Ballarat vs Albury Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 09 Jul 2016

Tip-off: 10:00

Final 87-88

25-25 22-21 24-18 16-24

Position#10

Record8-8

FormLLWLL

Points / game90.7

Allowed / game90.5

Ballarat

Albury 🏆

Position#9

Record8-10

FormWLLWL

Points / game86.6

Allowed / game85.8

SEABL

Other2016

Meetings · Ballarat v Albury

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ballarat winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Albury winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Ballarat

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Melbourne Tigers

#15

103-82

103

+21

A08/05

SEABL

Dandenong

94-92

H14/05

SEABL

Nunawading

96-88

H21/05

SEABL

Frankston

#14

99-76

+23

H29/05

SEABL

Hobart Chargers

93-85

H04/06

SEABL

Dandenong

93-104 OT

104

-11

A05/06

SEABL

Bendigo

83-90

-7

A18/06

SEABL

Nunawading

90-89

A25/06

SEABL

Southern Sabres

#11

93-100

100

-7

A01/07

SEABL

Geelong

78-91

-13

H02/07

SEABL

23-19

30-27

23-21

27-15

27-19

18-15

30-32

19-26

34-26

22-8

14-31

26-23

27-18

32-12

17-24

23-22

32-17

22-23

18-25

21-20

20-25

22-17

18-25

23-16

21-18

18-24

21-19

23-29

24-26

22-26

24-20

20-17

22-22

19-25

22-34

30-19

14-24

21-28

20-25

23-14

181.9Avg total

92.2Scored

89.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (16)	90.7	90.5	181.2	+0.2	50%
Season at home (8)	86.9	88.6	175.5	-1.8	50%
Season away (8)	94.5	92.4	186.9	+2.1	50%
Last 10 (10)	92.2	89.7	181.9	+2.5	60%
Last 5 (5)	87.4	94.8	182.2	-7.4	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	79.0	90.0	169.0	-11.0	20%
vs Similar ◀ (12)	87.0	88.1	175.1	-1.1	50%
vs Weaker (13)	92.5	84.3	176.8	+8.2	69%

This opponent (Albury) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Albury

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

BA CoE

#16

108-72

108

+36

H14/05

SEABL

Geelong

73-94

-21

A21/05

SEABL

Nunawading

103-100

103

100

A22/05

SEABL

Southern Sabres

#11

95-74

+21

A28/05

SEABL

Kilsyth

#12

75-93

-18

A29/05

SEABL

Southern Sabres

#11

82-73

H04/06

SEABL

Frankston

#14

88-92

-4

H18/06

SEABL

Mt Gambier

74-100

100

-26

H25/06

SEABL

Kilsyth

#12

95-84

+11

H02/07

SEABL

Mt Gambier

80-81

-1

A08/07

SEABL

28-23

25-23

23-11

32-15

14-23

19-20

19-30

21-21

33-22

24-27

22-30

24-21

18-20

27-25

31-12

19-17

20-17

16-25

19-29

20-22

15-25

22-15

28-13

17-20

22-27

28-22

15-20

23-23

18-27

25-21

18-27

13-25

23-25

23-26

17-23

32-10

17-22

15-23

30-17

18-19

173.6Avg total

87.3Scored

86.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (18)	86.6	85.8	172.3	+0.8	44%
Season at home (9)	91.1	85.2	176.3	+5.9	44%
Season away (9)	82.0	86.3	168.3	-4.3	44%
Last 10 (10)	87.3	86.3	173.6	+1.0	50%
Last 5 (5)	83.8	86.0	169.8	-2.2	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	81.9	92.1	174.0	-10.2	30%
vs Similar ◀ (6)	87.3	83.5	170.8	+3.8	83%
vs Weaker (14)	90.3	78.4	168.6	+11.9	71%

