Ballarat vs Albury Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 06 May 2017

Tip-off: 10:00

Final 102-92

27-27 18-24 26-6 31-35

Position#5

Record3-2

FormLWWLW

Points / game82.0

Allowed / game84.2

Ballarat 🏆

Albury

Position#11

Record3-3

FormLWWLW

Points / game93.3

Allowed / game92.5

SEABL

Other2017

Meetings · Ballarat v Albury

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ballarat winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Albury winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Ballarat

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Kilsyth

#12

79-95

-16

A23/07

SEABL

Mt Gambier

79-91

-12

A29/07

SEABL

Melbourne Tigers

#15

118-87

118

+31

H31/07

SEABL

Mt Gambier

89-90

-1

H06/08

SEABL

Canberra

105-86

105

+19

H14/08

SEABL

Geelong

76-100

100

-24

A31/03

SEABL

Frankston

#12

99-94

H06/04

SEABL

Kilsyth

69-63

A08/04

SEABL

Mt Gambier

79-91

-12

H22/04

SEABL

Bendigo

87-73

+14

H29/04

SEABL

24-26

12-19

19-22

24-28

18-26

22-22

20-22

19-21

30-30

36-23

29-11

23-23

23-21

25-29

19-21

22-19

36-21

12-24

25-23

32-18

20-23

17-32

16-18

23-27

31-27

23-26

19-24

26-17

22-18

19-20

14-13

14-12

14-33

22-13

22-29

21-16

26-26

21-21

18-13

22-13

175.0Avg total

88.0Scored

87.0Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (5)	82.0	84.2	166.2	-2.2	60%
Season at home (3)	88.3	86.0	174.3	+2.3	67%
Season away (2)	72.5	81.5	154.0	-9.0	50%
Last 10 (10)	88.0	87.0	175.0	+1.0	50%
Last 5 (5)	82.0	84.2	166.2	-2.2	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	81.3	90.1	171.4	-8.9	14%
vs Similar (9)	89.1	95.3	184.4	-6.2	33%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	95.8	86.9	182.7	+8.9	71%

This opponent (Albury) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Albury

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Brisbane Spartans

87-76

+11

H06/08

SEABL

Bendigo

105-108 OT

105

108

-3

H13/08

SEABL

Geelong

84-82

A20/08

SEABL

Hobart Chargers

66-97

-31

A26/08

SEABL

Mt Gambier

83-87

-4

H25/03

SEABL

Nunawading

87-96

-9

H01/04

SEABL

Southern Sabres

#10

107-82

107

+25

H08/04

SEABL

Geelong

98-97

H21/04

SEABL

Bendigo

85-96

-11

A22/04

SEABL

Hobart Chargers

100-97

100

H29/04

SEABL

20-13

26-26

26-19

15-18

24-24

21-27

22-19

26-23

21-25

25-22

18-18

20-17

12-22

18-31

16-17

20-27

22-35

16-16

23-19

22-17

23-22

20-25

26-23

18-26

30-15

25-20

36-26

16-21

35-25

22-24

17-21

24-27

23-33

22-17

22-24

18-22

25-20

19-23

25-30

31-24

182.0Avg total

90.2Scored

91.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (6)	93.3	92.5	185.8	+0.8	50%
Season at home (5)	95.0	91.8	186.8	+3.2	60%
Season away (1)	85.0	96.0	181.0	-11.0	0%
Last 10 (10)	90.2	91.8	182.0	-1.6	50%
Last 5 (5)	95.4	93.6	189.0	+1.8	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	84.4	93.9	178.3	-9.4	31%
vs Similar (8)	89.2	87.8	177.0	+1.5	62%
vs Weaker (6)	95.7	77.5	173.2	+18.2	67%

