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Ball State vs Western Michigan Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 29 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 71-74
36-41 35-33
Position#243
Record9-10
FormWLLWL
Points / game75.7
Allowed / game73.5
vs
Position#305
Record5-14
FormLWLWL
Points / game71.5
Allowed / game76.3
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Ball State v Western Michigan
28 Jan 2025
BALL71
WEST74
02 Mar 2024
BALL76
WEST78
17 Jan 2023
BALL71
WEST70
29 Jan 2022
BALL83
WEST72
21 Feb 2021
BALL v WEST
upcoming
25 Feb 2020
BALL71
WEST61
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ball State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Western Michigan winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Ball StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bellarmine
#362
W
86-82
86
82
+4
A14/12
NCAA
Evansville
#319
W
80-43
80
43
+37
H21/12
NCAA
Anderson (Ind.)
#382
W
89-76
89
76
+13
H31/12
NCAA
Kent State
#74
W
75-67
75
67
+8
A04/01
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#41
L
72-80
72
80
-8
H08/01
NCAA
Bowling Green
#257
W
91-69
91
69
+22
H11/01
NCAA
Ohio
#205
L
71-86
71
86
-15
A15/01
NCAA
Toledo
#167
L
75-93
75
93
-18
H18/01
NCAA
Central Michigan
#242
W
82-80
82
80
+2
A22/01
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#352
L
66-76
66
76
-10
A25/01
NCAA
1H
2H
47-42
39-40
37-17
43-26
39-43
50-33
36-31
39-36
33-38
39-42
42-26
49-43
35-45
36-41
40-44
35-49
33-41
49-39
29-40
37-36
153.9Avg total
78.7Scored
75.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)75.773.5149.2+2.247%
Season at home (10)79.171.5150.6+7.650%
Season away (9)71.975.8147.7-3.944%
Last 10 (10)78.775.2153.9+3.560%
Last 5 (5)77.080.8157.8-3.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)73.878.2152.0-4.525%
vs Similar (12)72.778.2150.8-5.533%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)72.467.4139.8+5.050%
This opponent (Western Michigan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Western MichiganUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
North Dakota St
#85
L
62-98
62
98
-36
A15/12
NCAA
Valparaiso
#248
L
73-76
73
76
-3
H20/12
NCAA
Michigan State
#17
L
62-80
62
80
-18
A30/12
NCAA
Toledo
#167
L
70-76
70
76
-6
H04/01
NCAA
Bowling Green
#257
L
79-83
79
83
-4
H08/01
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#41
L
71-91
71
91
-20
A11/01
NCAA
Kent State
#74
W
94-83
94
83
+11
A15/01
NCAA
Buffalo
#333
L
76-85
76
85
-9
H18/01
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#352
W
72-70
72
70
+2
H22/01
NCAA
Central Michigan
#242
L
52-73
52
73
-21
A26/01
NCAA
1H
2H
28-49
34-49
42-26
31-50
24-37
38-43
33-35
37-41
42-38
37-45
23-54
48-37
46-40
48-43
39-53
37-32
39-27
33-43
23-34
29-39
152.6Avg total
71.1Scored
81.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)71.576.3147.8-4.826%
Season at home (9)76.073.8149.8+2.233%
Season away (10)67.578.6146.1-11.120%
Last 10 (10)71.181.5152.6-10.420%
Last 5 (5)73.080.4153.4-7.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)69.877.2146.9-7.428%
vs Similar (8)63.174.9138.0-11.812%
vs Weaker (3)86.375.3161.7+11.067%
This opponent (Ball State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-3+0+3+71st half1st half: +0.4+0.41st half: -5.4-5.42nd half2nd half: +3.1+3.12nd half: -5.0-5.0
-7-3+0+3+71st half1st half: +0.4+0.41st half: -5.4-5.42nd half2nd half: +3.1+3.12nd half: -5.0-5.0
Ball StateWestern Michigan
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Ball StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bellarmine
#362
W
47-42
47
42
+5
A14/12
NCAA
Evansville
#319
W
37-17
37
17
+20
H21/12
NCAA
Anderson (Ind.)