This opponent (Ballarat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

BallaratAlbury

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.9	21.3	44.2	+1.7	67%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	23.8	22.5	46.3	+1.3	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	22.1	20.1	42.1	+2.0	73%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.4	21.4	45.8	+3.0	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	23.0	43.2	-2.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	20.0	20.2	40.2	-0.2	60%	-
vs Similar ◀ (12)	24.4	23.8	48.2	+0.6	58%	-
vs Weaker (13)	22.7	19.3	42.0	+3.4	77%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.4	22.5	43.9	-1.1	47%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	22.4	22.5	44.9	-0.1	50%	-
Last 30 away (12)	19.8	22.5	42.3	-2.7	42%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.8	23.1	43.9	-2.3	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	25.2	44.2	-6.2	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	19.4	23.9	43.3	-4.5	30%	-
vs Similar ◀ (6)	23.2	19.0	42.2	+4.2	83%	-
vs Weaker (14)	22.0	23.0	45.0	-1.0	43%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.0	21.6	43.6	+0.5	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.4	21.5	43.9	+0.9	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.7	21.7	43.3	+0.0	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.6	20.5	43.1	+2.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	24.0	44.4	-3.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	19.4	24.8	44.2	-5.4	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (12)	20.5	19.7	40.2	+0.8	67%	-
vs Weaker (13)	24.5	22.1	46.5	+2.4	69%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.5	21.1	44.7	+2.4	60%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	24.5	20.9	45.4	+3.6	72%	-
Last 30 away (12)	22.1	21.5	43.6	+0.6	42%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.4	22.7	45.1	-0.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.6	21.4	44.0	+1.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	20.9	24.8	45.7	-3.9	30%	-
vs Similar ◀ (6)	24.2	21.7	45.8	+2.5	67%	-
vs Weaker (14)	25.1	18.3	43.4	+6.9	79%	-

BallaratLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Melbourne Tigers

#15

53-46

A08/05

SEABL

Dandenong

45-34

+11

H14/05

SEABL

Nunawading

56-34

+22

H21/05

SEABL

Frankston

#14

59-30

+29

H29/05

SEABL

Hobart Chargers

54-40

+14

H04/06

SEABL

Dandenong

42-42

A05/06

SEABL

Bendigo

39-42

-3

A18/06

SEABL

Nunawading

46-52

-6

A25/06

SEABL

Southern Sabres

#11

41-47

-6

A01/07

SEABL

Geelong

35-52

-17

H02/07

SEABL

88.9Avg total

47.0Scored

41.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	45.0	42.8	87.8	+2.1	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	46.2	43.9	90.1	+2.3	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	43.7	41.7	85.5	+2.0	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	47.0	41.9	88.9	+5.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.6	47.0	87.6	-6.4	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	39.4	45.0	84.4	-5.6	40%	-
vs Similar ◀ (12)	44.9	43.5	88.4	+1.4	50%	-
vs Weaker (13)	47.2	41.4	88.5	+5.8	69%	-

This opponent (Albury) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

AlburyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

BA CoE

#16

53-46

H14/05

SEABL

Geelong

33-43

-10

A21/05

SEABL

Nunawading

57-49

A22/05

SEABL

Southern Sabres

#11

45-45

A28/05

SEABL

Kilsyth

#12

36-42

-6

A29/05

SEABL

Southern Sabres

#11

37-40

-3

H04/06

SEABL

Frankston

#14

50-49

H18/06

SEABL

Mt Gambier

43-48

-5

H25/06

SEABL

Kilsyth

#12

46-51

-5

H02/07

SEABL

Mt Gambier

32-45

-13

A08/07

SEABL

89.0Avg total

43.2Scored

45.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	44.9	43.6	88.5	+1.3	50%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	46.9	43.4	90.3	+3.5	56%	-
Last 30 away (12)	41.9	44.0	85.9	-2.1	42%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.2	45.8	89.0	-2.6	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.6	46.6	88.2	-5.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	40.3	48.7	89.0	-8.4	20%	-
vs Similar ◀ (6)	47.3	40.7	88.0	+6.7	67%	-
vs Weaker (14)	47.1	41.3	88.4	+5.9	64%	-

This opponent (Ballarat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.2	22.5	43.7	-1.3	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.6	23.9	43.5	-4.3	27%	-
Last 30 away (15)	22.8	21.2	44.0	+1.6	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.7	25.6	46.3	-4.9	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	24.6	45.6	-3.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	19.6	23.8	43.4	-4.2	40%	-
vs Similar ◀ (12)	20.9	24.1	45.0	-3.2	25%	-
vs Weaker (13)	22.1	20.6	42.7	+1.5	62%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.1	22.2	42.3	-2.1	30%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	19.8	21.6	41.4	-1.8	33%	-
Last 30 away (12)	20.5	23.1	43.6	-2.6	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.2	21.2	43.4	+1.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.6	20.0	41.6	+1.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	21.3	24.0	45.3	-2.7	30%	-
vs Similar ◀ (6)	16.5	23.0	39.5	-6.5	33%	-
vs Weaker (14)	20.8	20.6	41.4	+0.2	29%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.1	20.5	41.6	+0.6	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.3	19.9	41.3	+1.4	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.9	21.1	42.0	-0.1	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.5	20.1	43.6	+3.4	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.8	19.0	42.8	+4.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	20.0	21.2	41.2	-1.2	40%	-
vs Similar ◀ (12)	19.2	18.2	37.5	+1.0	50%	-
vs Weaker (13)	23.3	22.3	45.6	+1.0	54%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.6	17.9	39.5	+3.7	53%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	21.8	18.2	40.1	+3.6	56%	-
Last 30 away (12)	21.2	17.4	38.6	+3.8	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.9	19.3	41.2	+2.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	19.4	40.0	+1.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	19.3	18.7	38.0	+0.6	40%	-
vs Similar ◀ (6)	23.5	19.8	43.3	+3.7	50%	-
vs Weaker (14)	22.4	16.5	38.9	+5.9	64%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.3	43.0	85.4	-0.7	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	40.9	43.8	84.7	-2.9	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	43.7	42.3	86.0	+1.5	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.2	45.7	89.9	-1.5	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.8	43.6	88.4	+1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	39.6	45.0	84.6	-5.4	20%	-
vs Similar ◀ (12)	40.2	42.3	82.5	-2.2	42%	-
vs Weaker (13)	45.4	42.9	88.3	+2.5	38%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.7	40.1	81.8	+1.6	47%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	41.7	39.8	81.5	+1.8	50%	-
Last 30 away (12)	41.7	40.5	82.2	+1.2	42%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.1	40.5	84.6	+3.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.2	39.4	81.6	+2.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	40.6	42.7	83.3	-2.1	40%	-
vs Similar ◀ (6)	40.0	42.8	82.8	-2.8	17%	-
vs Weaker (14)	43.1	37.1	80.2	+6.1	64%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Ballarat wins