This opponent (Ballarat) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

BallaratAlbury

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	24.1	22.6	46.7	+1.5	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	25.2	24.1	49.3	+1.1	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	22.9	21.1	44.0	+1.9	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.4	25.1	49.5	-0.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.6	25.4	48.0	-2.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	18.7	22.6	41.3	-3.9	43%	-
vs Similar (9)	24.8	24.4	49.2	+0.3	44%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	26.3	21.4	47.7	+4.9	71%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.9	22.8	44.7	-0.9	40%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	22.8	23.0	45.8	-0.2	41%	-
Last 30 away (13)	20.8	22.6	43.4	-1.8	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.5	23.4	46.9	+0.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	27.2	23.0	50.2	+4.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	20.9	24.6	45.4	-3.7	31%	-
vs Similar (8)	24.0	20.1	44.1	+3.9	62%	-
vs Weaker (6)	21.8	21.8	43.7	+0.0	33%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.9	23.2	45.1	-1.3	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.9	21.3	43.2	+0.7	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.9	25.1	47.1	-3.2	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.9	22.9	43.8	-2.0	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	22.4	42.8	-2.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	20.7	23.9	44.6	-3.1	14%	-
vs Similar (9)	20.1	22.3	42.4	-2.2	56%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	23.7	23.4	47.1	+0.3	43%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.5	22.7	45.2	-0.1	43%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	24.1	22.5	46.6	+1.6	47%	-
Last 30 away (13)	20.5	22.9	43.4	-2.5	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.4	23.1	44.5	-1.7	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.6	21.8	43.4	-0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	21.1	24.7	45.8	-3.6	19%	-
vs Similar (8)	22.5	21.5	44.0	+1.0	50%	-
vs Weaker (6)	26.3	18.8	45.2	+7.5	100%	-

BallaratLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Kilsyth

#12

36-45

-9

A23/07

SEABL

Mt Gambier

40-48

-8

A29/07

SEABL

Melbourne Tigers

#15

66-53

+13

H31/07

SEABL

Mt Gambier

48-50

-2

H06/08

SEABL

Canberra

48-45

H14/08

SEABL

Geelong

37-55

-18

A31/03

SEABL

Frankston

#12

54-53

H06/04

SEABL

Kilsyth

41-38

A08/04

SEABL

Mt Gambier

36-46

-10

H22/04

SEABL

Bendigo

47-47

H29/04

SEABL

93.3Avg total

45.3Scored

48.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	46.0	45.8	91.8	+0.2	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	47.1	45.4	92.5	+1.7	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	44.9	46.2	91.1	-1.3	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	45.3	48.0	93.3	-2.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.0	47.8	90.8	-4.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	39.4	46.4	85.9	-7.0	14%	-
vs Similar (9)	44.9	46.8	91.7	-1.9	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	50.0	44.9	94.9	+5.1	71%	-

This opponent (Albury) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

AlburyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Brisbane Spartans

46-39

H06/08

SEABL

Bendigo

45-51

-6

H13/08

SEABL

Geelong

46-47

-1

A20/08

SEABL

Hobart Chargers

30-53

-23

A26/08

SEABL

Mt Gambier

38-51

-13

H25/03

SEABL

Nunawading

43-47

-4

H01/04

SEABL

Southern Sabres

#10

55-35

+20

H08/04

SEABL

Geelong

57-49

H21/04

SEABL

Bendigo

45-50

-5

A22/04

SEABL

Hobart Chargers

44-43

H29/04

SEABL

91.4Avg total

44.9Scored

46.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	44.4	45.5	89.9	-1.1	40%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	46.9	45.5	92.4	+1.4	53%	-
Last 30 away (13)	41.2	45.5	86.8	-4.3	23%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.9	46.5	91.4	-1.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	48.8	44.8	93.6	+4.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	42.0	49.2	91.2	-7.2	25%	-
vs Similar (8)	46.5	41.6	88.1	+4.9	50%	-
vs Weaker (6)	48.2	40.7	88.8	+7.5	67%	-

This opponent (Ballarat) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.3	22.5	43.8	-1.3	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.5	22.5	44.0	-0.9	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.0	22.6	43.6	-1.6	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.1	19.6	39.7	+0.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.8	19.4	37.2	-1.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	20.7	23.4	44.1	-2.7	29%	-
vs Similar (9)	20.9	23.9	44.8	-3.0	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	21.8	21.2	43.0	+0.6	50%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.1	22.2	44.3	-0.1	37%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	22.8	22.1	44.9	+0.7	47%	-
Last 30 away (13)	21.2	22.3	43.5	-1.2	23%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.1	21.6	44.7	+1.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.2	24.8	50.0	+0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	20.9	22.9	43.8	-2.0	31%	-
vs Similar (8)	22.8	23.8	46.5	-1.0	38%	-
vs Weaker (6)	24.5	18.3	42.8	+6.2	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.8	21.2	44.0	+1.6	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.9	20.0	41.9	+1.9	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	23.7	22.3	46.0	+1.3	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.6	19.4	42.0	+3.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.2	17.0	38.2	+4.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	21.1	20.3	41.4	+0.9	57%	-
vs Similar (9)	22.2	22.3	44.6	-0.1	56%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	24.0	20.9	44.9	+3.1	64%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.0	20.8	41.8	+0.3	40%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	21.5	19.9	41.4	+1.6	41%	-
Last 30 away (13)	20.4	21.9	42.3	-1.5	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.0	22.2	43.2	-1.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	24.0	45.4	-2.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	20.8	20.8	41.6	+0.0	44%	-
vs Similar (8)	20.0	22.4	42.4	-2.4	25%	-
vs Weaker (6)	23.0	18.5	41.5	+4.5	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	44.1	43.7	87.8	+0.4	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	43.5	42.5	85.9	+1.0	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	44.7	44.9	89.6	-0.3	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.7	39.0	81.7	+3.7	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.0	36.4	75.4	+2.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	41.9	43.7	85.6	-1.9	29%	-
vs Similar (9)	43.1	46.2	89.3	-3.1	22%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	45.8	42.1	87.9	+3.7	57%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.1	43.0	86.1	+0.2	50%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	44.4	42.0	86.4	+2.4	59%	-
Last 30 away (13)	41.5	44.2	85.8	-2.7	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.1	43.8	87.9	+0.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	46.6	48.8	95.4	-2.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	41.7	43.7	85.4	-2.0	44%	-
vs Similar (8)	42.8	46.1	88.9	-3.4	50%	-
vs Weaker (6)	47.5	36.8	84.3	+10.7	67%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Ballarat wins

