Geelong vs Albury Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 21 May 2016

Tip-off: 09:00

Final 94-73

23-14 20-19 30-19 21-21

Position#4

Record6-3

FormLLWWW

Points / game85.9

Allowed / game79.9

Geelong 🏆

Albury

Position#9

Record4-5

FormWLLLW

Points / game88.1

Allowed / game83.7

SEABL

Other2016

Meetings · Geelong v Albury

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Geelong winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Albury winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Geelong

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Albury

78-84

-6

A05/09

SEABL

Brisbane Spartans

73-55

+18

H01/04

SEABL

Kilsyth

#12

87-60

+27

H08/04

SEABL

Frankston

#14

90-73

+17

A16/04

SEABL

Mt Gambier

74-97

-23

H22/04

SEABL

Canberra

74-78

-4

A24/04

SEABL

Dandenong

85-87

-2

A30/04

SEABL

Melbourne Tigers

#15

96-88

A01/05

SEABL

Albury

97-94

A07/05

SEABL

Hobart Chargers

97-87

+10

H14/05

SEABL

14-20

19-23

16-20

29-21

15-8

21-14

15-22

22-11

27-16

17-19

17-16

26-9

17-13

25-29

24-22

24-9

21-20

14-22

23-25

16-30

25-22

21-14

13-27

15-15

19-14

31-33

19-23

16-17

27-12

20-27

21-21

28-28

30-19

30-25

21-26

16-24

19-27

26-14

30-16

22-30

165.4Avg total

85.1Scored

80.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (9)	85.9	79.9	165.8	+6.0	67%
Season at home (4)	82.8	74.8	157.5	+8.0	75%
Season away (5)	88.4	84.0	172.4	+4.4	60%
Last 10 (10)	85.1	80.3	165.4	+4.8	60%
Last 5 (5)	89.8	86.8	176.6	+3.0	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	72.0	86.3	158.3	-14.3	33%
vs Similar (10)	83.6	82.6	166.2	+1.0	40%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	86.9	77.8	164.7	+9.1	82%

This opponent (Albury) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Albury

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Mt Gambier

76-87

-11

H12/09

SEABL

Dandenong

86-75

+11

A02/04

SEABL

Frankston

#14

76-81

-5

A03/04

SEABL

Melbourne Tigers

#15

101-53

101

+48

H09/04

SEABL

NW Tasmania

#13

100-101

100

101

-1

H16/04

SEABL

Hobart Chargers

95-90

A22/04

SEABL

Bendigo

55-89

-34

A23/04

SEABL

Nunawading

78-95

-17

H30/04

SEABL

Geelong

94-97

-3

H07/05

SEABL

BA CoE

#16

108-72

108

+36

H14/05

SEABL

17-24

24-20

20-22

15-21

23-21

26-17

9-25

28-12

13-27

13-14

19-26

31-14

29-7

25-15

20-23

27-8

19-29

31-13

30-31

20-28

27-25

18-23

17-25

33-17

9-27

14-27

19-19

13-16

17-23

30-22

19-32

12-18

19-30

25-30

26-21

24-16

28-23

25-23

23-11

32-15

170.9Avg total

86.9Scored

84.0Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (9)	88.1	83.7	171.8	+4.4	44%
Season at home (5)	96.2	83.6	179.8	+12.6	40%
Season away (4)	78.0	83.8	161.8	-5.8	50%
Last 10 (10)	86.9	84.0	170.9	+2.9	40%
Last 5 (5)	86.0	88.6	174.6	-2.6	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	81.5	91.0	172.5	-9.5	33%
vs Similar (7)	88.0	81.9	169.9	+6.1	86%
vs Weaker (17)	88.5	79.3	167.8	+9.2	71%