Albury wins

Date	Game	Score
25/07/15	Ballarat v Albury	88-96
16/05/15	Albury v Ballarat	99-89

Ballaratlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
02/07/16	H	Geelong	78-91
01/07/16	A	Southern Sabres	93-100
25/06/16	A	Nunawading	90-89
18/06/16	A	Bendigo	83-90
05/06/16	A	Dandenong	93-104 OT
04/06/16	H	Hobart Chargers	93-85
29/05/16	H	Frankston	99-76
21/05/16	H	Nunawading	96-88
14/05/16	H	Dandenong	94-92
08/05/16	A	Melbourne Tigers	103-82

Alburylast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
08/07/16	A	Mt Gambier	80-81
02/07/16	H	Kilsyth	95-84
25/06/16	H	Mt Gambier	74-100
18/06/16	H	Frankston	88-92
04/06/16	H	Southern Sabres	82-73
29/05/16	A	Kilsyth	75-93
28/05/16	A	Southern Sabres	95-74
22/05/16	A	Nunawading	103-100
21/05/16	A	Geelong	73-94
14/05/16	H	BA CoE	108-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ballarat

SEABL 2016

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWLL	50%
Home	WWWWL	50%
Away	WLLWL	50%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	16	8	8
Win %	50%	50%	50%
Points / game	90.7	86.9	94.5
Allowed / game	90.5	88.6	92.4
Point differential	+0.2	-1.8	+2.1
Avg total	181.2	175.5	186.9
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	19%	12%	25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	60% (5)	50% (2)	67% (3)
Overtime %	6%	0%	12%

Albury

SEABL 2016

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLLWL	44%
Home	WWLLW	44%
Away	LWWLL	44%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	18	9	9
Win %	44%	44%	44%
Points / game	86.6	91.1	82.0
Allowed / game	85.8	85.2	86.3
Point differential	+0.8	+5.9	-4.3
Avg total	172.3	176.3	168.3
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	28%	33%	22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	29% (7)	0% (3)	50% (4)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Bendigo	18	15	3	83%	85.8	72.3	+13.5
2	Hobart Chargers	18	14	4	78%	87.0	75.0	+12.0
3	Mt Gambier	18	12	6	67%	89.6	77.5	+12.1
4	Brisbane Spartans	17	10	7	59%	86.2	82.8	+3.4
5	Geelong	18	10	8	56%	84.6	81.3	+3.3
6	NW Tasmania	18	10	8	56%	84.4	87.1	-2.7
7	Canberra	17	9	8	53%	79.9	83.2	-3.3
8	Ballarat	16	8	8	50%	90.7	90.5	+0.2
9	Dandenong	16	8	8	50%	86.2	86.5	-0.2
10	Nunawading	17	8	9	47%	85.6	83.2	+2.5
11	Southern Sabres	17	8	9	47%	80.0	84.4	-4.4
12	Albury	18	8	10	44%	86.6	85.8	+0.8
13	Kilsyth	18	7	11	39%	74.1	81.1	-7.0
14	Frankston	18	5	13	28%	74.6	82.3	-7.7
15	Melbourne Tigers	17	2	15	12%	69.6	84.3	-14.6
16	BA CoE	9	1	8	11%	71.9	89.3	-17.4

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Ballarat	25	22	24	16	87
Albury	25	21	18	24	88

← all games of the day

Ballarat vs Albury Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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