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Ballarat vs Eltham Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 11 May 2024
Tip-off: 09:30
Final 95-82
20-24 32-19 17-23 26-16
Position#5
Record5-2
FormWWLWW
Points / game98.4
Allowed / game86.0
vs
Position#2
Record4-3
FormWWWLL
Points / game91.1
Allowed / game80.1
AustraliaNBL1 South
Other2024
Meetings · Ballarat v Eltham
10 Aug 2024
BALL70
ELTH79
11 May 2024
BALL95
ELTH82
02 Jul 2023
BALL82
ELTH68
30 Apr 2022
BALL99
ELTH79
31 Jul 2021
BALL86
ELTH76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ballarat winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Eltham winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BallaratAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Geelong
#10
W
107-104
107
104
+3
A08/07
NBL1 South
Diamond Valley
#7
W
105-87
105
87
+18
H09/07
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#13
L
93-99
93
99
-6
A15/07
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#15
W
97-86
97
86
+11
H03/04
NBL1 South
Geelong
#11
L
79-81
79
81
-2
H07/04
NBL1 South
Mt Gambier
#1
W
105-94
105
94
+11
A14/04
NBL1 South
Ringwood
#17
W
112-81
112
81
+31
H20/04
NBL1 South
NW Tasmania
#14
L
95-98
95
98
-3
A26/04
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#9
W
88-79
88
79
+9
A27/04
NBL1 South
Keilor Thunder
#10
W
113-83
113
83
+30
A04/05
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-28
26-16
25-30
24-30
31-24
29-29
19-18
26-16
23-27
19-27
25-24
26-21
20-20
22-18
22-22
33-26
18-18
25-18
19-23
17-22
30-28
23-26
26-20
26-20
32-14
28-23
24-31
28-13
26-29
27-31
23-17
19-21
19-14
21-23
23-25
25-17
33-21
22-15
28-20
30-27
188.6Avg total
99.4Scored
89.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)98.486.0184.4+12.471%
Season at home (3)96.082.7178.7+13.367%
Season away (4)100.288.5188.8+11.875%
Last 10 (10)99.489.2188.6+10.270%
Last 5 (5)102.687.0189.6+15.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)89.095.4184.4-6.438%
vs Similar (10)95.193.1188.2+2.060%
vs Weaker (12)98.888.9187.8+9.967%
This opponent (Eltham) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ElthamAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mt Gambier
#4
W
95-88
95
88
+7
H16/07
NBL1 South
Waverley
#9
W
97-68
97
68
+29
H22/07
NBL1 South
Knox
#1
L
81-84
81
84
-3
A29/07
NBL1 South
Diamond Valley
#18
W
109-73
109
73
+36
H06/04
NBL1 South
Frankston
#4
L
91-104
91
104
-13
A07/04
NBL1 South
Dandenong
#6
W
85-75
85
75
+10
A10/04
NBL1 South
Nunawading
#8
W
96-75
96
75
+21
H13/04
NBL1 South
Kilsyth
#16
W
99-59
99
59
+40
H20/04
NBL1 South
Melbourne Tigers
#13
L
81-89
81
89
-8
A27/04
NBL1 South
Ringwood
#17
L
77-86
77
86
-9
H04/05
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-27
24-21
27-22
20-18
27-14
30-18
24-23
16-13
21-26
17-20
18-25
25-13
44-20
23-16
19-17
23-20
21-29
22-27
33-25
15-23
19-18
19-20
25-22
22-15
25-22
33-18
18-18
20-17
24-11
29-17
20-20
26-11
22-24
13-24
24-17
22-24
20-15
19-28
19-25
19-18
171.2Avg total
91.1Scored
80.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)91.180.1171.3+11.057%
Season at home (4)95.273.2168.5+22.075%
Season away (3)85.789.3175.0-3.733%
Last 10 (10)91.180.1171.2+11.060%
Last 5 (5)87.676.8164.4+10.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)74.093.5167.5-19.50%
vs Similar (5)83.892.8176.6-9.020%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)92.078.6170.6+13.574%
This opponent (Ballarat) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +4.1+4.1Q1: +4.1+4.1Q2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q2: +2.0+2.0Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: +1.3+1.3Q4Q4: +4.1+4.1Q4: +3.6+3.6
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +4.1+4.1Q1: +4.1+4.1Q2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q2: +2.0+2.0Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: +1.3+1.3Q4Q4: +4.1+4.1Q4: +3.6+3.6
BallaratEltham
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BallaratLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Geelong
#10
W
58-44
58
44
+14
A08/07
NBL1 South
Diamond Valley
#7
W
60-53
60
53
+7
H09/07
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#13
L
42-54
42
54
-12
A15/07
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#15
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H03/04
NBL1 South