#382
L
39-43
39
43
-4
H31/12
NCAA
Kent State
#74
W
36-31
36
31
+5
A04/01
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#41
L
33-38
33
38
-5
H08/01
NCAA
Bowling Green
#257
W
42-26
42
26
+16
H11/01
NCAA
Ohio
#205
L
35-45
35
45
-10
A15/01
NCAA
Toledo
#167
L
40-44
40
44
-4
H18/01
NCAA
Central Michigan
#242
L
33-41
33
41
-8
A22/01
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#352
L
29-40
29
40
-11
A25/01
NCAA
73.8Avg total
37.1Scored
36.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.033.767.8+0.343%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.232.367.5+2.953%-
Last 30 away (15)32.935.268.1-2.333%-
Last 10 (10)37.136.773.8+0.440%-
Last 5 (5)35.839.275.0-3.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)34.236.070.2-1.850%-
vs Similar (12)33.236.369.5-3.225%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)33.630.163.7+3.558%-
This opponent (Western Michigan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Western MichiganLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
North Dakota St
#85
L
28-49
28
49
-21
A15/12
NCAA
Valparaiso
#248
W
42-26
42
26
+16
H20/12
NCAA
Michigan State
#17
L
24-37
24
37
-13
A30/12
NCAA
Toledo
#167
L
33-35
33
35
-2
H04/01
NCAA
Bowling Green
#257
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H08/01
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#41
L
23-54
23
54
-31
A11/01
NCAA
Kent State
#74
W
46-40
46
40
+6
A15/01
NCAA
Buffalo
#333
L
39-53
39
53
-14
H18/01
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#352
W
39-27
39
27
+12
H22/01
NCAA
Central Michigan
#242
L
23-34
23
34
-11
A26/01
NCAA
73.2Avg total
33.9Scored
39.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.835.568.4-2.740%-
Last 30 at home (14)36.334.070.3+2.357%-
Last 30 away (16)29.836.966.7-7.125%-
Last 10 (10)33.939.373.2-5.440%-
Last 5 (5)34.041.675.6-7.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)30.736.166.8-5.439%-
vs Similar (8)32.936.269.1-3.425%-
vs Weaker (3)42.336.378.7+6.067%-
This opponent (Ball State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Ball State wins
3
Western Michigan wins
Ball Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/01/25ANorthern Illinois66-76
22/01/25ACentral Michigan82-80
18/01/25HToledo75-93
15/01/25AOhio71-86
11/01/25HBowling Green91-69
08/01/25HMiami (Ohio)72-80
04/01/25AKent State75-67
31/12/24HAnderson (Ind.)89-76
21/12/24HEvansville80-43
14/12/24ABellarmine86-82
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/01/25ACentral Michigan52-73
22/01/25HNorthern Illinois72-70
18/01/25HBuffalo76-85
15/01/25AKent State94-83
11/01/25AMiami (Ohio)71-91
08/01/25HBowling Green79-83
04/01/25HToledo70-76
30/12/24AMichigan State62-80
20/12/24HValparaiso73-76
15/12/24ANorth Dakota St62-98

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ball State
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL47%
HomeWWLWL50%
AwayWWLWL44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19109
Win %47%50%44%
Points / game75.779.171.9
Allowed / game73.571.575.8
Point differential+2.2+7.6-3.9
Avg total149.2150.6147.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)-75% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Western Michigan
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL26%
HomeLLLLW33%
AwayLLLWL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19910
Win %26%33%20%
Points / game71.576.067.5
Allowed / game76.373.878.6
Point differential-4.8+2.2-11.1
Avg total147.8149.8146.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%22%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)25% (4)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mid-American conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Akron1914574%84.273.2+11.1
2 Miami (Ohio)1914574%82.472.8+9.6
3 Kent State1912763%69.764.5+5.2
4 Ohio1911858%80.375.1+5.3
5 Toledo1911858%77.877.5+0.4
6 Eastern Michigan1910953%73.978.1-4.2
7 Central Michigan1991047%73.669.7+3.8
8 Ball State1991047%75.773.5+2.2
9 UMass2091145%76.275.7+0.6
10 Bowling Green1971237%76.375.6+0.6
11 Buffalo1961332%72.181.9-9.9
12 Western Michigan1951426%71.576.3-4.8
13 Northern Illinois1951426%70.875.6-4.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Ball State363571
Western Michigan413374
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