Albury wins

Date	Game	Score
09/07/16	Ballarat v Albury	87-88
25/07/15	Ballarat v Albury	88-96
16/05/15	Albury v Ballarat	99-89

Ballaratlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
29/04/17	H	Bendigo	87-73
22/04/17	H	Mt Gambier	79-91
08/04/17	A	Kilsyth	69-63
06/04/17	H	Frankston	99-94
31/03/17	A	Geelong	76-100
14/08/16	H	Canberra	105-86
06/08/16	H	Mt Gambier	89-90
31/07/16	H	Melbourne Tigers	118-87
29/07/16	A	Mt Gambier	79-91
23/07/16	A	Kilsyth	79-95

Alburylast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
29/04/17	H	Hobart Chargers	100-97
22/04/17	A	Bendigo	85-96
21/04/17	H	Geelong	98-97
08/04/17	H	Southern Sabres	107-82
01/04/17	H	Nunawading	87-96
25/03/17	H	Mt Gambier	83-87
26/08/16	A	Hobart Chargers	66-97
20/08/16	A	Geelong	84-82
13/08/16	H	Bendigo	105-108 OT
06/08/16	H	Brisbane Spartans	87-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ballarat

SEABL 2017

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWLW	60%
Home	WLW	67%
Away	LW	50%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	5	3	2
Win %	60%	67%	50%
Points / game	82.0	88.3	72.5
Allowed / game	84.2	86.0	81.5
Point differential	-2.2	+2.3	-9.0
Avg total	166.2	174.3	154.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	20%	33%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (1)	100% (1)	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Albury

SEABL 2017

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWLW	50%
Home	LLWWW	60%
Away	L	0%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	6	5	1
Win %	50%	60%	0%
Points / game	93.3	95.0	85.0
Allowed / game	92.5	91.8	96.0
Point differential	+0.8	+3.2	-11.0
Avg total	185.8	186.8	181.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	17%	20%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	67% (3)	67% (3)	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Mt Gambier	7	7	0	100%	92.9	80.4	+12.4
2	Nunawading	7	7	0	100%	88.6	76.6	+12.0
3	Hobart Chargers	6	4	2	67%	98.2	77.5	+20.7
4	Geelong	8	5	3	62%	85.2	75.4	+9.9
5	Dandenong	8	5	3	62%	77.6	76.2	+1.4
6	Ballarat	5	3	2	60%	82.0	84.2	-2.2
7	Albury	6	3	3	50%	93.3	92.5	+0.8
8	Kilsyth	8	4	4	50%	77.0	76.9	+0.1
9	Melbourne Tigers	6	3	3	50%	78.5	84.3	-5.8
10	Bendigo	9	4	5	44%	81.0	79.6	+1.4
11	Southern Sabres	8	3	5	38%	76.4	82.1	-5.8
12	NW Tasmania	8	2	6	25%	74.6	86.2	-11.6
13	BA CoE	5	1	4	20%	74.4	89.2	-14.8
14	Frankston	7	1	6	14%	79.1	88.4	-9.3
15	Canberra	6	0	6	0%	74.7	88.0	-13.3

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Ballarat	27	18	26	31	102
Albury	27	24	6	35	92

← all games of the day

Ballarat vs Albury Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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