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Ballarat vs Eltham Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 31 Jul 2021
Tip-off: 10:00
Final 86-76
30-11 22-28 18-20 16-17
Position#9
Record7-5
FormLWWWW
Points / game80.8
Allowed / game76.9
vs
Position#16
Record2-10
FormLLLLL
Points / game79.9
Allowed / game87.9
AustraliaNBL1 South
Other2021
Meetings · Ballarat v Eltham
10 Aug 2024
BALL70
ELTH79
11 May 2024
BALL95
ELTH82
02 Jul 2023
BALL82
ELTH68
30 Apr 2022
BALL99
ELTH79
31 Jul 2021
BALL86
ELTH76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ballarat winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Eltham winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BallaratAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
NW Tasmania
#1
W
74-71 OT
74
71
+3
A24/04
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#8
L
80-85 OT
80
85
-5
H01/05
NBL1 South
Frankston
#2
L
77-89
77
89
-12
H08/05
NBL1 South
Ringwood
#13
L
85-87
85
87
-2
A15/05
NBL1 South
Mt Gambier
#5
W
88-86 OT
88
86
+2
A22/05
NBL1 South
Kilsyth
#6
L
50-61
50
61
-11
H26/06
NBL1 South
Melbourne Tigers
#17
W
92-77
92
77
+15
A27/06
NBL1 South
Nunawading
#10
W
94-67
94
67
+27
H03/07
NBL1 South
Diamond Valley
#12
W
88-69
88
69
+19
A04/07
NBL1 South
Knox
#11
W
83-77
83
77
+6
H10/07
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-14
18-14
21-21
14-18
15-16
8-30
21-12
25-11
20-17
24-29
18-20
15-23
22-20
17-22
27-20
19-25
18-19
15-21
25-12
10-16
9-12
16-10
13-20
12-19
16-18
26-21
21-22
29-16
26-15
27-17
21-21
20-14
29-14
18-23
23-12
18-20
32-20
19-22
17-15
15-20
158.0Avg total
81.1Scored
76.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)80.876.9157.7+3.858%
Season at home (5)76.875.8152.6+1.040%
Season away (7)83.677.7161.3+5.971%
Last 10 (10)81.176.9158.0+4.260%
Last 5 (5)81.470.2151.6+11.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)76.080.3156.3-4.333%
vs Similar (5)79.075.2154.2+3.860%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)88.275.3163.5+12.973%
This opponent (Eltham) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ElthamAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nunawading
#10
W
74-69
74
69
+5
H01/05
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#3
L
72-74
72
74
-2
A07/05
NBL1 South
NW Tasmania
#1
L
69-87
69
87
-18
A08/05
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#8
L
78-92
78
92
-14
A15/05
NBL1 South
Sandringham Sabres
#18
W
105-91
105
91
+14
H16/05
NBL1 South
NW Tasmania
#1
L
68-94
68
94
-26
H22/05
NBL1 South
Geelong
#7
L
85-93
85
93
-8
H26/06
NBL1 South
Waverley
#4
L
94-108
94
108
-14
A27/06
NBL1 South
Knox
#11
L
80-94
80
94
-14
H04/07
NBL1 South
Dandenong
#14
L
70-81
70
81
-11
H09/07
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-19
20-17
13-22
23-11
14-25
16-15
20-16
22-18
21-17
19-20
17-28
12-22
20-21
22-22
17-21
19-28
25-26
22-28
29-19
29-18
17-21
23-25
14-33
14-15
24-23
22-20
21-25
18-25
25-31
28-21
22-26
19-30
19-22
24-23
19-26
18-23
28-22
15-20
11-19
16-20
167.8Avg total
79.5Scored
88.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)79.987.9167.8-8.017%
Season at home (8)80.886.8167.5-6.025%
Season away (4)78.290.2168.5-12.00%
Last 10 (10)79.588.3167.8-8.820%
Last 5 (5)79.494.0173.4-14.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)80.189.8169.9-9.716%
vs Similar (9)85.390.3175.7-5.022%
vs Weaker (2)101.085.5186.5+15.5100%
This opponent (Ballarat) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.6+3.6Q1: -1.6-1.6Q2Q2: -2.1-2.1Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: +3.2+3.2Q3: -5.2-5.2Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: -2.0-2.0
BallaratEltham
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BallaratLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
NW Tasmania
#1
W
32-28
32
28
+4
A24/04
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#8
L
23-46
23
46
-23
H01/05
NBL1 South
Frankston
#2
L
44-46
44
46
-2
H08/05
NBL1 South
Ringwood
#13
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A15/05
NBL1 South
Mt Gambier
#5
L
33-40
33
40
-7
A22/05
NBL1 South
Kilsyth
#6
W
25-22
25
22
+3
H26/06
NBL1 South
Melbourne Tigers
#17
W
42-39
42
39
+3
A27/06
NBL1 South
Nunawading
#10
W
53-32
53
32
+21
H03/07
