01
NCAA
1H
2H
34-32
33-24
23-44
29-41
25-40
31-43
24-28
23-31
30-47
49-38
34-33
30-45
33-32
29-38
44-41
29-33
40-41
35-41
30-47
34-28
138.6Avg total
63.9Scored
74.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)65.877.7143.5-11.921%
Season at home (10)68.672.4141.0-3.830%
Season away (9)62.783.7146.3-21.011%
Last 10 (10)63.974.7138.6-10.810%
Last 5 (5)67.675.8143.4-8.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)63.478.6142.0-15.216%
vs Similar (2)71.074.5145.5-3.50%
vs Weaker (1)73.063.0136.0+10.0100%
This opponent (Ball State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +1.4+1.41st half: -6.8-6.82nd half2nd half: -1.4-1.42nd half: -4.0-4.0
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +1.4+1.41st half: -6.8-6.82nd half2nd half: -1.4-1.42nd half: -4.0-4.0
Ball StateWestern Michigan
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Ball StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Illinois State
#269
L
29-37
29
37
-8
A18/12
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#356
W
37-36
37
36
+1
H22/12
NCAA
Bowling Green
#256
W
36-34
36
34
+2
H01/01
NCAA
Kent State
#68
D
28-28
28
28
+0
H05/01
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#309
W
39-34
39
34
+5
A08/01
NCAA
Akron
#57
W
36-33
36
33
+3
A12/01
NCAA
Buffalo
#109
L
30-34
30
34
-4
H14/01
NCAA
Toledo
#21
L
35-38
35
38
-3
A19/01
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#240
W
31-19
31
19
+12
H26/01
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#320
W
33-27
33
27
+6
A28/01
NCAA
65.4Avg total
33.4Scored
32.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.434.170.5+2.350%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.331.369.5+7.067%-
Last 30 away (15)34.537.071.5-2.533%-
Last 10 (10)33.432.065.4+1.460%-
Last 5 (5)33.030.263.2+2.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)33.235.368.6-2.125%-
vs Similar (8)38.036.174.1+1.962%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)40.628.068.6+12.6100%-
This opponent (Western Michigan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Western MichiganLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Aquinas
#383
W
34-32
34
32
+2
H18/12
NCAA
Notre Dame
#72
L
23-44
23
44
-21
A21/12
NCAA
Toledo
#21
L
25-40
25
40
-15
A30/12
NCAA
Ohio
#47
L
24-28
24
28
-4
H01/01
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#309
L
30-47
30
47
-17
H05/01
NCAA
Buffalo
#109
W
34-33
34
33
+1
H12/01
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#240
W
33-32
33
32
+1
H15/01
NCAA
Akron
#57
W
44-41
44
41
+3
A18/01
NCAA
Bowling Green
#256
L
40-41
40
41
-1
H22/01
NCAA
Kent State
#68
L
30-47
30
47
-17
A26/01
NCAA
70.2Avg total
31.7Scored
38.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.036.667.6-5.637%-
Last 30 at home (14)33.733.967.6-0.150%-
Last 30 away (16)28.639.067.6-10.425%-
Last 10 (10)31.738.570.2-6.840%-
Last 5 (5)36.238.875.0-2.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)30.837.568.3-6.832%-
vs Similar (2)25.538.564.0-13.00%-
vs Weaker (1)36.031.067.0+5.0100%-
This opponent (Ball State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Ball State wins
1
Western Michigan wins
Ball Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/01/22ANorthern Illinois74-67
26/01/22HMiami (Ohio)81-64
19/01/22AToledo70-83
14/01/22HBuffalo68-74
12/01/22AAkron74-84
08/01/22AEastern Michigan78-72
05/01/22HKent State65-66
01/01/22HBowling Green81-80
22/12/21HEastern Illinois75-55
18/12/21AIllinois State64-85
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/01/22AKent State64-75
22/01/22HBowling Green75-82
18/01/22AAkron73-74
15/01/22HMiami (Ohio)62-70
12/01/22HBuffalo64-78
05/01/22HEastern Michigan79-85
01/01/22HOhio47-59
30/12/21AToledo56-83
21/12/21ANotre Dame52-85
18/12/21HAquinas67-56

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ball State
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW47%
HomeWWLLW67%
AwayLWLLW30%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19910
Win %47%67%30%
Points / game74.277.771.0
Allowed / game76.269.682.1
Point differential-2.0+8.1-11.1
Avg total150.3147.2153.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%44%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)67% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Western Michigan
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL21%
HomeLLLLL30%
AwayLLLLL11%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19109
Win %21%30%11%
Points / game65.868.662.7
Allowed / game77.772.483.7
Point differential-11.9-3.8-21.0
Avg total143.5141.0146.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%20%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %11%10%11%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mid-American conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Ohio1916384%73.966.2+7.7
2 Toledo2117481%80.368.2+12.1
3 Akron1913668%71.963.3+8.7
4 Buffalo1810856%78.772.5+6.2
5 Bowling Green2011955%83.077.8+5.2
6 Kent State1910953%67.962.5+5.4
7 Miami (Ohio)1991047%77.172.1+5.1
8 UMass1991047%77.078.8-1.8
9 Ball State1991047%74.276.2-2.0
10 Eastern Michigan1981142%71.874.2-2.3
11 Northern Illinois1751229%62.771.9-9.2
12 Western Michigan1941521%65.877.7-11.9
13 Central Michigan1521313%64.082.3-18.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Ball State463783
Western Michigan393372
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