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Ballarat vs Diamond Valley Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 09 Jul 2023
Tip-off: 04:00
Final 105-87
31-24 29-29 19-18 26-16
Position#11
Record10-10
FormLWLWW
Points / game93.2
Allowed / game94.2
vs
Position#7
Record12-8
FormWWWWL
Points / game87.5
Allowed / game87.5
AustraliaNBL1 South
Other2023
Meetings · Ballarat v Diamond Valley
11 May 2025
BALL104
DIAM94
26 May 2024
BALL99
DIAM96
09 Jul 2023
BALL105
DIAM87
06 Aug 2022
BALL79
DIAM101
29 Jun 2019
BALL79
DIAM73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ballarat winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Diamond Valley winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BallaratAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Waverley
#9
L
95-108
95
108
-13
H20/05
NBL1 South
Casey Cavaliers
#19
W
94-91 OT
94
91
+3
A27/05
NBL1 South
Sandringham Sabres
#2
L
87-99
87
99
-12
H03/06
NBL1 South
Melbourne Tigers
#12
L
88-106
88
106
-18
A04/06
NBL1 South
NW Tasmania
#17
W
102-81
102
81
+21
H17/06
NBL1 South
Mt Gambier
#4
L
85-105
85
105
-20
H18/06
NBL1 South
Kilsyth
#14
W
97-96
97
96
+1
A24/06
NBL1 South
Ringwood
#15
L
110-113 OT
110
113
-3
H30/06
NBL1 South
Eltham
#5
W
82-68
82
68
+14
H02/07
NBL1 South
Geelong
#10
W
107-104
107
104
+3
A08/07
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-19
18-38
17-24
28-27
23-13
18-31
26-25
18-16
18-14
22-30
19-23
28-32
14-28
26-27
27-23
21-28
27-28
29-26
19-20
27-7
26-24
19-30
16-28
24-23
25-26
23-22
25-25
24-23
19-17
25-24
23-28
29-27
25-13
20-21
17-16
20-18
32-28
26-16
25-30
24-30
191.8Avg total
94.7Scored
97.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)93.294.2187.4-1.050%
Season at home (10)96.092.9188.9+3.150%
Season away (10)90.495.6186.0-5.250%
Last 10 (10)94.797.1191.8-2.450%
Last 5 (5)96.297.2193.4-1.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)82.393.9176.2-11.620%
vs Similar ◀ (13)88.893.6182.5-4.838%
vs Weaker (7)96.489.3185.7+7.171%
This opponent (Diamond Valley) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Diamond ValleyAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Melbourne Tigers
#12
W
89-75
89
75
+14
A21/05
NBL1 South
Sandringham Sabres
#2
L
84-85
84
85
-1
H27/05
NBL1 South
Nunawading
#6
L
80-105
80
105
-25
A03/06
NBL1 South
Mt Gambier
#4
L
77-91
77
91
-14
A09/06
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#8
W
96-86
96
86
+10
H17/06
NBL1 South
Casey Cavaliers
#19
W
96-81
96
81
+15
H18/06
NBL1 South
Keilor Thunder
#16
W
91-89
91
89
+2
A24/06
NBL1 South
Kilsyth
#14
W
87-77
87
77
+10
H01/07
NBL1 South
NW Tasmania
#17
W
97-85
97
85
+12
H02/07
NBL1 South
Knox
#1
L
70-99
70
99
-29
A07/07
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-20
17-31
18-15
29-9
24-21
16-16
19-27
25-21
24-26
12-22
20-28
24-29
22-22
13-30
21-22
21-17
21-32
29-19
25-21
21-14
21-15
24-10
30-27
21-29
23-26
27-23
23-17
18-23
23-27
20-27
23-13
21-10
32-16
33-24
11-27
21-18
9-25
17-27
23-24
21-23
174.0Avg total
86.7Scored
87.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)87.587.5174.9+0.060%
Season at home (11)91.586.7178.2+4.764%
Season away (9)82.688.3170.9-5.856%
Last 10 (10)86.787.3174.0-0.660%
Last 5 (5)88.286.2174.4+2.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)78.593.6172.1-15.10%
vs Similar ◀ (11)87.083.7170.7+3.382%
vs Weaker (9)92.085.0177.0+7.089%
This opponent (Ballarat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +3.1+3.1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: -3.9-3.9Q2: -2.1-2.1Q3Q3: -2.8-2.8Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: +2.9+2.9
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +3.1+3.1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: -3.9-3.9Q2: -2.1-2.1Q3Q3: -2.8-2.8Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: +2.9+2.9
BallaratDiamond Valley
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BallaratLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Waverley
#9
L
50-57
50
57
-7
H20/05
NBL1 South
Casey Cavaliers
#19
L
41-44
41
44
-3
A27/05
NBL1 South
Sandringham Sabres
#2
L
40-44
40
44
-4
H03/06
NBL1 South
Melbourne Tigers
#12
L
40-55
40
55
-15
A04/06
NBL1 South
NW Tasmania
#17
W
56-54
56
54
+2
H17/06
NBL1 South
Mt Gambier
#4
L
45-54
45
54
-9
H18/06
NBL1 South
Kilsyth