This opponent (Geelong) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

GeelongAlbury

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.7	19.8	41.5	+2.0	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.0	19.1	40.1	+1.9	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	22.5	20.4	42.9	+2.1	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.4	17.1	38.5	+4.3	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.0	18.8	42.8	+5.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	18.0	21.3	39.3	-3.3	33%	-
vs Similar (10)	22.0	20.8	42.8	+1.2	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	22.2	18.9	41.1	+3.4	65%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.0	21.5	43.5	+0.5	60%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	23.2	20.9	44.1	+2.3	72%	-
Last 30 away (12)	20.2	22.3	42.5	-2.2	42%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.1	23.6	43.7	-3.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	25.6	45.6	-5.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	18.7	24.2	42.8	-5.5	33%	-
vs Similar (7)	23.7	19.1	42.9	+4.6	86%	-
vs Weaker (17)	22.5	21.5	43.9	+1.0	59%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.5	20.1	41.6	+1.4	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.9	18.9	39.9	+2.0	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	22.1	21.2	43.3	+0.9	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.4	22.0	44.4	+0.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.6	22.6	48.2	+3.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	16.0	22.0	38.0	-6.0	33%	-
vs Similar (10)	20.3	19.4	39.7	+0.9	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	23.2	20.1	43.3	+3.1	65%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.0	20.8	43.8	+2.2	63%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	24.4	21.1	45.4	+3.3	72%	-
Last 30 away (12)	20.9	20.4	41.3	+0.5	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.1	20.4	43.5	+2.7	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.4	25.0	47.4	-2.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	21.0	26.2	47.2	-5.2	33%	-
vs Similar (7)	23.3	21.7	45.0	+1.6	71%	-
vs Weaker (17)	23.6	18.5	42.1	+5.1	71%	-

GeelongLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Albury

33-43

-10

A05/09

SEABL

Brisbane Spartans

36-22

+14

H01/04

SEABL

Kilsyth

#12

44-35

H08/04

SEABL

Frankston

#14

42-42

A16/04

SEABL

Mt Gambier

35-42

-7

H22/04

SEABL

Canberra

46-36

+10

A24/04

SEABL

Dandenong

50-47

A30/04

SEABL

Melbourne Tigers

#15

47-39

A01/05

SEABL

Albury

60-44

+16

A07/05

SEABL

Hobart Chargers

45-41

H14/05

SEABL

82.9Avg total

43.8Scored

39.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.2	39.8	83.1	+3.4	77%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	41.9	38.1	80.0	+3.9	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	44.5	41.6	86.1	+2.9	80%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.8	39.1	82.9	+4.7	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	49.6	41.4	91.0	+8.2	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	34.0	43.3	77.3	-9.3	33%	-
vs Similar (10)	42.3	40.2	82.5	+2.1	80%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	45.4	39.0	84.4	+6.4	82%	-

This opponent (Albury) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

AlburyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Mt Gambier

41-44

-3

H12/09

SEABL

Dandenong

49-38

+11

A02/04

SEABL

Frankston

#14

26-41

-15

A03/04

SEABL

Melbourne Tigers

#15

54-22

+32

H09/04

SEABL

NW Tasmania

#13

50-42

H16/04

SEABL

Hobart Chargers

45-48

-3

A22/04

SEABL

Bendigo

23-54

-31

A23/04

SEABL

Nunawading

47-45

H30/04

SEABL

Geelong

44-60

-16

H07/05

SEABL

BA CoE

#16

53-46

H14/05

SEABL

87.2Avg total

43.2Scored

44.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	45.0	42.3	87.3	+2.7	60%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	47.6	41.9	89.6	+5.7	67%	-
Last 30 away (12)	41.1	42.8	83.8	-1.7	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.2	44.0	87.2	-0.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.4	50.6	93.0	-8.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	39.7	50.3	90.0	-10.7	17%	-
vs Similar (7)	47.0	40.9	87.9	+6.1	71%	-
vs Weaker (17)	46.1	40.0	86.1	+6.1	71%	-

This opponent (Geelong) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.7	19.8	39.5	-0.1	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.5	19.2	39.7	+1.3	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.9	20.4	39.3	-1.5	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.9	21.8	41.7	-1.9	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	22.6	43.4	-1.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	21.7	21.7	43.3	+0.0	33%	-
vs Similar (10)	21.1	18.9	40.0	+2.2	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	18.5	20.0	38.5	-1.5	41%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.9	21.9	41.8	-2.0	33%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	20.6	22.3	42.9	-1.8	39%	-
Last 30 away (12)	18.8	21.2	40.1	-2.4	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.2	23.5	43.7	-3.3	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	21.6	42.4	-0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	20.7	22.7	43.3	-2.0	33%	-
vs Similar (7)	18.3	20.1	38.4	-1.9	57%	-
vs Weaker (17)	20.2	22.4	42.6	-2.1	24%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.8	19.8	40.6	+1.1	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.7	19.4	41.1	+2.3	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.0	20.1	40.1	-0.1	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.4	19.4	40.8	+2.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	22.8	42.2	-3.4	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	16.3	21.3	37.7	-5.0	33%	-
vs Similar (10)	19.6	21.7	41.3	-2.1	40%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	22.4	18.4	40.7	+4.0	65%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.3	17.6	39.0	+3.7	60%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	22.0	18.6	40.6	+3.4	61%	-
Last 30 away (12)	20.3	16.2	36.6	+4.1	58%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.5	16.5	40.0	+7.0	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.8	16.4	39.2	+6.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	19.5	16.8	36.3	+2.7	50%	-
vs Similar (7)	22.7	20.9	43.6	+1.9	57%	-
vs Weaker (17)	21.4	16.6	38.0	+4.8	65%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.5	39.6	80.1	+1.0	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	42.1	38.6	80.7	+3.5	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	38.9	40.5	79.5	-1.6	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.3	41.2	82.5	+0.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.2	45.4	85.6	-5.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	38.0	43.0	81.0	-5.0	33%	-
vs Similar (10)	40.7	40.6	81.3	+0.1	60%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	40.9	38.4	79.2	+2.5	59%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.2	39.5	80.7	+1.7	47%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	42.6	40.9	83.4	+1.7	44%	-
Last 30 away (12)	39.2	37.5	76.7	+1.7	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.7	40.0	83.7	+3.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.6	38.0	81.6	+5.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	40.2	39.5	79.7	+0.7	50%	-
vs Similar (7)	41.0	41.0	82.0	+0.0	29%	-
vs Weaker (17)	41.6	38.9	80.6	+2.7	53%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Geelong wins