NBL1 South
Diamond Valley
#12
W
47-37
47
37
+10
A04/07
NBL1 South
Knox
#11
W
51-42
51
42
+9
H10/07
NBL1 South
76.3Avg total
38.9Scored
37.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.939.182.0+3.860%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.439.281.6+3.156%-
Last 30 away (14)43.538.982.4+4.664%-
Last 10 (10)38.937.476.3+1.560%-
Last 5 (5)43.634.478.0+9.2100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)35.035.370.3-0.333%-
vs Similar (5)37.036.473.4+0.660%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)45.340.285.5+5.164%-
This opponent (Eltham) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ElthamLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nunawading
#10
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H01/05
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#3
L
30-40
30
40
-10
A07/05
NBL1 South
NW Tasmania
#1
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A08/05
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#8
L
42-43
42
43
-1
A15/05
NBL1 South
Sandringham Sabres
#18
L
47-54
47
54
-7
H16/05
NBL1 South
NW Tasmania
#1
L
40-46
40
46
-6
H22/05
NBL1 South
Geelong
#7
W
46-43
46
43
+3
H26/06
NBL1 South
Waverley
#4
W
53-52
53
52
+1
A27/06
NBL1 South
Knox
#11
L
43-45
43
45
-2
H04/07
NBL1 South
Dandenong
#14
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H09/07
NBL1 South
86.0Avg total
42.2Scored
43.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.744.286.9-1.550%-
Last 30 at home (17)43.943.287.2+0.753%-
Last 30 away (13)41.245.586.6-4.346%-
Last 10 (10)42.243.886.0-1.650%-
Last 5 (5)45.045.690.6-0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)42.644.587.1-1.953%-
vs Similar (9)42.741.884.4+0.956%-
vs Weaker (2)44.552.096.5-7.50%-
This opponent (Ballarat) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Ballarat wins
0
Eltham wins
DateGameScore
12/05/19Eltham v Ballarat80-104
Ballaratlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/07/21HKnox83-77
04/07/21ADiamond Valley88-69
03/07/21HNunawading94-67
27/06/21AMelbourne Tigers92-77
26/06/21HKilsyth50-61
22/05/21AMt Gambier88-86 OT
15/05/21ARingwood85-87
08/05/21HFrankston77-89
01/05/21HBendigo Braves80-85 OT
24/04/21ANW Tasmania74-71 OT
Elthamlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/07/21HDandenong70-81
04/07/21HKnox80-94
27/06/21AWaverley94-108
26/06/21HGeelong85-93
22/05/21HNW Tasmania68-94
16/05/21HSandringham Sabres105-91
15/05/21ABendigo Braves78-92
08/05/21ANW Tasmania69-87
07/05/21AHobart Chargers72-74
01/05/21HNunawading74-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ballarat
NBL1 South 2021
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW58%
HomeLLLWW40%
AwayWLWWW71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1257
Win %58%40%71%
Points / game80.876.883.6
Allowed / game76.975.877.7
Point differential+3.8+1.0+5.9
Avg total157.7152.6161.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%20%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)0% (1)50% (4)
Overtime %25%20%29%
Eltham
NBL1 South 2021
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL17%
HomeWLLLL25%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1284
Win %17%25%0%
Points / game79.980.878.2
Allowed / game87.986.890.2
Point differential-8.0-6.0-12.0
Avg total167.8167.5168.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%12%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)33% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 NW Tasmania1411379%86.777.8+8.9
2 Hobart Chargers1511473%95.587.4+8.1
3 Frankston1410471%98.584.9+13.6
4 Geelong1410471%89.481.6+7.7
5 Mt Gambier139469%99.893.1+6.7
6 Waverley128467%89.382.3+7.0
7 Kilsyth128467%75.274.9+0.3
8 Ballarat127558%80.876.9+3.8
9 Bendigo Braves137654%85.987.5-1.6
10 Knox126650%86.385.8+0.6
11 Nunawading136746%82.578.8+3.6
12 Diamond Valley136746%86.789.5-2.8
13 Ringwood115645%86.488.2-1.8
14 Dandenong113827%84.991.0-6.1
15 Albury-Wodonga Bandits1331023%82.791.5-8.8
16 Eltham1221017%79.987.9-8.0
17 Melbourne Tigers1421214%81.599.3-17.8
18 Sandringham Sabres121118%82.2100.3-18.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Ballarat3022181686
Eltham1128201776
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