Geelong
#11
W
43-36
43
36
+7
H07/04
NBL1 South
Mt Gambier
#1
L
53-54
53
54
-1
A14/04
NBL1 South
Ringwood
#17
W
60-37
60
37
+23
H20/04
NBL1 South
NW Tasmania
#14
L
53-60
53
60
-7
A26/04
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#9
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A27/04
NBL1 South
Keilor Thunder
#10
W
55-36
55
36
+19
A04/05
NBL1 South
95.5Avg total
50.6Scored
44.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)48.346.594.8+1.953%-
Last 30 at home (15)50.044.994.9+5.173%-
Last 30 away (15)46.748.094.7-1.333%-
Last 10 (10)50.644.995.5+5.770%-
Last 5 (5)52.244.897.0+7.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)49.247.897.0+1.538%-
vs Similar (10)46.644.691.2+2.070%-
vs Weaker (12)49.247.296.3+2.050%-
This opponent (Eltham) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ElthamLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mt Gambier
#4
D
48-48
48
48
+0
H16/07
NBL1 South
Waverley
#9
W
57-32
57
32
+25
H22/07
NBL1 South
Knox
#1
L
38-46
38
46
-8
A29/07
NBL1 South
Diamond Valley
#18
W
67-36
67
36
+31
H06/04
NBL1 South
Frankston
#4
L
43-56
43
56
-13
A07/04
NBL1 South
Dandenong
#6
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A10/04
NBL1 South
Nunawading
#8
W
58-40
58
40
+18
H13/04
NBL1 South
Kilsyth
#16
W
53-28
53
28
+25
H20/04
NBL1 South
Melbourne Tigers
#13
L
35-48
35
48
-13
A27/04
NBL1 South
Ringwood
#17
L
39-43
39
43
-4
H04/05
NBL1 South
89.1Avg total
47.6Scored
41.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.541.286.7+4.353%-
Last 30 at home (16)50.938.789.6+12.275%-
Last 30 away (14)39.344.183.4-4.829%-
Last 10 (10)47.641.589.1+6.140%-
Last 5 (5)44.639.484.0+5.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)35.547.082.5-11.50%-
vs Similar (5)41.249.891.0-8.60%-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)47.338.886.1+8.570%-
This opponent (Ballarat) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Ballarat wins
0
Eltham wins
DateGameScore
02/07/23Ballarat v Eltham82-68
30/04/22Ballarat v Eltham99-79
31/07/21Ballarat v Eltham86-76
12/05/19Eltham v Ballarat80-104
Ballaratlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/05/24AKeilor Thunder113-83
27/04/24AHobart Chargers88-79
26/04/24ANW Tasmania95-98
20/04/24HRingwood112-81
14/04/24AMt Gambier105-94
07/04/24HGeelong79-81
03/04/24HBendigo Braves97-86
15/07/23ABendigo Braves93-99
09/07/23HDiamond Valley105-87
08/07/23AGeelong107-104
Elthamlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/05/24HRingwood77-86
27/04/24AMelbourne Tigers81-89
20/04/24HKilsyth99-59
13/04/24HNunawading96-75
10/04/24ADandenong85-75
07/04/24AFrankston91-104
06/04/24HDiamond Valley109-73
29/07/23AKnox81-84
22/07/23HWaverley97-68
16/07/23HMt Gambier95-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ballarat
NBL1 South 2024
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW71%
HomeWLW67%
AwayWLWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %71%67%75%
Points / game98.496.0100.2
Allowed / game86.082.788.5
Point differential+12.4+13.3+11.8
Avg total184.4178.7188.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+57%67%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Eltham
NBL1 South 2024
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL57%
HomeWWWL75%
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %57%75%33%
Points / game91.195.285.7
Allowed / game80.173.289.3
Point differential+11.0+22.0-3.7
Avg total171.3168.5175.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+57%75%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Mt Gambier97278%89.383.1+6.2
2 Knox75271%98.081.1+16.9
3 Ballarat75271%98.486.0+12.4
4 Hobart Chargers96367%81.378.6+2.8
5 Dandenong106460%84.881.1+3.7
6 Ringwood106460%87.287.6-0.4
7 Eltham74357%91.180.1+11.0
8 Sandringham Sabres95456%91.981.7+10.2
9 Frankston95456%90.883.9+6.9
10 Waverley95456%90.684.4+6.1
11 Nunawading95456%84.783.9+0.8
12 Keilor Thunder95456%94.7100.7-6.0
13 Melbourne Tigers104640%77.583.7-6.2
14 Bendigo Braves104640%80.189.0-8.9
15 NW Tasmania93633%82.890.9-8.1
16 Casey Cavaliers82625%81.887.2-5.5
17 Geelong82625%78.084.1-6.1
18 Kilsyth82625%79.494.8-15.4
19 Diamond Valley71614%82.199.0-16.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Ballarat2032172695
Eltham2419231682
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