Albury wins

Date	Game	Score
07/05/16	Albury v Geelong	94-97
05/09/15	Albury v Geelong	84-78
22/08/15	Albury v Geelong	88-83
13/06/15	Albury v Geelong	85-74
25/04/15	Geelong v Albury	96-87

Geelonglast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
14/05/16	H	Hobart Chargers	97-87
07/05/16	A	Albury	97-94
01/05/16	A	Melbourne Tigers	96-88
30/04/16	A	Dandenong	85-87
24/04/16	A	Canberra	74-78
22/04/16	H	Mt Gambier	74-97
16/04/16	A	Frankston	90-73
08/04/16	H	Kilsyth	87-60
01/04/16	H	Brisbane Spartans	73-55
05/09/15	A	Albury	78-84

Alburylast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
14/05/16	H	BA CoE	108-72
07/05/16	H	Geelong	94-97
30/04/16	H	Nunawading	78-95
23/04/16	A	Bendigo	55-89
22/04/16	A	Hobart Chargers	95-90
16/04/16	H	NW Tasmania	100-101
09/04/16	H	Melbourne Tigers	101-53
03/04/16	A	Frankston	76-81
02/04/16	A	Dandenong	86-75
12/09/15	H	Mt Gambier	76-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Geelong

SEABL 2016

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWWW	67%
Home	WWLW	75%
Away	WLLWW	60%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	9	4	5
Win %	67%	75%	60%
Points / game	85.9	82.8	88.4
Allowed / game	79.9	74.8	84.0
Point differential	+6.0	+8.0	+4.4
Avg total	165.8	157.5	172.4
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	44%	75%	20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	33% (3)	-	33% (3)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Albury

SEABL 2016

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLLLW	44%
Home	WLLLW	40%
Away	WLWL	50%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	9	5	4
Win %	44%	40%	50%
Points / game	88.1	96.2	78.0
Allowed / game	83.7	83.6	83.8
Point differential	+4.4	+12.6	-5.8
Avg total	171.8	179.8	161.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	33%	40%	25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	25% (4)	0% (2)	50% (2)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Hobart Chargers	10	8	2	80%	87.8	74.1	+13.7
2	Bendigo	9	7	2	78%	84.8	68.7	+16.1
3	Mt Gambier	10	7	3	70%	90.3	79.3	+11.0
4	Brisbane Spartans	10	7	3	70%	85.5	81.9	+3.6
5	Geelong	9	6	3	67%	85.9	79.9	+6.0
6	NW Tasmania	9	6	3	67%	87.4	85.6	+1.9
7	Nunawading	10	6	4	60%	86.9	80.6	+6.3
8	Kilsyth	9	5	4	56%	75.0	77.7	-2.7
9	Ballarat	8	4	4	50%	90.8	90.6	+0.1
10	Albury	9	4	5	44%	88.1	83.7	+4.4
11	Southern Sabres	9	4	5	44%	78.9	87.4	-8.6
12	Dandenong	10	4	6	40%	84.0	85.1	-1.1
13	Canberra	11	4	7	36%	77.5	83.3	-5.8
14	Frankston	10	2	8	20%	72.6	83.6	-11.0
15	Melbourne Tigers	10	1	9	10%	67.0	83.8	-16.8
16	BA CoE	7	0	7	0%	72.0	93.3	-21.3

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Geelong	23	20	30	21	94
Albury	14	19	19	21	73

← all games of the day

Geelong vs Albury Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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