#14
D
48-48
48
48
+0
A24/06
NBL1 South
Ringwood
#15
W
44-41
44
41
+3
H30/06
NBL1 South
Eltham
#5
W
45-34
45
34
+11
H02/07
NBL1 South
Geelong
#10
W
58-44
58
44
+14
A08/07
NBL1 South
94.2Avg total
46.7Scored
47.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.046.792.7-0.843%-
Last 30 at home (16)47.445.692.9+1.856%-
Last 30 away (14)44.448.192.4-3.729%-
Last 10 (10)46.747.594.2-0.840%-
Last 5 (5)48.044.292.2+3.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)45.947.092.9-1.140%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)44.644.589.2+0.154%-
vs Weaker (7)48.650.499.0-1.929%-
This opponent (Diamond Valley) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Diamond ValleyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Melbourne Tigers
#12
L
42-51
42
51
-9
A21/05
NBL1 South
Sandringham Sabres
#2
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H27/05
NBL1 South
Nunawading
#6
L
36-48
36
48
-12
A03/06
NBL1 South
Mt Gambier
#4
L
35-52
35
52
-17
A09/06
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#8
L
50-51
50
51
-1
H17/06
NBL1 South
Casey Cavaliers
#19
W
45-25
45
25
+20
H18/06
NBL1 South
Keilor Thunder
#16
W
50-49
50
49
+1
A24/06
NBL1 South
Kilsyth
#14
L
43-54
43
54
-11
H01/07
NBL1 South
NW Tasmania
#17
W
65-40
65
40
+25
H02/07
NBL1 South
Knox
#1
L
26-52
26
52
-26
A07/07
NBL1 South
89.1Avg total
43.2Scored
45.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.045.688.5-2.633%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.642.788.3+2.947%-
Last 30 away (15)40.348.588.8-8.120%-
Last 10 (10)43.245.989.1-2.740%-
Last 5 (5)45.844.089.8+1.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)36.948.385.2-11.410%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)43.945.789.6-1.827%-
vs Weaker (9)48.642.390.9+6.267%-
This opponent (Ballarat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Ballarat wins
2
Diamond Valley wins
Ballaratlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/07/23AGeelong107-104
02/07/23HEltham82-68
30/06/23HRingwood110-113 OT
24/06/23AKilsyth97-96
18/06/23HMt Gambier85-105
17/06/23HNW Tasmania102-81
04/06/23AMelbourne Tigers88-106
03/06/23HSandringham Sabres87-99
27/05/23ACasey Cavaliers94-91 OT
20/05/23HWaverley95-108
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/07/23AKnox70-99
02/07/23HNW Tasmania97-85
01/07/23HKilsyth87-77
24/06/23AKeilor Thunder91-89
18/06/23HCasey Cavaliers96-81
17/06/23HHobart Chargers96-86
09/06/23AMt Gambier77-91
03/06/23ANunawading80-105
27/05/23HSandringham Sabres84-85
21/05/23AMelbourne Tigers89-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ballarat
NBL1 South 2023
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW50%
HomeLWLLW50%
AwayLWLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game93.296.090.4
Allowed / game94.292.995.6
Point differential-1.1+3.1-5.2
Avg total187.4188.9186.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%40%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)0% (1)75% (4)
Overtime %10%10%10%
Diamond Valley
NBL1 South 2023
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL60%
HomeLWWWW64%
AwayWLLWL56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20119
Win %60%64%56%
Points / game87.591.582.6
Allowed / game87.586.788.3
Point differential+0.0+4.7-5.8
Avg total174.9178.2170.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%55%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)0% (1)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Knox1915479%88.675.5+13.2
2 Frankston2014670%93.084.5+8.4
3 Mt Gambier2014670%93.886.0+7.7
4 Sandringham Sabres1913668%92.486.1+6.3
5 Nunawading2012860%91.886.0+5.8
6 Waverley2012860%87.085.2+1.9
7 Diamond Valley2012860%87.587.5+0.0
8 Eltham1911858%88.784.1+4.6
9 Hobart Chargers21111052%86.686.8-0.2
10 Ballarat20101050%93.294.2-1.1
11 Bendigo Braves1991047%88.193.4-5.3
12 Geelong2091145%88.588.5+0.1
13 Kilsyth2091145%88.289.5-1.2
14 Melbourne Tigers2091145%83.286.2-3.0
15 Keilor Thunder2081240%87.493.2-5.8
16 Ringwood2181338%89.693.1-3.5
17 NW Tasmania2171433%81.489.0-7.6
18 Casey Cavaliers1931616%74.387.4-13.1
19 Dandenong2031715%85.892.0-6.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Ballarat31291926105
Diamond Valley2429181687
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